CMG earnings 10/21 after hours possible epic dropChipotle is currently trading at an egregious 149 P/E! How is a restaurant, in this COVID economy, trading at such an obnoxious valuation? It’s not like this is a ZOOM or TSLA. Lol. To put this in context, MCD P/E = 36, YUM P/E = 29. Something is out of whack. Also, CMG is trading at $200+ over it’s 1 year trend line for no apparent logical reason? Good luck and happy trading friends...
CMG trade ideas
Chipotle Mexican Grill Probes Old HighsChipotle Mexican Grill has been a slow-and-steady gainer in 2020. It was already investing in its online model before the pandemic, and that decision paid off handsomely as the country went into lockdown mode.
CMG formed a bullish triangle in July and early August. It then broke out and surged to new all-time highs near $1,400 before rolling over with the rest of the market.
This has brought CMG back to the top of the old triangle around $1,190 and its 50-day simple moving average (SMA). The shares may chop around and even potentially test $1,100ish if the S&P 500 keeps struggling. However, that might provide opportunities for buyers.
CMG has one of the cleaner charts because it broke out to new highs recently without getting too overbought (like many technology names).
It’s also interesting fundamentally, with the potential to benefit from either coronavirus returning or abating.
Traders may want to watch it between $1,100 and $1,200, depending on their take of the broader market.
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Now we can start shorting earnings....Take a look at CIEN and PD today, dropped right back into pre-COVID trading range.
Appears the zero interest rate pump is finally over, we can finally start looking for stocks to short on earnings. Look for stocks that have melted up but don't have the earnings to back it up.
Short CMG? - MaybeSo, here we see CMG Weekly. Big wide range over 7+ years.
What's most interesting to me is we are certainly at the top of that range.
Add to this that we are almost exactly 2x the width of the C19 fall.
Oh, and don't get me started on EPS and Price/Sales metrics, not that those matter, ever.
But just overall, C19 is still a thing, different states are different stages.
Does one REALLY think the growth will be able to keep up to sustain this valuation?
Yes, I'm looking to begin a short position this week. My guess is we fall back to ~1150 over the next 60 days.
Good luck everyone.
Earnings done - 7/31, 1000 puts - high reward/riskThe stock has low volume, and low options volume, so I usually avoid it. However with such a huge run up since March, indicators hint at profit taking to ensue. If selling picks up in next few days then stock should head towards 1000-1080. Best volume and price (still very low) is on 1000 strike for 7/31 expiry. I bought puts for 60 cents, and I will exit today or tomorrow if price and 30min charts do not support my trade idea.