D trade ideas
Dominion upward trend for couple monthsThe price is still in correction stage after post income and people are undecided. However, dividend is increased by $0.05 compared to last year and it is almost dividend date. This should push the undecided people to buy. Also I notice recently energy and natural gas company price dropped but this does not and I think this is the lowest for these few months. I should go up to $75ish before ex dividend date 3/1/2017 but may go even higher afterward. Even if it drops before or after ex-dividend date, the following month or two will be followed by a upward correction and break even at the worst case in 2 months from now. I am predicting this move base on the past waves especially the MACD line. If MACD blue line can hit zero it will continue to go up! Estimate >4% increase in price in 1-2 months.
74.50 Important Level For Utilities TradeI entered APR 75 $D calls as a hedge to my $XAUUSD short and a "Dour Janet," ahead of the FOMC chair's speech last Tuesday.
Full trade set-up here: www.basementmacro.com
The trade worked fantastically with the options returning 175%, as of Friday's close. I opted not to close the position because (1) the trade was working (2) I completely missed the sell signal at 75.50 and (3) the "Utility Trade" is a good hedge against slower growth concerns - which, I think should abate.
With this morning's pullback below the weekly bullish trendline support, I added a few more calls to my position. If we see a breakdown below the monthly bullish trendline support, I'll bounce from the trade. Otherwise, a bounce off this support should lead to a retest above $75, with a target of $76 - Yes, I know it's only 0.50 above the prior sell signal. I wouldn't suggest opening new longs, but if you're already in the trade, I think you may have another opportunity at $76 to exit.
Dominion: Shorts Anticipated At Action LevelFriends
Shorts expected at, or around this range, bearish engulf at the action level gave us the immediate sign of bear presence, looking for more downside tomorrow to find an entry
-68.70's will serve as a bearish confirmation for me. (Providing intraday pullbacks give me an entry obviously)
Best of luck!
Tom
$D, and the liquid natural gas marketDecided to take another look at Dominion's chart after not seeing it for months. They've had some tremendous growth since 4Q '12, and the liquid natural gas scene is still very young in its stages. $D has been having some sideways price movement for the past 31 trading-days, which is common for its trend. I firmly believe that Dominion will continue to grow, and that's why I'm putting this idea as a Long. Today's candle is a Doji, completing the Harami, which is usually a reversal sign. Now, since $D has been having sideways price movement I would look for this to breakout tomorrow; RSI shows a good trend from this last leg (since sideways movement started 31 days ago) and we have convergence (almost!) on the Macdee. Considering the market, the trend, and the indies: I see good things coming. Happy Trading!