Disney-Long on EarningsDisney been oversold and one of the best stocks to always buy the dip on, streaming alone is worth more than Disney's current stock price... we're going to see a classic Disney earnings move to the north.
DIS trade ideas
Buy $DIS - NRPicks 13 AprThe Walt Disney Company operates as a worldwide entertainment company. It operates through two segments, Disney Media and Entertainment Distribution; and Disney Parks, Experiences and Products. The company engages in film and television content production activities.
Revenue TTM 72.9B
EBITDA TTM 10.5B
Net Income TTM 3.8B
Margin EBITDA TTM 14%.
DIS AnalysisPrice is doing what I analyzed last week. Price is on a downtrend. Price has filled the fair value gap at 91.80 created in Q1 2020. We are also starting to see a change in character in a wyckoff accumulation schematic, with volume coming in with the rally. I'm expecting price to continue rally higher with the target of bearish POI at 107.91.
Disney is a realm of escapism - Recession Proof & Cash Flow RichThe Walt Disney Company recorded negative operating cash flow for the first quarter of the year. Even in the second quarter, cash from operating activities was still outpaced by investments in diverse activities. This was mostly caused by a lack of action during the coronavirus demand destruction in fiscal year 2020. But now that the parks are reopened, there are less ramp-up requirements. The majority of Disney's movie ticket sales will result in revenue generation because the majority of the backlog of films has already been paid for. The free cash flow should significantly increase during the following quarters. Despite the most severe criticism, "Thor: Love & Thunder" is on track to surpass $500 million worldwide. The success of the movie was another evidence that the conventional approach is still effective.
10 Year TSR Value
Disney's track record of making more money than it needs is quite extensive. As a result, advancements into further growth areas can still be made in the future. Disney may be a sizable business, but it has plenty of room to expand as long as there are measures in place to produce adequate cash flow. They have a strong economic moat. The brand is extremely well-known, and the market is now discounting the Disney+ streaming component of the company's operations as the excitement surrounding it fades due to Netflix's (NFLX) sluggish member growth. We have to consider that Netflix have peaked their user base. However, Disney+ have enough tier to grow their client base.
Due to the parks being open again and new movies being released, cash flow is expected to increase significantly soon. In the long run, this corporation has a significantly more profitable method of producing films than many of its rivals.
However, One of the biggest disadvantage of holding this stock is due to their high operating costs, Disney's value will increase to about twice what it is currently trading for if operating margins return to the mean of around 17%.
As operating costs increased and park and cruise revenues decreased during the pandemic, Disney had to cut dividend payout. Undoubtedly, the dividend's reinstatement will be a bullish event that many are anticipating. Although market players despise dividend cutbacks, Disney's management at the time made a wise decision in doing this. Disney was able to leverage money from eliminating the dividend to make a splash in the streaming industry. However, it is in their best interests to compensate shareholders by resuming dividend payments in situations where the value of their firm is dwindling.
The market seemed to be concentrating too much on downside risks, that continue to drive Disney's share price lower, despite the fact that revenue growth continued to rise. In the future, Disney's earning power might increase significantly, just like it did a decade ago. The stock might surge once more with an operating margin returning to regular levels of 17-21%. As the company's free cash flows and direct-to-consumer operations may grow, Disney has a lot of potential in the long run. Disney produced record EPS and nearly $10 billion in free cash flows in 2019. Now that the theatrical industry is recovering from COVID the company is expected to generate record breaking free cashflow.
Total Revenue vs Total Operating Expenses
They have already begun to report positive financial outcomes for its fiscal year 2022. Revenue increased from $31.86 billion last year to $41.07 billion this year, a 28.9 percent increase over the same period previous year. From $918 million to $1.57 billion, net income has grown by 71.5 percent. Operating cash flow increased from $1.47 billion to $1.56 billion, an increase of just 6%. However, if working capital adjustments were taken into account, it would have increased from $1.84 billion to $4.67 billion. That is a 153.7 percent increase from the previous year.
Excellent Management & Strategic Growth over the years.
People seek escapism during recessions, and Disney's content offers them hope. Every week, 80 million Americans went to the movies, even during the Great Depression and since then movie businesses have won the label of "Recession Proof", The movie business has generally been one of the few industries that has been able to retain its place in the market or even grow admissions, even in some of the worst economic downturns ever. This is a result of people's continued consumption behavior. Even if they were impacted by economic downturns, The release of "Avatar: The Way of Water" this year and Disney's 100th anniversary celebration in 2023 will boost the company's marketing efforts and help them generate more sales revenue.
DIS AnalysisPrice is on a downtrend. Price is currently trying to fill the fair value gap at 91.80 created in Q1 2020. We are also starting to see a change in character in a wyckoff accumulation schematic. I'm expecting price to rally from here or to fill more of the fair value gap before rally
DIS STILL MEHDisney really looks like one of ugliest charts on the DJI, but it's close. Hard to say this goes much lower because you simply cannot fade MR. Mouse and it's fundamentals.
DIS trend support = resistance for now 🥵I wouldn't get too bullish here until we break back above previous trend support and 100.29 area, for now i think its better to stay away from Disney!
$DIS - longThis stock has drifted away from its 200 MA enough that it should bounce back a bit before it could continue to head south.
Entry is anything in $96 range and adding under $96/share. Stop is around $93.50.
Will sell after making 10%.
looks like Bitcoin chart perhaps they take $BTC in the futurePerhaps Disney will take Bitcoin in the future, imagine paying for rides in bitcoin? The chart shows a potential bounce from A leg, to a sell off to the B leg. Wave analysis is subjective, I like to focus on the wave analysis inside the triangle, then plot my fibs. With Inflation, rising gas prices, and folks still cautious from Covid. I expect more selling pressure, after a brief bounce. Long Term Short, w/ selling the rips
DIS-Disneys Bear case for a PO of $43-52 by years endDisney is ending Q2 in a very precarious way...Anyone believe another 50% price reduction from here is possible?
Although Q2 just closed above 2016 Q3 low close of $92.86 the quarterly chart is signaling another bearish quarter or two could be on the horizon.
The key bearish points are notated on the chart...I'll be watching the blue trend lines closely.
(Of note: I'm not taking any position or stance here but instead presenting the bear case)
Disney- next moves?Kinda hard to say what can happen from here hard to imagine Disney being any cheaper than it already is, people saying Disney going to $60 i think is ignorant if anything i think like Starbucks it might just stay stagnant... but on the charts, we have a cup and handle formation giving it a boost back to around $113 and breakout to $117-$120.
DIS - need to pivot quickly to survive this market downturnDisney need to pivot quickly to survive this market downturn
$DIS Analysis, Key Levels, and Targets$DIS Analysis, Key Levels, and Targets
Here’s a fun look at DIS…. we are about 53% off of the highs… The light blue dotted line is the 200MA imported from the monthly chart. It sits at around $77 at the moment…. I’d say that right here is a descent place to start a position, but if it gets nearer to the monthly 200MA I’d go in heavier….
All of my targets have been hit except for 1 which would fill the covid gap, and I could see a nice swing happening from there….
Stupid Willy (The bottom indicator) is starting to read extreme oversold and a green cross above the red line would be my long confirmation…
And just for historical reference, in 07-09, DIS came down 57% off of the highs (which we are getting close to) and it also went 38% below the 200 monthly MA once it crossed below….
In 2000-2002, DIS came down 68% off of the highs... So keep all of that in mind when building your DIS position…. Just because it’s cheap doesn’t mean it can’t get cheaper…
However I do believe that the around the 200MA level will hold, and that between here and there is a great buying opportunity…
DIS - Disney Fundamentals - Extreme BasicsSome basic fundamentals for DIS - market cap, tangible book value, revenue growth, EBITA etc
$DIS shortif we lose 93.30 i will look to short this.
Wait for confirmation and use the hourly and 5 min charts to find an entry on a bounce when it attempts to support the level.
DIS - Disney - Long term story- Intact!Dips should be a reason to buy
Red labels are possible entry points and green labels are exit
Towards 60s?At this point we could have a short term rally and then fall again towards 60s... It must come back to its original growth line (in green)
The Walt Disney Company (NYSE: $DIS) Uptrend Looks Imminent 🎈The Walt Disney Company, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an entertainment company worldwide. It operates through two segments, Disney Media and Entertainment Distribution; and Disney Parks, Experiences and Products. The company engages in the film and episodic television content production and distribution activities, as well as operates television broadcast networks under the ABC, Disney, ESPN, Freeform, FX, Fox, National Geographic, and Star brands; and studios that produces motion pictures under the Walt Disney Pictures, Twentieth Century Studios, Marvel, Lucasfilm, Pixar, and Searchlight Pictures banners. It also offers direct-to-consumer streaming services through Disney+, Disney+ Hotstar, ESPN+, Hulu, and Star+; sale/licensing of film and television content to third-party television and subscription video-on-demand services; theatrical, home entertainment, and music distribution services; staging and licensing of live entertainment events; and post-production services by Industrial Light & Magic and Skywalker Sound. In addition, the company operates theme parks and resorts, such as Walt Disney World Resort in Florida; Disneyland Resort in California; Disneyland Paris; Hong Kong Disneyland Resort; and Shanghai Disney Resort; Disney Cruise Line, Disney Vacation Club, National Geographic Expeditions, and Adventures by Disney as well as Aulani, a Disney resort and spa in Hawaii; licenses its intellectual property to a third party for the operations of the Tokyo Disney Resort; and provides consumer products, which include licensing of trade names, characters, visual, literary, and other IP for use on merchandise, published materials, and games. Further, it sells branded merchandise through retail, online, and wholesale businesses; and develops and publishes books, comic books, and magazines. The Walt Disney Company was founded in 1923 and is based in Burbank, California.
