DIS: Will continue to trend downAside from a number of negative technical indicators, unless there are major fundamental changes in Disney, customers will continue to become fed-up and frustrated with Disney's stance on how it produces content. While Disney's moat is no doubt large, this only means the breakdown in confidence will only be slower moving, yet assuredly it is weakening.
Should this trend continue, I think it is not out of the question we find support in the mid 40s in the coming year or so .
DIS trade ideas
Long DIS: Strong chance of bounce even if bull trap. The drop in DIS could be over entirely but even if we were more bearish in our view it's entirely valid to see a strong rally to fill a right shoulder pattern.
Any move up here in DIS would be implied to be a very strong one. Buying OTM calls on this with 3 - 6 months on them.
Disney (DIS): Waiting for the Right MoveIt's been a while since we last checked on Disney. We hit our target for Wave A, getting close to $126. Now, we are working on Wave B, which we think will finish between $96 and $89. This range matches the 61.8% to 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels, suggesting a Zig-Zag correction.
Current Situation:
Regarding the future outlook, we are looking at $156 to $176 for the next upward move, matching the 61.8% to 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels for the larger Wave B.
Strategy:
Our plan is to be patient. We are not trading or taking any positions right now. The correction might extend and could bring the price below $77 if Wave (A) isn’t fully done. It’s important to wait for clear signs of stability and the end of the correction before making any moves.
Conclusion:
Patience is very important for Disney right now. We are watching the $96 to $89 range to see if Wave B completes. If this correction phase ends well, we might see a move towards $156 to $176. However, we need to stay cautious and wait for a clear signal before taking any action.
DISNEY ARMAGEDDON *SHORT*Considering the companies lack-luster performance with its streaming service, theme parks, and movies how could one expect any long term gains going into a economic downturn? All of their products rely on expendable income and inflation is only set to get worse. DISNEY WILL BE SUB $50 by next summer along with many others trying to skim peoples pockets of vapor like disposable income. Save your bets for more sound investments. The highs of a couple years ago will never be reclaimed.
Disney: Sitting on EdgeDisney is currently sitting on the upper edge of our magenta Target Zone (coordinates: $101.24 – $88.36). We anticipate a bullish trend reversal out of this Zone, but primarily, we still think wave (2) must dive a little deeper into this price range before the trend reversal can be initiated. However, there is a 35% chance that wave alt.(2) has bottomed out already, which will be confirmed if the resistance at $110.62 is surpassed.
Don't f*** with the mouse they said ($DIS)Could this be an impulse from inception to all time high?
Certainly looks like it could be an impulse finished or close to finishing starting at all time high, which would just be an A-wave in that case.
An alternative would be to have this impulse as the C-wave of a flat only finishing wave 4.
$DIS-Walt Disney could dive further after breaking $111 -UpdateNYSE:DIS -Walt Disney could dive further after breaking $111 -Update
It looks like the DIS broke out of a major support zone located near $111.
During the previous days NYSE:DIS was showing some strength but couldn't manage to rise more
and today we can see the price below the structure zone again.
On the 4-hour chart, we can expect a deeper correction as a swing trade.
If we also consider the daily time frame a major resistance zone was already tested.
This zone dates back to August 2022 thus adding more value to this analysis.
The first support zone will be found near 107.40, where the GAP also begins.
It may be possible for Disney to fill the GAP created earlier in early February 2024 as well.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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DIS The Walt Disney Company Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on DIS:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DIS The Walt Disney Company prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 112usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-5-10,
for a premium of approximately $2.82.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Strategic Entry and Exit Points for Optimal Trading Performance.As of the latest trading session, Walt Disney Company (DIS) is exhibiting significant volatility with a current price of $104.54, marking a notable decline. The recent price action brings into focus several technical indicators and market sentiments that can influence future price movements.
Moving Averages: DIS is currently trading below several key moving averages including the 10-day ($111.77), 20-day ($112.87), and 50-day ($111.99) Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), indicating bearish momentum in the short to mid-term. However, it remains above the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $95.82, which can act as a support level in a broader view.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD is below zero and the signal line, suggesting bearish momentum and possibly more downside in the near term.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is currently at 32.82, nearing the oversold territory, which might signal a potential reversal or stabilization, although caution is advised as further decline is still possible.
Fibonacci Retracement: From the recent highs and lows, the Fibonacci retracement levels indicate immediate resistance near $106.55 (38.2% retracement) and support at $101.24 (61.8% retracement).
Volume and Volatility: Recent trading sessions show increased volume on down days, indicating strong selling pressure. This is corroborated by the significant market range observed, which suggests that volatility is heightened.
Given the current technical setup, I would adopt a cautious approach with a potential speculative target of $127.21 in the long term, acknowledging a 21.69% increase from current levels as forecasted by analyst consensus. However, short-term trades may involve considerable risk due to current market volatility.
Short Position: If considering a short position, one might initiate this near the $106.55 resistance level, setting a tight stop loss around the $108 mark to minimize potential losses from a rebound or unexpected bullish turnaround.
Long Position: A long position could be considered if the price shows significant reversal signals near the $101.24 support level. A stop loss should be placed just below $100 to manage risks, aiming for a conservative target near the $110 range initially.
In conclusion, Walt Disney Company shows a bearish trend in the short term with potential for further declines. Investors and traders should monitor the key levels mentioned for entry and exit points, ensuring that stop losses are appropriately placed to manage risks. As always, it's crucial to consider broader market conditions and news that could impact stock performance. For long-term investors, current levels might provide a buying opportunity, but caution and gradual entry are advised considering the ongoing volatility and downward pressure.
Disney H&S Developing could fill the gap NYSE:DIS Disney is developing a head and shoulder pattern it could fill the gap if support doesn't step in after earnings. Look for 105-100 as a target if volume doesn't buy in expected Gap Down and gap fill below it couldn't break upper resistance at 124 level either