Bad news already in the price: Buy on broker downgrade.Current consolidation range 54-59.
We are at the bottom of this range.
This bottom also corresponds to the long term support line, visible on weekly chart below.
Stock downgraded this morning by Credit Suisse but fails to break the support.
Believe most bad news is in the price.
Short interest on the stock is significant: 23% of float - Makes short squeeze probable on any marginally good news.
Consensus is a BUY with target price at 69.
Looking at a break above the 59 resistance.
Target 66
Stop loss 54
RR 5x
LULU trade ideas
LULU holding pivot at 55, but for how long?Technically Speaking
LULU is holding the pivot area of 55ish, so far, the week is not out yet.
A pretty clear range looks to be forming b/w 55-80 level, assuming the 55 level holds.
Fundamentals
Here is a summary of the company.
What to do?
Bit of a tough one for me. The R/R seems to favor the long side, but I think the bigger level and tougher one to break will be the 36-40 area. Depending on your time frame and style you could scale in and stop out completely under 30-35.
Earnings dip provides long opportunity. Reward/Risk ratio = 2.7xFUNDAMENTALLY: COMPELLING GROWTH AND EARNINGS PROFILE
LULU is a specialized sportswear company with superior growth (revenue CAGR +24%) and profitability (ROE >20%). The stock was recently hammered on earnings which were in line, probably due to a rich valuation. This provides an entry opportunity into the stock.
TECHNICALLY: STILL SOLID AFTER THE DIP, AND OVERSOLD
- Currently trading in the middle of the range ($65.98) of its long-term uptrend channel ($48 - $82).
- Staged a powerful breakout in late March 2016.
- Previous resistance (descending dotted line) has turned support.
- Got hammered after flat earnings and esp. after hitting previous historical high.
- Remains above main supports (see graph).
- Currently looking oversold (RSI<30) and building a base above 200d MA.
- Next levels to watch on the downside are $65.25 (200-MA) and $60.00 (breakout support).
TRADING CONCLUSION
- Go long at the current price with upside targets at $71.50 and $82.00 and stop-loss at $60.
- Compelling Reward/Risk ratio of 2.7/1.
- Expect trade duration of 13 weeks, in line with recent up-channel duration.
$LULU Falling$LULU has been one of the hottest stocks this year....until today. Their mixed guidance for next year is nothing to worry about. If you don't live in a cave you know every girl either wants or wears lulu. I know there are cheaper options, but lets be honest...they are a status symbol. As long as the stock holds $67, i think you pick some up.
www.trendyprofits.com
LULU- taking Put option on earningLULU seems scooping after a huge run & also breaking down from a rising wedge. Money-flow is strongly down in the neg-side. We think its run is over, and it will fall from here with the earning report.
On the trading side we like to take option on earnings here, we are looking for SepW1 75 put $2.07, and Oct 75 put for $3.46
You can check our updated analysis on GALE in the trading room/ Executive summery link here-
www.screencast.com
Time Span: 22:50"
Trade Status: Pending
LULU SCALING UP Possible 123 pattern. Earning announcement in Sep 8th. If your looking for a quick trade best to wait for 4th pattern to develop as an entry point to go long. 2nd options is aggressive and its shorting at the resistances level 3rd pattern, then exiting near (or reaching near) 4th pattern. Anomaly movement is no rally to the 5th pattern point, consolidation (horizontal pattern), or decline. However caution on false break tho, because the trend is your friend. RSI is oversold so possible pop to the 3rd pattern could develop from now (Aug) to Sep. If stock is up nearing earnings release then I expect 4 scenarios. For instance a positive announcement I expect a gap up and maybe an overreaching of pattern 3, followed by a declining developing a 4 pattern. In contrast, if the announcement is bad and LULU is around the price level of patter 3 of the channel I expect a gap down to the forth pattern in the channel. 3rd is if earnings announcement is mixed, which most likely still precluded to be negative either way then expect a decline. lastly, nothing will happen and the only movement is intraday noise - hence the fluctuation between patterns 1 & 2. Longterm trend may remain the same.
BBBBUY!After Reading last week research note in barron’s. I have to disagree with the analyst firm. On the other hand Under Armor $UA And Nike $NKE is under price. Lululemon Athletica $LULU within 11 days the stock has been up 19.25%. I think They forgive Lululemon for the see through pants, I like Nike more because they pay dividends but, Nike was someone. Buy Lululemon Athletica $LULU now