MDB trade ideas
MongoDB Stock Plunges 23.85% On Weak GuidanceMongoDB shares ( NASDAQ:MDB ) fell more than 20% in premarket trading on Friday due to weak guidance from the company. The document-oriented database provider, which makes money by selling add-on features and support for its open-source document-oriented database, guided fiscal second-quarter adjusted earnings of between 46 cents and 49 cents per share, well below analysts' forecasts of 58 cents a share. It projects net sales in the period of $460.0 million to $464.0 million, also below the $470.4 million Street estimate. MongoDB ( NASDAQ:MDB ) now expects full-year adjusted earnings per share of between $2.15 and $2.30, compared with previous guidance of $2.27 to $2.49. The company pegs revenue at between $1.88 billion and $1.90 billion, versus a previous forecast of between $1.90 billion and $1.93 billion.
The weak outlook follows light guidance from other enterprise software companies, such as Salesforce, UiPath, and Workday, as corporate customers spend more cautiously amid an uncertain economic environment. For the first fiscal quarter ending April 30, the company reported adjusted earnings of 51 cents per share on revenue of $450.6 million. Analysts had expected earnings of 40 cents a share on sales of $439.7 million.
MongoDB shares ( NASDAQ:MDB ) have continued to move lower since a bull trap pattern appeared on the chart in mid-February. Recently, the 50-day moving average (MA) crossed below the 200-day MA to form a bearish death cross, with the price breaking down below the lower trendline of a multi-month trading range on Wednesday accompanied by the highest share turnover in a single day since early March.
It Happens All The Time - MDB set to reverse bigThis video is an extension of my recent post MDB - bullish "Mar 22 calls will print"
I sent an update with that idea that I have been adding this morning, but didn't explain why. So in this video I explain why MDB is about to reverse big.
I compare the setup to NVDA back in Nov 2023, hope this makes sense.
My confidence that MDB will be trading in the 400s next week before 3/22 expiration is very high.
Mar 22 calls will printMDB is completing a gnarly corrective wave and is showing signals the local bottom is in. I just entered Mar 22 420 calls for 1.10.
Buy Zone = 360-370
Initial Target = 420 by 3/20
~~If it breaks 420 it will squeeze a lot higher. If you followed me recently I was bearish on MDB and it dropped as expected, now its an opportunity to enter long.
One of my favorite companies to trade.
This Could Be In TroubleNo reason to panic yet, but there might be one if 461 doesn't hold.
This has the same setup that I've seen in any major decline following an upthrust/blow off top. Here are my expectations:
Bearish Scenario
- Gap down to 430-445 Tuesday morning (2/20)
- Dead cat bounce to test 456-462 for resistance (point rejection level = 461.53)
** IF rejected, then it opens the door for an explosive drop to at least 396-418.
Point target = 411 by 2/23/2024
~If the 396-418 range does not hold as support, it could crash to as low as 335 ( downside targets if support breaks = 378, 362, 335 )
* If this occurs it will bottom around 2/28-3/1 and present a buying opportunity.
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Bullish/Neutral scenarios (both less likely than the bearish scenario)
1) 461 holds as support: this would result MDB becoming range bound between 460-486 going into Earnings 3/7
2) 461 doesn't hold but it finds support at 428 (AB==CD), then it would test 461 for resistance. IF that does not hold as resistance then it will attempt a new high above 509 (likely would only make it to 486).
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Summary:
- not expecting crash but its possible
- looking to enter Mar 1 430 puts if we get gap down followed by rejection at or before 461, target 411
- this downside will be healthy for MDB mid-term, needs it to test 600s in the future
MDB MongoDB Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on MDB:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MDB MongoDB prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 450usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-6-21,
for a premium of approximately $41.45.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
MDB - 7 months CUP & HANDLE══════════════════════════════
Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot
trading opportunities based solely on the
development of
CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS
🤝Let’s learn and grow together 🤝
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Hello Traders ✌
After a careful consideration I came to the conclusion that:
- it is crucial to be quick in alerting you with all the opportunities I spot and often I don't post a good pattern because I don't have the opportunity to write down a proper didactical comment;
- since my parameters to identify a Classical Pattern and its scenario are very well defined, many of my comments were and would be redundant;
- the information that I think is important is very simple and can easily be understood just by looking at charts;
For these reasons and hoping to give you a better help, I decided to write comments only when something very specific or interesting shows up, otherwise all the information is shown on the chart.
Thank you all for your support
🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEMBER
"A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist"
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⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠
The content is The Art Of Charting's personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purpose and therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk.
long $MDB into summer 24'We have after several months of equal highs a weekly confirmation in a quarterly uptrend in $MDB. Another great long shot until summer 25, look up for some upside here, just another longterm Idea, I hope it helps you out if youre searching some input! Do your own research and analysis of course,
a year full of profits I wish!
$MDB Ready to Rise?NASDAQ:MDB This one is high on my watchlist. If it can bounce off the upper downtrend line it will look to me to be a successful re-test of the breakout on Monday, Jan 22, 2024. This would coincide with a bounce off the 50 DMA area (red line). This area provides a well-defined risk reward area for me.
One to consider if it fits your trading style. Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
MDB: on the way to next resistance zone at: 550-640MDB price follows an impulsive structure from its Nov22 lows nicely.
Until price holds its Oct's lows, my main interpretation of the price structure suggests move to next macro-resistance zone: 550-640 in 2024.
Suggested price structure needs to be revised if price breaks down bellow 288 and above 640.
MDB Bullish SetupFar and away my favorite bullish setup for tomorrow. We have a really strong recovery from the selloff followed by an extremely high and tight consolidation at overhead supply, above which there is gap fill potential. On the break of 380 I have targets of 382.5 (PT1), 387 (PT2), & 391(PT3 & reach target). Please see the chart for more details!
charting $MDB for a campaign option writingthis is for my personal use.
according to Tipranks,
"Based on 25 Wall Street analysts offering 12 month price targets for MongoDB in the last 3 months. The average price target is $462.81 with a high forecast of $500.00 and a low forecast of $400.00. The average price target represents a 26.62% change from the last price of $365.50."
MongoDB Has Pulled BackMongoDB almost tripled between November 2022 and November 2023. Now some trend followers may see opportunity in its latest pullback.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the falling trendline along the peaks of July and September. The software company broke it about a month ago and is now probing the line from above. Will old resistance become new support?
The trendline is near the mid-October peak and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA). That creates some potential confluence for MDB.
Stochastics have also dipped to an oversold condition.
Next, Friday’s hammer candlestick may reflect buyers are starting to appear.
Finally, MDB is bouncing today on news it will join the Nasdaq-100. That could suggest it’s in a longer-term uptrend -- especially with the 200-day SMA approaching from below.
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