MSFT Pair : MSFT - Microsoft
Description :
Triple Top pattern in Short Time Frame
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " A " Corrective Waves
RSI - Divergence
Break of Structure
Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame
MSFT trade ideas
Market Crash - MSFT Ascending WedgeMSFT has been a strong name,.but it has struggled to get momentum after reaching ATH. It has largely been range bound,.although it is near ATH. I expect it to fall with all of tech from here. It has an ascending wedge heading straight into resistance. I expect it to fail and break the $397 area which is key for further downside.
this price action looks weirdWell on the first you should see that the trendline was broken and we has a short sell off but than we did make a move back up and now we are staying there.
It is a very weird price action at the moment.
Microsoft In Depth Technical Analysis .Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) continues to exhibit robust performance, defying market fluctuations and positioning itself as a standout amidst the turbulent tech sector. The current analysis delves deep into MSFT’s technical indicators, price action, and recent market news to provide a comprehensive view for traders and investors looking for the next significant move.
Microsoft’s recent headlines have been dominated by its continued growth in cloud services and AI integration. The company’s strong quarterly earnings have bolstered investor confidence, with Azure and AI products driving revenue increases. Furthermore, recent strategic partnerships and expansion into AI-powered business solutions are expected to contribute significantly to its growth trajectory.
MSFT’s recent candlestick formations are showcasing potential bullish reversal patterns after a short-term consolidation phase around the $400-$425 range. Notably, the latest candles are forming a possible bullish engulfing pattern, indicating a strong buying interest that could drive the stock higher.
Key Levels:
Support: The primary support levels are observed at $411.96 (Ichimoku Base Line) and $410, which aligns with the Fibonacci retracement level of 0.618, providing a robust floor for the stock.
Resistance: Major resistance is encountered at $435.72 (R1) and $456.30 (R2), according to pivot point analysis. These levels are crucial as they represent potential breakout points for further bullish movement.
Short-term EMA (10 and 20): Indicating a near-term bullish trend as the stock maintains its position above these averages.
Long-term SMA (50 and 100): The stock’s position above the 50-day and 100-day SMAs reaffirms its long-term bullish outlook.
EMA Crossovers: With the 10-day EMA at 421.28 and the 20-day EMA at 419.94, there is a potential bullish crossover that could signal further upward momentum.
RSI: The Relative Strength Index (14) is at 55.85, suggesting a neutral to slightly bullish momentum. It indicates room for the stock to move higher before reaching overbought territory.
Stochastic RSI: Positioned at 40.04, the Stochastic RSI hints at a possible entry point for long positions, as it rebounds from oversold levels.
MACD: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is currently slightly above its signal line, pointing to a potential bullish crossover, which could fuel further buying pressure.
The Ichimoku Cloud analysis indicates that MSFT is trading above the cloud, which is a bullish sign. The future cloud (Kumo) also shows signs of widening, suggesting that the bullish trend is likely to persist.
Utilizing Fibonacci retracement from the recent low to high movement, key levels such as 0.618 at $406.18 act as significant support, reinforcing the potential for a continued uptrend.
The On-Balance Volume (OBV) is trending upwards, indicating that buying pressure is accumulating. This is further supported by the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) at 0.85, suggesting strong institutional buying interest. The Average Directional Index (ADX) is at 16.62, which, while not strong, indicates that the trend is stable and could strengthen if the price action moves convincingly.
Long Position:
Entry: Consider entering long around the $420-$425 range as it represents a consolidation zone with the potential for a breakout.
Target: Aiming for a short-term target of $456.30 (R2) and potentially $482.47, which aligns with the 1-year price target forecast.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss slightly below the Ichimoku Base Line at $410 to protect against downside risk.
Short Position:
Entry: If MSFT fails to break above the $435.72 resistance level and shows signs of reversal, consider shorting below $420.
Target: Aiming for a target down to $411.96 and potentially $400 if bearish momentum strengthens.
Stop Loss: Set a stop loss above $435 to safeguard against unexpected bullish breakouts.
With its strong financial performance and bullish technical indicators, Microsoft presents a compelling opportunity for a long position, particularly if it continues to hover around the $420-$425 range. However, vigilant monitoring of the resistance levels and overall market sentiment is crucial to navigate potential pullbacks effectively. The next few trading sessions will be pivotal in determining whether MSFT can sustain its upward trajectory or face a temporary setback.
Microsoft Unveils New AI-Powered PCs with Qualcomm ChipsIn a strategic move to enhance AI integration and battery efficiency in Windows PCs, Microsoft unveiled a new lineup featuring Qualcomm's advanced AI-optimized processors. This announcement underscores Microsoft's commitment to propelling AI capabilities within its Windows ecosystem while maintaining optimal power usage.
Key Points:
Microsoft's new Surface devices and those from leading manufacturers like Dell, HP, and Lenovo will be equipped with Qualcomm's Snapdragon X Elite and X Plus processors, enabling efficient on-device AI processing for improved performance and privacy.
The integration of Microsoft's Copilot+ AI assistant offers features like audio translation, message response suggestions, and interactive content exploration.
T
his initiative signifies Microsoft's broader strategy to embed AI functionalities akin to ChatGPT across its products, potentially shaping the future of personal computing.
T
Industry analysts anticipate a significant rise in Arm-based Windows PC adoption due to the growing demand for local AI processing and extended battery life.
While Qualcomm's chips generate market excitement, Intel remains a major player with its own AI solutions. Real-world performance data will be crucial in determining the competitive landscape.
Overall, Microsoft's introduction of AI-powered PCs marks a pivotal step towards an AI-driven future for personal computing. The success of these devices will hinge on real-world performance and consumer adoption.
MSFT Short IdeaMSFT is near ATH, but looks fairly bearish to me. Two ascending wedges in a row, I would expect this to break to the downside soon and head back to previous lows. If not, it could be a great long if it is able to make a new ATH and sustain value up there.
$MSFT broken out of a long term channel, but unimpressive so farI try not to trade my personal biases, but I think NASDAQ:MSFT is well positioned for the future. That being said $337 keeps calling my name. I don't know if we ever get a chance to buy them, but I love that level.
That being said if we ever see that level, it will likely have been caused a bigger macro event.
Flat here, but alerts are on.
consolidation faze for Microsoft 🔭MSFT recently broke bullish trend support and entered consolidation faze 👀 now its time to wait and react instead of pulling trigger too early ✅
break below 310.88 and downside to 287-246 is likely 🐻
break past 341.44 and push to resistance zone/new all time highs is likely 🚀
last chart from me today, boost and follow for more! see you soon 😊🤍
Microsoft ventures into space-based data centre with LEOcloudMicrosoft Corp. is embarking on an innovative project to test a miniaturised data centre aboard the International Space Station (ISS). This initiative is part of a collaboration with startup LEOcloud, Sierra Space, Microsoft IT, and Red Hat. The objective is to establish a functioning cloud service infrastructure in space, a goal that Microsoft is already advancing through its existing space-based communications and computing services.
LEOcloud aims to deploy the small data centre to the ISS by the end of 2025 to evaluate its performance in supporting cloud services directly from space. This concept holds immense promise for applications such as Earth remote sensing (ERS), where data can be processed directly on satellites, and would significantly reduce the volume of data transmitted back to Earth, thereby enhancing the speed and efficiency of data delivery to end-users.
Assessing potential trading opportunities, let’s review the technical analysis of Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT):
On the Daily (D1) timeframe, Microsoft’s stock established a resistance level at 430.80 USD and support at 414.25 USD. Currently, a correction in the uptrend is noticeable. If a downtrend develops, the potential downside target could be 340.00 USD.
Conversely, if the uptrend resumes and the stock price breaks through the resistance at 430.80 USD, a short-term buying opportunity might arise with a target of 448.00 USD. If the upward trend continues, the price could ascend to 470.00 USD for a medium-term investment outlook.
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MSFT Shares Surge on Record Yearly VolumesMSFT Shares Surge on Record Yearly Volumes
On Friday, 31 May, almost 48 million Microsoft shares were traded on the NASDAQ – the highest number since the start of 2024. Meanwhile, the MSFT price chart formed a “hammer” candle:
→ trading opened at $416.75 per MSFT share;
→ mid-session, the price dropped below $406;
→ however, by the end of trading, the price had recovered to $415.13.
Fundamentally, it is difficult to pinpoint a single piece of news that served as the bullish driver. According to Barron's, a significant incentive for investing in MSFT shares should be considered the prospect of high dividend payouts.
From the perspective of MSFT chart technical analysis, the price action can be interpreted as evidence of demand absorbing all selling pressure:
→ the share price is within an ascending channel;
→ having dropped to the $406 level, the price pierced the $406.40 support from 8 May – this likely triggered mass activation of buyers' stop-losses and led to a shift in the balance of buyers and sellers;
→ in the pre-market today, the MSFT price is around the median – thus, it can be assumed that the market will consolidate at the beginning of the week. If Friday's bullish momentum continues, the price may encounter resistance around the bearish gap at $424 per MSFT share.
A crucial driver for the price of MSFT and other market leaders in the near future will be the upcoming Fed meeting on interest rates, scheduled for Wednesday, 12 June.
According to TipRanks, the average forecasted price of MSFT shares in 12 months is $491.90 (+18.49% from current levels).
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Microsoft: Bat Pattern Retracement and MoreFundamentals:
Microsoft has had a good three-year growth record, but its group is weak, which can drag the stock. Sales have been accelerating recently and earnings meet my criteria. It has good sponsorship. Earnings stability is very healthy.
Earnings is out in seven days.
Technicals:
Bat Pattern Retracement
2023 diagonal trendline
Clear higher highs and higher lows
Backside of a downward tl potential test
76% fib level confluence with all above
Price is testing the cloud
extreme indicators
exDiv1
Comment: I would wait for a green day, but I am already in at the current price.
Trend Target is 460, 550 and 730 by December 2024 (8 months from now).
MSFT Momentum Swinglong trade breakout setup
leg up
pull back a bit and have tight channel of consolidation
long the breakout from consolidation
Resistane SupportThe price of MSFT stock that is anticipated to be a significant point, both in terms of upward and downward movement, can be analyzed further.
MSFT Bullish Continuation out of a Cup and Handle LONGMSFT on the daily chart shows the price action in the bull run out of the Covid lows then a
cup and handle pattern is printed and finally bullish continuation above the level of the cup.
Since the cup has a height of $145 and the level of the lip of the cup is $345, the pattern
forecasts bullish continuation for $ 145 above the cup's lip at $ 345 and so targeting $ 480.
I will continue to add to my MSFT position while watching for pivot lows on the 120-240 minute
charts. MSFT is a major player in the AI space and could even launch its own semi-conductor
division to compete with NVDA and the others. It has a healthy balance sheet and free flowing
cash from which to grow without dependence on interest rates coming down. The RSI indicator
shows consistent strength without signs of being overbought.
Ressistance And RSI"Microsoft (MSFT) stock: Predicting the current candlestick's price for profit-taking analysis can be done by analyzing the price signals it sends."
$MSFT - Upwards & Onwards. #MAG7: 2024 OUTLOOK NASDAQ:MSFT : Upwards and Onwards. #MAG7
Longer-term time frame perspective. As you can see from the technicals, we have a cup-and-handle ☕, which indicates bullish momentum may continue into next year!
Support: $350
Resistance: $380
With a break above the resistance zone close, I expect the next green zone targets to be hit over time. This case would not be valid if we went below support.
The MAG7 performance this year has been outstanding due to the AI boom. That is set to continue into next year, but remember, Microsoft isn't the only one with a ChatGPT investment... There are many competitions, such as with GOOG and Gemini.
Something to keep in mind is the legal aspect of AI and how that will affect companies going forward. It's a wonderful development, but the legal aspect is equally important
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MSFT: Rising Wedge ( Short Term)/ Date: 26.05.24Key Points: NASDAQ:MSFT
1. A raising wedge pattern is used to identify possible trend reversals.
2. It is considered a bearish pattern.
3. It signals that the buying momentum is slowing down.
Support/ Resistance:
4. Around 430 - may act as a resistance.
5. Around 416 - may act as a support
Notice :
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Skills: Chart analysis, Trend identification, Price pattern recognition, important support and resistance levels identification,
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Experience: 5 years.
The trend is your friend
A commentary using NASDAQ:MSFT chart
A multi-timeframe momentum indicator of MSFT is shown. As the arcs demonstrate, each time the + and - angles diverge, a strong trend ensues, and lasts until the angles begin to converge. This method highlights the value of segregating price action into its sub components.
This momentum oscillator is created by aggregating the harmonic mean of multiple timeframes ranging from 1 day to 3 weeks. Smoothing is then applied to ensure the indicator gives clear smooth signals whilst minimizing lag.
"Flat" signals are ignored. As a rule, angle must be at least +/- 35 degress in the direction of the trade for an entry to be considered. Volume and cycle analysis (not shown) acts as secondary filters .
Based on experimentation and given the nuances of pinescript, overlaying the results on a 2 day chart gives the best visual representation.
What do you think about MSFTHello everyone
The biggest monster in the Nasdaq is tiered or it was just a correction and then it continues to its rally.
No one knows but it not important because Elliotticians can surf on the waves and we give enough time to MSFT to disclose this secret for us.
We Elliotticians have a key factor and it is the difference between Impulses and Correction. What is readily clear for now is that Microsoft investors are not yet interested to make a bearish impulse trend and this can be a clue that we are not in the end of a Bullish trend but as I said no one can know till the chart shows us the reality.
I recommend not to enter any position and just take time and count it to find it that we are in a bearish main correction or it will continue.
Thanks
$MSFT earnings? Could we see another drop to $370?NASDAQ:META had a negative reaction to earnings yesterday. I was originally thinking that MSFT's earning reaction would be positive but as I look at the chart and options flows, I'm starting to think we're going to see a negative reaction.
I think most likely outcome is that we drop from here to around the $370 level, if that level can hold there's potential for one more rally into May to the $454 level. Otherwise if it can't, we risk seeing more downside to the lower levels.
Let's see what happens after the market closes.
MSFT unstopableMSFT is still on tred, could break that white trend line for a healthy pull back.
Now wave 3 could have ended, but maybe could extend to fib extension 200%-261.8%. If not, then wave 5 will be an extension. if this is the case we have to wait the end of wave 4 to estimate the final target. However, I am keeping a target of 480.
MSFT, morning updateMy count has MSFT in wave 5 of (3) of ((5)). I'm looking for price to move towards, but not go above, 510.47. Once wave 5 is complete (which could be at any point now that MSFT has higher high on the monthly), I expect price to pull back towards 380 region for wave (4) of ((5)).
