#MSFT $20 Higher From Support, What Next?In this update we review the recent price action in Microsoft and identify the next high probability trading opportunities and price objectives to target
PAST PERFORMANCE NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
MSFT trade ideas
MSFT, Flag Confirmed As Mentioned, Next Steps At The Horizon!Hello Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this update-analysis where we are looking at recent events, the current price-structure-formation, and what we can expect from MSFT currently the second-largest stock from the market capitalization aspect. As I mentioned in previous analysis MSFT was forming a possible bull-flag which then confirmed rightfully to the upside and reached its first bull-flag-target I pointed out it will reach when confirmed if you did not saw this analysis already I highly recommend that you watch it when going to my account. Overall there are some interesting signals and signs I detected in the chart which are important to look at and can determine the further outcome of MSFT sustainable therefore we are looking at the 4-hour chart. As the corona cases increasing again this can indicate new supply and bearishness entering the market therefore a smaller when not bigger pull-back also in MSFT is not far from sight as the major market begins to struggle we have to examine if important support levels keep holding or bigger bearish pullbacks awaiting in destiny.
Initial Analysis According The Subject with MSFT (4-Hour Timeframe):
As you can eliminate when looking at my chart now is that the stock is trading clearly above the previously established all-time-high-condition and formed some new higher highs in the structure which are building a rising resistance line that you can see marked in blue within my chart. This resistance line serves as strong resistance as the stock already bounced to the downside several times there which is marked in my chart, therefore, this third touch of the line will highly likely provide a pull-back which will end in the minimum a correction when not a bigger pull-back and bearishness. The next important support when this more possible scenario plays out is the previously established support/resistance level at 198 which you can see marked with the black line in my chart that level was also the first bull-flag target which reached now.
When the stock plays out the scenario properly and visits the suspected support level it is from high importance for the further development of bullishness that it confirms this level as support and forms a solid and substantial support base there, otherwise when this does not happen and the stock shows more bearish pressure the further uptrend is in danger, this can confirm together with the possible incoming bearish pressure we have in the main market showing in the major indices like the S&P or the RUSSELL. Therefore we should keep in mind that a clear break of 182.5 will invalidate and inactivate the further bull-flag scenario which can cause more bearish signs and alteration of the dynamic otherwise when the stock holds the level and manages to move higher we can expect it to reach the further bull-flag targets which are far above.
In comparison with the main market, we have this stock as a clear winner from the corona-crisis where we have others which are clearly bearish and showing up bearish formations which are likely to confirm bearish to the downside. As this stock reached all-time-highs, where many stocks are away from it, is stronger than the market but we should remember that this can change especially when corona fears increase again and new bearish fears entering the market which can drag the price down similarly to the scenarios we have seen in March this year where everything fell to the downside, therefore we should be prepared and keep the downside also in mind to not get surprised when it will develop to wage opportunities and possibilities and take the appropriate action in each individual case, this means we need to trade what we see and not what we think as this and mere speculation happens too often these days. After the expect correction provided we will see how it is going further with this stock and if it can hold its established bullish growth or fall back below important support lines.
In this manner, thank you for watching, support for more market insight, have a great day and all the best to you!
Good luck is when opportunity meets preparation, while bad luck is when lack of preparation meets reality.
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
Microsoft (MSFT) -> Retesting The All Time HighMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️
I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Microsoft.
Looking at the higher timeframe you can see that Microsoft stock is once again retesting the previous all time high at the $340 resistance level.
Furthermore Microsoft is also creating an ascending triangle formation so I would love to see another bearish rejection and then the longer term bullish breakout.
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I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy.
Keep the long term vision🫡
MSFT, Breakout Of The Flag, Targets Ahead After Confirmation!Hello, Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this update-analysis of the MSFT stock where we are looking at the recent events, the current price-structure and what we can expect the next times. As I already mentioned in past analysis MSFT was trading in a possible bull-flag formation which confirmed recently bullish to the upside, if you did not watch this analysis already I highly recommend it to you when going to my account and look at it to have a full-depth-overview. At the moment MSFT is trading at a preeminent level which is the all-time-high and MSFT provided other important technical signals which I detected therefore we are looking at the 4-hour local timeframe.
Initial Analysis According The Subject (4-Hour Timeframe):
As we can examine now when looking at my chart is that MSFT confirmed the bull-flag with solid bullish volatility to the upside where it is trading near the all-time-high which is currently still a decent resistance where we can get a pull-back to confirm the bull-flag a second time, this will be realized when we confirm the level at 190 as resistance and visit the upper boundary of the bull-flag to test it for a confirmation when this happens we need to hold the upper boundary and do not fall back into the channel again because this can possibly invalidate the bull-flag. Therefore it is important to hold the upper boundary and the EMA structure because when we close below these levels we will see increasing of bearish pressure within a high probable spectrum.
At the moment it is possible at hand that MSFT just runs away to make a new high but that will be an unhealthy movement which can turn out to be a bull-trap and confirm to the downside again, the best way will be that MSFT confirms the bull-flag properly a second time, when this happens it can be traded either with an aggressive entry immediately at the higher boundary or with a conservative entry when MSFT visits the highs again which will provide a breakout entry scenario. In both cases, it is wise to wait on the proper confirmation as there is still a possibility given that MSFT falls back into the channel and confirms bearish which is not high at the moment but it should be kept in mind to succeed in this situation with the proper risk-preference.
When we exemplify the fundamental side of things we can explore that MSFT is a decent winner in the current corona-crisis because we had a massive digitalization boom during the lockdowns which is still holding on because more and more people rely on digital economic and ecologic tools increasingly within this crisis. This digitalization boom can increase the next times or decrease as the real economy gets more important, to have a healthy market environment not only within MSFT but also within the rest market we need similar growth in the real economy and stock-market to confirm also fundamentally bullish, without that given we have a speculative rally which is an unhealthy market environment that can turn fastly to the downside, in this case, MSFT will be anticyclical to the rest of the market when it manages increasing growth in the fundamental and technical aspect otherwise it can add to the overall bearish shape we will get in the main rest of the market.
In this manner, thanks for watching, support for more market insight and all the best!
There is a kind of conformity to come in modern markets which is almost a paradise.
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
MSFT, Trading Near A-T-H, Important Determination Incoming Next!Hello Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this analysis about the past events happening with MSFT, the current formation/price-action and what we can expect in the next days and hours, as mentioned in previous analysis about the stock-market there are gainers and losers in the current worldwide corona-crisis-pandemic, winners can be found in companies in the health, armory or food industry, with MSFT the demand remains neutral as there is not an abnormal increasingly high demand like in the other important industry-leading a major role in this crisis but there are other factors in the technical side of things which making MSFT interesting at the moment and which can profide profitful when prepared rightly and traded accordingly, therefore we are looking at the 4-hour timeframe.
As you can see in my chart MSFT just broke down a major rising support line which was an important factor in the recent relevant but small and weak uptrend trading to the all-time-high level MSFT established at the 190 level. AS this is such a exceptionally important signal from highest importance it shouldnt be ignroed when cosndiering the bearish view. What is also playing into the bearish scenario is that we pierced the EMA strucutre you can see in my chart to the downside, at the moment the price recovered to the upside but as this happened suddenly it gives the EMAs a bearish shape, when we cross the EMAs fully to the downside as happened in the past with MSFT this will give an fundamental signal for increasing bearish pressure to expect in MSFT price-action.
But at the moment the MSFT holding above important support zones and it seems like it can sustain here further, as you can see in my chart MSFT is trading in an big parallel channel which can become a bull-flag when it confirms to the upside, but this needs to be shown with good volatiltiy and a clear break of the upper boundary ot the channel. When this does not happen and the price of MSFT weakens and shows bearish pressure signs it can still fail and confirm into the bear zone you can see in my chart. The good thing is that both scenarios can be traded appropriately, the bullish scenario with a clear break and confirmation of the upper boundary and the bearish scenario with a break/confirmation below the EMA structure and secondly a break of the lower boundary of the channel.
It will be highly interesting how the possible scenarios MSFT has currently on hand play out and if we can see a new all-time-high the next time or a smaller to bigger correction before that happens. Overall it has to be mentioned that when the corona-restricitons increase again and rumors become bigger and bigger that can also affect the stock-market with increasing fear selling pressure, similar to the high downside moves we have seen this year during beginnings of the lockdowns and restriciton. Therefore the bearish scenario should not be kept aside, this means to be primed for possible increasing pressures within the markets and take advantage of the opportunities arising from voaltitly arising, especially MSFT is providing a good setup here to trade after confirmation.
In this manner, thanks for watching, support for more market insight and all the best!
Trading effectively is about assessing probabilities, not certainties.
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
MICROSOFT - Tech giant on the rise! Hello, interesting things going on with MICROSOFT the TECH GIANT. In my chart you see MICROSOFT trading above the EMAs 20-55. It is also in an uptrend channel which may brake out in future with some more bullish movement. MICROSOFT already touched three times the upper line of the uptrend channel , it is highly possible that MICROSOFT forms a break-out at the fourth time.
You can see in my chart the possible next move for MICROSOFT with price projection with target at 165 - 168.
This is educational infomration and should not be used to take action in markets!
Thanks for watching!
MSFT x BITCOIN Microsoft stock is in 13 years bull run.
As human beings we all know that you can't run your whole life. There will be time when you can't run no more and you fell.
The same I'm expecting with microsoft stock.
But my question is:
-will we see the same kind of price movement like we saw on bitcoin last bull run?
I think that this is possible. Why?
Because when investors will see that stock's price again gaining a momentum to the new ATH they will start feeling FOMO "I don't want to miss new ATH and high gains" . The same happened on bitcoin back in 2021. We all thought that we will see 100.000$ when we broke previous high but after taking out previous high we are dumping since then and a lot of buyers has been trapped in this fakeout above previous high.
Be careful. As I said, we are in 13 years constant bull run. Stop expecting high returns from these prices where we are now because times are uncertaint.
MSFT long idea-As long as price price stays above $325.25, Target will be $333.81, $338.50, $342.50.
-Below $324, Targets will be $318 & $313
-Please note close above specified price sets next target.
-As of today the price favors longs.
Msft 340+
Fib levels here
Price action supports a move to 340 also. The thing is, you see the white channel? It's a tight range which means it's crappy for weekly contract swings. Why is it crappy? Because let's say you buy calls tomorrow and it closes at the top of Resistance of that white channel and you don't cover, chances are it opens red the next day for a higher low.
XLK (Tech ,sector) which msft and aapl leads h is also on support showing it has room for another push higher.
Stop loss , below 330
MSFT Making A Hard Push
IMO, MSFT is making another push to break through resistance. If we can get a close above $337.40, it could potentially be off to the races. Let's see how this plays out over the next few weeks
MSFT PREMIUM ANALYSISMSFT has dropped pasrt few days . Now it is at a very critical point. 333 isa AVWAp point from 360. means every seller will be in loss if it goes up from here. also 50MA cross will trigger also. so friends keep an eye.
MicrosoftWhere to start. First off. When we look at Microsofts weekly chart we can see a possible double top, this is not confirmed yet but something to keep in mind. Second off The obvious recent PA Has been Trending up well making an ascending channel confluencing our double top.
Interesting times coming ahead.
MSFT, Breakout Of Flag-Formation, Possible Continuation Ahead! ________________________________________________________________________________________________
Hi Traders, this is a signal I give to you for free today. Support will be great with a like and follow when useful.
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It has recently broken out of the bull-flag formation, therefore the price has some potential to move higher.
The minimum target is 225 but has more room.
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ENTRY: 210-215
MINIMUM TARGET: 225
STOP LOSS: 197
MINIMUM RISK REWARD: 1
REASON: Bull-Flag Breakout
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In this manner, thank you for watching and support for more market insight.
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
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MSFT close negative for 5 weeksMSFT close negative for 5 weeks
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of Microsoft stock for the past year. The graph overlays the bottom to top golden section of October 2022. As shown in the figure, the highest point of Microsoft's stock just hit the 3.000 level of the golden section at the bottom, while the recent low point hit the 2.000 level! Due to Microsoft's stock closing negative for 5 consecutive weeks since its recent peak, it has only rebounded in the past two weeks, not reversed! In the future, Microsoft's stock market is likely to continue to weaken. Let's explore the strong support below, with the bottom of the chart facing the 1.618 gold split!
Possible but not very likely ......scenario for MSFTA follower asked me if ??? could be the next place for MSFT. That intrigues me to relook at the chart and my conclusions is as follows -
1. That fall, if it happens will be similar to 15 Nov 21 where it falls almost 40% from its peak to end the bottom on 7 Nov 22.
2. I draw 2 support level to show where it is likely to fall back on and ONLY when support level 2 is breached, will I consider the likelihood of it going to ??? level
3. The bullish trend is still strong and intact. For the price level to come down to ???, it has to first breach the 260 price level (after support level 2).
Fundamentally, the company is growing from strength to strength and its financial figures remain strong.
Therefore, I will not be overly pessimistic and draw premature conclusions about where the price level will falls to. There are so many options and tools that one can use to anticipate the moves of the stock charts and only on hindsight can one say he is right or wrong. That is why trading is a higher risk game that short term traders are betting against the price level.
From a longer time frame, I will be happy to accumulate more shares if it falls to support level 1 as I believe it will continue to rally higher. However, this pullback may take a while for it to go sideway before the move up, imo. So, I will watch the chart over the next few months and not in a hurry to get in.
I hope my two cents of analysis offers a different perspective to some of you and show you the importance of investing for the long term instead of day to day performance where the ups and downs , the bearish pin bar or engulfing candles become your target.
MSFT Daily MSFT: 6.49% of SPX
below Ichy cloud on daily (not shown)
below sharply declining 50 day EMA
Declining accum/distr trend (under distribution)
declining RSI(9) on daily.
attempted a bottom above the 50% fib on daily
currently at the top edge of a pennant flag channel, after a failed breakout attempt from the channel.
a key question to ask: is this pennant flag a bull flag or the beginnings of a trend reversal?
My take: although the 12 week RSI is positive at 54, there is a lot of overhead at the 335 area. I personally would not touch this long until the flag breakout occurs and the momentum and accumulation metrics change for the positive.
MSFT STOCK STRUCTURE overviewmsft breakout of its structure after 50 percent of the retracement you guys can go for selling opportunity with proper confirmation
[S-005] MicrosoftTrading idea number S-005 | Microsoft stock could fall toward support in the 300 USD area.
The setup is negative: The RSI is below its neutrality area at 50. MACD is negative and below its signal line. In addition, the stock is trading below the 20-day and 50-day moving averages within a short downtrend, where just during yesterday's session it tested the resistance line.
On a weekly basis we can observe prices below the 20-period moving average (within the bollinger bands). The RSI and MACD show a reversal of the trend after an overbought phase.
📉 Short Entry at 321.88 USD
💰 Take Profit at 300 USD
💸 Stop Loss at 330.50 USD
MSFT: Continuation of the uptrend.As you see on the chart we have a continuation of the uptrend. Thanks..!
MSFT Microsoft found support and bouncedMSFT Microsoft stock found support around $312, trading over 10sma and touching the 50sma, and RSI almost at the trigger level.
A little disappointed that volume did not pickup today (just slightly below it's 20 day average).
Stock is up 5% in aftermarket trading due to NVDA forecast.
MSFT: Buy ideaBuy idea on MSFT as you see on the chart after the breakout with force the vwap indicator by a big green candle with a large green volume.Thanks.
MSFT AnalysisPrice filled the fair value gap at 318.25 nicely and grabbed the lows at 312.61, giving us a nice bullish retracement. No break of structure to the upside yet. I want to see a solid break above 325.09 and a confirmation on the lower timeframe in order to go long. If not, I'm expecting price to continue lower to fill the fair value gap at 292.73.
