NFLX trade ideas
Netflix 100% jump Hey friends, Netflix reported positive earnings again for the first time in Q3 2022. What a coincidence, though, that the stock has been trending upward again for 162 days. The Netflix stock has gained almost 80% in value and the recently published quarterly figures seem to indicate that we have finally seen the bottom of the streaming giant.
Netflix has now completed its first five-part run with a high at around $288, but which can still easily extend to $300. After that, I expect a wave 2 sell-off to the 0.786 retracement at $190.23.
If the share rises sustainably in a wave 3, a price jump of at least 100% is possible! The wave 3 reaches at least the 1.618 extension at 394.14$ (107.41%)
So the next time at NFLX will be exciting!
NFLX to reach 180 by the end of SeptemberNetflix (NFLX) has been forming an ascending broadening triangle since May and fully established a support level between 162.71 and 169.70 from the middle of May to the middle of July. Then the price reached a resistance level of about 250 in the middle of August.
In my opinion, NFLX is nearing the end of a 2+ week consolidation period and has formed a bearish head & shoulders pattern. In addition, the new descending trend line and 3 bearish key reversals suggest that the price will move lower approaching the support level of 174 by September 30, give or take a few days.
See my recent analysis of GOOGL to see how I marked support and resistance levels and observed key reversals to make a very accurate prediction (or maybe I was lucky).
Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor, and the above statements are not investment advice. My comments are only intended for educational purposes. You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions.
NFLX and WTZ2 with VP.NFLX is forming WTZ2, my favorite trade setup, with closer SL. and high expected TP. I also apply Volume Profile for an enhancing measurement tool as the same level of Fibo P. The present candlestick can confirm entry signal for my trading. However, calculating risks is still recommended. Good Luck for trading!
Earnings watch 10/18Earnings watch 10/18
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Do your own due diligence, your risk is 100% your responsibility. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. You win some or you learn some. Consider being charitable with some of your profit to help humankind. Good luck and happy trading friends...
*3x lucky 7s of trading*
7pt Trading compass:
Price action, entry/exit
Volume average/direction
Trend, patterns, momentum
Newsworthy current events
Revenue
Earnings
Balance sheet
7 Common mistakes:
+5% portfolio trades, capital risk management
Beware of analyst's motives
Emotions & Opinions
FOMO : bad timing, the market is ruthless, be shrewd
Lack of planning & discipline
Forgetting restraint
Obdurate repetitive errors, no adaptation
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Trading View app!, Brokerage UI
Accurate indicators & settings
Wide screen monitor/s
Trading log (pencil & graph paper)
Big, organized desk
Reading books, playing chess
Sorted watch-list
Checkout my indicators:
Fibonacci VIP - volume
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pi RSI - trend momentum
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NFLX triple topping todaySo NFLX is hitting a triple top on the 2 hour chart, not a good look.
^Definitely seems like a triple top^
$NFLX with a Bullish outlook following its earnings #Stocks The PEAD projected a Bullish outlook for $NFLX after a Positive Under reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift A with an expected accuracy of 100%.
NFLX closing the Gap Just not the one at 330.. Unless you truly believe this bear market is over!
Wait for a rejection And bearish candlestick pattern.. Should come sometime next week when tech earnings is over
NFLX double toppingNFLX is looking for a pullback after the big jump post earnings.
In my opinion it seems like NFLX is overbought and forming a fairly big double top.
Netflix Ready To Recover FurtherFrom 2007 to 2022, Netflix’s subscriber base grew from 7 million to 221 million, nearly 3,000%. Netflix is known as one of the pioneers of mass streaming of audiovisual content. Founded in 1997, Netflix began as a mail-order DVD rental company. One of the co-founders, Reed Hastings, told Fortune magazine that he got the idea for Netflix after being overdue a $40 charge for a VHS he had rented.
By 2007, Netflix had grown from a relatively modest DVD rental company to a groundbreaking subscription-based streaming service. While there were few other streaming platforms at the time, Netflix had a significant first-mover advantage, operating on a subscription model and acquiring a wide range of distribution rights from different studios. This allowed the company to grow quickly and establish itself as an industry leader.
The service has become so powerful that the word “Netflix” is now synonymous with watching a movie or TV show. But while it’s one of the most recognized streaming platforms in the world, has it managed to maintain its dominant position in the industry now that more competitors have entered the fray?
In April 2022, Netflix shared its first quarter results that showed a loss of 200,000 subscribers. Although just a fraction of its 200+ million subscribers, it was Netflix’s first subscriber drop in more than 10 years. This sent the company’s share price below $200, the lowest since 2017. As of October 10, 2022, its share price is still at $230, over 30% below the pre-announcement.
But change for the company is on the horizon. Netflix announced plans to launch a cheaper ad-supported service in November — something other streaming platforms like Peacock and Paramount+ have already been offering customers for a few years.
As the chart shows, Netflix after a huge upward movement to 700.99 dollars with a top of a five wave sequence that was reversed by a sharp five-wave drop, so we see that as wave (A); still only one leg of a higher degree weakness. Now the stock will reach higher prices since it is within a (B) wave of a zig-zag pattern as of an (A) – (B) – (C). So, we can see lower lows in the long-term, ut before that we may see rally into 360-400 area.
NFLX AnalysisPrice did not play according to my previous analysis. Price has filled the gap and is very overextended right now. I'm expecting price to do a bearish retracement into the bullish POI at 230.44 before continuing higher.
NFLXGot back in puts today. Find it hard for this to rally too much in a still rising rate environment. Rejecting VWAP from ATH as well (h/t Brian Shannon). Looking for the gap to fill at minimum (~$250ish).
