NOK 4x move from origianl entryOur original analysis stated in part:
"Taken by itself, the technical pattern on the chart is a classic bottom with a follow through support at the first real pullback. Many unexpected huge moves have resulted from this pattern over the years. A factor in NOK's favor on the long side is the price action at the LT Swing Long entry range. It has been very aggressively bought immediately upon reaching the entry range and the Intraday Long has been bought at both tests of the entry range.
Keep in mind that although this published chart is on a 60 min time-frame, the levels shown are Weekly Chart levels and must be traded as such. Being such a low-priced stock is a factor in NOk favor for scalpers and Day traders, and we can be certain that there will be buyers at most long setups from this time forward until the LT Swing Long is definitively broken or reaches its' targets, which are not shown at this time."
Buyers have indeed entered at every pullback, the LT Swing Long has held, and there has been a huge move of 4x the original entry price.
With such a low-priced stock, it is not uncommon to see a larger move before any meaningful pullback occurs. There is a short being sold but not shown on chart.
NOK/N trade ideas
Nokia is moving up. Using Gann Fans to illustrate the increase in bullish movement in this equity. The chart is composed of four fans. The fans labeled A are identical twins. The fans labeled B are also twins. Looking at these fans it is clear NOK is moving up at a much faster rate as it looks to clear the red angle of fan A. Volume also increasing.
Nokia CloneUsing nmike's techniques, I picked three points for my circle and enclosed it in a rectangle. Then , cloned this rectangle to form a larger rectangle consisting of 10 smaller ones. Next I drew trend lines (yellow x) connecting the corners of the larger rectangle. {Note: this is where I deviated from nmike's instruction) The trend lines forming the yellow x and a horizontal trend line drawn at the center of the large rectangle are references for all cloned lines forming the grid. Placement of trend lines began at corners of smaller rectangles and later intersections of trend lines. I have been experimenting with different versions of nmike's cloning method and this appears to be one of the better ones. Currently price is traveling in a channel it has been in since May but now is nearing a junction.
The Age Old Greed and Fear...Greed is a powerful emotion, but fear the strongest and this chart shows that indeed trust comes slower than distrust.
The first and second period have about the same win/loss rate of 1,63%. The resulted in the first period for a gain of a whopping 3,121% in only 215 bars. However, the second period whipped 83% of that gain away and did that in just 107 bars, just shy of half of the 215 bars in the first period.
The third period of recovering resulted in a gain of 349% in 271 bars, however the fourth period destroyed 95% of that gain in 240 bars. That's 31 bars less than the third period, however the rate of loss was 1.24% opposed to the rate of winning of only 0.56%
NOK Still BullishNOK's recent upswing raises the obvious question - can we expect further upward movement. I believe the answer is yes.
Last weeks regression should have questioned the continuance of wave three, however the strong upward movements and the completion of the ABC regression seems to have instead signaled the end of wave V's and should allow us to continue upwards. Additionally, the MACD the bolliginer bands and the money flow index also look bullish. When a day closes entirely outside of the bolligner bands this can be a bullish signal and when the MACD's fast moving line aggressively crosses the slow moving line this can also create a bullish signal.
I did initially have one concern regarding volume, though after comparing it to the last few months up volume's I am not worried because yesterdays volume was very comparable to many other trend sustaining up days. Finally it was just disclosed that Goldman and Morgan Stanley significantly ( seekingalpha.com ).
-Databased
If you disagree or see something I missed please let me know
NOK breaks out major channel, next wk price actions criticalLong: Major channel (green) breakout on daily and weekly chart. However, price now touches ceiling of new faster channel (yellow). will likely to test major channel top again at 4.58 -4.60 next week. If holds, then buy. Moving averages in perfect alignment an indication of strong long-term trend.
Short: Watch price actions closely next week to verify whether the current breakout is false or not. Reason for shorts: the latest strong quarterly result was due to low expectations, small base for Lumia phones therefore higher growth + Xmas seasonality.