NVDA trade ideas
Believe or not NVDA- 2025NVDA- Is simply pulling back where it all began. The ones telling you to HODL will fold. This is a significant retracement. Follow for me tips and drawings. But for now Bye-Bye NVDA- This pattern will play out and if you decide to say something negative in response it's totally fine. We all have our opinions. Me I have my bank account and others riding on my drawings and intellect.
Me and NVDA are having real relationship issues... I'm bearish.Video says it all. I've wanted to short this countless times but I think i'll finally follow through in the coming days if I get the right opportunity.
I guess this just speaks to a larger market-wide short bias? Idk you tell me.
Happy Trading :)
There's actually the possibility of some good news!Bravo, as our anticipated price correction played out to the downside! However, this could be a great opportunity to enter long, as the economy appears to be slowing further, Powell is very likely going to make a Rate-cut, which is positive for risk assets!
NVDA , green line top and monthly short signal .This is my favorite short right now . If the market breaks down below November lows ( especially a monthly close ) , I will 100% short NVDA . When winners like NVDA break down with the support of a falling market . They can fall far .
As of close of last months candle we now have a green line top too . So no longs for me unless we make it above that upper green. We also have a monthly sell signal from close of Jan and a weak rally attempt for month of Feb . This looks very vulnerable if market does cross into bear territory.
We also have an eps report news failure , I find that these are often a good sign to get out ....
The price and reaction is all that matters when we see this , not the actual earnings themselves . It has all the pre-requisites of a 10/10 short in the works .
NVDA is getting prepared for further correction. NASDAQ:NVDA Read this chart together with the QQQ chart I just published. Both the index and individual stocks are preparing for further correction, very likely a free fall. This updated analysis also proved my previous analysis on NVDA a few days ago. NVDA is likely pull back to 128, drop to 118, retest 200 EMA, then further down to 108. 108 will be a good temporary support. Eventually, it might find its final support at around 98. This is just my analysis based on the chart. Watch its moves closely and adapt to any changes.
Bull & Bear case of NVDA Bull Case Scenario
The ascending trend‐line near $116.50–$118 has held so far.If price remains above this line and closes above 135 bullish case is confirmed.
A successful close above the next overhead zone ($153) could open the door toward the upper trend‐line near $165.
Stochastics are near oversold (low 30s), suggesting a possible short‐term bounce.
If RSI crosses back above 50, it indicates momentum shifting in favor of the bulls.
A PMO turn from negative to positive would reinforce the case for a continued uptrend.
Bear Case Scenario
Price is under the short‐term MAs and RSI < 50, reflecting bearish/neutral momentum.
A decisive break below $116.50–$118 invalidates the longer‐term uptrend structure and likely confirms a bearish reversal pattern.
Below $116, the next major volume nodes sit around $96–$90. Losing the lower trend‐line would likely see price gravitate to these zones.
PMO is negative (~-0.40), suggesting downward momentum.
RSI below 50 and Stochastics in a lower band often align with a continuation of weakness if support fails.
Bearish Confirmation: A daily close below $116 on rising volume and continued negative PMO/RSI readings would signal a deeper move to $96 or even $86.
3. Which Side Is NVDA Currently Inclined Toward?
Neutral‐to‐Bearish Tilt
Price sits below the short‐term MA ribbon ($128–$132).
RSI < 50 and PMO is negative, indicating momentum is leaning bearish.
The only saving grace for bulls is the ascending trend‐line near $116.50 and a somewhat oversold Stochastics, which could spark a short‐term bounce.
In other words, until NVDA can reclaim and hold above $130–$132, sellers have the advantage. If the $116.50 trend‐line cracks, the chart strongly favors a bearish breakdown. Conversely, if it holds and price regains $130+ with improving momentum, the bull case is back on the table.
Bottom Line
Short‐term: Slightly bearish bias unless price reclaims the MA ribbon ($130–$132).
Key Inflection: $116.50–$118 (trend‐line support).
Upside Potential: $153 → $165 if bulls regain control.
Downside Targets: $96 → $89 if the lower trend‐line fails.
Nvidia is a CLEAR sell on the monthly time frameNASDAQ:NVDA the company imo is one of the best to own and if your plan is to hold it for the next approx 25+ years none of what Im about to say applies to you and you should keep it moving. For the rest of us looking for short term profits this stock is done. The RSI and MAc d and volume indicators are all turning from near all time highs and the masses are cvalling ofr another chip Super Stonk Rally. LOL. Get your money fast cuz this ship is going down a la Cisco in 01.
1,2,3.. 4?The price bounces for the fourth time on the support indicated by the blue trendline.
The chart is open to different interpretations because at the top we have a possible double top with the blue line, but at the bottom, we have strong support that continues to hold.
Personally, I have seen this tech selloff as an opportunity to accumulate. I think the panic created was meant to make small investors sell, increasing the shares available on the market in anticipation of the next bullish cycle.
For greater security, wait for confirmation from the breakout of the red trendline, indicating the start of the upward trend.
Of course, a break of the blue support means the start of a strong decline.
Chart Pattern Analysis Of NVDA
K0 is a fake down,
And then, K1 is a fake up.
It is very difficult to take profit at this case.
If the following candles break up the downtrend line or stand upon 0.5fib line,
Another bull run may start here.
If the following candles test the neck line to verify the bear trend or even close below the potential support,
Another bear run may start here.
NVDA to 151? Morning Trading Fam
Currently this is what I am seeing with NVDA, looks like we have decent support around 118 if that level holds I can see us driving up to 144 then 151 from here. However if we break through the 118 support: we could possibly see a massive breakdown down to 87-88 dollar range.
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
Cleanly bouncing off of weekly trend support, ideal for longsHere we see NASDAQ:NVDA weekly chart approached its weekly trend support after reporting earnings. Buying pressure couldn’t keep this below $120 for long. Dips like these are appealing for market-leading growth stocks, especially when the trend is respected. It provides opportunities to accumulate shares towards weekly trend support with intention of selling them towards resistance at the all time highs or beyond (or wherever your PTs may land). Either way, look at how nicely the weekly trend is respected here. 📈
BUY opportunity on NVDA (D1) daily chart using PVSRAUsing PVSRA, I have noticed that price is just touching the 233 EMA for possibly another push-up that will come soon in the next few days.
Be Cautious on NVDABe very careful on NVDA...
Double top already confirmed with neckline of "M" broken.
Mid term trends all confirmed down
2/28/25 - $nvda and tape in the month ahead (LONG READ)2/28/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:NVDA
NASDAQ:NVDA and tape in the month ahead (LONG READ)
- wild day y'day
- but let's set our feet and think ahead
- first on nvda, and i'm choosing to post my portfolio/ allocation on this name bc it's an important one for mkt sentiment, risk, geopol etc.
NASDAQ:NVDA
5% LEAPS (2x leverage)
- majority of world still thinks AI is a meme and on this topic, it's not. your job is now a meme. these chips have such a moat and demand that incremental margin doesn't matter. you're getting 0.5x PEG and 3.5% fcf yield. we're at the value region, anything lower (toward $100) and i'm considering that despair/capitulation and i'll take the LEAPS to 10%.
NYSE:TSM
5% LEAPS (2x leverage)
- geopol punching bag. if you had to pick one between nvda and tsm i don't think you could do it. they're so different and with respective moats. also about 0.5x PEG and 4% fcf yield. we're in value territory and a move closer toward $150 and i'd consider 10% LEAP size.
*pause* why 2-1 leverage V? isn't that risky? yes, leverage risky, but i'm keeping these ITM and have a keen sense for valuation in a 2Y context and want to express this view while keeping cash higher and hence ability to maneuver.
*moving on*
NASDAQ:NXT
35% LEAPS (1.5x leverage)
- i've written extensively about this, but to the new crowd you check all boxes. a/ visibility for 1y of growth beats based on backlog and a sleeping consensus, b/ killer ROIC and cash generation, c/ cheap valuation (nearly 10% fcf yield on my #s, and still 7% on cons.), d/ buybacks coming on an underleveraged-cash-rich balance sheet in 2H and e/ the most important factor - an A+ CEO and leadership team
OTC:OBTC
20%
- closed end BTC fund trading 10% shy of NAV in last weeks, so way to get BTC exposure ("the king") at a discount in a rocky risk environment
- BTC remains a long duration beta, not yet getting the "wtf freak out" premium that gold has today (and probably bc it's not so well understood - that's cool - good to acknowledge it).
- goal is to stack sats, but diligently and carefully
- best to avoid leverage in the current environment
- would be a full position (i'd make it 30-40%) if/when BTC goes into high 60s or low 70s, otherwise I'm patient. BTC needs catalyst on monetary front to find new highs.
NYSE:UBER
7.5% LEAPS (2x leverage)
- another one i've written about extensively, so check out details
- tl;dr is a/ orthogonal to any foreign content/ tariff BS, b/ great leadership team fwd thinking and on the forefront of AV (autonomous) despite the consensus that's wait and see, c/ growing margins, great returns and tremendous cash generation, d/ 6% fcf yield and sticky safe haven in this tape limit draw down risk, e/ multi-year compounder set and forget at current rate
*honorable mentions*
- names that i trade around, usually high frequency in/out, would perhaps consider larger positions if/when tape behaves. right now i'm only parking in stuff i a/ know really well, b/ see great value for participating and therefore c/ can size them reasonably large. i don't like having a complicated and smorgasbord of names in this tape.
NASDAQ:NICE - cheapest B2B software moving the AI needle into their customers w good growth, high cash gen and heavy buyback incoming
$DECK/ NYSE:YETI - the only two discretionary names (in a tough consumer) that are on my high watchlist given growth/ cash generation and combination of the two. tricky. needs to be managed carefully in this consumer-eat-dirt environment.
NASDAQ:MU / NASDAQ:ALAB - the two semis I think are interesting ex- NYSE:TSM and $NVDA. NASDAQ:MU for HBM being a key grower inside inference applications and probably massively understated on my math and NASDAQ:ALAB bc they're able to offer some crazy performance benefits and the #s are outstanding w/ cash gen following.
NASDAQ:BLDE - the only investable EVTOL business. the NASDAQ:TMDX result was a "pass" and limited my ST interest here. I'd consider Blade to be a price inelastic Uber with no relevant competition. I'd also think Uber eventually buys these guys.
Hope that helps inform my thinking (as I'm sure I'd get a lot of DMs today) and wanted to spell it all out if you can incorporate into your mosaic/ own PnL.
I'd guess we're most of the way thru this sell-off despite what ______ is saying, mainly b/c we've had an asynchronous dip (so it's hard to notice) and each name has taken it's turn doing the -15% to -50% dump in the last 6-12 months (and especially many recently). The index isn't showing it b/c CBOE:SVIX has been the stealth QE/ pins, but I digress. More for another day.
If you're reading this, you woke up today.
So you started with a big W.
Showing up with a positive attitude is a competitive advantage. Don't let that one go. You got this.
Lock in.
V
enough needed to be said...
Probably a safe bet to go on a long term short position now. NVDA needed a catalyst and Deepseek was the catalyst.
NVDA Near Key Support – Will the Bounce Hold? Feb. 28Market Structure Overview
NVDA has been in a strong downtrend, forming a descending wedge pattern. The stock is currently hovering around a key support zone near $120, with increasing sell volume. A breakdown could lead to further downside, while a reversal from this level could spark a short-term rally.
Key Support & Resistance Levels
* Support: $120, $118, and $115 (GEX Negative Zone)
* Resistance: $129, $136, and $143 (GEX Call Wall)
* Major Gamma Exposure Levels:
* CALL Resistance: $140, $145, $150
* PUT Support: $120, $118, $115
Indicators & Momentum
* MACD: Bearish, but showing early signs of a potential crossover.
* Stochastic RSI: Deeply oversold, signaling a potential bounce.
* Volume: Elevated selling pressure with a possible exhaustion phase.
GEX Analysis & Options Flow
* IVR: 47 (moderate implied volatility)
* Options Sentiment: CALLs at 13.7%, indicating bearish sentiment in the near term.
* GEX Levels: Highest negative NETGEX support at $120, suggesting a possible bounce zone if demand returns.
Trade Plan: Scenarios to Watch
1. Bullish Scenario: If NVDA holds above $120 and breaks $129, a reversal towards $136-$140 is possible.
* Entry: Above $129
* Target: $136, then $143
* Stop Loss: Below $118
2. Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below $120 could trigger a move to $115 or even $110.
* Entry: Below $120
* Target: $115, then $110
* Stop Loss: Above $125
Final Thoughts
NVDA is at a pivotal point. If it holds above $120, bulls might regain control. However, failure to sustain above this level could bring more downside. Watch for a volume increase to confirm direction.
📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and trade responsibly!
NVDA - Completed 3 wave corrective pattern, upside to come?NASDAQ:NVDA is looking at a potential rebound after completing its 3-wave structure as prices saw a sustained rebound at 117 region, which coincide with the 138.2% Fib expansion level of wave A-B. Right now, upside seems to be an corrective upside and may hit 135-148 region before hitting a resistance.
NVDA - where to buy (1D time frame analysis)hi traders,
It looks like bears are in control.
However, I can see a potential set-up to play the bounce.
The recommended strategy for bulls:
- entry price: 115$ looks like a good level to long.
- Tight stop loss at 112$
- Target: 128$,
Risk-reward ratio: 5,01
Good luck
The key is whether there is support around 121.82-123.90
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(NVDA 1W chart)
The key is whether it can receive support and rise around the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.5 (120.14) ~ 0.618 (127.46).
If not, and it falls, it is expected to touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Accordingly, there is a possibility that it will touch around 104.75.
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(1D chart)
The key is whether it can rise above 121.82-123.90 and receive support.
If not,
1st: Fibonacci ratio 0.382 (113.42)
2nd: 104.75
You need to check whether it is supported near the 1st and 2nd above.
At this time, the important thing is whether the price can be maintained above the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart and remains, it is likely to turn into a downtrend, so be careful when trading.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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Cryptocurrency and Stocks will DecoupleI still remember the AI saying that NVDA was going to 320 "in the near future." This was back in June 2024. No matter when you asked the AI, its only prediction would be up, it couldn't make an analysis based on the data coming from the chart. The program wasn't very intelligent, that's what I concluded.
I disagreed. NVDA is going down and this is now fully confirmed.
We are seeing a very long distribution phase and the crash is now taking place.
Ok, but what about Bitcoin?
Bitcoin will decouple from traditional markets, just look at the news.
While Cryptocurrency is due a generational bullish wave, the stock market is due a generational retrace.
I honestly don't know how the stock market will perform but I can look at individual charts. NVDA is bearish and going down strong.
NVDA, TSLA, the SPX, the NDX and Crypto are not the same. These are two completely different monsters.
The SPX and NDX is landline.
Crypto is free wireless internet for all.
The SPX and the NDX is centralization and control.
Bitcoin is decentralization, innovation, technology and freedom.
Times change.
The stock market will recover and it is sure to continue growing long-term.
Will the establishment let it crash or will they jump in and pump it up?
I don't know. But NVDA is bearish and going down. What one does, the rest follows.
But, what about Bitcoin? Bitcoin is going up.
It is very simple. They will decouple, they will not move together anymore. Many, many Altcoins are trading at bottom prices, many stocks are trading high up.
The giant stocks will crash, while the Cryptocurrency market goes up. This is one more of the reasons why we are about to experience the biggest bull-market in the history of Crypto.
People are evolving, the world is changing. We are changing from centralized monopoly money, to a free decentralized technology that is available for all.
Money is not the paper, the shiny stone or the codes; money is what we decide to use for the purpose of exchanging value.
At one time, salt used to be money as well as cows. Sea shells, glass and cacao are also on the list. People used to use these things as money.
The argument that Bitcoin has no value is obviously flawed. If you want to buy a Bitcoin you have to pay a price, that's value, nothing more.
If we decide to use something as money, it becomes money.
Bitcoin is money for the new generation.
The old generation dies out and a new one takes its place.
Life will continue to evolve and money will do the same.
Now it is Bitcoin, later down the road it will be something else. But Bitcoin has value, it is really expensive and it will continue to grow.
After the crash, NVDA will recover for sure.
Namaste.
NVIDIA - Sell off continues.So same plan as mentioned, Nvidia has to do its retracement before being able to gain more for a new ath.
I think this looks logica. Am I crazy?NASDAQ:NVDA has always recovered strong after the earnings dip. I think the sell off has come to the end and the pump to $160 is ready
