PLTR FIB ExtensionWatch out for 0.5, 0.68 Fib levels.
Pltr is experiencing a Wave 3. In theory we should watch key levels at 116 , 121 and perhaps take profits if it hit that before a Wave 4 retracements.
PLTR trade ideas
PLTR: Superposition of 2 FractalsMerging 2 regularities into Unified Fractal Fibonacci Framework:
Fractal Cycle Correlation
Broad
Fibonacci Channels, where two coordinates define direction and a third maps a cycle, reveal the relationship between historical price points. The intersections of these lines mark zones of probability density, where price is drawn toward (or repelled) from key psychological levels.
Diaper change for PLTR...SHORT SHORT SELLSuper easy trade. PLTR went up and many people were surprised, even their own management, and now it's time for reality to check in. That means, PLTR will tank and one can use PLTD (inverse) to take advantage of this sweet opportunity 10-20%.
Best of luck and always do your own due diligence!
Palantir - learning to fly (wave & fib analysis)Just a quick lock at PLTR price development.
This fits quite well into a 5-wave move and the fibonacci extensions.
After earnings price hit the 4.0 extension with astonishing precision, but this can be seen quite often with other stocks like AMD as well.
Price is currently trading around the 3.764 extension and at a P/E (ttm) of just 534.
This will probably last for some time, but buying here is obviously not a good idea.
A retracement back to the trendline in the 70$ area wouldn't surprise me.
What goes up must come down.
plantir is over boughthello
i think it will reverse down because it reached 100% fibo ext.
so it should normaly take some breath or maybe get its free fall
what should you do : simply keep eyes on these level and at least you have some guidance to trade short or long. 80% it will reverse down
remember that i'm not having a cristal ball predicting future but i try to listen to the market and follow its weeling
good luck
PLTR: Technical Analysis Based on GEX Gamma Feb. 5Key Observations from the GEX:
1. Gamma Exposure (GEX):
* CALL GEX Dominance (52.4%): Indicates a relatively bullish sentiment, with more exposure leaning towards upward price momentum.
* This suggests market makers might facilitate upward movements until resistance levels are reached.
2. Key Levels:
* Highest Positive NETGEX (Resistance): Near $108.91, a critical resistance point where call options could slow further upward momentum.
* Immediate Resistance: Around $115, which aligns with the second CALL wall.
* PUT Support Zones: At $99, $97, and lower. These levels act as a cushion for downward price movement.
3. Implied Volatility (IV):
* IV Rank (IVR): At 53.7, this indicates moderately elevated volatility compared to historical levels.
* IVx (Average IV): At 68.8%, implying options are slightly expensive but could offer significant moves.
Potential Trade Scenarios:
1. Bullish Scenario:
* If PLTR holds above $101 and breaks above $103, a move toward $108 and potentially $115 is possible.
* Suggestion:
* Buy 7 (or 9-23) DTE Calls: Strike price $105, targeting $108-$110.
* Exit on a clear rejection at $108 or $110.
2. Bearish Scenario:
* If PLTR fails to hold above $101 and falls below $99, it could test $97 or lower.
* Suggestion:
* Buy 7 (or 9-23) DTE Puts: Strike price $100, targeting $97-$95.
* Stop loss above $103.
Suggested Trade:
* Primary Trade (Bullish): Buy 7 (or 9-23) DTE Calls at $105.
* Stop Loss: Below $100.
* Take Profit Levels: Partial exit at $108, full exit at $115.
Key Reminders:
* The GEX indicator suggests potential upward momentum unless strong resistance levels like $108.91 are reached.
* Always check real-time GEX updates during trading to adjust for shifts in gamma exposure.
PLTR bubble to burst....PLTD (inverse ETF)PLTR has had a nice run and went up very high, but like all things, it must come down. Take 10-15% profit on this by leveraging PLTD. Enjoy!!!
Always do your own due diligence! best of luck
Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) Stock AnalysisPalantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) has recently demonstrated strong financial performance, leading to a significant surge in its stock price. The stock currently trades at $103.32, reflecting a 22% increase, reaching an all-time high of $106.91.
Recent Financial Performance
In Q4 2024, Palantir reported revenue of $828 million, marking a 36% year-over-year increase and surpassing analyst expectations of $776 million. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) increased by 75% to $0.14, beating the estimated $0.11 EPS. The company’s 2025 revenue outlook is highly optimistic, forecasting between $3.741 billion and $3.757 billion, well above the market’s expectations of $3.503 billion. For Q1 2025, Palantir expects revenue between $858 million and $862 million, again exceeding analysts' estimates of $799 million.
Analyst Ratings & Market Sentiment
Investment firms have taken note of Palantir's impressive performance:
Morgan Stanley upgraded its rating from "underweight" to "equal weight", raising its price target from $60 to $95, acknowledging the company’s strong AI-driven growth and optimistic outlook.
Wedbush Securities' Dan Ives increased the price target to $120, citing Palantir’s dominant position in the AI market and its continued expansion in both government and commercial sectors.
Stock Performance & Outlook
Palantir’s stock price has seen a sharp rise, fueled by strong AI-related growth, increased government contracts, and expanding enterprise adoption. The stock’s 22% surge reflects investor confidence, but some analysts remain cautious due to valuation concerns.
Conclusion
Palantir's strong earnings, aggressive revenue growth, and increasing adoption of its AI-driven platforms make it a promising investment opportunity. However, potential risks include high valuation and market volatility. Investors should conduct further research to assess whether Palantir fits their portfolio strategy.
Opening (IRA): PLTR Feb 28th 70/75/100/105 Iron Condor... for a 2.11 credit.
Comments: High IVR/IV at 89.1/81.3. Adding to my PLTR position as an earnings announcement volatility contraction play.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 2.11
Buying Power Effect: 2.89
ROC at Max: 73.01%
50% Max: 1.06
ROC at 50% Max: 36.51%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, immediately roll out to March if a side is tested.
PLTR – Short Setup After a Huge Gap UpPLTR gapped up massively, now trading at $103+—potential exhaustion signal. Here's why I see a short opportunity:
📉 Key Reasons to Short:
Gap Up Exhaustion – Unsustainable surge
Volume Surge – Possible profit-taking
RSI Overbought – Due for a pullback
Far Above MAs – Mean reversion likely
Psych Resistance – $100+ may trigger selling
🔻 Short Entry: $103–105
🎯 Target: $84.70 (prior resistance)
🚨 Stop: Above $110
⚠️ Not Financial Advice – Just My View
Trade smart. Manage risk. What’s your take? 👇
#PLTR #Stocks #ShortTrade #Trading #StockMarket #Investing
PLTR: Good uptrendWe can see a very nice upward trend on PLTR today, i.e. 26.30%. All conditions were met, namely:
- Strong breakout of the vwap by a large green candle and followed by a large green volume;
- Strong break of the Resistance Line by a large green candle and followed by a large green volume as well.
Palantir target 160 mid 2025Palantir seems very bullish and could reach about 160 end of August 2025
Based on RSI, RSI divergence, EW count etc
PLTR Inverse H&S / Head & Shoulders Bottom for PT of $100Just practicing charting.
Invalid H&S Bottom on PLTR that would create a measured move to $100 at breakout of the neckline. Unfortuantely, I do not believe this is a valid H&S Bottom.
PLTR is at ATH and looks to be searching for the next level of resistance. At this point, macro factors will likely play the most significant role in the direction of PLTR but if we hold $80/$75 support I am long on PLTR. If we lose $80 and subsequently $75, I tend to be more bearish.
PALANTIR: Bullish Continuation Post-CorrectionPalantir shows strong bullish momentum, with a significant rally followed by a sharp correction. This idea leverages potential support levels and moving averages to project a continuation toward higher targets.
Plan Details:
- Entry Zone: Anticipate a retracement to the key support zone around $68.50-$70.00, coinciding with recent consolidation and volume nodes (as per the Volume Profile).
- Indicators to Monitor:
1. Moving Averages:
20 SMA (orange line) acts as dynamic support near $68.50. 50 SMA (blue line) supports the overall bullish trend.
2. Volume Analysis:
A visible increase in buying volume during the previous rally suggests strong demand near $70.
Trade Setup:
- Entry: Watch for a volume spike and BOS/CHOC during the retest of the support zone. Long Position: Enter near the $68.50-$70.00 range.
- Stop Loss: Below $65.66, ensuring protection against a deeper retracement.
- Take Profit Levels: First Target: $78.30 (recent high and resistance zone). Second Target: $90.00 (psychological level and long-term resistance).
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Journal of exit decision on PLTR stock. PLTR’s revenue grew 29% year-over-year, and Alex projects 30% year-over-year growth in 2025. Shares jumped 25% premarket after earnings. I sold at $60 per share in Nov 2024 because Alex sold a significant amount of his shares after the Q3 earnings around that price. I assumed he believed the company was overvalued and used that as a gauge to exit.
However, this was not the best approach since I didn't research whether he was selling for liquidity reasons or due to fundamental/informational purposes. Going forward, I will only sell a portion of my shares in great companies if they seem to be trading at a huge premium and will carefully consider the reasons why the management team is selling.
Lessons:
Don't sell the entire position at once if the company is great and projected to grow. If you feel the need to sell due to high valuation of because of huge profits, then sell half of the position and do this over the course of 1-3 months. Chances are the company can grow during that time and your exit can capture more upside if that happens. In short, this may help get a better exit price.
Consider the reasons why mgmt are selling shares before making a decision to act on that.
Consider why the premium is so high, ask yourself if those reason are valid and still exist and look at the annual rev growth rate and margins of the business. If the company is at a premium this growth rate should remain in play.
PALANTIR Target $110 then wait for correction.Palantir Technologies (PLTR) is repeating the January pattern that has been seen in both 2024 and 2023, which has the price rising by +72.50% for a peak. This gives us a $110 immediate Target, which should be relatively easy to achieve after such Earnings.
Once the peaked on this mark, the 2024/ 2023 fractals pulled back to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level before turning into a long-term buy opportunity again in preparation for the next Bullish Leg. As a result, after $110 is hit, our next buy level will be near $80.
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Blow off top - too early to short?As much as it pains me to say this, I still think Palantir has more shorts to squeeze here. There’s a rounded bottom and my Elliot wave count puts this move at Wave 5, blow off top. I think the final Wave 5 target is higher than $100, I can’t tell exactly where it end as I don’t have a crystal ball. However, this move up is strong and can easily head towards the $150 region.
I’d strongly recommend against shorting here, as I did a few months back. There will be an opportunity to short, but I wouldn’t be jumping in front of this steam train right now.
Not financial advise, do what’s best for you.
Palantir (NASDAQ: $PLTR) Soars 22% After Earnings BeatPalantir Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:PLTR ) has stunned the market once again, with its stock surging as much as 22% in extended trading following a blowout Q4 earnings report. The company not only exceeded analyst expectations but also provided an optimistic revenue outlook for 2025, further cementing its position as a dominant player in artificial intelligence and defense technology.
Strong Earnings and AI-Powered Growth
Palantir’s Q4 revenue came in at $828 million, significantly surpassing the estimated $776 million and reflecting a 36% year-over-year (YoY) growth from $608.4 million. The company also reported an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of 14 cents, outperforming the expected 11 cents. Furthermore, adjusted income from operations stood at **$373 million**, representing an impressive **45% margin**.
These robust financial results were driven by increased demand for Palantir’s AI-powered software, particularly within its U.S. commercial and government sectors.
- U.S. Commercial Revenue: Up 64% YoY to $214 million.
- U.S. Government Revenue: Up 45% YoY to $343 million.
CEO Alex Karp highlighted Palantir’s early entry into the AI landscape, stating that the company’s vision for large language models has transitioned from theoretical to commercial reality. With AI adoption growing rapidly, Palantir’s position in the space continues to strengthen.
The company raised its Q1 2025 revenue forecast to between $858 million and $862 million, significantly above analysts’ estimates of $799 million. Additionally, Palantir now expects full-year revenue between $3.74 billion and $3.76 billion, outpacing the consensus projection of $3.52 billion.
Technical Analysis:
Palantir’s stock closed Monday’s extended session with a notable 22% surge, setting up a potential bullish momentum. As of Tuesday’s premarket trading, NASDAQ:PLTR was up 19%, signaling continued investor enthusiasm.
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): 65.49, indicating strong bullish momentum, though approaching overbought levels.
- Support Level: Immediate support lies at $77, aligning with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. A drop to this level could present a buying opportunity.
- Resistance Level: A breakout above $97 could propel the stock toward $120, aligning with Palantir’s upward trajectory and bullish sentiment in AI stocks.
An important factor to note is the formation of an upside gap, which is a bullish signal but could eventually be filled over time. However, given Palantir’s strong fundamentals, the short-term technical outlook remains positive.
Analyst Upgrades: Bullish Targets Ahead
Several analysts have revised their price targets for Palantir following its strong earnings:
- BofA Securities raised its price target from $75 to $90, maintaining a Buy rating.
- DA Davidson increased its target from $47 to $105, while keeping a Neutral stance.
- Wedbush Securities’ Dan Ives compared Palantir to Oracle, predicting it could reach a trillion-dollar market cap in the coming years.
Conclusion:
With a massive earnings beat, strong revenue outlook, and AI-driven expansion, Palantir has reinforced its position as a market leader. Technically, the stock is experiencing a bullish breakout, and analysts remain optimistic about its long-term prospects. However, traders should be mindful of potential short-term pullbacks due to the recent gap-up in price.
Can AI Revolutionize Our World Beyond Data?Palantir Technologies has not merely emerged but soared in the financial markets, with shares rocketing 22% after an earnings report that surprised Wall Street. The company's fourth-quarter results for 2024 were a testament to its strategic placement at the heart of the AI revolution, exceeding expectations with revenue and earnings per share. This performance underscores the potential of AI not only to enhance but potentially redefine operational paradigms across industries, particularly in defense and governmental sectors where Palantir holds significant sway.
The growth trajectory of Palantir is not just a story of numbers; it's a narrative of how AI can be harnessed to transform complex data into actionable insights, thereby driving efficiency and innovation. CEO Alex Karp's vision of Palantir as a software juggernaut at the inception of a long-term revolution invites us to ponder the broader implications of AI. With a 64% growth in U.S. commercial revenue and a 45% increase in U.S. government revenue, Palantir demonstrates the power of AI to bridge the gap between raw data and strategic decision-making in real-world applications.
Yet, this success story also prompts critical reflection. How sustainable is this growth, especially considering Palantir's heavy reliance on government contracts? The company's future might hinge on its ability to diversify its clientele and continue innovating in a rapidly evolving tech landscape. As we stand at what Karp describes as the "beginning of the first act" of AI's influence, one must ask: Can Palantir maintain its momentum, or will it face challenges in a market increasingly crowded with AI contenders? This question challenges investors, technologists, and policymakers alike to consider the long-term trajectory of AI integration in our society.
PLTR: Don't lose out - stick to your convictionsIt's been a journey with the NASDAQ:PLTR community thus far. It's been a real one... Congrats to all shareholders, AND ALSO...
I'm not fvcking selling.
Bullish Opportunity: Palantir Technologies (PLTR) Current Price: $83.00
TP1: $90 (Analyst target)
TP2: $100 (Psychological resistance)
TP3: $120 (Upper channel target)
🚀 Why Palantir is a Bullish Opportunity
1️⃣ Strong Q4 Earnings Outlook 📊
Earnings Report Due: February 3, 2025 – Analysts expect another strong quarter.
405% Growth Over the Past Year – Palantir was the best-performing S&P 500 stock in 2024.
Wedbush Analyst Dan Ives Calls Palantir’s Q3 a "Masterpiece" – Revenue surged 30% YoY to $726M, driven by AI demand.
2️⃣ AI Leadership & Competitive Edge 🤖
AIP Named Best AI Platform by Forrester Research – Ranked ahead of Google Cloud, AWS, and Microsoft Azure.
AIP Growth Driving Revenue – U.S. commercial revenue is expanding rapidly, with unprecedented demand for AIP solutions.
Dan Ives Sees Palantir as the Next Oracle – If true, this would mean 185% upside from current valuation.
3️⃣ Institutional Confidence & Price Upgrades 💡
Wedbush Raised Price Target to $90 – Signaling continued AI-driven momentum.
Strong Hedge Fund Interest – Institutional investors remain bullish on Palantir’s AI expansion.
Market Cap Nears $185B – With 81.1% gross margins, Palantir is positioned as a high-growth AI leader.
4️⃣ Government & Commercial Expansion 📈
$400M+ Partnership with U.S. Army – Reinforcing Palantir’s role in defense & AI applications.
Strong Commercial Growth – Demand for AIP is driving both new customer conversions and existing client expansions.
The Biden Administration’s AI Push – Government spending on AI infrastructure directly benefits Palantir.
🔎 Conclusion
Palantir is positioned as a leading AI company, with institutional backing, strong earnings momentum, and government contracts fueling growth. With analyst upgrades and AI adoption surging, PLTR could see a breakout toward $100+ in the coming months.
Strategy 2025. Introducing Palantir, BTC Killer Of The Year 2024It's gone 3 months or so since Palantir stock has joined on Friday, September 20 Stock Top Club, also known as S&P 500 stock index SP:SPX .
Palantir was one of the strongest contenders for inclusion in the broad market S&P500 Index.
This inclusion, as well as Dell (DELL), came after tech companies Super Micro (SMCI) and Crowdstrike (CRWD) also joined the index earlier in this year 2024.
Since that, Palantir stock became the best (i.e. #1) S&P500 index performer this year, with current +375% YTD return in 2024, being highlighted at 80.55 USD per share - the new all the history peak reached last Friday, December, 19 at regular session close.
What is most important also, even recent Federal Reserve (The US Central Bank) hawkish projections on monetary policy in 2025 were not able to stop the only game in the city, or even make a pause on Palantir leadership.
Since Palantir stock is rallying 7th month in a row, the stalkers remain decently far away, swallowing the galactic dust of Palantir shares.
Judge for yourself.
One of the nearest pursuer, Nvidia Corporation NASDAQ:NVDA (# 4 out of all S&P500 index performers in 2024) is nearly to finish the year of 2024 with +170% return, i.e. lagging against Palantir behind twice.
The quite similar things happen with the most popular and heavy c-coin, also known as Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD that is currently +130% YTD return in 2024.
What is most important also, Palantir stock outperforms both - S&P500 index, Nvidia Corp. and Bitcoin 7th straight month in a row.
In human words that means, Palantir stock monthly returns (every single month from May to December 2024) were better against each of mentioned above assets.
What is Behind this?
On November 4, 2024 Palantir Technologies has announced financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024.
“We absolutely eviscerated this quarter, driven by unrelenting AI demand that won’t slow down. This is a U.S.-driven AI revolution that has taken full hold. The world will be divided between AI haves and have-nots. At Palantir, we plan to power the winners,” said Alexander C. Karp, Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer of Palantir Technologies Inc.
Q3 2024 Highlights
• U.S. revenue grew 44% year-over-year and 14% quarter-over-quarter to $499 million
• U.S. commercial revenue grew 54% year-over-year and 13% quarter-over-quarter to $179 million
• U.S. government revenue grew 40% year-over-year and 15% quarter-over-quarter to $320 million
• Revenue grew 30% year-over-year and 7% quarter-over-quarter to $726 million
• Closed 104 deals over $1 million
• Customer count grew 39% year-over-year and 6% quarter-over-quarter
• GAAP net income of $144 million, representing a 20% margin
• GAAP income from operations of $113 million, representing a 16% margin
• Adjusted income from operations of $276 million, representing a 38% margin
• Rule of 40 score of 68%
• GAAP earnings per share (“EPS”) grew 100% year-over-year to $0.06
• Adjusted EPS grew 43% year-over-year to $0.10
• Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term U.S. Treasury securities of $4.6 billion
• Cash from operations of $420 million, representing a 58% margin and $995 million on a trailing twelve month basis
• Adjusted free cash flow of $435 million, representing a 60% margin and over $1 billion on a trailing twelve month basis.
Is the stock growth fundamentally deserved? Definitely, "Yes".
Palantir stock Alpha
What is Alpha?
Alpha (a) is a term used in investing to describe an investment's ability to beat (outperform) the market, or its “edge.” Alpha is thus also often referred to as excess return or the abnormal rate of return in relation to a benchmark, or any other asset (even against simple sitting in a cash) when adjusted for risk.
The main graph represents a comparison across Bitcoin and Palantir stocks. Since Palantir outperforms BTC twice over the past 12 months (watch lower "percent bar chart" subgraph), so why isn't to continue the play, by staying in a long with Palantir, and kill "the new oranges" respectively.
