RIVIAN Is this EV maker dead??Rivian is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.757, MACD = -0.170, ADX = 26.255) as it is extendint today yesterday's massive rejection on the 1D MA200. The long term pattern is a Channel Down and we are on the latest bearish wave and about to form a 1D MACD Bearish Cross. The two previous bearish waves of the pattern reached the 1.618 and 2.0 Fibonacci extension respectively, so a progressive lower low is identified there potentially. In any event, we expect at least the 2.0 Fibonacci level to be tested (TP = 8.65).
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RIVN trade ideas
Rivian in interesting point - up or downAT:
+ we are near last bottom/lower low. One could make buy transaction with low stop loss (below last low)
+ there was seen some accumulation and rising price with higher volume
- however after such spike, price again lowered - not yet ready for up trend ?
- current trend is to downside
+ we are on a support level and could make bounce to the next resistance: 15 usd and later 20 usd
Fundamentals:
- still not profitable company
+ huge investment from VW
+ VW buying stock: article
+ plan to deliver all estimated vehicles in 2024 (earning for Q4Y2024 are promising)
- Trump is considered as something bad for Rivian
This is what I gathered and what I'm thinking. It's really worth to risk now with small Stop Loss below last low. What do You think about it ?
Rivian Power Surge!Rivian is gaining bullish momentum, with a gap forming around the $9.00 level. A breakout above the $12.33 resistance would signal continued strength, positioning the stock to reach the $18.91 weekly resistance. This trade offers a strong risk-to-reward ratio, with a stop-loss set at $8.28 to manage downside.
In the longer term, RIVN has the potential to reach $28.06, supported by its growing position in the electric vehicle (EV) market. With rising demand for sustainable transportation and Rivian’s focus on high-performance EVs, the company is well-positioned for future growth. Strategic partnerships, such as those with Amazon for electric delivery vans, enhance Rivian’s revenue prospects and visibility in the market, bolstering its longer-term potential.
This combination of technical momentum and favorable market fundamentals supports a bullish push toward $18.91 in the near term, with $28.06 as a longer-term target.
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NASDAQ:RIVN
RIVN could be an opportunity!Fundamentals :
NASDAQ:RIVN is set to report earnings two days after the elections. In a recent podcast with Joe Rogan, presidential candidate Donald Trump repeatedly emphasized his intention to impose tariffs on manufacturers outside of the US. If implemented, these tariffs could give a competitive edge to domestic electric vehicle (EV) manufacturers like NASDAQ:TSLA , NASDAQ:RIVN , NYSE:F , NYSE:GM , etc.
Increased competition in the EV market could drive consumer adoption, providing more choices and potentially expanding the market share for companies like RIVN. Given its current valuation, and assuming the earnings report—especially revenue—shows resilience, RIVN could present a solid growth opportunity at these levels.
Technicals :
Following a gap (marked on the chart by an arrow) and recent bearish news, the price quickly filled the gap. For nearly a month, the stock has been consolidating within a tight range of $10–$11.
Yesterday, an attempted breakout lacked volume, which aligns with market caution ahead of both the elections and the earnings release. However, a large move in response to the news appears likely, and NASDAQ:RIVN is well-positioned for a strong reaction.
The TTM squeeze indicator reflects this setup, with an orange dot signaling that Bollinger Bands are within the first Keltner Channel—a sign of reduced price volatility and increased breakout potential. With downside momentum easing, the setup looks favorable for upside movement. Additionally, the $9.85 support level has held strong since May, further reinforcing this base.
Today, I’m watching for a small breakout and a retest of the top range. If that level holds, I’ll go long with near-term profit targets at $13.5–$14.
RIVN shows significant upside potential.The 10s have shown resilience, holding firmly at current levels, and a potential break above the previous neckline and trendline could indicate a move toward the 12s and 15s, setting up a promising path toward a longer-term target of 22. This upward momentum would likely confirm renewed buying interest and a shift in trend. However, caution is warranted, as a break below the 10 level might shift the outlook, potentially signaling a decline toward the 8s, with the 6s also in sight as lower support levels. This range highlights both the upside potential and the key risk points to monitor.
Rivian long Rivian low average buys in relation to weekly monthly leaves off rsi and bb
Entry > 10.25
Target > 18-20$
Amazon has pledged a long term investment months ago for billions of dollars over the next blah blah blah
Evs will not dominate the legacy car manufacturers but will instead find their share
Rivian has potential to eat a lot of tsla market shares up
Comment below if u disagree or agree
Rivian long Rivian low average buys in relation to weekly monthly leaves off rsi and bb
Entry > 10.25
Target > 18-20$
Amazon has pledged a long term investment months ago for billions of dollars over the next blah blah blah
Evs will not dominate the legacy car manufacturers but will instead find their share
Rivian has potential to eat a lot of tsla market shares up
Comment below if u disagree or agree
Bullish RivnRivian (RIVN) has broken out of a bullish consolidation pattern, signaling potential upside momentum. The breakout above resistance is supported by increased volume, indicating strong buying interest. The technical target is set around $11.50, with sustained movement above the breakout level suggesting a continued rally toward this region.
N/b just a speculative analysis
RIVN: Let's Play a Lottery Trade for Tomorrow, October 30, 2024Price Action and Trend
RIVN has shown a recent pullback after rallying, with a clear break from the recent high around $11.11. The current price near $10.48 indicates it may be stabilizing after a drop, as indicated by the lower wicks on recent candles, suggesting buying interest.
The uptrend (depicted by a rising trend line) shows potential for a retest of higher levels if support holds.
Support and Resistance Levels
Immediate Support: $9.96 - This is the lower support level that, if broken, may signal further downside.
Current Resistance: $10.86 - If RIVN can break this level, it could revisit recent highs.
Major Resistance: $11.11 - This is the recent peak and a strong level that could determine if the uptrend will continue.
Entry/Exit Points
Entry: A potential entry is around the $10.48 level with a stop-loss below $9.96, aiming for an upside bounce.
Exit/Take Profit: First target around $10.86. If RIVN continues upward, the next target would be $11.11.
Projection
If RIVN maintains support around $9.96 and breaks $10.86, it could continue toward $11.11. However, a breakdown below $9.96 may trigger a deeper correction.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before trading.
bottom is in for RIVN , 100% by Jan 2025 , 250% by April 2025Retraced to .786 and so far has held $10 with higher lows. 3D Decreasing bearish momentum on TTM squeeze , 3D stochastic RSI oversold pointing to the upside, time scale measurement provides to return to $36 around April 2025. Using the 2024 q1 q2 baby bump to create a fib extension, $36 is roughly the 2.618 take profit target.
Key Decision Point Coming for RIVNNASDAQ:RIVN chart is pointing towards a major movement coming. Key decision will be earnings report in early November, and we should see that getting priced in by end of October. My guess is that the intense downward pressure that the stock has been receiving as of late will continue, and the stock may drop back to the $8.00 level as early as mid-November.
Surely, it can't go much lower than that though. Right?
RIVN: A potential Multibagger!Rivian may be getting ready for a quick move up! A potential multi-bagger at these level.
a) MACD signal lines are rising as the stock is making lows
b) RSI is showing divergence on the daily timeframe; monthly RSI is above the 14 period RSI moving average line
c) ADX on Daily is above 20; a cross of +ve DI over -ve will come with a swift move to reach the $27 levels
An investor can start accumulating now; trader can get it now with a SL at 9.92; conservative buyer should wait for a close above 11.84 levels.
Rivian is on its way to 9.13.NASDAQ:RIVN Rivian is going to fall down to $9.13 fibonacci level away from this rising wedge. My fibonacci is 100% accurate if placed correctly & at the right time. This will be the minimum spot it touches! It just formed a rising wedge, a bearish chart pattern, after filling a resistance gap that will push it downwards. It has lost any bullish momentum, even if it pops a little, it will make its way down there shortly.
RIVIAN 25 COMING.... 🎉 Why Rivian's Stock Price Could Hit $25 🎉
Innovation and Product Appeal: Rivian has been making waves with its innovative electric vehicles like the R1T and R1S. The anticipation around new models and features, like the Gear Guard live cam and Tri-zone climate control, keeps the brand's allure strong among tech-savvy consumers and environmental enthusiasts. The unique selling points of these vehicles could drive demand, positively impacting stock value.
Strategic Partnerships and Market Positioning: The relationship with Amazon for electric delivery vehicles positions Rivian as a key player in not just the consumer EV market but also in commercial applications. This could lead to steady order flows and visibility, crucial for investor confidence.
Production Scale and Cost Reduction: Rivian's focus on scaling production, especially with the introduction of its in-house Enduro drive unit, aims to reduce costs significantly. As production ramps up, achieving economies of scale could lead to better margins, making the stock more attractive.
Investor Sentiment and Analyst Predictions: Despite variations, there's a notable optimism among analysts with a mix of hold and buy ratings, suggesting that many see potential for growth. The consensus price targets around $17.68 with highs up to $28 indicate that reaching $25 isn't far-fetched, especially if Rivian meets its production and innovation goals.
Market Expansion and Brand Loyalty: Initiatives like The Good Project, where Rivian vehicles are used for community service, not only enhance brand image but also foster loyalty. Exclusive offers for existing customers to upgrade to newer models could retain and grow the customer base, indirectly supporting stock price through sustained demand.
Technological Advancements: Rivian's development of proprietary technology, including its own chips and operating system, could insulate it from supply chain issues and offer competitive advantages. Innovation in software updates like dynamic headlamp leveling shows a commitment to continuous improvement, which could excite investors.
Market Sentiment Towards EVs: The broader trend towards electric vehicles continues to gain momentum. As more regions implement policies favoring EVs, companies like Rivian, which are pure-play EV manufacturers, stand to benefit from this shift, potentially driving up stock prices.
Financial Health and Investment: While Rivian has significant cash reserves, managing these effectively for growth without excessive dilution could reassure investors. The strategic use of funds for R&D and scaling could pave the way for profitability, a significant milestone for stock valuation.
Mean Reversion... RIVN oversold. TESLA, Chinese EVs Overbought.Setup:
Mean Reversion Trade (Long)
Key Criteria:
1. Price has tested a prior breakout/breakdown level, 15+ day pivot in price, or monthly/weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG).
2. Market Cap is above $10 billion.
3. Price swept highs, closed lower, with a gap between the open and previous candle close.
Specifics for NASDAQ:RIVN :
* Market Cap: $11.12 billion
* Relative Volume: 1.70
* Technical Level: $11.15 key weekly support level
* Technical Setup: Intraday price crash through known support, followed by a rejection, signaling a potential for a dead cat bounce, especially considering the current EV hype.
Trade Details for NASDAQ:RIVN :
* Position: Long
* Entry Price: $11.28
* Stop Loss: $10.98 (below daily pivot)
* Risk per share: $0.30
* Risk: 1% of account equity
* Order Type: Buy Stop Order
Targets:
1. Target 1: $11.85 (1.8R) — Based on weekly and monthly FVG.
2. Target 2: $12.75 (4.75R) — Based on weekly and monthly resistance levels.
Exit Techniques:
1. Scale out 33% at Target 1.
2. Scale out another 33% at Target 2.
3. Exit the remaining 34% based on a "Reason2Sell" approach:
* Price Reversal Patterns: Double tops, head and shoulders, falling wedges.
* Overbought Conditions: RSI exceeding 70.
* Negative Divergence: Price makes a new high, but indicators don’t confirm.
* Support Level Breakdown: Price breaking below significant support levels.
* Increased Volatility: Sudden surge in volatility or volume, indicating selling pressure.
* Volume Nodes: Observe price action around liquidity points.
Reasoning:
Rivian has been overshadowed by Tesla, Waymo, and Chinese EVs in recent news, but the current price drop offers an opportunity for a mean reversion trade. The stock has filled the gap created by the Volvo investment news, and yesterday’s price action shows potential for a long entry after rejecting the $11.21 intraday support level. This could be an intraday breakout that transitions into a swing trade, aiming for a target range between $12 and $13. The tight spread provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for this setup.
Stop Loss Strategy:
* Adjust the stop loss after Target 1 is reached, scaling out accordingly.
Additional Notes:
* Set orders to automatically scale out shares as profit targets are met. If you’re holding the full position size after hitting targets, manage your risk accordingly.
* Feel free to reach out with any questions for further clarification or support.
Can RIVN hold support at 10.2 and bounce back?RIVN is clearly in a downward trend, but there's support around 10.2 that could trigger a short-term bounce. If the stock manages to hold above this level, it could rise toward 18 by year-end. However, if 10.2 fails, the stock may drop further into the 8.8–9.2 support zone.
Time to buyFrom its all time lows to the recent short term highs @ $18 Rivian has retraced 50%.
A clear channel has started to form, currently at the bottom of this channel.
A daily golden cross has formed on the chart.
Share price is difficult to predict on a short term timeframe.
All the news has been positive recently with VW investing and collaboration with Rivian. With much more affordable vehicles coming out in the near future that look amazing, they will sell by the thousands, future looks bright for this fantastic company. Apparently customer satisfaction levels are higher than Porsche and BMW.
Ford has pulled the plug on a pure EV pickup, concentrating on hybrids. To my eye Tesla’s Cyber Truck looks terrible and is huge, ( check out James May’s review on YouTube )
Recent share price weakness looks like a good time to invest for the long term.