SMCI Long-Break out of the down trend, seeing higher highs and higher lows
- EMA 9 crossed EMA 21
- Break S/R flip at ~38.
-TP ~50
SMCI trade ideas
Falling wedge pattern.please feel free to give me feedback but I am almost positive this is a falling wedge pattern. I think we go higher. Since everybody hates this stock rn, I naturally loaded up on SMCL (2x lev) last week. Let me know your thoughts! Good luck everyone
SMCI Daily BreakoutNASDAQ:SMCI looking like it has plenty of room to the upside after crossing the creek.
If the market doesn't roll over again this ticker could be trading in the 50-60 range soon
SMCI hit its 1W MA50, eyes a massive break-out.Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) has surged more than +15% today after the company announced a multi-year, $20 billion partnership with Saudi data center firm DataVolt.
Technically that brought it on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), the first contact with it since the week of February 18 2025, which was the previous Top. The current rally as well as the one that led to the Feb 18 Top, is fueled by the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) which held as Support on both occasions.
The driving pattern behind those Bullish Legs is a Channel Up (blue) and this is not the first time SMCI comes across such formation. It was in fact a similar Channel Up that took the stock from the 2022 bottom of the Inflation Crisis and guided it to its new Bull Cycle. That rose by +950% before it pulled back on its first consolidation.
As a result, we have a short-term Target at $80.00 and after a pull-back, long-term Target at $180.00 (+950% from the bottom).
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$SMCI decent looking setup, small bull flag zoomed dailyI'm looking to swing some $34 or $35c 2 weeks out. The volume pattern seems to be more accumulating rather than selling even after an abysmal and confusing earnings. This name loves to pump 7%, 9%, 10%.
SMCI going to breakout soon, targeting $200NASDAQ:SMCI hasfound support at $28, it is currently trading around the $46 level. It is attempting to test the $50-$61 range for the third time and will likely turn this level into support with a breakout.
$200 could be a good psychological target. The relative strength against the SP:SPX is about to turn positive in favor of the stock, and I expect volume to increase in the coming days.
SMCI heating up, if price trend holds, gap up guaranteedMACD and RSI shows similarities to the exuberance we saw in February. MACD is still below levels that helped push the price to $60+... Can it go there? Opening moves remain critical, given limit sell triggers.
Short position is 21% and short ratio is 1.4. We may see an epic squeeze as many will scramble to cover.
SMCI has low P/E, so whichever way you are looking at it, good moment to buy for long, for those swing trading this, time to nibble and take profits!
Enjoy the ride
Theres some edge to this hedge shortit pixeled vwap
theres RSI and CVD hidden bear divergence
in 30 minutes you also have regular bear divergence and ES1 is signaling absorption.
im bullish on smci but i have to take this
SMCI – Triple Breakout in Play, Eyeing $90 TargetSMCI is setting up for a strong upside move with multiple bullish signals:
EMA 200 breakout at $42
Ichimoku Cloud breakout at $45
Symmetrical triangle pattern forming — potential breakout above $55
A confirmed breakout above $55 on volume could trigger a rally toward the $90 zone, aligning with the triangle’s measured move. Price is currently holding above both the EMA200 and the cloud, reinforcing trend strength.
Trade Setup:
Entry: $46.15 (current)
Confirmation: Breakout above $55
Stop Loss: Below $42
Target: $90
Bias: Bullish continuation
Watching for volume expansion and weekly close above the upper trendline for full confirmation.
#SMCI #Breakout #EMA200 #IchimokuCloud #SymmetricalTriangle #SwingTrade #AIStock
Starting to see a Falling wedge pattern..tell me if im stretching this… but I think this is a falling wedge pattern. The support has remained the same for years now. I think we move higher. But when?
I'm shorting thisTwo weekly timeframe for a better understanding. Looks like a large bearish flag forming. Price just bounce off the bottom of the flag. But I think is a dead cat bounce. Is hitting a resistance level 35-36. Doesn't look too sting to break it up. SL triggers if a weekly candle breaks up the resistance and closes above it.
SMCI watch $38.38/87: Key resistance to Tariff Relief pumpSMCI bounced into a minor but significant resistance.
Looking for a Break-n-Retest for possible buy entries.
Retested first support and trying to hold it right now.
$ 36.38-36.87 is the exact zone to break for bulls.
$ 34.37-35.02 is the support that bulls must hold.
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SMCI watch $42.89-44.88: Double Golden fib zone a major LandmarkSMCI surged with news plus chip sector strength.
Seems to have obliterated a Double Golden zone.
Expect some orbits around this high gravity object.
$42.89 - 44.88 is the exact zone of concern.
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Previous Plot that caught the Bottom and Break Out
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Turning short term bearish Using 2x lev I managed to get over 30% on this trade up. I am now looking for the move down because of the gap fill, so now I am 2x inverse lev. Here’s how i think it plays out. Could be totally wrong but here to learn if it doesn’t go my way
Quantum's SMCI Trading Levels 5/1/25Really don't understand this stock but retail really loves it. Seems like they want to push this to 36 for a possible run up into earnings before possibly dumping.
SMCI - Bullish Wedge Flag patternBullish Wedge Flag pattern
The price broke out on last week and has retested today.
In the chart of the week frame, the price is on the MA200 line.
The price now (Closed on 04.30.2025): $31.86.
Price target: $48.18/ $63.05
IMO, amateur trader.
SMCI - BUY? or Wait? Thoughts on SMCI after we have a large overnight gap down (stemming from a rejection of our purple & red selling algos).
Happy Trading :)
SMCI Is it still a buy following the Q3 revenue and profit cut?Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) cut its third-quarter revenue and profit expectations due to delays in customer spending, amplifying worries of a pullback in AI-linked investments and pushing its shares down -16% pre-market.
It has been 6 months since we issued a major buy signal on SMCI (November 07 2024, see chart below):
Even tough our $122.50 long-term Target still stands, we have to move it later on the time-line until the economic outlook shows the positive signs of 2024 again.
Until then, we have a more medium-term Target of $80.00, which is on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, the same level the price hit in March 2019, following the first U.S. - China Trade War in 2018.
As you can see, the recovery patterns in terms of 1W RSI between the two fractals are almost identical.
Right now the stock is basically consolidating within the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), waiting for the next round of expansion news for the market, to break above the Triangle.
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SMCI ONCE IN A LIFETIME DIP BUY!!!Ive taken a $600 position on SMCI I will be looking to size into as it works. You can clearly see what happened last time we were at this price area. I have less than a $1 stop loss if price were to return below the green line. This will be a LONGGGGGGGGGGG hold into the future.
SMCI CRACK!!I called the absolute top in SMCI back on April 4th, 2024.
see chart below.
This year I am once again calling a CRACK!! lower. No, it is not seasonal it is just happenstance. ))
This is a very simple trade as most of my trades are.
Bulls take your money and GO!!
SMCI – 30-Min Long Trade Setup!📈 🟢
🔹 Asset: Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI – NASDAQ)
🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart
🔹 Setup Type: Breakout Retest at Key Supply Zone
📊 Trade Plan – Long Bias
✅ Entry Zone: Around $36.67 (breakout + retest confirmation)
✅ Stop-Loss (SL): $34.25 (below structure & recent low)
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
📌 TP1: $39.51 – Prior resistance zone
📌 TP2: $43.36 – Major structure / supply zone
📐 Risk-Reward Calculation
🟥 Risk: $36.67 - $34.25 = $2.42/share
🟩 Reward to TP2: $43.36 - $36.67 = $6.69/share
📊 R/R Ratio: ~1 : 2.76 – Strong long setup
🔍 Technical Highlights
📌 Trendline breakout with retest at resistance ✔
📌 Holding above yellow resistance zone ✔
📌 Strong bullish momentum on breakout ✔
📌 Good volume + clean continuation structure 🔼
📉 Risk Management Plan
🔁 Move SL to breakeven after TP1
💰 Take partial profits at TP1
📈 Let runners target TP2
📏 Discipline over impulse – follow chart
⚠️ Setup Invalidation If:
❌ Breaks and closes below $34.25
❌ Reversal with strong bearish engulfing
❌ Fails to hold above yellow zone
🚨 Final Thoughts
✔ Clean technical breakout with volume and structure
✔ Defined stop, solid R/R = smart trade setup
✔ Great candidate for swing traders looking for momentum
🔗 #SMCI #StockBreakout #ProfittoPath #ChartSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishTrade #NASDAQStocks #SmartTrading #RiskReward #MomentumPlay
SMCI: Enormous buy opportunity for a $70 Target.Super Micro Computer went from oversold to almost neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.789, MACD = -2.030, ADX = 39.343) as it is having an enormour turnaround on the 1W MA200 and the bottom of the Channel Up today. This is so far the biggest 1D green candle since January 19th 2024. The 1D RSI is on the same rebound as the February 3rd bottom was, so at least a +158.65% bullish wave is to be expected. Go long, TP = 70.00.
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SMCI Trade Recap📈Getting ready to start a new swing trade on SMCI, and I’ve mapped out my game plan with a tiered entry strategy and clear profit targets.
Here’s how I’m setting it up:
Entry Levels (Scaling In):
$40.50 – First buy if it pulls back to this area. Looks like solid support, and I’ll test the waters here.
$35.80 – Adding more if it dips further. This level has acted as a strong bounce zone in the past.
$30.60 – Final entry if it gets down here. Oversold territory + psychological level = great risk/reward.
Profit Targets (Scaling Out):
$47.00 – First target to take some profits off the table.
$51.60 – Second target — likely to see some resistance here.
$60+ – Stretch target. If the momentum is strong, I’ll hold a portion with a trailing stop and let it ride.
Game Plan: I’m staying patient with entries, letting price come to me. The idea is to build the position gradually and reduce risk by scaling in. I’ll also be keeping an eye on volume and broader market sentiment — if the setup changes, I’ll adapt.
Let’s see how it plays out — risk-managed, calm mindset, and ready to pivot if needed. 🚀
