SNOW trade ideas
Snowflake, Inc. $SNOW reaches pattern target, partial exitSnowflake is a cloud computing-based data warehousing company based in Montana, named after the founders' love for winter sports. I like winter sports, and the ticker SNOW is aesthetically appealing in my portfolio.
The trade setup was straightforward. The company IPO'd in 2020 at $220, and after one quarter that saw investors take price up above $400 per share, all post-IPO gains were given back by mid-2021, and price got down to as low as $180.
Between March - July 2021, $SNOW formed an inverted Head and Shoulders bottom, reflected by the blue curved drawings - a left shoulder, a "head", and a right shoulder. Once price broke above the pattern boundary, I reached a measured target of $320 by applying the width of the pattern (from $180 to $250, or $70) to the breakout level of $250.
$70 + $250 = $320
This measurement criteria is based on the works of John Magee and Robert D. Edwards in Technical Analysis of Stock Trends (5th edition, 1948).
My stop-loss, the "Last Day Rule", and my limit order placement is based on teachings from my friend and active trading legend Peter L. Brandt (Diary of A Professional Commodity Trader, @PeterLBrandt).
I've now covered 3/4 of this position for a gain of 28% (70/250).
My maximum risk, assuming my stop loss order filled peacefully at its activation price was only 4% (10/250).
The risk to reward setup at the time of entry was then (4%) to 28%, or 1 to 7.
Snowflake is probably in line for further price gains, but I have no reason to believe I have an edge at these levels.
Snow updateImo this is still an (ABC) wave structure just has a minor correction instead of a deeper retrace for live earnings conference and we ended probability for an impulsive 5 wave structure by a minor wave structure interesecting 4th wave correction with wave 1 impulsive in the the probability of a 5th wave , this is my probability of how things will play out further with an ending diagonal and then a push down. But in other news we did hit the green box from my other post so if you were the swing holder you are in profit congrats : ).
As always happy trading : )
Snow wave analysisSnow has taken a fall from a ending diagonal pattern and has fallen off into a Double three as you can see I have put the retracements and extension zones and included with arrows where I think it will be further into time I hope this helps with my analysis : )
As always happy trading : )
$SNOW $CRWD $NIO $MSFT I OptionsSwing WatchlistSNOW 4H I After June, we see another SNOW ascending triangle leading into earnings in September. Watching a bounce near $260 or a break above $276.
CRWD 1D I CRWD was rejected right on our trend line last week near $270, watching for a bounce near $240-$245. CRWD is due to report earnings on 09/01.
NIO 1D I NIO possible cup and handle pattern. Watching for a break above $45 and the trend line. Our scanners picked up bullish activity expiring on 08/06.
MSFT 1D I A bounce above the breakout of this channel ($280-$285) that was formed back in 2020, could take MSFT closer to the average stock price target of $321.