TSLA trade ideas
[02/03] TSLA GEX Outlook for February expiration📌 Key Levels & GEX Insights
Gamma Flip Zone: ~400 (until Febr expiration)
Tight Transition Zone, Wide Clear Movement Range
Above 420 Call Resistance : Every strike has positive Net GEX, meaning a return to this range would likely support further balanced upside or sideways movement.
Below 375 : The next PUT support is at 350, so a break below this level could open the door for a deeper drop.
There are 3 weeks until expiration. IV and IVR remain high even after earnings.
Despite today’s selloff, the high call pricing skew is still attractive if we want to collect credit.
In this case, a call butterfly or broken-wing call butterfly could be worth considering—but strictly based on GEX levels.
PS: FINAL GEX ZONE COLORING SHEET
Opening (IRA): TSLA March 21st 330/335/465/470 IC*... for a 1.70 credit.
Comments: Post-earnings, IV remains fairly decent here at 57.3. Selling the -20 delta short option legs and buying the wings out from there. Basically, just doing small stuff while I wait for other stuff to play out.
Metrics:
Max Profit: 1.70
Buying Power Effect: 3.30
ROC at Max: 51.2%
50% Max: .85
ROC at 50% Max: 25.8%
Delta/Theta: .95/2.24
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, consider doing a delta adjustment when the delta/theta ratio skews out to >2.0.
* -- Iron Condor.
TSLA: Technical Analysis (TA) for Feb. 7Timeframe: 1-Hour Chart
Market Overview
* Current Price: $370.88
* Key Resistance Levels:
* $380: Immediate resistance. A breakout above this level aligns with a potential gamma squeeze.
* $400: Higher resistance and critical level for bullish continuation.
* Key Support Levels:
* $363: Closest support, aligned with the highest negative GEX level.
* $350: Stronger support and psychological level with higher PUT concentration.
Trend Analysis
* TSLA is moving within a descending triangle. A breakout above $380 could signal a bullish reversal.
* However, price action remains constrained, suggesting cautious entry until direction is confirmed.
Momentum Indicators
* MACD: Bearish momentum is easing, but there is no clear bullish crossover yet.
* Stochastic RSI: Overbought in short-term, indicating the potential for short-term consolidation before further moves.
Gamma Exposure (GEX) for Option Trading
GEX Overview:
* Call Resistance:
* $380: Strong resistance aligned with 92.29% CALL wall concentration.
* Put Support:
* $363: High negative GEX level, suggesting robust support.
* Sentiment: GEX indicates a neutral-to-bearish sentiment due to concentrated PUT walls below the current price.
Trading Suggestion
Options Trade Scenarios:
1. Bullish Setup:
* Entry: Buy 7 DTE Call Options if the price breaks above $380 with strong volume.
* Target: $400.
* Stop Loss: Below $374.
2. Bearish Setup:
* Entry: Buy 7 DTE Put Options if the price drops below $363.
* Target: $350.
* Stop Loss: Above $368.
Critical Observations
* At market open, price movements may shift due to increased volume and volatility. Ensure to check real-time GEX updates to validate your setups.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your due diligence and manage risks accordingly.
TSLA Next Leg Up Tesla looks primed for a strong move after consolidating. The stock has been trading in a tight range, building up momentum, and now appears ready to break out soon. With higher lows forming and volume showing signs of accumulation, a bullish move could be imminent. If TSLA pushes past resistance with strong buying pressure, we could see a significant rally in the coming sessions. Watching for confirmation and a clean breakout—this could be the start of the next leg up.
Weakness in $TSLA when $QQQ and $SPY are strongAfter hitting an ATH NASDAQ:TSLA has lost the momentum. The NASDAQ:TSLA stock has lost the 50 Day SMA and the next stops are the 100-Day @ 330 $ and then the next stop is the 200-Day @ 280 $ . For all the Fib Retracement fans check out for the levels 0.786 @ 345 $ and 0.618 @ 293 $.
In contrast S&P 500 and NASADAQ100 are making new ATH and holding on to the gains. So, we might see NASDAQ:TSLA underperforming the NASDAQ:QQQ over the next few weeks. But long NASDAQ:TSLA when it reaches 200-Day SMA.
W Formation on Tesla for the LONG run 110% upside to comeTesla is showing all signs of upside this year.
They are putting their money in the right places.
Advancements in Autonomous Vehicles: Tesla plans to launch self-driving robotaxi services in Austin by mid-2025, signaling significant progress in autonomous technology.
INVESTORS.COM
Innovations in Robotics: The company is ramping up production of its Optimus humanoid robots, aiming to produce several thousand by the end of 2025, showcasing its commitment to cutting-edge robotics.
Strategic Political Alliances: CEO Elon Musk's close relationship with President Donald Trump has led investors to anticipate favorable regulatory changes and reduced government oversight, potentially benefiting Tesla's operations.
So innovation, robotics and politics. Either we will see huge growth this year, or we are in for a BIG surprise. However, because this is a weekly chart it can take two years for this to play out realistically.
W Formation
Price>20 and 200
Current falling Wedge
Target $684.41
Tesla: The New Gold in the World of Investing?Tesla is showing incredible growth at the level of Bitcoin and reminds me a lot of the structure of the leading cryptocurrency! Given the potential of Ilon Musk's company and his imminent tenure, we should not rule out “golden” times for his companies. Tesla has a great track record of building robots, developing super capacitors for its electric cars, and developing its own AI and its application in autopilot. Tesla looks like a great investment option right now, both long term and for a couple years.
Horban Brothers.
TESLA is overvalued and here is why - waiting for 270Tesla is overvalued, especially when compared to traditional metrics like P/E ratio. We have P/E 190 atm. If we compare Tesla to other EV companies, Tesla’s valuation might appear inflated. For example, companies like Rivian, Lucid, and NIO have been hyped similarly, but most haven’t shown the same level of growth and revenue.
Investors are betting on Tesla’s dominance in electric vehicles, energy, and other sectors, which drives the high valuation. Tesla's stock is also closely tied to Elon Musk’s reputation, decisions, and Twitter presence.
Tesla has become more profitable in recent years, but many argue that it’s still a growth company where profits aren't the main focus. The question is whether the current market cap is justified based on actual cash flow and profitability - of course NO.
Tesla was created as a startup and truly revolutionized the auto industry, but its stock is now worth several hundred times more than it is as a technology-driven car manufacturer. Future expectations have always driven the stock market, and this phenomenon will continue to accompany us. However, I believe that in terms of future expectations, Tesla, as an automaker, has long since exhausted its potential, and its competitors have long been replicating Tesla's "miracle," but in much more efficient ways.
A vivid example of this is the recent story of ChatGPT and DeepSeek. I am confident that sooner or later, Tesla will also become a "victim" of this.
On the other hand, Elon Musk’s reputation, political involvement, and trade wars—all of these are potential bombs placed under Tesla.