Watching TSLA With a Strategic Lens – No FOMO, Just FactsTesla (TSLA) has surged over 53% in the past four weeks, largely driven by renewed investor optimism around its developments in artificial intelligence and robotics, along with Elon Musk's confirmed commitment to remain as CEO for the next five years. While the rally has been strong, there are key factors that require attention. Tesla’s sales in China are still down 24% compared to the same period last year, and competition continues to grow—most notably with the release of the Xiaomi YU7 electric SUV. At current levels, Tesla’s valuation is elevated, which increases pressure for the company to deliver strong earnings and growth. Technically, the stock is approaching key support levels around $289 and $271 (close to the 50-day moving average), while potential resistance may emerge near $430 and $489. I personally am not rushing into the trade; I’m watching for a proper technical setup, including a healthy pullback and strong volume confirmation. As always, I rely on my full 20-point entry checklist before taking any position. I trade with discipline, risk control, and full transparency.
TSLA trade ideas
LONG @ 345. LONG @ 333. SHORT @ 348. SHORT @ 352. SHORT @ 360. Yesterday 343 was a very important level for TSLA. Today's TSLA is trading in the same area.
IF THE STOCK PRICE FALLS AFTER OPENING -
The most volume done yesterday was at 345. So we expect the stock to rally from the 345 area and go higher (especially because good news is out). If the sellers keep stepping down into the 343 area. We will redact our order and continue to assess. The 343 level can be broken today too. Two things were confirmed in yesterday's move. 1. The sellers are quite strongly present in the 352-355 area. This can motivate the buyers to expect a lower price of 333. It is entirely possible that the buyers step in at 333 and not at 343. So, we need strong confirmation on the 343 level, otherwise we will not enter. We will enter at 333.
IF THE STOCK PRICE RISES AFTER OPENING -
If the stock opens strongly and blows past 348 area. We wait for strong confirmation at 355 - 360 area that the stock is going to fall and then we short. If the stock slows down at 348 area, then we can either take a short at 348 or wait for it try and inch higher where we short the stock at 350-352.
Elliott Wave Analysis: Tesla (TSLA) Sustains Strong Upward RallyThe current price cycle for Tesla (TSLA), starting from its low on April 22, 2025, is unfolding as a five-wave impulse structure, a common pattern in technical analysis signaling strong directional momentum. As illustrated on the 1-hour chart, the stock has been advancing since this low, with distinct waves forming within the broader structure.
From the April 22 low, the first wave, labeled ((i)), peaked at $294.85, followed by a corrective pullback in wave ((ii)) that found support at $270.78. The stock then surged higher in wave ((iii)), demonstrating robust bullish momentum. Within this wave, the internal structure unfolded as follows: wave (i) reached $290.87, followed by a pullback in wave (ii) to $271. The rally resumed in wave (iii), pushing the price to $323.48, before a minor correction in wave (iv) concluded at $311.50. The final leg, wave (v), culminated at $351.52, completing wave ((iii)) of the broader impulse.
Subsequently, a corrective wave ((iv)) unfolded as a zigzag pattern. From the wave ((iii)) peak, wave (a) declined to $342.33, followed by a wave (b) rally to $350.56. The corrective move concluded with wave (c) at $332.29, marking the end of wave ((iv)).
Looking ahead, as long as the price remains above the key support level of $270.78, any near-term pullbacks are likely to attract buyers in a 3, 7, or 11-swing corrective pattern, setting the stage for further upside in the ongoing impulse structure.
Tesla - Was I Wrong about the Big Short or Early?So far I have been wrong about the outlook for Tesla. I am not sure how a company can do so poorly but the stock price continue to rise. Am I wrong about the Big Tesla Short or am I early? Some say being early is the same as being wrong. What are your thoughts about Tesla? Does the future of humanoid robots and driverless taxis outweigh the companies current state?
Is TSLA Going Strong Bullish?I believe we have seen the bottom of TSLA. And we are not going below 222 again.
TSLA has been through some difficult corrections, which can be read in many different ways.
After spending some time studying the 3-waves and 5-waves since the top in November 21, I believe I have a strong case in my reading, and I believe Elon is going to make TSLA a bullish stock again.
We are right now in a wave 1, so there will be a small correction soon, but I don't believe we will go below 222 again.
Tesla (TSLA) – From EV Giant to Tech & Energy Ecosystem Titan Update Summary:
Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA continues its transformation beyond vehicles, building a vertically integrated platform across mobility, energy, AI, and infrastructure. We maintain a bullish stance above $270.00–$275.00, with an upside target of $470.00–$480.00 based on multi-revenue stream expansion and high-margin software/service potential.
🧩 Key Growth Catalysts:
🔌 Supercharger Network Monetization
Now open to non-Tesla EVs, creating a recurring infrastructure revenue stream
Margins likely higher than vehicle hardware—similar to SaaS economics at scale
Reinforces Tesla’s ecosystem lock-in and increases brand leverage
🤖 Robo-Taxi & FSD Platform
Robo-taxi launch expected in late 2025/2026 could redefine Tesla as a Mobility-as-a-Service (MaaS) provider
Software-like margins from Full Self-Driving (FSD) subscriptions and usage fees
Establishes a powerful network effects moat
🔋 Energy + AI Synergies
Growth in Powerwall, Megapack, and solar deployments
Custom AI chips powering FSD could open new B2B licensing opportunities
AI + energy + hardware = long-term defensibility and scalability
🌍 Macro Support:
Global EV penetration projected to exceed 45% by 2030
U.S. and EU incentive tailwinds + rising fuel costs accelerate EV demand
Rising demand for grid-scale energy storage bolsters Tesla Energy segment
📈 Trade Setup & Price Targets:
✅ Entry Zone: $270.00–$275.00
🎯 Target Range: $470.00–$480.00
⏳ Time Horizon: 6–12 months (event-driven upside with robo-taxi and earnings catalysts)
🧠 Investment Thesis Summary:
Tesla is no longer just an automaker. It’s an ecosystem-first, AI-powered energy and tech company building infrastructure, platforms, and software at scale. The convergence of hardware, energy storage, and autonomy makes TSLA a rare multi-vector growth story with a durable long-term edge.
#Tesla #TSLA #EV #FSD #MobilityAsAService #EnergyStorage #TechEcosystem #BullishBreakout
Tesla reclaimed spider trendsMade a sizable entry last year when daily RSI was bottomed.
Double downed and picked up more around $256.
Price bounced off Spider support trend lines and broke through resistance trend lines.
Elon posted this in march 2025:
x.com
Expecting to see 2,000$ within 3-5yrs.
NFA.
TESLA Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the TESLA next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 349.84
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 369.27
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 312.75
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Will the $349.98 Rally Lead to Breakout Momentum?Direction: LONG
Targets:
- T1 = $365
- T2 = $380
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $340
- S2 = $330
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Tesla.
**Key Insights:**
Tesla continues to dominate the EV industry with strong forward momentum in its technological advancements and market position. Current price levels exhibit resilience following a 17% surge over the past week, and strong institutional inflows signal continued bullish sentiment. Positive catalysts, such as increased adoption of autonomous driving technologies and expanded partnerships in energy storage, underpin Tesla's growth potential. However, inventory constraints and near-term market volatility could serve as temporary headwinds, making risk management critical for long-term investors.
High trading activity indicates robust interest at current levels, aligned with analyst expectations of Tesla outperforming broader market indexes. With recent announcements on Tesla's full self-driving software updates, analysts anticipate significant revenue growth from software subscriptions.
**Recent Performance:**
Tesla’s stock has rallied significantly, climbing from $298 to $349.98 within a week, supported by institutional buying and optimism surrounding its product pipeline. Despite short-term profit-taking, investor confidence in Tesla remains intact. The stock has consistently outperformed its peer group in the EV sector and showcased stronger relative strength compared to the S&P 500 during this bullish phase.
**Expert Analysis:**
Market experts have emphasized Tesla's leadership in scaling EV production and its focus on expanding its global footprint in the energy and automotive sectors. Technically, Tesla’s stock shows robust momentum, with sustained buying above key support levels and the 50-day moving average. Analysts project $365 as the next crucial target, with $380 representing a longer-term breakout level fueled by operational milestones and strategic initiatives. Key concerns include supply chain shortages and potential regulatory changes, but Tesla’s innovation pipeline remains unmatched.
**News Impact:**
Several news-driven catalysts make Tesla an attractive trade. Recent partnerships, such as the integration of Tesla vehicles into ridesharing networks, strengthen its brand presence. Additionally, reports of Tesla focusing on battery capacity improvements and securing lithium supplies boost confidence in scalable production. These developments suggest continued upside potential amid growing global EV demand.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Tesla's current price offers an excellent entry point for a bullish long-term position, with upside targets of $365 and $380, supported by strong fundamentals and sector leadership. Tight stop-loss levels at $340 and $330 allow effective risk management in case of near-term volatility. Investors should focus on Tesla’s long-term growth trajectory, robust technical setup, and improving macroeconomic conditions that favor EV adoption.
Tesla upside bias with every dip is a buying opportunity18 May 2025
As I've consistently highlighted, every dip in Tesla has been a buying opportunity. Congratulations to those who accumulated when the price was around $250 or below—you should now be sitting on a positive P&L.
The trend remains strong. As long as momentum holds and Tesla breaks above the $300 resistance, we could see a move toward $400+ in the near term.
Strategy: Continue to hold and ride the trend.
TSLA (Tesla) – Elliott Wave Impulse Ending + Fibonacci CorrectioTesla completed a textbook 5-wave Elliott impulse to the upside, topping out near the 1.0 Fibonacci extension ($367.71). We're now seeing signs of a corrective wave likely targeting the golden zone near $294.89 — aligning with SPY/NVDA retracements.
🔍 Elliott Wave Count:
Wave (1): Impulse from breakout
Wave (2): Shallow pullback
Wave (3): Extended rally
Wave (4): Minor correction
Wave (5): Final push – now failing
📉 Fibonacci Zones:
Current Price: $346.46
Wave 5 Completion: ~$367
Retracement Target: $294.89 (0.5–0.618 confluence)
Extension Target: $513.06 (2.0 extension from wave base)
📊 Probabilistic Outlook
🔻 Correction to $294.89 = 70% probability (based on wave structure + Fib retracement logic)
🔼 Rally to $513+ = 60% probability if support holds and market conditions remain risk-on
🌐 Macro Alignment (May 31, 2025)
🔄 Market rotation into value → temporary tech cooldown
📉 NVDA false breakout and SPY retracement suggest broader pullback
🧠 Tesla is a beta-multiplier to NASDAQ; expect correlation
🧭 Trade Plan:
Buy Zone: $294.89 (watch for confirmation + volume spike)
Sell Target: $513.06 (Fib 2.0 extension)
Stop: Below $278 (structure invalidation)
🧠 Pro Insight:
This is a Wave 2/4 retracement zone where institutions often reload. The broader macro pullback may present one of the last deep dips before a Q3 breakout.
#TSLA #ElliottWave #FibLevels #TechStocks #SmartMoney #SwingTrade #NASDAQ #WaverVanir #TradingView
Tesla (TSLA) Share AnalysisHello, Tesla investors!
Tesla stock has gained good momentum recently, breaking the downtrend and rising to $362. This rise has been fueled by investor interest in Elon Musk's full-time return to the company's helm and the upcoming Robotaxi launch.
Technically speaking , the stock has formed a "double bottom" (W) pattern, and its target, $362, has been reached. However, we are now facing strong resistance at this level. If this resistance level is not surpassed with sufficient trading volume, we may see a short-term pullback.
The possibility of a short-term correction increases, especially with the RSI indicator approaching the overbought zone.
The $335 and $290 regions stand out as support levels. These levels are important to watch for possible pullbacks.
In summary , Tesla stock is in an important resistance zone. Breaking through this level with high volume could signal the start of a new uptrend. Otherwise, we may face a short-term correction. Consider these levels and technical indicators when making investment decisions.
Tesla Inc. (TSLA) Technical Analysis and ForecastTSLA has demonstrated strong upward momentum since the market opened today, reaching a resistance level around the $362 zone.
From a technical perspective, there is potential for a short-term pullback to the $354 area, which aligns with the top of the support zone, also known as the "right shoulder" of the prevailing pattern.
Should this support level hold, we may anticipate a continued upward move, targeting higher price levels.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support Levels:
Primary Support: $354 zone
Secondary Support: $321 zone (as a deeper stop loss level)
Resistance/Take Profit Levels:
Target 1 (Take Profit): $440
Target 2 (Take Profit): $480 (previous all-time high)
Traders should approach this setup with caution, as always, adhering to sound risk management principles.
TESLA Index Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 052625Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 330/61.80%
Chart time frame:D
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: B
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
Bullish Breakout Could Lead to Further Gains
Targets:
- T1 = $350.75
- T2 = $363.25
Stop Levels:
- S1 = $331.50
- S2 = $320.00
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Tesla.
**Key Insights:**
Tesla continues to demonstrate impressive resilience and positive technical setups despite broader market volatility. The stock has maintained its position above critical support levels, with buying activity persistently pushing prices upward. Key market drivers include Tesla’s leadership in electric vehicle innovation and artificial intelligence integration enhancing its long-term value proposition. Furthermore, renewed market enthusiasm for growth stocks contributes to Tesla’s current trajectory.
**Recent Performance:**
Recently, Tesla's price has stayed on a steady uptrend, advancing 2.7% over the past 7 days and outperforming both the NASDAQ and S&P 500 indices. While brief market corrections momentarily tested its support levels, Tesla quickly recovered, underscoring investor confidence in its growth trajectory. This strong relative outperformance confirms robust market interest in the stock as a leader in innovation.
Expert Analysis:
Market analysts have generally taken a curated bullish view on Tesla, citing multiple bullish technical indicators such as the ongoing price breakout above moving averages and a bullish consolidation pattern. Several analysts project $400 as the next key psychological level if Tesla can surpass its immediate resistance at $354.25. The fundamentals remain compelling, supported by Elon Musk's proactive engagement in Tesla's strategic advancements, which continues to instill confidence among shareholders.
News Impact:
Tesla’s current spotlight is bolstered by anticipation around its robo-taxi service, renewed AI ambitions, and Elon Musk's visible leadership within Tesla operations. These developments, coupled with strong market sentiment during recent announcements, have further strengthened its medium-term outlook. External macroeconomic risks, however, may affect momentum, necessitating vigilance by traders.
Trading Recommendation:
The technical and fundamental setups for Tesla present an opportunity for traders to take long positions with clear upside targets in mind. Critical levels include the immediate support zone at $336.76 and a breakout above $354.25, which can further fuel Tesla’s bullish momentum. Traders should monitor macroeconomic conditions and company updates while maintaining vigilance on stop-loss levels to mitigate risk as market conditions evolve.
Congestion Entrance TradingCongestion Entrance marks the transition from a trend to a period of uncertainty and range-bound price action.
📘 Key Concepts:
Congestion begins when price fails to close on one side of the PL Dot for 3 bars.
The first bar that closes on the opposite side of the PL Dot (after a trend) is the Congestion Entrance bar.
This signals a likely end of the previous trend and the beginning of congestion or reversal.
🧩 Key Structures:
Dotted Line: Highest high (or lowest low) of the previous trend — often acts as a cap or floor.
Block Level: Low (or high) of the Congestion Entrance bar — often attracts price and marks congestion boundaries.
Parameters of Congestion: The range defined by the Dotted Line and Block Level.
⚙️ How It Evolves:
There are multiple transition scenarios, for example:
Trend Up → Action → Trend Down: Resistance holds at the Dotted Line, Block Level breaks.
Trend Down → Action → Trend Up: Support holds at the Block Level, Dotted Line breaks.
Trend Up/Down → Reversal: Direct shift into opposite trend if support/resistance is firm enough — skipping action phase.
🔍 Key Takeaways:
Congestion Entrance is often the first clue the market is shifting gears.
It's essential to monitor how price reacts to the PL Dot, Dotted Line, and Block Level.
Anticipate Ping trades (quick scalps) or prep for potential Congestion Action if price fails to establish a trend after entrance.
📌 Pro Tip: Watch how higher timeframes align — if the HTP is showing signs of topping or bottoming, the LTP congestion entrance may lead into a reversal or major trend change.