TSLA trade ideas
Tesla - A story of an underdogSeveral of the Mag 7 are getting over heated, so I like to look at the ones that haven't caught up.
Since I don't have a crystal ball, I must consider the bearish and bullish scenarios.
As an investor I must pivot accordingly as one of these scenarios gets invalidated.
So on my charts you'll always see both scenarios. Today I'm leaning towards the bull.
Tesla just needs a narrative shift (ie -new invention etc), & price action changes in a heart beat.
Yet, price action really has less to do with the news making Elon a hero, then a villain and then back and forth...but moreso to do with price action patterns that just keep repeating.
So if we don't get a dead cat bounce, I believe Tesla could eventually head towards it's ATH, if this bull market continues.
Tesla (TSLA) – VolanX Forecast: The Calm Before the Storm?📊 Tesla (TSLA) – VolanX Forecast: The Calm Before the Storm?
Wave structure analysis + liquidity map + roadmap to $513
🧩 The Story So Far – Compressed Potential
Tesla has spent the past three months inside a contracting triangle (ABCDE) — a classic Elliott Wave corrective pattern that signals energy compression before expansion. From the May high (Wave (1)), price has been coiling within tightening range boundaries, forming lower highs and higher lows. The triangle culminates with leg (E), now hovering near support.
🟠 VolanX flags this as a terminal wedge—an area where institutions test both sides of the book, hunting liquidity.
🌀 Wave Forecast – Impulse Awakening
If the triangle completes as expected, we enter Wave (3)—typically the most explosive wave in Elliott sequences.
Here's how the projected roadmap unfolds:
Wave (2) ends around $288.20–$271.00 (key demand/liquidity zone)
Wave (3) initiates from this springboard, aiming toward:
📈 1.0 Fib Extension at $367.71
📈 1.618 Extension at $457.84
Consolidation expected at that level forms Wave (4)
Final thrust into Wave (5) targets $513.51, aligning with extended Fib projection and historical order block
This sequence respects classical Elliott impulse structure: 5-wave motive into macro target zone.
🧪 Timing & Liquidity – Watch the Clock, Watch the Flow
🗓 Key Windows from chart verticals:
Aug 27–Sep 1, 2025: Liquidity test at $288.20 zone
Oct 1–15, 2025: Expansion toward Wave (3)
By mid-November 2025: Completion of Wave (5) → exhaustion at $513 zone before probable macro retracement
🔍 Liquidity Zones:
$288.20 – Institutional reaccumulation level (VolanX confirms large resting bids)
$271.00 – Final sweep zone. Break below would invalidate bullish count
Above, $336.70–$351.19 is the first liquidity magnet
Major stops above $457.84, then final cluster $513.51
🧠 VolanX Opinion – AI View on Risk & Opportunity
VolanX signals high-probability breakout setup, with confluence across:
Liquidity clusters
Fibonacci symmetry
Elliott sequencing
Gamma positioning (institutional hedging tilts long below $290)
📈 Current predictive bias: 68% probability of breakout from triangle resolving bullishly, conditional on $288 support holding.
If tested and respected, AI favors aggressive repositioning in long gamma, echoing historical TSLA breakout behavior.
📌 Strategy Summary:
“I think they shall test this… I could be wrong. But if momentum holds, $288.20 bounce is likely. If not, wait for structure to rebuild before long.”
🧭 Trade Setup (Not Financial Advice):
Watch zone: $288–271
Confirmation: Strong rejection wick + volume delta flip
Stop: Below $267.57
Targets: $367.71 → $457.84 → $513.51
🔻 Risk comes from invalidation below $271.
⚡ Reward stems from recognizing compression before expansion.
#TSLA #VolanX #ElliottWave #LiquiditySweep #WaveAnalysis #FibonacciLevels #SmartMoney #OptionsFlow #TeslaForecast #AITrading #WaverVanir
Next Volatility Period: Around August 21
Hello, traders.
Please "Follow" to get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
#TSLA
We need to see if it is rising along the rising channel.
The key is whether it can rise with support near 311.48 to break out of the downtrend line.
The key is whether it can rise along the short-term uptrend line and break through the short-term downtrend line after passing through this volatility period around July 25.
Therefore, we need to see whether it can rise above the 347.21-382.40 range with support near 311.48.
The next volatility period is expected to be around August 21.
-
The important thing is to maintain the price above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
If not, there is a possibility of a long-term downtrend.
Therefore, if it shows support in the 268.07-311.48 range, it is a time to buy.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
Long TESLATrading Fam,
Today my indicator has signaled a BUY on $TSLA. The technicals align. M pattern looks to have completed at strong support (RED TL) and is bouncing upwards inside of a solid liquidity block. Buyers are stepping in. I'm in at $315 and will shoot for $430 (probably taking some profit along the way). My SL is currently $241 but will trail as we enter profit.
Best,
Stew
Don’t Be Surprised to See $TSLA at $100/Share Down the LineTesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) has spent the last 5 years ranging between $100 and $300, with only two spikes — November 2021 and December 2024 — both of which failed to hold above $400. Structurally, this is a long-term range stock at this point.
Unless we see breakout with volume above the $400 level, the odds still favor a continued range. Long-term investors and traders should remain open to the idea of a retest toward the bottom of the channel ($100) — especially if Tesla's financials’s face pressure.
TSLA: Here is what I see in TSLA"Zoom In. Follow the Sequence."
Just analyzing sequential wave patterns across multiple timeframes.
You can zoom in and see how structure evolves — impulse, correction, then continuation.
Maybe there’s a strategy here that repeats. Maybe not.
But if there is... it’s worth finding.
Make or Break point for TSLAlots of bulls and bears for TSLA. Wedging for a bit now. Filled the 296 gap and gap above, now its time to see if TSLA wants up or down. RSI MACD stabilized, volume thinned out, so whatever direction it chooses I think will be explosive. Plenty of Call and Put flow on both sides.
TESLA: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
TESLA
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long TESLA
Entry Point - 302.63
Stop Loss - 296.98
Take Profit - 312.87
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Tesla (TSLA) Crash Ahead? $101.81 Retest in SightThe Tesla price chart appears to show a large flat correction labeled W-X-Y.
Wave W consists of three downward waves from 2021 to 2023. (white)
Wave X shows a three-wave upward retracement from 2023 to 2024, which even overshot the start of wave W. (blue)
Now, we seem to be in the final leg of the third move: wave Y down. (yellow)
Typically, wave Y retests the bottom of wave W.
If that holds, we could see Tesla’s price revisit the 2023 low of $101.81.
Is Tesla losing its appeal?
I’d love to hear your thoughts.
TSLA Weekly Bearish Play — August 2, 2025
🔻 **TSLA Weekly Bearish Play — August 2, 2025** 🔻
🚨 **Multi-Model Consensus Signals a Tactical Put Opportunity**
### 🔍 Market Snapshot:
* **Daily RSI:** 39.9 (Bearish)
* **Weekly RSI:** 53.2 → Falling
* **Volume:** Weak (0.8x last week)
* **Options Flow:** Neutral (C/P Ratio \~1.04)
* **VIX:** 20.38 → Favorable for Options Plays
* **Institutional Support:** Weak
---
### 🔮 Model Consensus:
📉 **All major models (xAI, Google, Claude, Meta, DeepSeek)** confirm:
* Bearish momentum on both daily + weekly RSI
* Weak volume = cautious institutional behavior
* Volatility setup perfect for short-dated puts
---
### 🎯 Viral Trade Setup:
**💥 Trade Type:** PUT (Short TSLA)
**🔻 Strike:** \$300
**📆 Expiry:** 2025-08-08
**💰 Entry Price:** \$6.65
**🎯 Target Exit:** \$10.64 – \$13.30 (60%-100% gain)
**🛑 Stop Loss:** \$3.99
**📊 Confidence:** 65%
**📍 Entry Timing:** Monday open
**🕒 Signal Timestamp:** 2025-08-03 01:33:56 EDT
---
### ⚠️ Key Levels:
* Support to watch: **\$297.82**
* News/event risks: Stay alert ⚡
* Use tight risk controls for weekly plays!
---
🔥 **If you trade TSLA — don’t sleep on this one.**
Bearish consensus + clean setup = **high-probability weekly play.**
TSLA Breakout Watch: Symmetrical Triangle Squeeze!Trade Summary
Setup: Symmetrical triangle pattern tightening since March; volatility compression signals an imminent breakout.
Entry: On daily close above the triangle resistance (~$324)
Stop‑loss: Below triangle support (~$305)
Targets:
• Target 1: $375
• Long-term: $500+
Risk/Reward: ~2.5–3:1 (Initial target), higher for long-term hold
Technical Rationale
📈 Symmetrical triangle: Clear converging trendlines; price nearing apex after months of higher lows and lower highs
🔔 Volatility squeeze: Range compression increases odds of explosive move
⏳ Daily timeframe: Signals a swing/position trade opportunity with significant upside
Catalysts & Context
⚡️ Earnings season ahead could trigger a breakout
🌱 EV sector momentum and renewed tech leadership
🏦 Analyst upgrades and potential for macro rate cuts
Trade Management Plan
Entry: Wait for a daily close and volume confirmation above $324 resistance
Stop-loss: Tight initial stop below $305; trail to breakeven after breakout confirmation
Scaling: Partial profits at $375; let remainder run for $500+ if momentum continues
Poll
What’s your view? Are you watching TSLA? Comment below or vote:
🔼 Bullish
🔽 Bearish
🔄 Waiting for confirmation
Follow us for daily high-probability setups & real-time trade updates!
Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
WXY structure with a double topTesla has been in a uptrend with a corrective structure WXY. I am not sure if the WXY is a part of wave 5 terminal structure or a B wave. However expecting a double top or 78.6 retrace to 425-430 range as a minimum. For this scenario, an impulsive upside move is expected within the next few weeks. However the price needs to move back into the channel next week as a first step.
TSLA: 308.27Bullish Entries: 312.00/318.00 Stop 316.00 / Target 322.00–325.00
Bearish Entries: 304.00/300.00 Stop 302.00 / Target 296.00–292.00. Note: If the open starts above 312.00, we should wait for it to touch 318.00. Then, 320.00 is the entry for the previous day's bearish trend reversal and the new uptrend.
Fibonacci Arcs in Stock TradingFibonacci Arcs in Stock Trading
Fibonacci arcs, derived from the renowned Fibonacci sequence, offer a compelling blend of technical analysis and market psychology for traders. By mapping potential support and resistance areas through arcs drawn on stock charts, these tools provide insights into future price movements. This article delves into the practical applications of Fibonacci arcs in trading, their interplay with market psychology, and best practices for effective use.
Understanding Fibonacci Arcs
The Fibonacci arc indicator is a unique tool in technical analysis derived from the famed Fibonacci sequence. It’s crafted by drawing arcs at the key Fibonacci retracement levels - 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8% - from a high to a low point on a stock chart. Each curve represents potential support or resistance areas, offering insights into the stock’s future movements.
The art of arc reading, meaning interpreting these curves, is crucial for traders. When a stock approaches or intersects with an arc, it reflects a significant reaction level. For instance, if a stock price touches or nears an arc, it could face arc resistance, indicating a potential halt or reversal in its trend.
Applying Fibonacci Arcs in Trading
In the stock market, these arcs serve as a guide for traders seeking to anticipate future price movements. When applied correctly, they can provide critical insights into potential support and resistance levels. Here's a step-by-step look at how you may use them effectively:
- Identifying High and Low Points: Begin by selecting a significant high and low point on the stock's chart. In an uptrend, it’s the most recent swing high to a previous swing low, and vice versa. These are the anchor points.
- Drawing the Arcs: Once the points are selected, draw the arcs at the Fibonacci retracement levels of 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%. They radiate from the chosen low point to the high point (or vice versa), cutting across the chart.
- Interpretation: Watch how the stock interacts with these lines. When the price approaches an arc, it might encounter resistance or support, signalling a potential change in trend or continuation.
- Timing Entries and Exits: Traders can use the arcs in the stock market as a tool to time their trading decisions. For instance, a bounce could be a signal to enter a trade, whereas the price breaking through might suggest it's time to exit.
Fibonacci Arcs and Market Psychology
The effectiveness of Fibonacci arcs in trading is deeply intertwined with market psychology. They tap into the collective mindset of traders, who often react predictably to certain price levels. The Fibonacci sequence, underlying this tool, is not just a mathematical concept but also a representation of natural patterns and human behaviour.
When a stock nears a curve, traders anticipate a reaction, often leading to a self-fulfilling prophecy. If many traders make an arc stock forecast, they might sell as the price approaches a certain point, causing the anticipated resistance to materialise. Similarly, seeing support at an arc can trigger buying, reinforcing the tool’s power.
This psychological aspect makes Fibonacci arcs more than just technical tools. They are reflections of the collective expectations and actions of market participants, turning abstract mathematical concepts into practical indicators of market sentiment and potential movements.
Best Practices
Incorporating Fibonacci arcs into trading strategies involves nuanced techniques for better accuracy and efficacy. Here are some best practices typically followed:
- Complementary Tools: Traders often pair this tool with other indicators like moving averages or RSI for a more robust analysis.
- Accurate Highs and Lows: It's best to carefully select the significant high and low points, as the effectiveness of the curves largely depends on these choices.
- Context Consideration: Understanding the broader market context is crucial. Traders usually use Fibonacci arcs in conjunction with fundamental factors to validate their analysis.
- Watch for Confluence: Identifying areas where Fibonacci levels converge with other technical signals can provide stronger trade setups.
- Practice Patience: Traders typically avoid making hasty decisions based solely on Fibonacci levels. It's usually better to wait to see additional confirmation from the price action.
Advantages and Limitations of Fibonacci Arcs
Fibonacci arcs are a popular tool in technical analysis, offering distinct advantages and some limitations in analysing stock movements. Understanding these can help traders leverage the tool more effectively.
Advantages
- Intuitive Nature: The Fibonacci sequence is a natural pattern, making the tool intuitive for traders to understand and apply.
- Dynamic Support and Resistance Levels: They provide dynamic levels of support and resistance, unlike static lines, adapting to changing market conditions.
- Versatility: Effective in various market conditions, the arcs can be used in both trending and sideways markets.
Limitations
- Subjectivity in Selection: The effectiveness largely depends on correctly identifying the significant high and low points, which can be subjective.
- Potential False Signals: Like all technical tools, they can generate false signals, especially in highly volatile markets.
- Requires Complementary Analysis: To maximise effectiveness, these curves are usually used alongside other technical indicators, as they are not infallible on their own.
The Bottom Line
Fibonacci arcs are invaluable tools in stock analysis, providing insights into market trends and potential price movements.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
$TSLA ~ Elliott Wave Updates.This whole wave is Wave C(Black) that started when Wave B(Black) was completed. This Wave C(Black) expresses itself in 5 main waves shown in Green. Wave 2(Green) was a Zigzag and a Flat should be expected for 4(Green). Meanwhile, Wave 3(Green) expresses itself in a 5 wave move shown in Black- with Wave 2(Black) being a Zigzag, our 4 was a Flat. This Flat is shown as Blue ABC. When Wave 4(Black) completed, our Wave 5 began which upon completion, would be Wave 3(Green) of the main wave. Wave 2(Red) is a Flat and a Zigzag should be expected after 3(Red).
Go to for more information of the same.
Tesla Builds Toward Fair Value GapFenzoFx—Tesla (#TSLA) bounced from the ascending trendline and closed yesterday's session at the volume point of interest, the $322.3 mark. This level is above the monthly VWAP, meaning bulls are gaining, and bears are losing money.
That said, we expect the uptick in momentum to resume, targeting $338.9, and if this level is breached, the stock will likely aim to fill the Fair Value Gap at $350.0.
Tesla Short Term Breakout?With Robotaxi, American Party, Elon, Trump... Fugayzi, Fugazi.
What goes with TSLA from a technical standpoint? Let's take a dive.
If we take $215, the yearly low, as a bottom. We can see the $292 level is both the 50% Fib level, and the yearly high before 5/9 , when a clear breakout happened .
This level was tested again during 6/5 (failed, but support at the classic 61.8% support at $275).
And again during 7/7.
We then can draw two inferences: the 2025 support line, and the 2025 wedge breakout line.
Today, we have a clear breakout against that wedge line. Is this the breakout we are looking for? How much will the upside go?
The next key level is $370 . The yearly high this year. We need to see a clear breakout above this level to confirm NASDAQ:TSLA in full blown bull mode.
The blue line indicates a likely scenario for the upcoming months.
Let me know what you think.