VIPS about to take off?
Vipshop Holdings Ltd (Nasdaq symbol is VIPS) has now left its neat parallel channel on the daily chart and could hit the $20 price target soon.
Please note that Chinese stocks traded on the Nasdaq are usually volatile but can deliver fantastic returns in a short period of time.
Stay tuned for updates.
VIPS/N trade ideas
8/20/24 - $vips - sub $12.. things that go "hrm"8/20/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:VIPS
sub $12.. things that go "hrm"
- tough to own any chinese stonks, i get it. NYSE:BABA is arguably the cheapest biggest non-US moat on the planet and has a nice AI story too that is worth peanuts
- i've owned russian assets when the USSA rendered them zeros. i get the risk we face here with election upon us
- also understand these results (notably the guide) wasn't great. but the stock is/ was partially and also incorporating this
- i also don't proclaim to know the catalyst here. this is always risky if you don't size/ risk manage.
- but from a LT perspective, idk how you can look at something that does 2 bn in free cash flow and worth 4-5 bn (and by the way growing in one of the largest e-comm mkts with a nearly 20% market share and doing well in the off-brand category) and say "nah".
- there's always downside. cheap things can get cheaper especially in today's mkt of finding life boats in a world of fastest growing assets (growth is the only scarcity, esp profitable growth *ahem* nvda as king and will remain as such).
- but 3x (cash adjusted) PE, 40-50% fcf yield. i'd say you're not taking a massive risk here as a small LT set and forget punt. looked at options but given the election, the fact i can only go until Jan 2025 and premiums are high on a day like today, i'd probably only consider them if we get a further risk off move closer to the $10 zone and especially below.
- i'm in for 50 bps starter here. idea is a longer-term position and possibly grow it. like the entry is the tl;dr
- take a look. what am i missing?
V
VIPS breaks out after excellent reports with high volume...The stock broke a resistance level yesterday with extremely high volume after publishing better than expected reports, is in positive momentum
Buy - $19.5
Target price in the attached picture...
Not a recommendation of course...
Don't forget the rule... the only way to trade the stock market... look at my signature below
Otherwise it won't work...
Keep in mind that I always update my analysis and stop losses but don't always post it NYSE:VIPS
Vipshop Holdings LimitedVipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS) has shown significant performance in the stock market with an impressive 11% increase over the past month. This growth prompts a deeper look into the company's key performance indicators, especially considering the high return on equity (ROE) of 23%, indicating the company's efficiency in generating profits from its shareholder investments. This high ROE, coupled with a net income growth of 21% over the past five years, surpasses the industry average and highlights Vipshop's strong market position and operational efficiency.
Despite facing challenges in the market, Vipshop has managed to exceed expectations with its latest quarterly earnings, reporting $3.33 earnings per share, a significant leap from the consensus estimate of $0.40. This performance reflects not only the company's ability to navigate market volatility but also its strategic focus on growth and profitability.
Vipshop's commitment to sustainable development is further demonstrated by its upgraded MSCI ESG Rating to AA, showcasing its capabilities in environmental, social, and governance aspects. Additionally, partnerships aimed at ecological conservation and the release of its Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Report, set to achieve carbon neutrality in its operations by 2030, underscore Vipshop's dedication to sustainable business practices.
For investors, Vipshop's consistent financial performance, strategic growth initiatives, and commitment to sustainability make it a compelling option in the online retail sector. The company's focus on leveraging its strong market position, along with its effective use of retained earnings for business expansion, presents a solid case for investment consideration.
NOT TRADING ADVICE. ALWAYS DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH.
VIPS Vipshop Holdings Limited Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of VIPS Vipshop Holdings Limited prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 18usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-9-15,
for a premium of approximately $0.55.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
$VIPS Retesting Breakout?Looks like NYSE:VIPS had been basing for about 5 months before breaking out of resistance on June 6 on slightly better than average volume. Since that breakout and peak on June 15th, it has been pulling back to the breakout area. I like these retest entries. Depending on the market today and the performance of NYSE:VIPS , I will be looking to enter a trade on the long side. All TBD. See notes on chart.
Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Constructive comments always welcome. Thanks for looking.
VISHOP holdings LongAfter positive sentiment within the market following into early June VIPS is still pushing resistance and staying at a price target of $19.00. They have a grade A price momentum with 21.56% within the last three months, the stock has been profitable for a mere 68.56% YTD yet, the RSI index indicates that the stock is beginning to become over bought as it reaches (RSI 70.65, RSI MA 53.64). This is also Indicated by an avg. rate of Suprise on earnings of 41.8%.
VIPS (Long) - Undervalued Outperforming Chinese GemFundamentals
The Chinese market has not performed rather well year-to-date, which makes the price action of VIPS that more impressive .
Despite the wider market struggling, the firm showed strong growth last year with 35% growth in earnings. The recovering Chinese market might propel even more demand (which is the Chinese government actively supporting) and of which NYSE:VIPS would be one of the major beneficiaries
The company is also quite undervalued with P/E = 9.8 and P/S = 0.6
The fundamentals are pristine with negligible amount of debt and high returns on equity and assets
The market is smelling internal strength and earnings next week might serve as a perfect propellent to rocket the stock out of the base
Technicals
The company has been basing and creating a rounding base since the start of the year
My main selling point is the impressive relative strength . While the Chinese tech market has been deteriorating since the start of the year, VIPS has been standing strong, buying back every possible breakdown. I have been actively watching price action on this stock for two months and investors are actively buying any potential downside.
Relative strength against AMEX:KWEB is shown at the bottom of the chart, clearly pointing higher; RSI is breaking above 60; MACD is breaking out; stochastics are showing strength and the A/D line has been strengthening throughout the basing process
Overall, the pattern very much looks like a bull flag about to break out
Trade
One option is to enter now and catch a perfect buy point, but then there is a need to risk a negative earnings surprise (I chose this option and entered today)
Or wait until after the earnings which would be safer but risking a worse buying point; decision is up to your risk appetite
Follow me for more analysis & Feel free to ask any questions you have, I am happy to help
If you like my content, Please leave a like, comment or a donation , it motivates me to keep producing ideas, thank you :)
VIPS - inverted Head & ShouldersBullish argument for VIPS:
1. formation of inverted H&S
2. now above 200 days moving average
3. held above neckline and 200days MA for the past 2 wks
Less bullish:
volume is below average (would have prefered to see stronger volumes esp upon breakup)
Let's see if this inverted H&S will work out.
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
To take or not to take, that's the question?The first cycle of decline has been completed and a correction to it is now developing. As part of this corrective growth, we can test the broken trend line in the area of 17. Well, or at least test the upper boundary of the equilibrium channel of the descending forks area (12.88). So it seems to me it is possible to take away this movement. Buy from the current, stop 7. 40 . Take 12.88
VIPS - Watch for earnings break outThe China tech sector has been over sold for many months and could be reversing here. VIPS is an online discount retailer for brands.
VIPS resistance at $13, ER is on Nov 18 pre market.
Options - There are over 13000 $13 calls in OI Nov 19th. Put call ratio is .58
Look for an ER beat. GL!