It could be now or never for ASX 200 bullsI suspect it could be a case of now or never for ASX bulls.
Whilst it suffered its worst day in 9-weeks on Thursday, this could be part of an ABC correction and the 200-day MA is nearby as a probably support level, even if it breaks lower today. Futures markets shows heavy volume occurred around yesterday's lows (bears piled in around the lows) yet sentiment could rise if a debt ceiling deal is reached as reported, forcing a short-covering rally.
Yesterday’s low sits around a 50% retracement and 61.8% projection level, and there is a volume cluster around 7122 during the strong rally which could provide support. Furthermore, RSI (2) is oversold.
The bias is bullish above 7090 (below the 200-day MA) and for its next leg higher to begin.
AUS200 trade ideas
ASX to stall at previous swing high?ASX200 - 24h expiry
Buying pressure from 7053 resulted in prices rejecting the dip.
The current move higher is expected to continue.
The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 7230 level.
We look to Sell at 7225 (stop at 7265)
Our profit targets will be 7125 and 7105
Resistance: 7215 / 7305 / 7435
Support: 7010 / 6825 / 6660
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
AU200 to see a temporary move higher?ASX200 - 24h expiry
Previous support level of 7129 broken.
Short term bias has turned negative.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 7190 level.
We look to Sell at 7190 (stop at 7230)
Our profit targets will be 7090 and 7010
Resistance: 7215 / 7305 / 7435
Support: 7010 / 6825 / 6660
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
ASX to find sellers at current swing highs?ASX200 - 24h expiry
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower.
Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 7280 level.
We look to Sell at 7275 (stop at 7315)
Our profit targets will be 7175 and 7150
Resistance: 7305 / 7435 / 7600
Support: 7215 / 7120 / 7010
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
ASX 200 bulls eye another crack at 7300 (Australia 200 CFD)The possible 'sympathy bounce' towards 7300 highlighted last week played out nicely. Whilst we're on guard for bearish momentum to return as part of the seasonal 'sell in May and go away', we retain a bullish bias over the near-term.
Prices have since pulled back from those highs and price action on the intraday chart appears to be corrective, in the form of a falling wedge (a bullish continuation pattern). It's forming a base around the 38.2% Fibonacci level and above the 50% retracement line, whilst RSI (14) is forming a bullish divergence.
- From here, bulls could consider bullish setups above 7226 in anticipation of a move higher
- The bias remains bullish above 7220
- The wedge pattern suggests an upside target near the base of 7300
Sympathy bounce for the ASX 200?Whilst prices are expected to open lower, we’re on guard for a small countertrend bounce. A bullish hammer formed on the daily chart at the lower Bollinger band which found support at the 50% retracement level and 200-day EMA. A bullish divergence has formed on the RSI (2) within the overbought zone. A break above yesterday’s high could potentially see it retest the 7275 low, or the monthly pivot point around 7300.
If we managed to bounce that far, we'd then look for signs of weakness for a potential swing trade short, given weak sentiment for global stocks and the tendency for stocks to underperform around this year due to "sell in May and go away" seasonality.
A break of yesterday’s low assumes bearish continuation.
AU200 Showing strong upside to 8,414 with a warningReverse C&H formed on the AU200.
We had a very weak break above the neckline showing the bulls are not as strong as they ought to be.
This comes with a Warning because if you zoom out you'll see an even larger Box formation (range traded area).
One can place a stop loss but I would put it below the entire C&H to stop the chop.
7>21>200
RSI>50
Target 8,414
SMC
SSl Order Block below the Box Formation and Rev Cup and Handle where SM comes in and sweeps Sell Side Liquidity from Long traders who get stopped and shorters who went short.
ASX to find support at recent swing low?ASX200 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 7316 (stop at 7266)
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
A lower correction is expected.
Short term bias has turned positive.
We look to buy dips.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 7310 level.
Our profit targets will be 7436 and 7466
Resistance: 7435 / 7600 / 7815
Support: 7305 / 7215 / 7120
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
XJO 4500 in a few yearsthe crash is coming.
could be this year or the next.
the money printing and bond buying will cease to work.
insulin resistance for the markets when
the market becomes resistant to money printing
like the person eating sugar (with constantly high insulin
levels) will become diabetic
ASX to find support at previous swing high?ASX200 - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 7270 (stop at 7220)
Previous resistance level of 7272 broken.
Our short term bias remains positive.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A lower correction is expected.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher.
Our profit targets will be 7390 and 7420
Resistance: 7435 / 7600 / 7815
Support: 7305 / 7215 / 7120
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
AU200AU SHORTPossible bearish movement of the pair. The price is currently in a trading zone with significant volume , with rejections at the top of the price right at the 55 period EMA , which is essential in my strategy for analysis of possible trend continuations. We also see significant development in the Squeeze momentum indicator and macd histogram monitors, with directionality changes to bearish confirmed. We see the attached ADX indicator entering below the 23 level line (0 point of the MACD histogram), indicating the weakness of the previous move higher as it bounced towards the 55 period EMA , to continue falling as the moves have indicated. previous; along with a possible sell signal pattern coming soon on the MACD lines. There could be a continuation of the downtrend.
If you are going to take my opinion into account, please respect the projection time, this is extremely important. If it is not fulfilled in the foreseen time and it makes a range, it will be better to close the operation in case it is possible.