Germany 30 Buy I Buy Germany 30. Sl and Tp on the chart.
Now i just wait and see!!
Note! Increased volatility today due to interest rate news, so I'll be cautious with SL.
GER30 trade ideas
DAX H4 | Pullback resistance at 50% Fibonacci retracementDAX (GER30) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 18,593.36 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 18,660.00 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 18,352.60 which is a swing-low support that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
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GER30 Bullish..Index is in a bullish trend. Long positions should be considered. Scale down to lower timeframes for better entries. Enjoy..
2024-07-16 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Bears got follow through down to 18600 where Bulls were eager to buy and not wait for the market to hit the daily 20ema or the bull trend line. That’s strength by the bulls. My target was 18570 and we got 18590, that’s decent enough. The buying in the US session was still surprising to me but then I guess it’s up again. Last stand for the bears is 18740ish where the weekly 50% pullback is but I doubt it can hold.
current market cycle: trading range (triangle on the daily chart - technically bears traded back into the triangle)
key levels: small range 18600 / 18900
bull case: Bulls bought the double bottom 18600 above the bull channel support line and now they want back up above 18800 and print a new ath. The broad bull channel leads exactly to the ath and leg1 and leg2 were 630 and 550 points big. If we get 500 points up, that would lead us to 19100.
Invalidation is below 18600.
bear case: Bears failed at 18600 and now odds favor the bulls to get back above 18800 again. Can the 50% pb at 18740 or the broken triangle bear trend line act as resistance? I highly doubt that. Got nothing for the bears here.
Invalidation is above 18750.
short term: Bullish if we stay above 18600 for at least 18800 but probably higher.
medium-long term: My long term outlook stays bearish and I expect at least a -20% correction in 2024. Medium term is 17100 while I think we can touch the big bull trend line starting 2022-10 around 16700 in 2024. —unchanged
current swing trade: Short since 18700, added to shorts 18900. Will hold this till Cathy closes ARKK or the big short 2.0 is announced. —unchanged
trade of the day: Again buying a double bottom at big support on the 1h tf. Bar 8 + 14. Both had bigger tails below and market found not enough sellers below 18600. Had to get long latest bar 17. Buying bar 16 was tough because you would have bought right under the 1h 20ema and previous resistance. Any long below 18600 was king.
DE40 breakout to ATH imminent There is a breakout imminent on this index as sentiment switches to near short term greed. The playout is purely fundamental. A break towards 19000 is very likely.
DE40 breakout to ATH imminent There is a breakout imminent on this index as sentiment switches to near short term greed. The playout is purely fundamental. A break towards 19000 is very likely.
dax40We support the German index purchase, and we have set the targets and are waiting for them to reach the targets
DAX going to test a monthly tls originated in March'2000DAX is following the monthly triangle pattern now going to test the higher pattern linen(Tl) so a resistance level for the time being, it depends upon how market reacts here as it is a rising tl ( dynamic) so new and higher level every month
will post possible monthly and weekly levels in the comment section
2024-07-15 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
comment: Strong day by the bears which was just a healthy pullback on a higher time frame. For bears to do some actual damage they need to print strongly below 18670 again. A measured move down would lead to 18570ish. Since bulls and bears have valid arguments here, I expect more sideways movement until we get another breakout above or below. No opinion on who wins it. Bullish above 18800, bearish below 18670.
current market cycle: trading range (triangle on the daily chart - technically bears traded back into the triangle)
key levels: small range 18500 / 18900
bull case: Bulls see today as a pullback to the 4h 20ema and want to print a new ath while they have the momentum and trading above the higher tf ema. They also closed the market above the breakout price 18722, which confirms the bullishness, if we rally from here again.
Invalidation is below 18670.
bear case: In my weekly post I wrote that buying above 18800 is bad not matter how you look at it and bulls got another big rejection. The market now has formed a broad bull channel where the support line is around 18530, so another 170 points lower and coincidentally it’s also where the daily 20ema is. Enough reasons to have a stronger argument for another leg down by the bears.
Invalidation is above 18800.
short term: Bearish until we hit the daily ema or at least 18570. Invalid above 18800 or strong close above the 1h 20ema.
medium-long term: My long term outlook stays bearish and I expect at least a -20% correction in 2024. Medium term is 17100 while I think we can touch the big bull trend line starting 2022-10 around 16700 in 2024. —unchanged
current swing trade: Short since 18700, added to shorts 18900. Will hold this till Cathy closes ARKK or the big short 2.0 is announced.
trade of the day: buying the double bottom with y close
Weekly Technical AnalysisStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends.
The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex.
*KEY
Trend direction is set by the slope of the VWAP over 50 periods
Trend phase is determined by the current price relative to the VWAP (20) level (above or below)
Support & Resistance are set by the StdDev #2 Lower and Upper respectively.
Momentum is determined by the RSI level (70 as overbought and under 30 as oversold).
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Analysis
Germany 40 is pushing the upper boundary of its sideways trend, having broken out of a tight sideways consolidation, with the price increasing to 18,710, now above the VWAP of 18,349. Support and resistance levels have adjusted to 17,976 and 18,711, respectively. The RSI has increased to 61, indicating rising momentum.
UK 100 remains in a neutral sideways trend, with the price stuck in the middle of a tight range, just above the VWAP of 8,207. Support has adjusted to 8,129, while resistance has increased to 8,285. The RSI is at 52, reflecting a slight increase in momentum.
Wall Street has entered a new bullish trend and remains below the May peak, with the price recently increasing to 40,156, now above the VWAP of 39,379. Support and resistance levels have adjusted to 38,697 and 40,061, respectively. The RSI has increased to 75, signaling strong bullish momentum compared to the previous report.
Brent Crude remains in a bullish trend and continues in an impulsive phase albeit with a downturn in the last few days to just above the VWAP of 85.33. Support has adjusted higher to 83.39, while resistance has increased to 87.27. The RSI has turned lower to 47, indicating a lack of strong bullish momentum.
Gold remains in a sideways trend but has just broken the June peak, with the price recently increasing to 2,409, now around the previous VWAP of 2,354. Support has adjusted higher to 2,282, while resistance has increased to 2,426. The RSI has strengthened to 63, indicating the potential beginnings of a new period of higher momentum.
EUR/USD has broken out from its previous downtrend but the new uptrend needs to take out the June high to be sustainable. It is now well above the VWAP of 1.0783. Support has adjusted higher to 1.0637, while resistance has increased to 1.0929. The RSI has increased to 67, indicating a reduction in bearish pressure.
GBP/USD remains officially in a neutral trend but the recent breakout suggests a new uptrend is emerging, with the price increasing to 1.29862, well above the VWAP of 1.2760. Support has adjusted upwards to 1.2514, and resistance has increased to 1.3006. The RSI has increased to 74, indicating fresh bullish momentum to sustain a possible new uptrend.
USD/JPY remains in a bullish trend and near multi-decade highs and remains within a corrective phase just above the VWAP, with the price near 157.81. Support has adjusted higher to 157.80, while resistance has increased to 162.70. The RSI has decreased to 38, reflecting a reduction in bullish momentum compared to the previous report.
