JP225 (Nikkei 225) Index Intraday Technical Analysis:Today was a public holiday in Japan. The JP225 index which is aligned with international markets stayed sideways during the active Japanese session. Market once again took rejection from 27444. Effects of less hawkish US fed policy were seen in the Japanese market as well. My idea is that the JP225 will take rejection from 27444. My targets for intraday are entry at resistance of 27444. My goal is support of 27250 and retracement level of 27100.
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JPN225 trade ideas
Major Indexes are resilient but may be due to selloffThe world is focused on the US indexes which have recently broken down out of the uptrend. The question is now whether there is more downside to come which could turn into a major selloff after such a big Fed Fueled pandemic rally. I take a look at the price action and major levels of the Key Indexes.
In the US - DOW, SP500 and Nasdaq
Europe - DAX, FTSE and Eurostoxx
ASIA - ASX200, Hang Seng and Nikkei
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Nikkei 225 - Bullish upside returning. A repeat of the historyObserving from the descending channel (green line) we could see that it is a fractural kind of pattern in the corrective wave settings. Furthermore, we have been in a larger complex triple three waves and as such, we believe that the upside is returning.
On the chart pattern front, inverted head and shoulder is seen and with the resounding morning star pattern, the Japanese is likely to see a return back to the 30,000 level Banzai!
NI225 Japan recovered lost decades; retested H&S & lower channelNikkei 225 have finally recovered from the lost 3 decades. It BO & retested the neckline of a BIG H&S
Pattern stretching almost 3 decades from 1992 to Dec2020.
It also retested the lower side of a big upchannel, rise up to be rejected by the median line of channel.
It has to hold the strong yellow support zone at around 27000 to be bullish enough to break through median.
However, it may still go down to retest the green zone near 25175, or lower channel/neckline, before a true rally may begin.
Not trading advice
NI225 : 10% Down ?
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Nikkei 225 Formed V-Shaped Bottom, Target at 31,000Trend Analysis
The main view of this trade idea is on the Daily Chart.
The Nikkei 225 Index appears to be breaking out of its downward trend channel that formed in September 2021. The breakout appears to be from the V-shaped bottom in the Index over the last month and a half. Expectations are for a continued rally towards all-time highs, around the 31,000 price level. This view will be negated if JP225 were to decline back below 27,000.
Technical Indicators
The technical indicators corroborates this view. The JP225’s Supertrend is back in buy-mode after the Index crossed above 26,000. Also, JP225 is back above the Daily MA, the 1st time since early January 2022. The Awesome Oscillator is above 0 and green while the RSI is above 50.
The intra-day trend following indicators of the Nikkei 225 Index also display uptrends in the 15-Min, 2-Hour and 4-Hour Time frames. Short to medium term support is seen around the 27,300-27,500 price range.
Recommendation
The recommendation will be to go long at market, with a stop loss at 27,000 and a target of 31,000. This produces a risk/reward ratio of 1.94.
Disclaimer
The views expressed are mine and do not represent the views of my employers and business partners. Persons acting on these recommendations are doing so at their own risk. These recommendations are not a solicitation to buy or to sell but are for purely discussion purposes.