NAS100 trade ideas
NASDAQ, USTECH, DEAD CAT BOUNCEContinues bearish divergence
Multiple rejections from resistance area
Dead cat bounce appeared
failure to break resistance can lead towards 18500 area
Gap needs to be filled in that area
Negative GDP data will be the actalyst in bearish move
job market data is also negative
slowdown of economic growth
Breakout or Rejection at Key ResistanceSupport and Resistance Levels:
Resistance: 19,856.6 is a key level where the price has recently been rejected.
Support: 19,146.4 is a major support, with an intermediate level at 19,516.0 acting as a pivot point.
Trend and Structure:
The price has broken a descending trendline (white dotted line), suggesting a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
Currently, the price is consolidating between 19,516.0 and 19,856.6, indicating indecision.
Indicators:
EMA 200 (Daily): The price is below the EMA 200 (19,856.0), indicating that the long-term trend remains bearish until the price sustains above this level.
Fibonacci: The 138% / 50% Fibonacci retracement level (18,950.0) has acted as support in the recent past.
Bullish Scenario:
If the price breaks and holds above 19,516.0 with volume, it could target the resistance at 19,856.6.
A confirmed break above 19,856.6 (with a close above the EMA 200) could signal bullish momentum toward 20,000 or higher.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price fails to hold above 19,516.0 and breaks lower, the next key support is at 19,146.4.
A drop below 19,146.4 could push the price toward 18,950.0 (Fibonacci level).
Recommendation:
Long Entry: Wait for a confirmed break above 19,516.0 with a strong close and volume. Target: 19,856.6. Stop-loss below 19,400.0.
Short Entry: If the price rejects 19,516.0, consider a short with a target at 19,146.4. Stop-loss above 19,600.0.
Monitor volume and price action near the EMA 200 for trend confirmation.
Note: This analysis is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Adjust based on your strategy and risk management.
Is Nasdaq still bullish? Steep correction today as expectedIf you look at my last post, you can see where I explained the expectation.
As range theory would state, the rejection from the bottom of a range creates a target in the high of the range. I have identified the candle top that I believe is the target for this rally.
If the bearish imbalance is stacked with too many orders we will not make it there. We are sitting right around the 50EMA for hourly as well as retesting the break point and bottom of the hourly bearish orderblock as I have marked.
It is in my opinion that the Void will act as a magnetic anomaly and assist in pulling price up as many institutional orders will be in that range, but we'll see 🔑
Share with a friend in need of real guidance 🫡
NASDAQ: Rejected on the 1D MA50. Can it break it?Nasdaq is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.608, MACD = -100.810, ADX = 23.609) as it got rejected today on the 1D MA50. That is the first serious Resistance test of the April 7th rebound and until it breaks, we can see a technical pullback to the 4H MA100 in order to establish the new Support. With the 1D RSI confirmed the new long term bottom with a DB, buying the dips on every such pullback is the most effective strategy on such occasions. Our short term target is the R1 level (TP = 20,300).
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Hits Supply ZoneAfter a sharp drop, price is retracing and reacting to the 19,214.3 resistance zone.
Still inside a descending channel, targeting 18,947.0, where dynamic support and the 200% Fibonacci extension align.
🎯 Entry: Clear rejection from resistance
🛑 Stop: 19,380
✅ Target: 18,947
⚠️ Active management recommended – possible reaction at mid-channel
Structure still confirms bearish momentum (wave 4 in progress). Watch out for fake breakouts!
X2: NQ/US100/NAS100 Long - Day Trades 1:2X2:
Risking 1% to make 2%
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for day trade, with my back testing of this strategy, it hits multiple possible take profits, manage your position accordingly.
Risking 1% to make 2%
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
NASDAQ a look ahead...As the NASDAQ and other major U.S. Equity Indexes face the pressure of economic uncertainty, the price action between days show that investors are not quite convinced this bull run has seen its finish line. However, we shouldn't only be looking toward private investor sentiment, but also that of the Federal Reserve's presence in the market and how the bond market reflects the Fed's position moving forward.
As shown here, the all time high for the TVC:NDQ is $22,133.22. Our position is that the NASDAQ must reclaim, retest, and continue beyond the all time high in order for us to continue our confirmation on the bull run. The path described should look as shown below...
In this instance, we can assume the bull run should continue. However, we should also be prepared for an alternate scenario where investors leave risk assets behind to chase non-risk assets (bonds for example). This scenario would look as shown below.
All though these are not the only two possible scenarios, we can most likely expect the future to play out in a similar fashion as the examples.
As for the market metrics to keep an eye on, look to TVC:US10Y for any bond yield manipulation, FRED:RRPONTSYD for market liquidity metrics, and FRED:M1V for M1 money velocity. Furthermore, keep an eye on tariffs for consumer tech ( NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:NVDA , NYSE:TSM ) and military activity ( NYSE:LMT , NYSE:RTX , NYSE:NOC ). Lastly, keep an eye on the banking and financial sector for more than likely banking deregulations withing the coming years.
Bearish StructureThe NASDAQ price action shows a clear bearish Elliott Wave structure, currently unfolding a 1-2-3-4-5 pattern. Price is in the corrective wave 4, potentially reversing around the 19,371.9 area, which overlaps with a previous supply zone.
From the local high at 19,508.1, bearish momentum has increased, and we expect one final leg down toward wave 5, targeting the 19,053.1 level or even the extended 18,920 (200% Fibonacci) zone.
Key levels:
Resistance: 19,371.9
Support: 19,053.1 and 18,920
Potential strategy:
Watch for a clear rejection around 19,370–19,400 to enter short positions targeting 19,050 or 18,920. Confirm with price action.
NASDAQ Recovery Looks Fragile Below 20,500After the steep drop to 16,300, NAS100 started to recover, forming a higher low and managing to break back above the falling trendline drawn from the all-time high (ATH).
While these are positive developments, in my opinion, the trend is likely to reverse to the downside soon.
Technically, the index is now entering a heavy resistance zone, marked by:
• The golden sell zone between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement,
• Psychological resistance at 20,000,
• Major horizontal resistance around 20,500.
As long as the price remains below 20,500, I favor short trades, targeting a potential drop to at least 18,000
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
NSDQ100 INTRADAY trend change supported at 18950 Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 19590
Resistance Level 2: 20070
Resistance Level 3: 20344
Support Level 1: 18460
Support Level 2: 17820
Support Level 3: 17330
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Ultimate Guide to Master ICT KillzonesWhy Timing Matters Just as Much as Price
Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and ICT methodologies are built on the idea that markets are manipulated by large players with precision. While most traders obsess over price levels, entry models, and liquidity zones, many fail to realize that none of those matter if they happen at the wrong time. Time is not an afterthought, it's a core part of the edge.
Price can show you where the move might happen, but time shows you when smart money is most likely to act. That window of action is what ICT calls the killzone.
What Are Killzones?
Killzones are specific time periods in the trading day when smart money typically executes large moves. These sessions have predictable volatility and institutional order flow. They are not just random hours, they coincide with major session opens and overlaps.
The most relevant killzones are:
London Killzone (LKO), 2 AM to 5 AM EST
New York Killzone (NYKO), 7 AM to 10 AM EST
New York Lunch/Dead Zone, 11:30 AM to 1 PM EST (low probability, often reversal traps)
Each killzone offers unique opportunities depending on how liquidity has been engineered prior. ICT-style setups are most reliable when they form within, or directly in anticipation of, these windows.
The Trap Before the Real Move
Smart money loves to trap retail traders. This trap usually happens just before or early in a killzone. For example, if price takes out a key high at 2:30 AM EST (London open), many retail traders see a breakout. But those in tune with SMC see it as a classic liquidity raid, bait before the reversal.
Once that external liquidity is taken, smart money shows its hand with displacement, a sudden, aggressive move in the opposite direction. This typically forms a clean imbalance (Fair Value Gap) or a breaker block. That’s your cue.
If the price returns to that level within the killzone, that’s the optimal entry window.
Confluence is King: Time, Liquidity, and Structure
The most reliable SMC setups happen when:
Liquidity is swept early into a killzone
Displacement confirms the real direction during the killzone
Entry happens via return to an FVG or OB created within that same session
The setup might still look right if it forms outside these windows, but without proper timing, it’s often just noise or engineered liquidity to trap impatient traders.
Real-World Example: NY Killzone Short
NY, At 8:30 AM EST, price runs above the Asian highs, sweeping liquidity
Displacement, Sharp bearish move breaks structure to the downside at 8:45 AM
Entry, Price retraces into the 5M FVG at 9:10 AM
Result, Clean reversal into a nice profit trageting liquidity, all within the NY session
Outside of this killzone structure, the same setup likely would have chopped or failed.
Common Mistakes Traders Make With Time
Chasing price outside of killzones, Setup might look good, but volume is thin and no follow-through comes
Assuming all killzones are equal, London setups are often cleaner in structure, while NY has more manipulation around news
Forcing trades in NY lunch, Midday reversals do happen, but they’re lower probability. If you're not already in a position by 11 AM EST, it's often best to wait for the next day
The Discipline Edge
Most traders overtrade not because they lack setups, but because they don’t filter based on time. By only trading when price interacts with your levels during active killzones, you immediately reduce the number of bad trades and increase your focus on meaningful opportunities.
Good setups are rare. Good setups in the right timing window are even rarer. That’s where consistency comes from.
Final Thoughts
Time is not optional. In SMC and ICT, it’s not enough to have the level, you need the timing. Killzones are your filter, your edge, and your context for every trade.
Once you understand how time and price move together, and stop treating every moment on the chart equally, your trading will start to reflect the true flow of smart money.
Wait for time, wait for price, then strike.
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