Nasdaq market analysis: 23-Dec-2024Good morning, traders! Welcome to today's Nasdaq market analysis. Compare my price action insights with your own charts and enhance your trading skills.
NAS100 trade ideas
How much higher could the Nasdaq 100 climb?The trend remains bullish above 21,920, and as the market approached the 20,000 mark this morning, buyers stepped in. The trend will remain upwards above 21,920, and the biggest concern now is that many traders are sitting on significant profits, and with the tax year nearing its end, they may need to close positions to cover taxes.
What’s your take? Will 21,920 hold and lead to a new all-time high before year-end, or is this the peak?
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Nasdaq 100 Reaches Record HighNasdaq 100 Reaches Record High
On 29th October, analysing the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) chart, we:
→ Drew a blue upward channel relevant for 2024.
→ Noted that the price was in a consolidation phase (indicated by narrowing purple lines) at the channel's median, suggesting a potential balance of supply and demand forces.
→ Warned that earnings season could trigger a volatility spike.
→ Suggested that the price was likely heading toward a new all-time high.
Since then:
→ Amid company earnings reports, we observed a volatility spike in November, which was further amplified by the release of US presidential election results.
→ The index achieved a new all-time high.
The Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) chart shows that the index surpassed the $22,000 level for the first time yesterday. This was supported by positive trader sentiment ahead of tomorrow's Fed interest rate decision. According to Forex Factory, the rate will be cut by another 25 basis points (returning to the February 2023 level).
Meanwhile, the technical analysis of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) reveals that:
→ The price has approached the upper boundary of the upward channel, which could serve as strong resistance.
→ Since early December, the index has risen by approximately 5.5%, and the RSI indicator has entered the overbought zone for the first time since July.
Under such conditions, bulls may struggle to continue the upward momentum, as more investors might look to lock in profits ahead of the holiday season. Additionally, the market's reaction to tomorrow's Fed interest rate release at 21:00 GMT+2 may play a key role.
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NAS100 UPDATE - Severe Divergence20SMA - Blue
200SMA - Pink
Key Confluence Areas - Grey Lines
Market Structure Support/Resistance - Green/Red Dashed Lines
Dear Friends: (Away from charts)
It will be prudent to give your mind, body and soul a good rest, to recharge for the new upcoming exciting year!
How I see it:
Keep in mind NASDAQ is seriously diverted on all Time Frames!
"BAKED IN" Rate Cut Bets = Institutions Maximizing Profits
Strong bullish price action with no selling resistance
Bull Imbalances all the way!
How far can bulls drive it up, who knows?
All I know for a fact is that Nasdaq is in "SEVERE" overbought territory!
Keynote!
The 1HR TF gives me the best view of only the tip
of the iceberg of the scale of the 1st divergence level.
Please examine your RSI on all TF's, from 1Hour - 1Month closely
I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view.
NasdaqThis is what I think about Nasdaq in the next few week's and months: I believe a %10-15 correction is ahead. If you find this work useful hit the like button please.
Short Position - NASDAQShort Position Entry: Consider initiating a short position if the Nasdaq-100 Index falls below 21,000.
Stop Loss (SL): Set a stop loss at 21,555 to manage potential losses.'
Market Sentiment: The combination of the Federal Reserve's cautious approach and rising inflation may contribute to a weakening market sentiment, potentially leading to a downward movement in the index.
his recommendation is for educational purposes only. Always consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Stock trading involves risks, including the potential loss of capital. Ensure to evaluate your risk tolerance and conduct thorough research.
NASDAQ 100 - kiss and say good byeAfter years of solid growth, the signs for distribution beetween bulls and bears has arrived.
Shares are changing the hand, from investors to speculants. And I suppose extreme speculatants. There are some players on market which are preparing an extreme short selling.
Technical side, there a enough signs to say good bye and change the river side, from long to short.
11 th of dec: open to short NDX @ 21715.87
Dan, 11th dec 2024
NASDAQ - 22/12/24 - LONGPrice has for the past weeks been on an uptrend, showing clear higher highs and higher lows. Looking for price to continue higher on the basis that last week's low was a new higher low. Additional confluences include a daily order block and price showing bullish momentum immediately after tapping.
To summarize, the idea is to just follow the trend. 1:3 RR
US100 LONGUS100
LONG
💎Please don't be greedy
ENTRY : yellow point
TP : blue lines
SL :
below red line for LONG position
above red line for SHORT position
⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 1:
Please respect the yellow entry point, otherwise you risk entering too early before my strategy or too far, thus reducing gains and aggravating losses in the event of a stop loss
⛔️INSTRUCTIONS 2:
For risk and money management:
5% of your wallet for LEV X ≤20
And
3% of your wallet for LEV X ≥ 20
Nas 100 Sell to trend line on Daily *I am in no way a financial advisor and you should always do your own due diligence before placing any trade. Do not trade what you are not comfortable with losing. No trade is guaranteed.
Price Retest Scenarios and Key Levels for Trend ConfirmationTechnical Analysis
The price has surged to a new historic high. It is now expected to retest 21900. A confirmed 4-hour candle close below 21900 will indicate a bearish move toward 21770.
On the other hand, if the price stabilizes above 22120 with a confirmed 1-hour candle close, it will support a bullish trend toward 22230.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 22120
Resistance Levels: 22230, 22400, 22510
Support Levels: 21900, 21770, 21620
Trend Outlook:
- Bearish Momentum with stability below 22120
- Bullish Momentum by stability above 22120
bigger corrective range
Hello , trader,
This is my first sharing for 2025 where i forecast the direction of US indices.
Let's see how it plays out
Cheers!
US100Hello Dear Traders.
Resistance 18050
Support 17555
Table Contains Levels for Next DAY.
Long Term Channels ..
Possible FIB Levels on the Chart.
A Fan Drawn on The chart as its HOT :D
Wish You best of LUCK
Trade Wisely.
US100 Trade LogUS100 has reached the daily FVG , providing a short setup at the 0.5 level with at least "1:2 RRR" and 1% risk.
Any fill above the midpoint is ideal, aiming for a correction into the weekly Kijun .
Recent Fed hawkishness, softening global growth, and tightening liquidity support a downside move. Stops go just above the FVG high; ride the drop toward weekly support.
Nasdaq 100 Wave Analysis 23 December 2024
- Nasdaq 100 reversed from strong support level 21000.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 22000.00
Nasdaq 100 index recently reversed up from the strong support level 21000.00 (former resistance from the start of November), intersecting with the support trendline of the daily up channel from November and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from October.
The upward reversal from the support level 21000.00 created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Long-legged Doji.
Given the clear daily uptrend, Nasdaq 100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 22000.00, which stopped the previous impulse wave i.
NAS100 Confirms Upside After Testing 1M PPHello,
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100 has tested the 1M PP, receiving sufficient support to push the price above the 1D PP. This confirms the potential for further upward movement.
No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost
TradeWithTheTrend3344
NasdaqOn daily timeframe the Market is Extremly bullish, and on strong support of pscychological level. And also on cot report we have more bullish net position than bearish once. And H4 we can see that it is also bullish,till 23000
NASDAQ Before FOMC - New Chance For Bears?The NASDAQ has staged an impressive rally in recent weeks. We had pointed out bearish divergences in the volume, which the market ignored with a brilliant upward movement - this was not unexpected, as we remember from the aforementioned analysis. Nevertheless, these bearish divergences are still present and are now also clearly visible in the long-term cumulative volume delta chart.
With tomorrow's FED meeting and signs of weakness, the chances of a short-term correction to one of the various open gaps are not bad.
Nas fundamental idea, sell now 22033, target 21700Tomorrow we will have FOMC. So today US session can be pretty volatile, because of "repositioning". Be careful with opening new positions and especially with sizing. Personally Im expecting a pause in December and cut 0.25-0.50 in January. Contrary to market expecting 0.25 tomorrow. The reasons are two. Sticky inflation + Donald. Inflation is higher than in forecasts(also NFP, GDP are higher) and these alltogether giving FED "free hand" to get inflation under control by a pause. Second reason, Donald will push FED(however independent) to cut, cut, cut. So this is the last chance not to cut, because Joe really does not care nowadays. Donald wants american cars, products, tits not EU, CAD or Chinese. It means duty. Also wants lower taxes = higher consuption. All these steps are super inflatory. Sounds good for voters, bad for economy. These are the reasons Im expecting a pause. You can think about them but surely do your own plan to trade FOMC. This is mine.
Downward correction followed with upward continuationNASDAQ is currently in a bull run, but seems to be fading and needing a correction to continue the upward trajectory. The below structures between 21800-21400, will be potential barriers of the bearish move, leading in towards a potential upward movement. Conversely, if price action stabilises below 21400 -21200, the movement will likely continue down.
NASDAQ / Price at Critical Levels Amid Rate Decision SpeculationTechnical Analysis
The price completed its correction to 21,900 and then pushed back up to the all-time high (ATH). Now, a drop toward 21,900 is possible, with a break below this level signaling a bearish zone. This movement will depend on Jerome Powell's speech and whether there is an indication of a rate decrease in the next meeting. A rate decrease would likely have a bullish impact on the indices.
Conversely, if the price stabilizes above 22,120 with a confirmed 1-hour candle close, it would support a bullish trend toward 22,290 and 22,410.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 22120
Resistance Levels: 22230, 22400, 22510
Support Levels: 21900, 21770, 21620
Trend Outlook:
- Bearish Momentum: Stability below 22,120
- Bullish Momentum: Stability above 22,120
SELL NASDAQ UNTIL 11K AND WAIT FOR MORE BLOOD !!!Nasdaq going on a Down trend !!
Sell now and be Patient
PATIENCE IS THE KEY
TP on 11K and wait !!!
