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How AI is Becoming a Bearish Factor for the Nasdaq 100How AI is Becoming a Bearish Factor for the Nasdaq 100 In 2024, the Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) has risen by approximately 20%, with optimism around the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) acting as one of the bullish drivers. However, yesterday's reports from Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta Platforms (META) indicated that AI, as a factor influencing stock prices, may be shifting from a bullish to a bearish driver. The issue lies in the rising expenses that these tech giants are incurring in the race for leadership in this area. Earlier today, we noted that due to increasing expenditures, MSFT shares fell by roughly 4%, despite a strong earnings report. A similar trend is seen in Meta Platforms' stock: actual earnings per share and gross revenue exceeded analysts’ expectations. However, due to high capital investments, META shares in pre-market trading today are around 3% lower than yesterday's opening. Meanwhile, technical analysis of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) index chart indicates several bearish signals: → Since mid-September, price fluctuations have formed an ascending channel, constructed using linear regression (shown in blue). However, following the reports from Microsoft and Meta Platforms, the index value has sharply dropped from the upper half of the channel to its lower boundary. → The pattern of peaks A-B-C-D shows that bulls find it difficult to maintain momentum: each successive peak only slightly exceeds the previous one, followed by a decline. Considering this information, it is reasonable to assume that the current ascending channel may be unable to drive the price to the July 11 peak and could be breached by bears. Additionally, the formation of a bearish channel is not out of the question (its preliminary outline is shown in red). This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
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by FXOpen
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DreamAnalysis | NASDAQ's Next Move Key Levels & Strategic Setups✨ Today’s Focus: NASDAQ (US100) – A Major Market Influencer We’re diving into the latest NASDAQ price action to pinpoint crucial levels, assess potential trends, and uncover strategic trading opportunities. 📊 Market Overview: Currently, NASDAQ is positioned in a deep premium. The price has broken through significant buy-side liquidity levels, including the Previous Month High (PMH) and Previous Week High (PWH), setting the stage for a potential move toward the all-time high. A bearish Smart Money Technique (SMT) signal also aligns with the SPX500 (ES), hinting at possible headwinds. 🔴 Short- and Long-Term Outlook: We’ll explore both bullish and bearish setups, equipping day traders with insights to approach both short-term and long-term trends effectively. 🗣 Short-Term Outlook: In the short term, two scenarios could play out: either a push into the Buy Side Liquidity targeting the all-time high or a rejection at the 4-Hour Imbalance, leading to a lower move. Lower timeframes will be crucial for monitoring these moves—drop down to spot key market movements in real-time. 🗣 Long-Term Outlook: Looking long term, there’s potential for a pullback into a Discount level. For entries, tracking lower timeframes is essential, especially as we’re near the all-time high. The bearish SMT divergence with SPX500 (ES) reinforces the possibility of a downward expansion. 🕓 Key Levels to Watch: These levels will likely shape price movement: - PMH: Previous Month High - PML: Previous Month Low - PWH: Previous Week High - PWL: Previous Week Low - BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity - SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity - Weekly FVG: Weekly Fair Value Gap (Imbalance Zone) Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) serve as pivotal retracement zones, potentially guiding the next price movement. 📈 Bullish Scenario: In a bullish setup, watch for Low-Resistance Sell-Side Liquidity sweeps on lower timeframes (LTF). Look for entry signals targeting higher levels, including a potential move toward the all-time high (ATH). 📉 Bearish Scenario: For bearish trades, focus on lower timeframes such as the 15-minute chart. Short entries within the 4-Hour Imbalance or a breakdown of Low-Resistance Buy-Side Liquidity provide further confirmation. 📝 Final Thoughts: Stay adaptable as market dynamics shift. By monitoring these key levels and setups, you’ll refine your strategy and increase the potential for high-probability trades. 🔮 On the Radar: We’re also tracking NASDAQ, DXY, EUR/USD, and other major markets for evolving insights and timely updates. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always do your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by DreamAnalysis
U.S. Futures Rise on Strong Tech Earnings; Key Technical Levels U.S. stock index futures rose on Wednesday, as Alphabet's strong quarterly results buoyed sentiment around technology megacaps, while investors also awaited crucial data to gauge the strength of the economy and the labor market. Technical Outlook: The price is expected to consolidate between 20,550 and 20,700 until a breakout occurs. Bullish Scenario: A 1-hour or 4-hour candle close above the ATH at 20,790 would signal potential for further upside, with the price likely to reach 20,950. Bearish Scenario: A 4-hour candle close below 20,550 would suggest downside pressure, targeting 20,420 initially. A break below 20,330 would further confirm the bearish trend, with potential declines towards 20,240 and 20,130. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 20770 Resistance Levels: 20790, 20950 Support Levels: 20550, 20420, 20240 Trend: - Bullish above 20790 - Bearish below 20550
OANDA:NAS100USD
by SroshMayi
Nasdaq Rides High on Tech Earnings BuzzTechnical Analysis On the 4-hour chart, the Nasdaq-100 is flexing its muscles, maintaining bullish momentum and hitting its initial target at 20,625.79. This breakout underscores a strong trend, showing the market's appetite for pushing higher. The index is trading above both its short-term (20,348.36) and long-term (20,439.23) moving averages—a solid uptrend signal. Sitting in the upper half of the Bollinger Bands, the index is showing plenty of volatility and momentum to keep climbing. Holding steady above the key level of 20,560.70, we're eyeing the next targets at 20,708.59, 20,800.00, and a stretch goal of 20,947.89. Conversely, if the index slips below 20,560.70, we could see a pullback, potentially targeting the next support at 20,321.40—the previous key low. Key Events to Watch All eyes are on earnings reports from Microsoft and Meta dropping later today. Traders will be dissecting these numbers for clues on how the tech sector is holding up amidst rising interest rates. Also on the radar are the ADP Employment Change report and U.S. GDP growth data coming out on Wednesday—key pieces that could sway the Nasdaq-100 and the greenback alike.
ULong
by Errante
"$OM: MANTRA's RWA Dominance Unleashed, Google Partnership to FuI believe #MANTRA will lead the #RWA bull run soon ⏳ NASDAQ:OM is the king of RWA sector, they have already launched the Mainnet and they now have a fully legal complaint Layer-1 blockchain. Recently MANTRA announced Google Cloud as a validator. Google and MANTRA are also collaborating on an accelerator program for RWAs, to go live in Q1 2025. Soon we will see big partnerships which will boost and expand their ecosystem. NASDAQ:OM to new ATH soon 🕉 🔜 #MANTRA #Google #Altcoins #RWAs #OM #Mainnet
TVC:NDQLong
by Eoin_bell48
Gear Up for the NASDAQ 100 Bull Run Next Week The NASDAQ 100 has been riding a bullish wave recently, closing out last week at record highs. With strong performances from major tech stocks contributing to this upward momentum, the index has shown resilience in maintaining higher highs and higher lows throughout the past week. Key Actionable Insights and Takeaways Specific to NASDAQ 100 - Watch for continued bullish momentum as the index has shown solid upward movement. - Maintain a focus on key resistance levels, particularly around 21,000, which has proved pivotal in the short term. - Look for potential pullbacks as the index approaches new highs; these could be opportunities for swing trades. Summary of Expert Opinions on NASDAQ 100 Experts are largely optimistic about the NASDAQ 100's potential for further gains in the upcoming week. Many are looking for the index to break through significant resistance levels, suggesting that momentum will continue if these targets are surpassed. The bullish outlook is bolstered by strong performances from tech stocks, particularly those within the semiconductor sector. Based on the wisdom of all professional traders - Target 1: 21,332 (short-term) - Target 2: 21,600 (if momentum continues) - Stop 1: 20,800 (to protect against a downside move) - Stop 2: 20,500 (for additional security in case of volatility) For longer-term targets, experts suggest the NASDAQ could reach as high as 23,000 to 23,750 in the coming months if the prevailing bullish trends hold. Notable News or Events Affecting NASDAQ 100 Recent election results have sparked a rally in major indices, including the NASDAQ 100. Analysts are watching semiconductor stocks closely as they are expected to drive further gains, especially after strong quarterly earnings reports and market optimism surrounding technological advances.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading