US30 - LONGIntraday trade. Had a nice spike to the upside after tariffs news. London session reversed and now looking for price to push back up and wipe away the London session sell off.
US30 trade ideas
US30US30 Daily time frame analysis
Inverted Head/shoulder pattern formed also facing downtrend resistance
Take entry after break of neckline
Targets mention
US30 Footprint Update | May 29, 2025We're witnessing a clear shift in order flow dynamics on the 1H footprint chart.
🔻 Earlier in the session, sellers were firmly in control with heavy negative delta and large sell imbalances between 42,280–42,120.
🔄 Key Change: Around 42,088–42,177, aggressive selling was absorbed, followed by a strong bullish delta of +125 and increasing buyer interest in the following candles. Volume has flipped in favor of buyers.
📈 Current Price: Holding around 42,191.50, just below the key resistance zone of 42,231. A clean break and acceptance above this level could confirm a bullish shift toward 42,280–42,300.
🧠 What I’m Watching:
Break and hold above 42,231 = long continuation
Failure to sustain = possible retest of 42,177 or lower support
🎯 Volume and delta are aligning in favor of bulls — let’s see if they can take control.
DowJones INTRADAY important resistance retest Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 42,920
Resistance Level 2: 43,300
Resistance Level 3: 43,620
Support Level 1: 41,470
Support Level 2: 41,160
Support Level 3: 40,890
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
us30 buyThis is a good opportunity to buy. With capital management, you can enter a buy position in the specified area and target the daily ceiling.
Dow Eyes 42,800 Resistance – Key Breakout Ahead?The Dow is currently holding near the neckline of a double-top formation that developed between December 2024 and February 2025, possibly buoyed by ongoing tech and Nasdaq optimism. The broader rebound from the 2025 lows is also forming a diagonal structure, setting up the following scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
With weekly RSI holding above the 50 neutral zone after rebounding from oversold levels last seen in 2020, a sustained move above the 42,800-resistance level could extend the rally toward 43,800 and 44,800. A breakout above the all-time high near 45,000 would open the door toward the next major resistance at 46,800.
Bearish Scenario:
If the diagonal formation breaks to the downside—below 41,400 and 41,000—selling pressure could resume, forming a diagonal correction targeting support levels at 40,400, 39,700, and 39,000.
Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
US30Correlation Between US30, 10-Year Bond Yields, Bond Prices, and DXY
1. Bond Prices vs. Yields
Inverse Relationship: Bond prices and yields move inversely. When bond prices rise, yields fall, and vice versa.
Example: If the 10-year Treasury bond price drops (due to selling pressure), its yield rises to attract buyers.
Current 10-year yield: 4.54% (as of May 21, 2025).
2. 10-Year Yield vs. DXY (US Dollar Index)
Typical Positive Correlation: Higher yields attract foreign capital into USD-denominated assets, strengthening the dollar (DXY↑).
Recent Divergence:
A rising 10-year yield paired with a weakening DXY may signal market skepticism about Fed policy or risk aversion (e.g., investors favor Treasuries as safe havens despite lower yields).
Example: If yields rise due to inflation fears without economic growth, DXY may weaken as traders doubt the Fed’s ability to sustain rate hikes.
3. DXY vs. US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average)
Inverse Correlation: A weaker dollar (DXY↓) often supports equity indices like US30, as multinational companies benefit from cheaper exports and higher overseas earnings.
Exceptions:
In risk-off environments, a stronger dollar (DXY↑) may coincide with equity sell-offs as investors flee to safe-haven assets.
4. 10-Year Yield vs. US30
Mixed Relationship:
Negative: Rising yields can pressure equities (US30↓) as higher borrowing costs reduce corporate profits and make bonds more attractive.
Positive: Yields rising due to growth optimism may lift stocks (US30↑) if earnings expectations improve.
5. Yield Curve Dynamics (30-10 Year Spread)
Current Spread: 0.51% (30-year yield: 4.94%, 10-year yield: 4.43%).
Implications:
A widening spread (30-year > 10-year) suggests long-term growth/inflation expectations.
A flattening/inverted spread signals economic uncertainty or recession fears.
Summary Table of Relationships
Factor Relationship with DXY Relationship with US30
10-Year Yield ↑ Typically ↑ (if growth-driven) ↓ (if rate-driven) / ↑ (if growth-driven)
Bond Prices ↑ ↓ (yields fall, USD less attractive) ↑ (cheaper borrowing)
DXY ↑ — Typically ↓ (hurts exports)
30-10 Spread Widens Neutral ↑ (growth optimism)
Key Scenarios
Risk-On Environment:
DXY↓ + US30↑ + Yields↑ (growth optimism).
Example: Weaker dollar boosts equities despite rising yields.
Risk-Off Environment:
DXY↑ + US30↓ + Yields↓ (safe-haven demand for bonds and USD).
Policy Divergence:
Yields↑ + DXY↓ (markets doubt Fed’s ability to sustain hikes despite inflation).
Conclusion
The interplay between US30, bond yields, prices, and DXY is dynamic and context-dependent:
Yield-DXY Link: Normally positive but can diverge during policy uncertainty or risk aversion.
DXY-US30 Link: Typically inverse but influenced by macroeconomic drivers.
Yield Curve: A widening 30-10 spread supports growth optimism, while flattening signals caution.
Traders must monitor Fed policy, inflation data, and risk sentiment to navigate these correlations effectively.
Dow Jones Continues Its Upward Momentum Toward the 43,344 Level The Dow Jones Industrial Average is showing continued bullish momentum, with an anticipated move toward the 43,344 level following a retracement to the support zone around 42,290–42,250. A price close above last week’s closing level reinforces the bullish sentiment, providing further upward momentum for the index toward the targeted levels outlined in the accompanying chart.
#Dow Jones Industrial Average
#US30
#Technical Analysis
#Chart Patterns
#Price Action
#Global Markets
#Market Outlook
#Swing Trading
US30 Bigger Picture - Make or Break MomentUS30 H4
Technical Outlook — 11 June, 2025
Market Context:
The Dow Jones (DJI) is currently consolidating around 42,730, forming a tight range near the "Previous Day High." Price action suggests a potential ascending triangle or consolidation pattern, indicating a crucial decision point for the short-term trend. The market is showing indecision at a key resistance cluster.
Key Levels & Trade Plan:
Resistance:
Immediate: ~$42,890 - $42,950 (Previous Day High / Upper consolidation boundary).
Major: ~$43,100 - $43,150.
Support:
Immediate: ~$42,700 - $42,750 (Lower consolidation boundary / Ascending trendline).
Strong: ~$42,545 - $42,600.
Lower/Previous Day Low: ~$42,280 - $42,390.
Trade Plan:
Bullish Breakout (Long):
Trigger: Clear 1-hour close above $42,950 with good volume.
Target: $43,100.
Stop Loss: Below breakout level (e.g., $42,850).
Bearish Breakdown (Short):
Trigger: Clear 1-hour close below $42,700 with strong selling volume.
Target: $42,600, then $42,390.
Stop Loss: Above breakdown level (e.g., $42,780).
Dip Buy (Long):
Trigger: Price holds $42,545 - $42,600 with bullish reversal.
Target: Resistance levels.
Stop Loss: Below the confirmed support.
Risk Management: Always use proper position sizing and set a stop loss.
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Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
US30 Near Critical Resistance! | Dow Jones Technical Outlook The Dow Jones is showing clear consolidation just below a major resistance level of 42,813 after a strong bullish rally earlier this month. Price action has been relatively choppy but continues to respect support zones and the rising trendline, suggesting a larger move is brewing.
🔹 Resistance:
42,813 (currently being tested – critical breakout zone)
Watch for candle closes above this level
🔹 Support Levels:
42,403.07 (mid-level pivot, acting as short-term support)
41,756.71 (key structural support)
Rising trendline (dynamic support zone into mid-June)
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🔥 What the Chart Tells Us:
✅ Price is compressing near resistance with higher lows
✅ Strong demand around 42,262 and 42,292 zones
✅ Upcoming U.S. economic events (circled) could be the catalyst
✅ Volume and volatility expected to increase
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💡 Possible Trading Scenarios:
📈 Bullish Breakout Setup:
A 4H candle close above 42,813 could trigger a momentum breakout, potentially targeting 43,000+.
📉 Bearish Rejection Setup:
Failure to break above may send price back to 42,400, and if broken, down to test 41,756 or the trendline.
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📅 Upcoming U.S. Economic Data:
🟣 Marked on chart – keep your eyes on June 11, 12, and 13 for high-impact announcements!
---
📌 My Personal Bias:
Watching for a clean breakout with strong volume confirmation above 42,813. Patience is key here!
---
💬 What do YOU think?
Will the bulls break through or are we setting up for a pullback?
📝 Drop your analysis or setups below — Let’s grow together!
👍 Like & 🔔 Follow @FrankFx14 for more market updates!
#US30 #DowJones #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #FrankFx14 #SupportAndResistance #BreakoutTrading #PriceAction #Forex #Indices #StockMarketAnalysis
Upward trend After some fluctuation and correction to the specified support level, there is a possibility of a trend change. Then the start of an uptrend is likely. Otherwise, if the support level is broken, the downtrend may continue to the next support level.
US30: The Next Big Move? Bullish Breakout or Bearish DropUS30 Intraday Setup
Technical Outlook — 10 June, 2025
Market Context:
The Dow Jones (DJI) is currently consolidating around 42,730, hovering near the "Previous Day High" after several attempts to break higher. Price action is forming a potential ascending triangle or a tight range, suggesting a crucial decision point for the intraday trend. The market is showing indecision at key resistance.
Key Levels & Trade Plan:
Resistance:
Immediate: ~$42,890 - $42,950 (Previous Day High / Upper boundary of consolidation).
Major: ~$43,100 - $43,150.
Support:
Immediate: ~$42,700 - $42,750 (Lower boundary of consolidation / Ascending trendline).
Strong: ~$42,545 - $42,600.
Lower/Previous Day Low: ~$42,280 - $42,390.
Trade Plan:
Bullish Breakout (Long):
Trigger: Clear 1-hour close above $42,950 with good volume, confirming breakout from consolidation/Previous Day High.
Target: $43,100, then $43,150.
Stop Loss: Below breakout level (e.g., $42,850).
Bearish Breakdown (Short):
Trigger: Clear 1-hour close below $42,700 with strong selling volume, breaking the ascending trendline/consolidation.
Target: $42,600, then $42,390.
Stop Loss: Above breakdown level (e.g., $42,780).
Dip Buy (Long):
Trigger: Price holds $42,545 - $42,600 with clear bullish reversal signals (e.g., strong wick, bullish engulfing) on the 1-hour timeframe.
Target: Resistance levels.
Stop Loss: Below the confirmed support (e.g., $42,500).
Risk Management: Always use proper position sizing and set a stop loss.
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Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
DowJones INTRADAY support at 42100Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 43190
Resistance Level 2: 43620
Resistance Level 3: 44290
Support Level 1: 42100
Support Level 2: 41420
Support Level 3: 40990
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Dow Jones H1 | Overlap support at 50% Fibonacci retracementThe Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 42,562.05 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 42,196.55 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 42,865.41 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
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Losses can exceed deposits.
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US30 Trade Update – 06/09/2025🚨 US30 Trade Update – 06/09/2025 🚨
📊 Market Structure & Key Levels
US30 has finally broken above the prior resistance zone of 42,605, pushing toward the next key level of 42,872. Price is currently consolidating near 42,759, signaling strength but also caution as momentum pauses.
✅ Key Observations:
Clean breakout above 42,605 ✅
Next resistance: 42,872 → 43,021
Key support now: 42,605 → 42,584
🎯 Trade Plan:
🔹 Long Setup:
Buy above 42,872
→ Target: 43,021 & potential extension above
🔻 Short Setup:
Breakdown below 42,605
→ Target: 42,248 → 41,947
⚠️ Price is bullish but extended – wait for breakout or pullback confirmation!
uptrendThe trend change is expected to form within the current support area and we will witness the start of an upward trend. A break of the resistance trend line will be a confirmation of the upward trend.
If the price breaks through the red support line, the downtrend is likely to continue.
US30 Trade Update – 06/06/2025 🚨 US30 Trade Update – 06/06/2025 🚨
📊 Market Structure & Key Levels
US30 is respecting higher support at 42,248, forming a tighter range just below 42,605 resistance. Price is hovering around 42,475, coiling up for a potential breakout. Watch closely! 🔍
✅ Key Observations:
Holding above 42,248 support
Resistance zones: 42,562 → 42,605
EMA structure bullish but stalling at highs
🎯 Trade Plan:
🔹 Long Setup:
Buy breakout above 42,605
→ Targets: 42,900 – 43,050+
🔻 Short Setup:
Breakdown below 42,248 → Confirm with 15m close
→ Targets: 41,947 – 41,894
⚠️ Price coiling under resistance – breakout incoming. Be patient, don’t chase!
US30 Trade Update – 06/05/2025🚨 US30 Trade Update – 06/05/2025 🚨
📊 Market Structure & Key Levels
US30 continues to respect bullish structure, trading above the 42,400 zone and reclaiming strength after consolidating around key support levels. Buyers are holding control with price now at 42,480+.
🔍 Key Observations:
✅ Still holding above 41,947 structure zone
✅ Higher lows intact – bullish continuation likely
🔼 Resistance in focus: 42,700 → 42,900
🎯 Trade Plan:
🔹 Long Setup:
Buy on pullbacks to 42,300–42,400
→ Target: 42,700 – 42,900
🔻 Short Setup:
Only valid on break & close below 41,947
→ Target: 41,261 – 40,983
⚠️ Trend remains bullish – follow momentum but watch for exhaustion near resistance!
M2 FractalFriends... MSTR, BTC and DJI are all tracking M2 beautifully. Should this fractal continue to prove as reliable, we should see big moves in the coming weeks. Limit you exposure to leverage, it's just not worth it! Stay in MSTR stock and BTC spot.
DOW JONES TO 111 THOUSAND..in the the 2030's.
as an investor you must be thinking 2 decades down the line.
NOT 2 quarters.
They can not
stop
printing #FIAT
it's in the code.
A 8% compound rate puts the Dow Jones at 85,000 in 2034.
I'm long forever.
DowJones INTRADAY broader concern over global trade headwindsTrade Tensions: US-China, US-Europe
Trump and Xi May Speak This Week: The call—if it happens—comes amid rising tensions over critical mineral exports, crucial for electronics and clean tech.
Market Implication: Ongoing uncertainty in US-China trade could pressure tech, EVs, and semiconductors, which rely on these materials. Watch for volatility in those sectors.
Europe Talks Stalling: Trade negotiations with Europe are also breaking down, with new tariff threats emerging.
Trading Angle: Defensive positioning in multinationals and exporters may be prudent. Currency pairs like EUR/USD could see movement on headline risk.
Corporate Layoffs: Disney, Microsoft
Disney & Microsoft Cut Jobs: Hundreds of layoffs in media and tech highlight continued weakness in entertainment and enterprise software demand.
Trading Relevance: Signals profit-margin pressure and shifting labor costs. Potential bearish signal for media ETFs and tech sector if layoff trend broadens.
China E-Commerce Firms Shift to Europe
Strategic Pivot: Chinese platforms are diversifying away from US markets due to tariffs and restrictions.
Market Watch: Could benefit European retail and logistics stocks. May also impact Chinese ADRs traded in the U.S.
Elon Musk’s xAI Debt Sale
$5B Debt Offering: Musk is raising capital for his AI venture, xAI Corp., while stepping back from politics.
Investor Focus: Watch Tesla and other Musk-related equities for capital allocation impacts. The move could dilute attention and increase risk premiums on his companies.
Harvard Legal Battle
Free Speech Lawsuit: Harvard pushes back on a Trump-era funding freeze.
Trading Impact: Limited direct effect, but feeds into broader political noise. May influence education sector stocks or legal/regulatory sentiment.
Wall Street Trade Idea (Nomura)
Strategy: Short S&P 500 on Trump trade threats, cover 5 days later → yielded 12% since February.
Application: Suggests short-term tactical trades can exploit volatility driven by political rhetoric. Useful for active traders focused on news-driven momentum.
Market Outlook
Futures Lower Today: Reflects broader concern over global trade headwinds.
Key Sectors to Watch: Tech (semis, EVs), Media, Chinese ADRs, European exporters, and AI-related plays.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 42920
Resistance Level 2: 43300
Resistance Level 3: 43620
Support Level 1: 41470
Support Level 2: 41160
Support Level 3: 40890
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
