The Golden RatioAlso known as phi, the Golden Ratio can be derived by determining the proportion at which dividing the whole equals the proportion between the smaller and larger segment that together make up the whole.
Algebraically, this can be describes as:
x + y = 1
|x| = y / x
x (and y) must be positive since they make up a whole.
Isolate the variable:
y = 1 - x
y = x^2
Combine & Solve:
1 - x = x^2
...
0 = x^2 + x - 1
...
x = 0.618
This ratio is also discoverable by considering the ratio of adjacent numbers in a sequence that continues by adding the two prior numbers, starting with 0 and 1, the Fibonacci Sequence: oeis.org
0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, 610, 987, 1597, 2584, 4181, 6765, 10946, 17711, 28657, 46368, 75025, 121393,...
As the sequence continues, the ratio of adjacent numbers approach 0.618.
Why stop there?
Taking the ratio of all numbers in the Sequence produce more ratios that I call Fibonacci Multiples, which approach Lucas Numbers: oeis.org
..., 0.000733, 0.00119, 0.00192, 0.00311, 0.00503, 0.00813, 0.0132, 0.0213, 0.0344, 0.0557, 0.0901, 0.1459, 0.236, 0.382, 0.618, 1 ,1.618, 2.618, 4.236, 6.854, 11.09, 17.94, 29.03, 46.98, 76.01, 122.99, 199, 322, 521, 843, 1364, 2207, 3571, 5778, 9349, 15127, 24476, 39603, 64079, 103682, 167761,...
Given the similar relationship, is interesting but ultimately unsurprising to note how the sum of all ratios below the Golden Ratio of 0.618 approach 1 and the beginning significant digits begin to resemble whole numbers found in the Fibonacci Sequence.
Understanding that growth and decay is relative, we should then expect to see these ratios appear when we look for it...
BLX trade ideas
Does Bitcoin's Monthly Channel from 2019 Remain Relevant?While the usefulness of a channel diminishes over time, I notice bitcoin moving along the same angle as it has in years past. Interestingly, the space between channels may not be coincidental.
How long will bitcoin continue to appreciate at this rate?
At this rate bitcoin will be back to a new all time of $70k in October 2024.
Will bitcoin reach the bottom of the former channel (red line) ever again?
This could coincide with a bitcoin top around $400k at the end of 2025.
Be prepared but remain flexible.
TRILLION DOLLAR BITCOIN CHART - Watch The Video...In the video linked below featuring this chart, I discussed the potential range of 6 trillion within a 65 trillion context. The distinction in measurement depends on whether you assess it in terms of percentage or a linear scale. The underlying rationale is rooted in the concept that if Wave 2 can undergo a 200 million percent expansion during an expanded correction, then Wave 3 would be at least as extensive.
Regardless of whether this expansion is attributed to inflation, one thing certainty prevails: people desire liberation from the current system of control and perceived enslavement. Could cryptocurrencies emerge as the new sovereign currency, leading to a substantial wealth transfer solely based on the power of choice? This proposition seems plausible, considering that the existing system would collapse without our continued faith in it. Consequently, the new system could establish itself as an independent entity, regardless of the prevalence of fake fiat dollar bills within the current framework. This implies that we held the power all along and are now unleashing a new tool against authoritarianism.
This perspective directly contradicts the concept of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs), as they would signify more of the same, if not worse.
The key insight into this chart lies not only in its deviation from Elliott Wave analysis but also in the fact that AriasWave deliberately evolved to focus solely on the corrective phase of a move. The 200 million percent purely as a correction indicates that the impulsive phase yet to come suggests that the best is indeed on the horizon.
TRILLION DOLLAR BITCOIN - No, It's Not Clickbait...To begin with, it's crucial to emphasize that this approach differs significantly from Elliott Wave analysis. Utilizing the AriasWave methodology involves years of observation and ongoing pattern analysis, making it distinct from conventional techniques. This video may seem out of the ordinary for this channel, as I've consistently held a contrarian view on Bitcoin since its inception.
By conducting a comprehensive analysis across various cryptocurrencies and concentrating on those that exhibit unique characteristics, I've formulated certain assumptions that have the potential to challenge conventional thinking using straightforward logic. This reasoning is rooted in distinguishing between impulsive moves and corrections. When a correction expands by a remarkable 200 million percent, it signifies an unusual occurrence with implications that extend into various aspects of daily life.
I don't believe we are immune to hyperinflation solely due to the existence of central banks. Instead, I perceive central banks as akin to an inebriated driver behind the wheel, with monetary policy as their preferred intoxicant. To illustrate, using the analogy of a central banker, it appears that when your only tool is a hammer, everything tends to resemble a nail. In response to every crisis, the singular tool employed is more Quantitative Easing (QE). While this type of inflation has been a persistent issue, much like the boiling frog analogy, the market seems to be reaching a critical point.
I encourage you to assess the content for yourself, bearing in mind that every posted comment endures indefinitely. Your efforts on this channel will yield lasting results, so, as always, conduct thorough research and refrain from seeking confirmation of preexisting biases if that's your inclination.
Invest in Bitcoin: Analyzing Market with Fibonacci PitchforkAre you considering investing in Bitcoin but unsure of the best time to do so?
The past few years have seen a bear market for cryptocurrency, but it's important to remember that markets are cyclical and that prices will likely rise again.
One of the best tools to analyze market trends and predict future price movements is the Fibonacci Pitchfork.
This tool uses trendlines to identify support and resistance levels and can also be used to project future price movements.
According to the Fibonacci Pitchfork, we are currently in the bottom territory of the trend for Bitcoin, which suggests that now may be the perfect time to invest.
There is potential for significant price appreciation in the coming months.
If you're willing to hold for the long term, this could be an excellent opportunity to get in at a low price.
Don't miss out on the potential for significant returns on your investment.
Best of luck.
Bitcoin forecastBitcoin is currently poised to form a wonderful reversal candle. Attention, the week is not finished yet - this could initiate the longed-for correction.
The candle bounced exactly at the 61 Fib which has always led to a sell expression in the past.
However, the correction will only be short-lived (Q1) which should be used to stack sats again before the actual bull run.
It looks like we are trapped in this trend channel in blue until we break through it UP.
From this point on we are in the final phase of the bull market
Hash rate capitulationThe hash rate capitulation (HRC) indicator used in the Bitcoin Bottom Indictor (BBI) has fired. The HRC indicator measures the rate of change of the hash rate. Steadily increasing hash rate is a sign of health of the bitcoin network. This indicator uses moving averages (20- and 100-day) of the hash rate to indicate when a decrease in the rate of change is has occurred (i.e., the 20-day MA goes below the 100-day MA). This indicator triggers when the 20-day moving average of the hash rate going below the 100-day moving average. In the past, this indicator has detected local and macro cycle bottoms. It does fire more often than most other bottom indicators, so take it with a grain of salt.
Hash rate capitulationThe hash rate capitulation (HRC) indicator used in the Bitcoin Bottom Indictor (BBI) has fired. The HRC indicator measures the rate of change of the hash rate. Steadily increasing hash rate is a sign of health of the bitcoin network. This indicator uses moving averages (20- and 100-day) of the hash rate to indicate when a decrease in the rate of change is has occurred (i.e., the 20-day MA goes below the 100-day MA). This indicator triggers when the 20-day moving average of the hash rate going below the 100-day moving average. In the past, this indicator has detected local and macro cycle bottoms. It does fire more often than most other bottom indicators, so take it with a grain of salt.
Risk Mitigation Post | Possible BTC TopThis post presents a potential top for BTC Price Action (PA) for your confluence and Risk Mitigation.
I do not care if I am wrong, and invite constructive comments to improve the count and enable everyone a more holistic understanding of BTC PA, rather than destructive comments that do not achieve anything other than show the community the type of person your are.
The primary rationale for this count lies within the retracement on completion of the initial 5-Wave move up on completion of Primary WA.
From my perspective, this retracement exhibited insufficient depth to be counted as a W2.
Reverting to what I call the Elliott Wave Theory paradox, if it is not a W2, it must be a WB.
The targets presented in this chart may overshoot, however, I feel more confident in a new low, than an ATH on this move.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL was used to confirm this count.
Trade Safe.
TOTAL Chart:
BITCOIN pullback in 2024In the fog of war. The ETF shows the perception of future mass participation. We think the ETF is a buy, while Smart money sees this as a point of sale. Volatility will confuse the masses into selling at the wrong time like it has always happened. Fear will be the indicator on when to buy. Watch the news only to do the opposite or you will just donate more hard earned money. Wallstreet bets on when you will fail. In a bull market, is when you buy the dip.
Trade safe~
Time based entry points for bull run 2024/5 Based on previous cycles, measured days intervals between ATH-ATH, ATH-ATL, ATL-ATL. From there projected the entry points for the 2024/5 BTC bull-run. Price predictions based, once again on ATH from preivous cycles, where the multiples from cycle to new cycle diminish. 140k base, 240k optimistic prediction.
Post ETF BTCSo I will preface this by saying..I believe almost ANYTHING is possible in Crypto. Exchanges have varying liquidities, and it's a relatively new asset class. So 12k wick possible... Sure. It's not in my top 2 or 3 base cases right now however. That being said...
I primarily have 3 "possible" paths I see for BTC at the moment, Green and Red spends time in this recent "channel" (orange dashed horizontal lines), then Judas Swings one direction, dumping/mewning other. The more time we spend in/around this Channel, the higher probability I give this.
3rd scenario is Yellow path...we don't spend much time, continue to dump down to 23-27k.
As you can see from the Volume Profiles, we've got both PoCs (From ATH down to 15k, AND from 15k till now) down below 20k...so to me that indicates we had HEAVYYYY buying down there. The primary reason I don't think we need to revisit below that level.
Our recent action has tapped into ATH to 15k "Premium" multiple times recently, so I wouldn't be surprised to see us dump into "Discount" of 15k to Present (sub 32.2k) before resuming our next leg in this Bull Run.
As always, good luck, have fun, and practice solid risk management.
BTC Weekly Chart - Brave New CoinThere will always be volatility with COINBASE:BTCUSD Bitcoin and the CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL Crypto space but it's patience and structure that keeps me involved. It's in the code; the pattern will repeat itself! The BTC ETF news this week was excellent for people of America. We are still in great shape.
Still Bullish on the Weekly! #FollowTheSignals #RipOrDip
Not Financial Advice...Trade with Confidence and Control.