200k in 2026?My yearly analysis.
Logarithmic Fibonacci 2.272 level and high long-term log growth curve.
Previous price and RSI action around halvings supporting the trend.
BLX trade ideas
THE ROYAL FLUSHCould this be Wave C of the Primary Wave 1 & 2?
If the Banks, Blackrock and all the other Big Money wants Bitcoin, this is how and when they would have planned to take it from you.
New Bullish target set for 57k/My trading planAs you can see, I set my fibbonacci according to the log scale and this is my result.
As stated before, the 0.786 fibbonacci level gets hit in each cycle before a major pullback.
However, I believe the price will push beyond the 0.786 to the 350 moving average shown.
I'm expecting a FOMO explosion during and after NYE until the ETF news is announced.
Regardless if the ETF is approved or denied, I believe it will be a sell the news event.
In the meantime, 57k is my current long target.
If that target is not reached and we get a significant pull back below the 0.786, I will consider adding to my long position at or above the 0.618 Fibbonacci level.
I hope this helps someone out there. Goodluck and God bless! And happy New Year!
Bitcoin Bollinger Band 👀 (End of Santa rally)The volatility of the asset can be viewed relative to the width of the Bollinger lines, and it is also convenient to use the BBW oscillator for this.
✍️We have mainly 3 waves of increasing volatility before the main bull run. The first is mostly the bottom of the market, and the second or third is the midcycle peak. If one wave was quite large, the next one is mostly smaller, like in 2019.
🤔In our case, the waves of volatility are more similar to 2016. I expect something in the middle between 2022 and 2023, so a possible stop somewhere around ~1.00.
💡How does such a wave end? This is mainly a retest of the middle line 🟠 of the Bollinger bands, now it is 33k+, note that it is rising.
2015-2017 vs 2022-2024 pre-ATH's golden cycleSo far, our current golden cycle is most similar to the '15-'17 one. We started off with a crash, but it recovered fast, a re-accumulation period followed and now we are heading into the golden rejection. If we do reject, i expect us to S/R flip the re-accumulation range. Like each past golden cycle, a re-accumulation phase follows into the halving before the bull begins his run and sends us into new ATHs
BITCOIN ASO- ASO means " Average Sentiment Oscillator ".
- This indicator can be used on Cryptos, Stocks, Forex.
- it's better to use it on a large TF to take out the noise.
- The deal with ASO is : it's very simple...
- The trend is up when the blue ASO oscillator line crosses the red line upward.
- The trend is down when the red ASO oscillator line crosses the blue line upward.
- There's a period of time for the bears.
- There's a period of time for the bulls.
- Now the bulls are coming, just a matter of time.
Happy Tr4Ding !
Bitcoin, some high time frame speculation.If #Bitcoin follow its historical trend, I anticipate a trajectory as follows: The approval of an ETF could propel BTC towards the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, approximately at $54,000. This might be succeeded by a retracement to the 0.236 Fibonacci level, situated at around $18,600. Subsequently, a surge to a fresh all-time high is foreseeable, with potential targets at 2.618 (approximately $174,800) or 3.618 (around $240,300).
Bitcoin Future Bullish plan🔥🔥Good morning everyone!
Highlights of the night:
1. BlackRock held another meeting with the SEC regarding Bitcoin ETFs.
2. Matrixport says that there is a 95% chance that the Spot Bitcoin ETF will be approved in January, and it will set a target price for Bitcoin.
3. Spot Bitcoin ETFs Poised to Enter $30 Trillion Market, Says Greyscale CEO
It would be safe to say that Bitcoin is repeating 2016. First, we will see the price increase to $48,200, and then it will decrease to $38,000 and $35,000. We are the market. In 2024 and 2025, we may see Bitcoin rise to $200,000 and $300,000
Bitcoin Keltner Channels 📈BTC Keltner Channels
🔝Bitcoin broke out of the baseline resistance, under which it consolidated for a long period.
✍️While I don't expect a return below this gray line until the peak of the cycle, remember that it is almost 2 years away and we will have more than one correction before then.
💡I expect especially volatility in the next six months when there are quite a lot of events related to BTC.
Golden cross signal on TF week.When a death or golden cross occurs, if the angle at which they intersect is steep, the price tends to either drop or surge by 70-80%.
Looking at the previous occurrence of a death cross, before it happened, the price had already dropped by 50%.
However, the upcoming golden cross at the 50/200 lines doesn't have a steep angle like the death cross earlier in the year. This leads me to believe that the price can still move.
Cipher SMC is a trading strategy that involves understanding market structure, supply and demand concepts, and liquidity concepts. It is a mechanical strategy that helps traders identify potential trends and reversals by providing insights into the buying and selling pressure in the forex, stock and crypto market. The strategy allows traders to locate imbalances in the market and provides more information about the market when it opens and when it closes. It is recommended to have a solid foundation with regards to market structure before using this tool. Use these concepts alongside other concepts such as Order Flow, Structure, Liquidity etc to build your overall story! As always, keep it Simple and Systematic and you will be just fine ;)
Kindly note that engaging in FX, stock, crypto investments, and other financial instruments entails inherent risks. We strongly recommend seeking advice from a financial advisor or conducting extensive research before finalizing any investment choices.
Bitcoin vs Money Supply M1BTC is ready to explode upwards!
Very nice technical formation. Bullish AF.
FOMO to 81k?Institutional Buyers know they will need to cause the biggest liquidation grab in the history of bitcoin to enable them to have enough supply available to fill their demand.
BTC Huge H&S Vs Fiat PonziYou just need to see that in perspective.
Fiat Ponzi is robbing you day by day with inflation...and convincing you your BTC have small value compressing the chart too. Now..Fuck this game!
Bitcoin (BTC) Top and Bottom indicators [Logue]This is a view of the BBI, BTI, and BTB indicators on the daily BLX chart showing their ability to detect macro cycle tops and bottoms. These indicators are a combination of on-chain and seasonality indicators. The tops and bottoms are selected based on a confluence of multiple indicators.
Next Halving bull marketEh, just drawing lines on a chart lmao. I somehow have to write a long description so here I go :
Crabbing until halving
Bull to 90-95k
Dump surprisedpikachu.jpg
Crabbing, accumulation
Expansion
Going less higher because of market cap already high.
In the beginning of the bull (like 50-60k) we'll hear institutions coming (they want to be early this time), adoption is cool etc. But then small 'dump' because traders will think sell the news.
lol, amateurs
Going higher. Stopping maybe at 90-95k because every headline will be 'bitcoin going to 100k ? " lol
Or we touch it and instadump like picotop at 102k
Dump of course, not harsh but slow bleed
then suddenly back at 42k like wtf happened
BLX Year by YearYear by Year Bitcoin (BLX) logarithmic chart, ready for a Massive Explode in 2024.
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Always do your own research and consult with a licensed investment professional before investing.
This communication is never to be used as the basis of making investment decisions, and it is for entertainment purposes only.
BTC Top 73k to 82k July to December 2024I previously used momentum studies on BTC to find its top. My last guess was around 80k.
I also believe BTC is following Palladium. Using that fractal the top is around 80k.
(Credit to Jay Chewie he gave me that tip in 2021).
If you draw a ray line between BTC's macro 1 wave to the Rona crash of 2020 you come to the understanding that both macro wave 1 and macro wave 5 are on the underside and macro wave 3 is on the top side.
A top to bottom fib extension on the linear scale from the 2018 top to the 2019 bottom suggests the 4.2 fib extension is 73k and the next fib up is 82k.
I don't make calls lightly but I believe BTC's next wave up will be its last.
Please take your profits. Buy metals which you can store at home.
Thank you to everyone who followed me all the way from 2019.
I hope you all survive the next mega recession.
- Occultist/Panda
Bitcoin/SPX: In search of The Mid-cycle PeakHistorically, the mid-cycle peak in CRYPTOCAP:BTC coincides with the RSI approaching the overbought zone.
Although at the beginning of the year, we rose quite high in the #RSI indicator, there was no overbought.
Also, on the trend line rsi, it is quite clear how the bearish trend changes to the bullish one, on the range of the cycle 📈📉
Key levels have been added to the price chart for comparison in the 2016 cycle.
Bitcoin/#SPX: In search of The ATH 🔎#Bitcoin/#SPX: In search of The ATH 🔎
In the last post, I predicted when the mid-cycle peak would be, as you can see from the comment post quite accurately✍️
Now about taking the marks of the past peak (69k).
This happens about 2 years after the bottom. When RSI, after taking a mid-cycle peak, again enters the zone of overbought values in CRYPTOCAP:BTC ↗️
Also, on the trend line rsi, it is quite clear how the bearish trend changes to the bullish one, on the range of the cycle 📈📉
Key levels have been added to the price chart for comparison in the 2016 cycle.
BTC longterm prediction bullcycle 24/25I made an analysis for BTC and the longterm perspective.
An interesting observation is, that the middle of the bullcycles nearly exactly match the halving dates. So assuming it will be the same in the future, the next Top of the bullcycle will be around 09/22/2025. Furthermore i calculated a cubic regression formula with some data points of the tops so far, when i take this into account, then the next top will be at around 140.477$.
Sure, this is just a model, no one can predict anything, so take it with a grain of salt, but to me it looks like one good possibility.
cheers
The great similarity of 2019 with 2023 for BTC!!!If you put the Fib retracement from the peak of the bull market in 2017 with the minimum in 2019, it will result that the June 2019 maximum of Bitcoin is at the Fibonacci level 0.618, namely the price of $13800. If we do the same exercise by drawing fibonacci from maxium bullmarket 2021 to minimum 2022 we see that the fibonacci level 0.618 is at $48,400 which also coincides with the strong resistance from March 2022. So we have 2 arguments to say that in this rally BTC will run until around the value of $48,000.
