BTC dump short term full bull mid termHistory always repeats.
BTC will look for a double bottom (at 333MA in the weekly TF) and then, after 4th halving will go all the way to 195 k usd.
Why 195k?
I apply both fibonacci extensions and fibonacci circles from its cycle ATH to its double bottom.
The extensions that match will be the next target.
Refer to the chart for more information.
BLX trade ideas
4yr cyclic lines suggest bitcoin capitulation and new bull run!every 4 years bitcoin capitulates after the clocks return from BST to GMT/UTC in the UK (end of October).
price also has 100mma around the previous ATH.
Cyclic bars suggest history is about to repeat...
Fibo circle suggests we may see some sideways action into 2023 before the next ATH bull run, or price pops $50-60k region for a more corrective scenario (we will see)...
Bitcoins next 6 months outlookBitcoin is still clearly in the bear market and won't make it's initial big push out for 6 months most likely. This should be good news to you if you are stacker. The bears have a strong hold over price action, but as we can see on the RSI, the hold is weakening with bullish divergence forming in this underling indicator that simply determines "relative strength". If bitcoin maintains this divergence you can expect a very quick price pop up by the end of the month (seems likely) . The down trend resistance levels are color and thickness coded by strength. Each time any one is conquered, meaning a break above and stay above, our attention is then focused on the next one until all are broken and defeated.
Stronger to weaker
RED
ORANGE
GREEN
BLUE
Thanks for looking at my chart and leave a comment on what you think. My chart is educational analysis and is not to be taken as financial advice. We are all here to make money and limit our risk is the best way to do so. Contrary to the news, from what the chart is showing us... it's telling us that risk is low, the RSI has bottomed and showing signs of strength.
* Bear markets are buyers markets, Bull markets are sellers markets*
PS: The arrows are only examples
Once again... thanks,
WeAreSat0shi
Stay Blessed!
Bitcoin - BTC comparing Alligator cross-over 1.🔴 2.⚪️ 3.🔵 4.🟢Comparing Alligator cross-over...
1.🔴
2.⚪️
3.🔵
4.🟢...
...dear BTC and Crypto Nation👀
Will call out loud for you when next 3.🔵 occurs🚨🚨
Let me know your thoughts in the comments🤗
⬇️⬇️⬇️
Likes and Follow for updates appreciated🤗
Disclaimer:
Not financial advice
Do your own research before investing
The content shared is for educational purposes only and is my personal opinion
Finding cycle tops by drawing diagonals from bear market lowsIn a log chart of BTC, by drawing diagonals from bear market lows we can find where market will top at the end of a cycle. Yellow highlighted bottom goes on to form yellow highlighted top (ray1), green highlighted bottom goes on to form the green highlighted top (ray2)
It is not possible to know where current cycle will top at before the bear market ends with this method but it'll be possible once we are well into the next bull market. Draw a diagonal from bear market lows and wait for price to hit your diagonal from below. This is not enough to open a net short position as 2021 top shows (since it double topped) but enough to exit your long position
Kaspa Bitcoin Theory for future pricing into 2025-30I know this is a stretch of the imagination but I just could not help myself given all the research information we now have on the emission schedule for the Kaspa network and how we are somewhat tied with this Nakamoto Consensus with Bitcoin. These are two different projects but both are from the same idealogy and theoretical background of Bitcoin and the original theory on peer to peer payment system. We have a 4 year halving cycle with Bitcoin and a yearly halving cycle with Kaspa. Both permissionless both Decentralized but only one solves the Trilemma issue and that is Kaspa. Given that Kaspa has solve the Trilemma issue makes it both Decentralized and Secure and now fully Scalable something that Bitcoin does not offer. I think there is something bigger here than we can all understand and appreciate. any correlation? dont know but in time we will see if there is something bigger at play here.
This is the Bottom $btc Bitcoin Fibonacci levels from historic lows, to significant tops. Note that at the .786 level, and anything lower, (note as well the potential 30% drawdown lasting up to 2 months that can occur at significant cycle bottoms) has historically been the bottom for the cycle. We might front run the bottom though and fill up before we reach say $10,000 or lower. The 2018 bear market bottom showed no journey into sub .786 levels, which again would almost certainly be the most optimal long entry point (low end of .786 and anything sub.) Further, THE MOST SIGNIFICANT RISK to take in end of the year 2022, would be an under exposure to the brave new asset, or stocks in general as the fed is forced into dovish expression.
the fed has a money printer
Bitcoin next cycle Top and bottom .Today i want to share the btc logarithmic chart with the help of supertrend . As you can see i drew a bottom area in two green parallel line with a curved top in red wich both are approximate not precise.
Based on two previous events and supertrend there’s some similarities which i would like to mention.
From the cycle bottom to settling down the supertrend or the next cycle bottom it takes 1300-1400 days .
From the bottom to the tip of the cycle it takes 900 to 1000 days .
Base on these events and some other formulas i would say we will see the cycle top in 2025 somewhere close to july and for the other year close to September we will see the next cycles bottom wich is around 60-70 k .
Again its not a finance advice and crypto market could be very chaotic so stay safe fam .
BTC is a possible outcome!!!Why do I think so?
According to one version, the growth ended at 68944.62 with the
fifth wave according to Elliott's theory, from the entire movement of Bitcoin since 2010!
The price is lowered to the level of 15495.37, which may be the first wave
Adjusted by 31799.86 (second wave)
And it can give a third wave to the new Global zone 7577.63-3629.76
By making the current Global Zone a zone of Control at the highest TF
According to the second version, the fifth wave ended in December 2017 and was corrected in three waves into a triangle!
Then
From the current control zone we can go to the level of 48191.03
Or give a correction deeper at 22140.02 and from there it will go to the level of 48191.03
And then HIGHER!!!
I will attach a global screen!!!
Bitcoin’s MOST IMPORTANT PATTERN for Trading in 2023-2024Key Findings
- The best time to buy Bitcoin has historically been prior to the Bitcoin halving.
- There has been a Bitcoin bottom and a second chance buy opportunity in each Bitcoin cycle.
- In the 2016 Bitcoin cycle, Bitcoin received widespread global adoption that led to the first bear market rally, market manipulation by the US Federal Reserve, and the development of a time cycle.
Since price is so heavily manipulated, investors turn to the second best variable that they have to work with, which is time. We start to notice an interesting time cycle:
(1) 74+ week bull run
- In 2016 there was a 74-week bull run where the parabolic curve broke 74 weeks after the BTC halving date.
- In 2020, the Federal Reserve was heavily manipulating the markets by turning on their money printers.
- 50% of the global US dollar supply was printed since the COVID crash and BTC’s parabolic curve broke 45 weeks in.
- However, smart investors know that the past bull run lasted 74 weeks and so much more US dollars are in circulation so the bull run shouldn’t run out of steam yet.
- As a result, BTC formed a double peak for the first time with so much money being printed and heavily manipulating the markets upward.
- This rally lasted 78 weeks with an attempted selloff at week 75 and 3 weeks of bullishness afterwards (forming a bull trap for those who believed in the Bitcoin to $100k narrative).
- It is important to point out that this 2020 cycle bull run lasted just a few weeks longer than the previous 74-week cycle with an attempt to selloff just 1 week after the previous 74-week bull run cycle.
The US federal government also manipulated Bitcoin’s price on the way down through contractionary fiscal policies.
(2) 51-week market correction
- In 2016 and 2020, there was a 51-week correction from the peak of the Bitcoin bull run rally to the Bitcoin bottom in the bear market.
(3) 9 weeks of bottoming out near the Bitcoin bottom
- In 2016 and 2020, Bitcoin took exactly 9 weeks to bottom out near the Bitcoin bottom before taking off during the bear market rally.
(4) 36-week bear market rally
- In 2016, Bitcoin had its first Bitcoin bear market rally that lasted exactly 36 weeks before Bitcoin started declining.
- In the current 2020 cycle Bitcoin had a 36-week bear market rally that just ended on the week of July 17, 2023.
- Near the end of both bear market rallies there were several weeks of sideways price movement near the resistance level before Bitcoin finally dropped.
What is next?
(5) Sideways and slightly bearish price action in the accumulation range
- In the Bitcoin webinar, published in July of 2023, I gave my prediction that Bitcoin will move sideways with slightly bearish price action within the accumulation range between $22k and $31.8k.
- This prediction has been accurate so far with sideways and slightly bearish price action.
- I see two potential trade opportunities on the horizon with a BTC long opportunity around $22-23k if there is excessive selloff.
(6) Second chance buy opportunity 9 weeks before the BTC halving date.
- In the 2016 cycle there was a second chance buy opportunity 9 weeks before the Bitcoin halving date.
- I’m anticipating that the time cycle continues with a second chance buy opportunity between $19.2k and $22k just 9 weeks before the Apr. 2024 BTC halving date with an estimated date of February 19, 2024.
- In the Bitcoin webinar I made two errors that resulted in the wrong date (I placed the BTC halving date on Apr. 1 instead of Apr. 26 and I incorrectly counted 10 weeks instead of 9 weeks before the BTC halving date. February 19, 2024 is the correct target date.
(7) Market Crash Strategy:
I discuss my strategy for trading the market crash in the Looming Market Crash webinar.
BTCUSD Logarithmic Growth Trend: 155k Max By Mid 2025 Hello all!
It has been awhile since i posted, for good reason! It has been a very boring time within the market (as expected).
We are currently in this transition phase between bear to bull market, its the time where everyone walks away filled with fear (bottom of cycle)
Save this chart... You'll never look at a "BTC" rainbow chart again. This either works or it doesn't.
BTC has followed very distinct cycles since its inception
These cycles have been dictated by each halving (as shown)
When looked at on a logarithmic chart, two indisputable lines can be drawn (tops and bottoms), there are no other ways to draw these lines and each top and bottom has perfectly touched them
This creates a logarithmic curved growth area where BTCs priced has always stayed between
Using this model, BTC should top out around 155k in mid 2025 & in the bear market that follows, it shouldn't break below 70k.
We will continue to reference this going forward but main takeaway, the macro picture is still perfectly in tact and BTC is moving as it should, with room to move down to 20k
This is the time to build and GET READY for what's to come
Don't lose sight, the green grass looks to be right around the corner!
Please comment and like!
Sorcery crossfire BLXThis idea is inspired by filbfilb's idea "What is this Sorcery?" (to filbfilb, I hope you don't mind me using it) I thought it would be fun to see if there was some way to cross reference with time, like everyone says, "when moon?" If you take the fib time zone from the low of cycle to the halving date the 2 lines up on cycle top, (its actually just slightly past) This chart was originally done on a daily to get the halving dates right and then switched to monthly, so yes those dates are a bit off, no need to comment on that. Anyway, what comes up in the crosshairs is $200k+ BTC in the 4th quarter of 2021.
Why 2024 Could Spell Bullish Success for the Crypto Market?
The roller-coaster ride of the crypto market never fails to pique the curiosity of traders and enthusiasts alike. As Bitcoin, the luminary of cryptocurrencies, continues to chart its course, the prospect of a bullish market in 2024 has sparked widespread anticipation. This article delves deep into the fascinating world of Bitcoin's halving event and its profound impact on market dynamics. So, buckle up and join us as we uncover the factors propelling Bitcoin's potential surge and the implications for you as a trader.
The Significance of Halving
Picture a recurring event, happening roughly every four years, that halves the reward for Bitcoin miners and slows down the supply of new Bitcoins. This event, known as halving, is a cornerstone of the Bitcoin ecosystem, designed to maintain scarcity and keep inflation in check. The past halvings in 2012 and 2016 catapulted Bitcoin to new all-time highs. So, it's no surprise that the forthcoming halving in 2024 is expected to set the stage for a similar spectacle.
Market Dynamics and Bullish Predictions
The world of crypto trading is a game of anticipation, with traders keeping a close eye on market dynamics to predict future price movements. Amidst a sea of perspectives, many industry insiders, including Huf, the founder of Pear Protocol, see a bright future for Bitcoin in the first quarter of 2024. Huf's bullish sentiment is fueled by the expected onset of the next bull market during this period, underpinned by positive narratives and conducive market conditions.
*Bitcoin Dominance: Bitcoin Dominance means how much the ratio is in the total crypto market cap.
Bitcoin and Market Cap: A Direct Correlation
The value of Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency, plays a critical role in establishing the overall temperament of the cryptocurrency market. The market cap of Bitcoin, a value obtained by multiplying the current Bitcoin price by the total number of Bitcoins in circulation, increases as Bitcoin's price surges. This results in a higher valuation of the entire cryptocurrency market. Thus, Bitcoin's market cap serves as a yardstick for other cryptocurrencies, with their prices often moving in the same direction as Bitcoin's.
The Ripple Effect on the Cryptocurrency Market
Bitcoin's correlation with the market cap deeply impacts the cryptocurrency market. A bullish trend in Bitcoin, leading to an increased market cap, fosters positive sentiment and boosts investor confidence in the overall market. This confidence translates into increased buying activity and heightened demand for other cryptocurrencies, propelling their prices. Additionally, Bitcoin's rising market cap draws new investors and institutions to the crypto arena, viewing it as a lucrative opportunity. This capital influx further intensifies the bullish market sentiment, escalating the prices of other cryptocurrencies.
Driving a Bullish Cryptocurrency Market
The correlation between Bitcoin and the market cap can trigger a bullish market within the cryptocurrency sector due to a combination of factors.
Firstly , Bitcoin's dominance and influence in the market render it a significant indicator of overall market trends. An upswing in Bitcoin's performance injects confidence into the market, enticing more investors and catalyzing price hikes across the board.
Secondly , the increased Bitcoin market cap creates a perception of the cryptocurrency market as a viable and profitable investment channel, sparking demand and price appreciation for other cryptocurrencies.
Lastly , the positive market sentiment borne from Bitcoin's bullish trend generates a self-reinforcing cycle. In this cycle, investor optimism and FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) stimulate further price escalations, culminating in a bullish market for the entire cryptocurrency ecosystem.
Narratives and Media Influence
Storytelling plays a powerful role in shaping market sentiment and price fluctuations in the crypto sphere. The narrative of Bitcoin as a potent disruptor of traditional financial systems has steadily gained ground. The green light for the first spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the United States in 2024, as highlighted in the Cointelegraph's Market Talks episode, further reinforces this positive sentiment. Such milestones have the potential to create waves, drawing in institutional investors and boosting demand.
External Factors and Potential Risks
However, it's not all smooth sailing. Beyond the halving event and favorable narratives, other elements can sway Bitcoin's market trajectory. Geopolitical tensions and global economic conditions can inject volatility and uncertainty into the mix. As a trader, it's vital to take these factors into account and diversify your portfolio to cushion against potential shocks.
Preparing for the Bull Market
With the potential bull market of 2024 around the corner, it's time for crypto traders to gear up. Adopting careful strategies to amplify gains and curb risks is the order of the day. Comprehensive market research, staying on top of industry news, and maintaining a disciplined approach are your keys to success. Moreover, spreading your investments across different cryptocurrencies and setting realistic profit targets can help you navigate the market's inherent volatility.
The tantalizing prospect of a bullish Bitcoin market in 2024 presents a golden opportunity for crypto traders. The forthcoming halving event, combined with positive narratives and potential institutional adoption, lays the groundwork for potential price appreciation. But remember, staying alert to external factors and market risks is just as important. By staying informed, adopting robust trading strategies, and taking a long-term view, you can position yourself to capitalize on the expected bull market in 2024.
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