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Inception Wave Count - And the start of a new Bull Cycle.So after going over BTC inception data I've come to the conclusion that this is the correct wave count, I'm of the belief that BTC has already made it's cycle bottom and we're early stages of a new Bull Cycle which will last many years, These 5 waves up all complete a larger degree wave 1 and the correction we've had will be wave 2 of a larger degree (providing the bottom is in) - if this is correct we're in a wave 3 of larger degree.
BNC:BLXLong
by Swoop6
1
Buying region at 20k to hold long-term post halving for BTCBuying region at 20k to hold long-term post halving for BTC A good purchase of BTC would be in the region of 20k. Halving 2016 After the bottom, 525 days to halving Best buy in Golden Pocket Halving 2020 After the bottom, 504 days to halving Best buy in Golden Pocket Halving 2024 After the bottom, 553 days to halving Best buy in Golden Pocket Based on the logarithmic curve of BTC as support, we can estimate that buying BTC in the region of 20k is a good option for the long term. If BTC seeks the region of 12k, it will be another good time to buy more BTC. This strategy involves buying BTC after a significant price drop (bottom) and during a specific period of time before the halving, which is a reduction in the reward that BTC miners receive for validating transactions on the network. Halvings usually lead to scarcity of BTC and therefore can lead to an increase in the asset's price.
BNC:BLXLong
by Vaultfy
Monthly DOJI rejection of long term trend line Just printed a monthly doji rejecting the long term trend line which we have been below for months. The break below the trend line could be an indication of a new pattern forming on Bitcoin. The DOJI rejection seems to confirm this. If we have a follow through red month close for March then we are likely in some new phase for Bitcoin which would make sense given the Global Macro bearish environment with recession to come. End of the 90 year cycle, end of the 49 year cycle of declining yields which ended in 2020. The period most similar is the Great Depression. If we don't break above this trend line and instead continue lower along with a breakdown in equities. Could this mark a more significant decline for Bitcoin? Sure would be a perfect setup to usher in CBDC as crypto is deemed too risky for investors.
BNC:BLXShort
by wealthprophet
AW Bitcoin Analysis - Part 2 of 2 - The Larger Degree...This video takes every piece of analysis I have ever done into consideration. It takes the most likely pieces of analysis and makes sense of them using the AriasWave methodology. Complex and corrective fractal patterns that are choppy aren't the easiest to gauge straight away. Therefore, I outline a few different options for what we could be seeing unfold for the first part of this bear market. This idea also points out that this correction is only just getting started since the highs and backs up those claims with some evidence. This type of understanding of the entire structure lays down the foundation for the potential scenarios that are coming. Each of the scenario's points to lower prices from this point forward. Take whatever you can from this and make your own decision on where the next low may be. I will post more about these ideas over the next few days. I have linked the small degree view below which points to the third-of-a-third wave scenario given the structure. Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader. If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd? Just remember: I am not a financial adviser; I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research. ***AriasWave is not the same as Elliott Wave so your counts may differ to mine if you happen to use it.***
BNC:BLXShort
by AriasWave
1
AW Bitcoin - The Most Bullish Idea Yet - Still Needs More Work..In this video I talk about how I am building up a library of patterns in my mind similar to machine learning. This is why overtime my analysis changes and evolves into these ideas. The more I post, the more I learn because I am actively learning different examples of a wave components every day. The sooner you start the process of learning the waves, the quicker you will start to see the matrix for what it is. I am not trying to say that I am some kind of all knowing super human because I created AriasWave. No, I am simply harnessing the very same abilities that we are all born with. Just like a computer processes data by utilizing the CPU, Memory and Storage, we too can do the same if we know how. AriasWave is just the program that provides the instructions to perform the analysis. Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader. If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd? Just remember: I am not a financial adviser; I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research. ***AriasWave is not the same as Elliott Wave so your counts may differ to mine if you happen to use it.***
BNC:BLX
by AriasWave
Protection against a Bitcoin bottom or riding the capitulationI strongly believe we are in the topping process of this Bitcoin move. If Bitcoin has bottomed I expect to either: retest the weekly 21EMA (currently at 19900 or 20300 when we get to it) or retest the 17800-18100 zone. I am still expecting capitulation which could bring us to 14k and give us a rebound as a corrective move only to fall lower into the 8k target zone for when recession kicks in late 2023/ early 2024 My process is to play both sides and build shorts from 23400-26200 TP33% of Short and Hedge Long#1 at 21 weekly ema TP50% of remaining Short and Hedge Long#2 at 17900 TP100% of remaining short at 14500 $14500 - $7300: DCA buying opportunity of a lifetime (no leverage) Stop losses: Short: 26600 Long: 16900
BNC:BLX
by theemk13
BITCOIN: DAY OF REKTCONINGThe reason I think Bitcoin may drop to $3000 or below is because it double topped and because it fell out of an upward channel that it had been in since 2011, these are both strong bearish signs. Bitcoin had a very nice run, but nothing goes up forever. This may be a wakeup call for a lot of Bitcoin Maxi's and anyone in the cryptosphere. This day of rektconing would most likely be the much needed purge the crypto space has needed. Anything of value will survive, but everything else would mostly die off and regulation may step in as well to ensure this. If this happens ETH may do well and take the alt coins with it, but BTC could also bring down ETH with it, or the flippening may occur, I'm not really sure. I think the Terra Luna, Celsius, and FTX crash is the writing on the wall. Strap in and prepare yourself, this time the rockets not going to the moon, but re-entering the stratosphere.
BNC:BLXShort
by BeingCryptic
1
Expanded Flat Correction lines up with Various Pattern TargetsHere's a more bullish chart for Bitcoin, should the expanded flat correction play out and take us to a new ATH: *** This idea requires DXY to turn back and continue its downtrend, a resumed uptrend would likely negate this *** Expanded Flat stopped just below the 1.618 on the trend-based fib measurement (logarithmic), first stop after crossing ATH and 100% would be ~87500 at the -0.382 fib, then ~105k at -0.618, ~144k at the ~100%, and potentially even ~237k at the -1.618 All of the above (expanded flat fib extension) lines up with several common pattern targets and the fib retracement from our previous March 2020 low to our last ATH: 1.) 2018-20 Triangle - has a measured 1x TP 1 at 81k, very near the 87.5k target mentioned above. Then a 1.5x TP 2 at 241k, which very nearly matches the 1.414 fib retracement @ 225k and the expanded flat's trend-based -1.618 fib extension at 237k. 2.) Present Weekly Falling Wedge - has a measured 1.5x TP 2 at 87k, matching the expanded flat target at -0.382. The 2x measured target is at ~141k, less than 3k under the -100% trend-based fib ext from the expanded flat. 3.) The entire idea above fits perfectly into a logarithmic parallel channel uptrend. I've drawn a couple of suggested paths here within the channel, one not reaching channel top and the other reaching top, both then heading to channel bottom. If the move stays within the channel through 2025-2026, it could reach 323k.
BNC:BLXLong
by dudebruhwhoa
1
Bitcoin - BTC 🟢step 1 is done 🟠step 2 in progressBitcoin Using RSI & SMA delta Indicator by MarcoValente (changed settings)... 🟢step 1 is done 🟠step 2 in progress (close above 0.50) Next BTC bullish run ahead dear Crypto Nation❓🚀 Let me know your thoughts in the comments🤗 ⬇️⬇️⬇️ Likes and Follow for updates appreciated🤗 Disclaimer: Not financial advice Do your own research before investing The content shared is for educational purposes only and is my personal opinion
BNC:BLXLong
by Crypto4Everybody
1
AW Warning to Crypto Holders - This is Your Last Chance To Sell.This updated chart is based on the video idea posted below in related ideas. The entire crypto market is teetering on the edge of collapse. We have seen all the warning signs in the media, all the FOMO and institution investments. The collapses of various crypto projects and companies, the fraud, the fake attempts at regulation and rampant speculation has led to this crescendo. A lot of high-net-worth people have put their money in worthless crypto assets. If you are net long any crypto this is a warning to you based on AriasWave that you may soon find that your wallets value will start to deteriorate. In hindsight, it will be easy to say that no one knew this would happen but the unique technical analysis provided on this channel has reached a point where it must be said. Get out now while you still can. Remember to use Disciplined Money Management Principles to ensure longevity as a trader. If you don't know the long term pattern shouldn't you be doing your research instead of just following the crowd? Just remember: I am not a financial adviser; I suggest using this only as a guide. Always do your own research. ***AriasWave is not the same as Elliott Wave so your counts may differ to mine if you happen to use it.***
BNC:BLXShort
by AriasWave
2