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This could be your next huge buy opportunityHey everyone, Lets see if I can repeat the halving cycle forecast success as in Apr 2019 because I see very similar conditions no matter what people think of Bitcoin based on fundamentals. This is clearly a technical view. This chart is based on Fear/Greed mutliyear halving cycle ( Supply and demand + greed and fear = cycles) What is Halvening ? In Bitcoin , halving is when block rewards for mining are cut in half. Halving happens at regular intervals based on the Bitcoin protocol. In other words the code underlying the network dictates that X new coins minted as mining rewards for miners adding blocks of transactions to the blockchain will be cut in half every Y blocks until the reward reaches zero and no new coins are mined. Bitcoin halving occurs every 210,000 blocks. Since one block is added to the Bitcoin blockchain roughly every 10 minutes, each halving is about 210,000 blocks x 10 minutes = 2,100,000 minutes = 4 years apart. When is the next Bitcoin Halving: Assuming no major changes, the mining reward will drop from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 per block approx. in Apr 2024 --------------------------------------------------------- What happens when all the bitcoins are mined? The bitcoin inflation rate steadily trends downwards. At the time of writing, more than 3 out of every 4 bitcoins that will ever exist have already been mined, and the annual inflation rate is just 4%. The block reward given to miners is made up of newly-created bitcoins plus transaction fees. As inflation goes to zero miners will obtain an income only from transaction fees which will provide an incentive to keep mining to make transactions irreversible. Due to deep technical reasons, block space is a scarce commodity, getting a transaction mined can be seen as purchasing a portion of it. By analogy, on average every 10 minutes a fixed amount of land is created and no more, people wanting to make transactions bid for parcels of this land. The sale of this land is what supports the miners even in a zero-inflation regime. The price of this land is set by demand for transactions (because the supply is fixed and known) and the mining difficulty readjusts around this to keep the average interval at 10 minutes. ** This is attempt to predict future price movement & not a financial advice ** R:R, money management, risk, reward, technique, style, trading, bitcoin , bitcointrading, profitable trading, profittrading, profit trading, secret, divergence, bull divergence, bear divergence, divergencetrading, divergence trading, trading strategy, how to trade bitcoin , bitcoin trades, bitcoin trading, make profit, take profit, trading strategy, trading technique, successful, successful trader, successful technique, successful strategy, successful secret, how to trade, trend analysis, technical analysis , indicators, rsi , relative strenght index, let it rain, successful life, easy strategy, easy trading, easy technique, make money, crypto investing, investing, crypto, cryptocurrency, cryptocurrencies, mentoring, money, chartart, beyond
BNC:BLXLong
by Anoinvest
2
BTCUSD TD SEQUENTIAL FLASHES 9The Tom Demark Sequential Indicator flashes 9 on the monthly chart. Each time this happened, the bottom was set and Bitcoin prepared for another bull run. If you draw the Fibonacci from the monthly candle at the time the TD Sequential flashed a 9 to the highest point on the monthly candle that Bitcoin closed the bull run, Bitcoin then made a bottom at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement two times already. This is exactly where we are now. The bottom is in, it is now up to the bulls to slowly start growling. Be patient, just stack sats, and we're all going to be fine.
BNC:BLXLong
by joerivdpol
BTC- Macro Perspective pt 3 (2022)Current day, we see something very similar playing out. We have created a bullish divergence in price vs our MACD. We will have the official cross tomorrow (Sep 11) from the 50 MA (green) crossing the 100MA (red). If we repeat history then over the next roughly 91 days we could see a retest of our 50 MA. This should put it around $31,000-32,000 by late November/ early December. That would be the same 50% rally from the current price. My take. We still have not broken the low ($17,600) therefore there is only one place to go (up). I think the CPI numbers (Sep 13) will be the most important to determine if we will break that 17.6k low or if we can maintain this uptrend. If this trend I have outlined is to repeat itself then my guess is we will have a fakeout move down either before or after the CPI numbers are released and then start the uptrend from there (Similar to the CPI numbers in July/ Flushed from $20.1k down to $18.9k then immediately back up to $24.5k). If we do break our low of $17.6k then we will be creating a whole different bear market compared to previous cycles.
BNC:BLX
by VIAQUANT
BTC - long termHere we have the only 2 curvy supports that I take into account - We are now sitting on one of them which suggest we could bounce just to show some resistance - therefore it is wise to DCA here for at least a small bounce. The other support is my all-time curvy support - Respected by the 2012 and 2015 bear market and also by the Covid Crash - going lower will change history as we know it - and potentially the future of Crypto as we know it. Therefore my plan now is to DCA where we are, next crutial level sits at $13k-$14k. Sadly I have my expectations of hitting it lower, but I must see the fundamentals leading the price that low to be able to judge them - for now we only focus on those 2 areas. Cheers!
BNC:BLXLong
by TheSecretsOfTrading