A closer look at Vale..!Vale is the largest producer of iron ore and pellets and the largest nickel producer. Vale also produces copper, coal, copper, manganese, and ferroalloys and holds equity stakes in some steel producers/projects.
P/E:3.55
Dividend Yield: 9.62%
I think at these prices Vale has its own buyers with long-term views and it is very unlikely to see Vale below 10 USD/Share.
The best strategy could be to wait for signs of recovery!
The expectation for lower China demand in the near future could be the most important factor that causes a -50% price decline!
According to fundamental analysis, 20-21 could be the fair value for Vale!
Conclusion:
keep Vale on your watch list there could be a good idea to open a long position near 10 if it happens in the next few months!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
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XVALO trade ideas
Strong Support and Firm FundamentalsI believe, the moment has come to buy this large profitable business at a great price as a long-term investment. At $11.85-12 there is what looks like a very strong support, going back to February 2017.
Now, the P/E is around 3, with no particular debt problems and a hefty net margin of more than 30%. The upcoming decline in the price of iron ore is already priced in, according to my estimates.
What To Do About Commodities?Good morning everyone! Every Thursday morning we highlight our favorite trade setup of the week. This week, we will be taking a look at a High Yield setup in $VALE.
It's been an interesting week of trading, and the kind of price action & news flow that gets you thinking about the bigger picture. Yesterday, we saw this chart, and it got us thinking about the commodity space & how to best position -- twitter.com
While the sentiment of the tweet we view as somewhat extreme, the idea that commodity production will be an outperforming theme over the next several years seems highly interesting. There are some incredible values in the XLB & XOP space, among them $VALE. While the price of Iron Ore has come off drastically over the last few weeks on the back of the Evergrande / China situation (China consumes by far the most amount of raw materials globally), the resulting price from shorting a $12 strike December put seems too good to pass up. Either you get the stock (which pays a great dividend, by the way) at a great price, or you get to keep some free yield off of attractive exposure. Given the long term potential for inflation & commodities, this seems like a Win / Win.
By shorting these puts, you get paid a 3% return over 86 days, which is a higher yield than 90% of dividend stocks & light years ahead of bonds - and that's before you annualize it. What could be better in a market full of richly valued companies? Value, yield, and margin of safety.
We try to put out ideas like this on a regular basis so give us a follow!
Valevale is on the verge of completing its initial 5 waves down into Wave A.
look to pick it up at $16.80, with a price target for the mean retracement (wave B) at $20.71
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note, corrections come in 3's, so this 5 waves down from the local peak is counted as Wave A, followed by Wave B, and then the final flush for Wave C into the local golden zone.
Once that wave C is in, Vale will go on a full blown, parabolic run.
We'll talk about it later.
$VALE with a Bearish outlook following its earnings #Stocks The PEAD projected a Bearish outlook for $VALE after a Positive over reaction following its earnings release placing the stock in drift B
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Vale falls out of channelAfter attempting to breakout over 23$ finally after 3months of consolidation , Vale was rejected with a gap below and close below 50ma. Added to to that bad setup is
shaven head candle stick
Increase in selling volume
A close outside of uptrend for the first time since last Nov.
Conformation would be a drop below 100ma at 20.56 and close.
Target is a place of heavy support around 18.10.
They still have a gap to close around 17.50
OBV ,MFI, Macd All bearish on both weekly and daily time frames
Vale fell through wedge (Short)Rising wedge on daily.
Usually there is a dead cat bounce with this pattern and i wouldnt be surprised if we got a bounce .786 fib before a continuing drop to target 16.70.I know that price drop seems steep but the fallout of a rising wedge usually matches the width of the entry into the wedge
VALE Testing top of Ascending TriangleNYSE:VALE Is testing the upper bound of a textbook ascending triangle pattern: well-defined boundaries, and decreasing volume. Implied Price Target ca. $26 upon a successful breakout.
If traded through delta (cash), there's a nice 3:1 reward:risk up at the PT with a stop at $21.80 (ca. $1 below resistance).
Reward:Risk Analysis
Reward: ca. + $3 (at $26)
Risk: ~ ca. $1 (approx. middle of triangle).
Reward:Risk : 3:1
$VALE Overview - S-tier stockA quick overall look at $VALE.
Very clear wave structure from a technical perspective - looks like a wave 3 of a Supercycle is happening.
Solid financial sheets.
Low P/E ratio.
5% dividends.
Overall an S-tier stock.
Still, be considerate when entering a trading position as there may be short-term pullbacks possible (latest 5 wave up move and forming an ending diagonal/wedge?).
Clear VCP in $VALE, I'm waiting for the breakoutSo the technicals are great, excellent uptrend with the price above its MAs and now formming a third base in which I'm waiting for the breakout to enter a position. The pattern is accompanied by low volume, that's good too. Also, is leading its sector. Very strong realtive strength against the Steel ETF AMEX:SLX , which has a 17% allocation of the stock.
Today Zacks gave it a Rank #1 for STRONG BUY and, is Rank #1 in its industry in the IBD Investors Group Leaderboard with a 92 Rating on the IBD Relative Strength. These are all good bullish signs. I'll be setting a stop buy order in $23.35 with a sell target in $27.10.
Another thing I like is that NYSE:VALE has a strong revenue growth since 2017.