AMD new range higherAMD essentially hit my buy zone that I called months ago almost to the T. Now with renewed strength and the market realizing there is share for both NVDA and AMD, the stock rips. I believe it will push up into this zone over the next week weeks and consolidate here. I am not currently in this trade but I did short AMD on the prior pivot.
Sometime in August we likely enter this range and I may start to sell CSP in the demand zones that form.
A1MD34 trade ideas
-This zone of 138 USD is really important-AMD📈 AMD Technical Analysis – Bullish Breakout in Sight?
"We are currently testing the parallel channel at $138 for a potentially very bullish confirmation afterward. If confirmed, I would set a target at $170 USD."
🔍 Let’s break it down:
- 🧭 Key Level at $138: AMD is hovering around a critical resistance level within a well-defined parallel channel. This zone is acting as a decision point—either we break out with strength or face a pullback.
- 🧠 Head and Shoulders Pattern: The chart shows a classic inverse head and shoulders formation (Left Shoulder – Head – Right Shoulder), which is typically a bullish reversal signal. If the neckline (around $138) is broken with volume, it could trigger a strong rally.
- 🚀 Bullish Confirmation: A confirmed breakout above $138, especially with strong volume and momentum indicators turning positive, could ignite a powerful uptrend. This would validate the bullish thesis.
- 🎯 Target at $170: If the breakout is confirmed, a price target of $170 is ambitious but realistic. It aligns with the upper bounds of the projected move from the head and shoulders pattern and the channel extension.
- 🛑 Risk Management: As always, keep an eye on false breakouts. A failure to hold above $138 could lead to a retest of lower support levels.
💡 Final Thoughts: AMD is at a technical crossroads. A breakout above $138 could be the spark for a major bullish run toward $170. Keep your eyes on volume, momentum, and confirmation signals. This could be a textbook setup for swing traders and long-term bulls alike. 📊🔥
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations.
Thank you!
Subcribe TSXGanG! 💡🎯
AMD: Elliott Wave Cycle Shows Impulsive RecoveryAMD has seen a deep retracement from its 2024 highs, but it now looks like the stock is trying to stabilize. However, a straight push to new highs may not be likely just yet, as we’re still tracking an ongoing running triangle—an A-B-C-D-E pattern.
Looking at the daily chart, things do look promising for more upside into wave D as we’re seeing a clean five-wave move up on the lower time frame, suggesting we may be in wave A of that D-leg. After a pullback, there could be some very interesting opportunities on the long side.
Support levels on dips to watch are around 115 and 123, while upward projections for this three-wave D-leg rally could be toward the 166 gap area and potentially 185.
Highlights:
Direction: Up after pullback
Support: 115–123
Upside projection: 166 (gap), 185
Grega
$AMD Swing Trade – Put Debit Spread Setup🔻 NASDAQ:AMD Swing Trade – Put Debit Spread Setup (Jul 18 Exp)
📅 Trade Opened: July 3, 2025
🛠 Strategy: Buy to Open (BTO) Put Debit Spread
📉 Strikes: $31 / $30 (Jul 18 Expiration)
💵 Cost (Premium Paid): $0.21
🎯 Trade Thesis
This setup aims to capture short-term downside in NASDAQ:AMD via a low-cost, defined-risk spread. The trade fits within my broader portfolio of OTM spreads under $0.25.
Key Drivers:
🔻 Semi sector under pressure – NASDAQ:AMD showing relative weakness.
📉 Breakdown below key support near $31 and rejection at VWAP.
🧾 Weak momentum – MACD trending down, RSI near 44.
🔄 Trade enters into earnings season volatility.
📊 Technical Setup (Daily)
EMA(4) < EMA(8) < EMA(15): Bearish structure fully intact.
VWAP: Price rejected from 30-day VWAP zone.
MACD/RSI: Momentum still fading, no signs of bullish divergence.
⏳ Strategy Notes
Max loss: $0.21
Max gain: $0.79
Risk/reward structured for a drop into or below $30
Expiration: July 18
🧠 Journal Note
Most of my trades are swing-based using OTM debit spreads with tight risk control. No same-day entries — setups must have defined technical compression and short-term catalysts.
AMD UpdateAs I have mentioned, this move higher is either an extended minor A wave, or it is the beginning of another bull run. I side with the extended A wave due to not only the structure of the chart, but also the broader market as a whole. If this is the case, then price will likely drop to the $100-$110 area to complete minor B. Minor C would ideally take us back up to the $170-$190 area completing intermediate (B). I cannot say how long all of this will take us, but intermediate (A) took 13 months to complete. It would not be a stretch to say we still have 8-10+ months before (B) completes.
Let's just take this one step at a time though. That means we need to watch for price to take us to the low $100's for minor B next.
AMD: Looking a bit bearish Sort of taking a break from posting about SPY which never seems to do anything interesting.
So posting about AMD which I have been day trading more frequently recently.
Looking at AMD, expecting some upside initially to 145 region, perhaps a gap up into Monday, but overall, the impression is a pullback towards 136.55 and potentially 134.
Probability is to the downside here with the general forecasting outlook being rather bearish tilted.
Let's see what we get on Monday, but expectation is that the pullback should be starting Monday, mid-Monday.
Not advice and as always, safe trades!
AMD Stable Channel Up targets $168.Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has been trading within a Channel Up since the April 08 market bottom. With the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as its Support since April 30, the pattern has shown incredible consistency, with the past two pull-backs almost touching the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result, given also the fact that the 4H RSI is supported by the Higher Lows trend-line, we view the current bounce as a solid buy opportunity for the short-term. We are targeting $168, which is the -0.5 Fibonacci extension, the level that the previous Higher High reached.
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Reversal on AMDI have a very simple analysis on AMD. As you see from this chart, we have seen in the past at points 1 and 2 that after a brutal bearish trend, the stock has rebounded at subsequent earnings. Assuming today's Earnings are also a beat, which I expect them to be, We will see a nice trend reversal on this stock. This stock has been beaten, kicked for a while now and I believe based on the past instances, we will see it rally up. The question is rally how much? Only time will tell, but given the Earnings are a beat, we won't see the stock go down like it happened the last earnings call.
HERE IS THE #CHART $AMD Bullish with consolidation risk. Advanced Micro Devices ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is at $143.81, up 0.09% daily and 25.14% monthly, as shown in the finance card above. X posts highlight strong momentum, with a breakout above the 200-day SMA ($129.74) and a potential Wave 5 targeting $154-$160, supported by analyst upgrades (Mizuho, Melius to Buy; targets $140-$175). AI chip demand (MI350 outperforming Nvidia’s B200, Oracle/Zettascale deals) and 40% YoY revenue growth drive optimism. However, a high P/E (105.42) and choppy price action suggest a possible pullback to $141.63-$142. Support is at $141.63; resistance is at $147.75-$150. A break above $147.75 could target $154; a drop below $141.63 risks $138
Breakout Alert: AMD Head & Shoulders Points to $160+Overview
Name: Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
Ticker Symbol: AMD
Exchange: NASDAQ
Founded: 1969
Headquarters: Santa Clara, California, USA
CEO: Lisa Su (as of 2025)Sector: Technology / Semiconductors
About
AMD is a leading semiconductor company known for its high-performance computing and graphics solutions. It competes with Intel and NVIDIA in the CPU, GPU, and data center markets. Its product line includes Ryzen (desktop/laptop CPUs), EPYC (server CPUs), and Radeon (GPUs), with strong expansion in AI and custom silicon for next-gen applications.
Fundamentals
Earnings: AMD reported strong Q1 2025 earnings with a beat on both revenue and EPS, supported by explosive demand in the AI and data center segments.Revenue: $6.52B, up 21% YoY
Outlook: The company raised guidance for the second half of 2025 as it expects to benefit from the AI chip boom and new product rollouts.
Technicals (4H Chart)
Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern confirmed with neckline breakout around ~$117
Breakout from Falling Channel aligning with bullish reversal structure
Price surged past resistance with strong volume, currently at $126.39 (+9.71%)
RSI at 65.88, approaching overbought but not signaling weakness
MACD bullish crossover, confirming momentum
Short-term target range: $145–$150, with extended projection up to $162.75
📌 Support Levels: $117, $111.50📈 Target Price (TP): $162.75 (based on pattern breakout height projection)
💡 My Take
AMD just pulled off a textbook bullish reversal — inverted head and shoulders breakout combined with a falling channel exit. With strong macro trends in AI hardware and data center expansion, this move feels well-supported fundamentally and technically.
The clean neckline breakout and explosive candle suggest continuation. I am expecting a potential consolidation around $130–$135ish before next leg to $150+. If momentum holds, $162+ is possible before August.
💼 Position
Type: AMD 145 Call
Expiry: July 03, 2025
Quantity: 15
Average Cost Basis: $.038
Date Purchased: June 12, 2025
Last Price: $0.47
Total % Gain/Loss: +23.4%
I entered after the neckline break and riding the wave. AMD’s setup is too clean to ignore — high conviction play.
$AMD – Major Support Flip?📊 Technical Analysis
NASDAQ:AMD looks poised for a breakout continuation, with multiple technical signals aligning:
Price recently flipped major historical support/resistance (~$132.75–133.18), a level that has acted as a launchpad multiple times in the past (highlighted by the boxed reactions).
After a strong rally, a pullback into this zone (marked by the arrow) would be healthy and may offer a prime long opportunity if the level holds.
Bullish projection targets a move toward the next key resistance area around $184.52, followed by a long-term fib extension / prior high zone at $226–227.60.
Structure remains clean – bullish continuation pattern after a breakout from a prolonged range.
⚙️ Macro & Fundamental Drivers
🧠 AI & Data Center Tailwinds
AMD continues to be a major beneficiary of the AI boom, especially with its MI300X AI GPU chips entering competition with Nvidia's offerings.
Big cloud customers (Microsoft, Meta, Amazon) are increasing adoption of AMD’s accelerators in 2025 deployments.
Analysts are increasingly bullish on AMD’s data center market share gains in 2H 2025.
💼 Earnings Momentum
Strong recent earnings report beat both revenue and EPS expectations.
Forward guidance remains upbeat, driven by AI, custom silicon, and embedded segments.
Gross margins expanding — indicating strong operational leverage.
📉 Rate Cut Hopes + Tech Rotation
Markets are pricing in Fed rate cuts late 2025, improving sentiment for high-beta tech.
Institutional flows are rotating back into semiconductors after a Q2 pullback.
🇺🇸 CHIPS Act Support
U.S. government funding continues to support domestic chip production, indirectly benefiting AMD by bolstering its supply chain and CapEx plans.
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry Zone: $133–138 (retest zone / support flip)
Stop Loss: Below $130
Target 1: $184.52
Target 2: $203.71
Target 3 (Stretch): $226–227
⚠️ Risks
Macro risks: Unexpected Fed hawkishness or broader tech selloff.
Competitive risks from Nvidia or delays in data center adoption cycles.
📌 Conclusion
NASDAQ:AMD is retesting a critical structural level with strong bullish momentum. With the AI narrative heating up, macro tailwinds forming, and technicals aligned, this could be the next major breakout candidate in the semiconductor space.
AMD – The AI Underdog Setting Up for a Major MoveAMD is quietly building momentum as a major AI contender, rivaling NASDAQ:NVDA with its upcoming MI400 GPU series and strong Q2 guidance potential.
I'm watching this carefully for a medium-term swing with high reward potential based on both fundamental catalysts and technical structure.
🔍 Entry Points I'm Watching:
✅ $143 → Aggressive breakout entry if it clears $147.50 with strong volume
✅ $125 → Previous support + gap-fill zone from May
✅ $115 → Deep value zone near 200-day MA (if macro weakens)
🎯 Profit Targets:
• TP1: $160 – Key resistance & post-earnings reaction zone
• TP2: $176 – Melius Research target
• TP3: $200+ – ATH breakout potential if AI narrative extends into Q3
⚡ Catalysts to Watch:
• MI400 GPU launch in progress
• Q2 earnings (late July) – data center revenue in focus
• Sector momentum from NASDAQ:MU and NASDAQ:NVDA
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I am sharing my personal trading plan and analysis for educational and discussion purposes only. Always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions
Amd - This is just the beginning!Amd - NASDAQ:AMD - perfectly plays out:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Despite the harsh drop of about -65% which we have been witnessing starting back in 2024, Amd remains bullish. Just three months ago, Amd retested a textbook confluence of support. We saw bullish confirmation, the bottom is in and Amd will rally significantly from here.
Levels to watch: $200, $300
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Is AMD Poised to Redefine the Future of AI and Computing?Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is rapidly transforming its market position, recently converting a Wall Street skeptic, Melius Research, into a bullish advocate. Analyst Ben Reitzes upgraded AMD stock to "buy" from "hold," significantly raising the price target to \$175 from \$110, citing the company's substantial progress in artificial intelligence (AI) chips and computing systems. This optimistic outlook is fueled by a confluence of factors, including surging demand from hyperscale cloud providers and sovereign entities, alongside colossal revenue opportunities in AI inferencing workloads. Another upgrade from CFRA to "strong buy" further underscores this shifting perception, highlighting AMD's new product launches and an expanding customer base, including key players like Oracle and OpenAI, for its accelerator technology and the maturing ROCm software stack.
AMD's advancements in the AI accelerator market are particularly noteworthy. The company's MI300 series, including the MI300X with its industry-leading 192GB HBM3 memory, and the newly unveiled MI350 series, are designed to deliver significant price and performance advantages over rivals like Nvidia's H100. At its "Advancing AI 2025" event on June 12, AMD not only showcased the MI350's potential for up to 38x improvement in energy efficiency for AI training but also previewed "Helios" full-rack AI systems. These comprehensive, plug-and-play solutions, leveraging future MI400 series GPUs and Zen 6-based EPYC "Venice" CPUs, position AMD to directly compete for the lucrative business of hyperscale operators. As AI inference workloads are projected to consume 58% of AI budgets, AMD's focus on efficient, scalable AI platforms puts it in a prime position to capture a growing share of the rapidly expanding AI data center market.
Beyond AI, AMD is pushing the boundaries of traditional computing with its upcoming Zen 6 Ryzen CPUs, reportedly targeting "insane" clock speeds, well above 6 GHz, with some leaks suggesting peaks of 6.4-6.5 GHz. Built on TSMC's advanced 2nm lithography node, the Zen 6 architecture, developed by the same team behind the successful Zen 4, promises significant architectural improvements and a substantial increase in performance per clock. While these are leaked targets, the combination of AMD's proven design capabilities and TSMC's cutting-edge process technology makes these ambitious clock speeds appear highly achievable. This aggressive strategy aims to deliver compelling performance gains for PC enthusiasts and enterprise users, further solidifying AMD's competitive stance against Intel's forthcoming Nova Lake CPUs, which are also expected around 2026 and feature a modular design and up to 52 cores.