Beyond BTC - Why Coinbase (COIN) is a Long-Term Buy?As a trader, I'm always watching the markets, but building long-term wealth is also key. That's why I'm digging into assets like Coinbase (COIN) . While my day job is trading, Coinbase has definitely caught my eye as something portfolio-worthy for the long haul. We might have missed the IPO buzz back in 2021, but looking at where Coinbase is headed, I think we're still early in a massive growth story.
Don't let short-term crypto ups and downs distract you. Coinbase is playing a long game, and here's why it's a smart long-term investment -
CEO Brian Armstrong's Big Vision (and Big Numbers):
Already a Financial Giant: Think of Coinbase as a bank or brokerage – it's already HUGE. It's as big as the 21st largest US bank by assets ($0.42 trillion!) or the 8th largest brokerage. This size matters.
Going Global: Coinbase isn't just focused on the US. They're expanding worldwide to grab new users and markets.
Becoming Your All-in-One Financial Hub: Forget old-school banks. Coinbase wants to be your single crypto-powered financial account for everything – payments, investing, and more. This is where finance is heading.
Token Powerhouse: Crypto is about more than just Bitcoin. Coinbase wants to list every token, becoming the go-to place for the entire crypto universe.
Blending Crypto Worlds: Coinbase is smart – they're linking up with new decentralized crypto systems (DeFi) to give you the best of both worlds, easy to use but with more options.
Working with Regulators: Coinbase is playing it smart, working with governments to make crypto safe and trusted for everyone long-term.
Massive Crypto Payments: People are using crypto to pay – big time. $30 TRILLION in stablecoin payments happened last year alone. Coinbase is ready to cash in on this payment revolution.
Why This Matters for Long-Term Investors:
Crypto is Exploding: Everyone knows crypto is going to get bigger. Coinbase is in the perfect spot to ride this massive wave.
Big Money is Coming: Big institutions like banks are starting to invest in crypto. Coinbase is built for them – safe, secure, and ready for big players.
Coinbase is the Brand You Trust: Coinbase is the big name in crypto. People know and trust them, which is gold in a new market.
Bottom Line: Coinbase isn't just a trend; it's building the future of finance. Yes, crypto is bumpy, but for the long haul, Coinbase is positioned to be a winner.
Now let's get technical and have a look at what the charts are saying -
Uptrend is Clear: Forget short-term noise – this chart shows Coinbase has been on a solid climb since late 2023. There's a strong bullish structural break which indicates the trend has shifted up after a short bearish run.
$350 is the Line in the Sand: Think of $350 as the ceiling right now. The price hit it, and we saw some selling. Gotta break above $350 to really see the bulls charging again.
$225-$250 is the Safety Net: On the flip side, $225-$250 is like solid ground. As long as we stay above that, the bull run is still in play.
Just Taking a Breather: Right now, the chart says "consolidation." Think of it as Coinbase catching its breath after a big run. This pause can be a good thing – building up energy for the next push up.
RSI is Neutral for Now: The RSI thing is the 50% level. Not screaming "buy" or "sell," just saying "wait and see." After showing us bearish divergence we are likely to see oversold conditions within the current range - if that does happen it would be a good time to strike.
What to Watch For (Trader Style):
Breakout Above $350 = Green Light: If COIN blasts through $350 with some volume, that's the signal to jump in long. Think higher targets.
Stuck Between $250 and $350 = Range Trade Time: If it stays in this range, you can play the range – buy low, sell high within the range. But be ready for a break either way.
Drop Below $250 = Caution Flag: If we crack below $250, that's a warning sign. Might be time to get a bit more defensive.
Final Notes:
Coinbase looks good long-term, but we're in a "show me" moment right now. Watch those key levels – $350 and $250. Patience is key, but the chart is set up for a potential bullish move if we get the right trigger. If you're looking to invest for the long-haul, now would be a good time to add some shares to your portfolio.
Important Disclaimer:
Please remember, I am not a financial advisor. My analysis here is based on my personal research and is intended for informational and educational purposes only. Before making any investment decisions, it is essential to consult with a qualified financial professional who can provide advice tailored to your individual circumstances.
Investing in financial markets, especially in assets like cryptocurrencies and related stocks, carries significant risk. There are no guaranteed returns, and it's crucial to understand that investing is not gambling. Strategic investing involves thorough research, careful timing, and a clear understanding of your own risk tolerance and investment amounts. Always conduct your own independent research and due diligence before investing in any asset.
NASDAQ:COIN COINBASE:CBETHUSD COINBASE:CBETHETH COINBASE:CBETHUSDC OANDA:NAS100USD
C2OI34 trade ideas
COIN- Cup and Handle FormationThere is more to this, but the basic formation is here. Other systems seem to also support the formation (such as Gann, and Harmonics).
There are a few 6 month candles overlaid in the entry to this that I was creating- illustrating the 6 month gains to form the cup. The handle portion did catch me off guard as we are typically use to seeing a cup form at the initial correction, but this one seems to have formed inside of the down move (very interesting).
Lets see how it works out. If true- its 50% gain on the bone here.
COINBASE about to start a rally to $550Coinbase (COIN) broke above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again yesterday, but is practically still consolidating around it for the past 2 weeks. Still, it has already broke above December's Channel Down, which on the wider, long-term bullish trend, is nothing but a Bull Flag pattern, similar to January 2024.
As you can see, both patterns were initiated after previously a Falling Wedge broke upwards and above the 1D MA50 and on all occasions, the price increase has been significant, with the smallest being +139.50%.
As a result, being also on a 1D MACD Bullish Cross, we expect the stock to kick-start the new Bullish Leg soon. Expecting to register at least another +139.50% Leg from the recent Low, our Target is $550.
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COIN (Coinbase) - Analysis and Trading Plan Technical Analysis (TA):
* Price Action: COIN is currently in a consolidation phase, attempting to break above key resistance levels. It has formed a narrowing wedge, indicating potential volatility in the near term.
* Support Levels:
* $278.00 (strong horizontal support zone).
* $240.00 (next major support in case of a breakdown).
* Resistance Levels:
* $300.00 (psychological and technical resistance).
* $320.00 (highest positive gamma wall and key breakout target).
* Indicators:
* MACD: Currently neutral with a slight bullish crossover, suggesting potential upward momentum.
* Stochastic RSI: Overbought but maintaining strength, indicating buying pressure.
Options Gamma Exposure (GEX):
* Key Levels:
* $320.00: Highest positive gamma wall and key resistance zone.
* $300.00: Second call wall, indicating heavy call option activity.
* $240.00: Significant PUT support, signaling a floor for bearish activity.
* GEX Sentiment: Overall leaning bullish, with significant call dominance at higher levels.
Trading Plan:
1. For Swing Trades:
* Bullish Setup:
* Entry: Above $292.00 (confirmation of breakout).
* Target: $310.00, then $320.00 for extended gains.
* Stop-Loss: Below $278.00 to manage risk.
* Bearish Setup:
* Entry: Below $275.00 (breakdown confirmation).
* Target: $265.00, then $240.00 if weakness persists.
* Stop-Loss: Above $280.00.
2. For Options Trading:
* Call Options: Consider March expiry $300 calls if price sustains above $292 with strong volume.
* Put Options: Hedge with $260 puts for March expiry if the price breaks below $275.
Thoughts on Direction:
* COIN is poised for a breakout above $300, with bullish sentiment dominating due to high call activity. However, traders should watch for rejection at key resistance zones, particularly at $320. Any significant premarket movements could alter this outlook.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your research and trade responsibly. If you have questions or need updates during premarket or market hours, feel free to PM me.
Coinbase Global Inc. (Extended Hours) | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Coinbase Global Inc. (Extended Hours)
- Double Formation
* (Consolidation Argument)) | Completed Survey | Subdivision 1
* 230.00 USD | Area Of Value | Subdivision 2
- Triple Formation
* Numbered Retracement | Uptrend Bias & Entry
* ABC Flat Wave Count | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European Session(Upwards) - US-Session(Downwards) - Asian Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Buy
$COIN Projected PathNASDAQ:COIN ready to take the next major leg up, the most powerful W3. Projected 5 subwave path shown. Target is the 1.618 for the subwaves, and the 1.618 for the Major Waves measured from the W1 and W2. The zone in between the two 1.618 extension zones is the confluence and therefore price target for this w3. This aligns with Bitcoins price to top near end of March-early April as well before a healthy pullback for a W4. Let's see how this pans out.
This post is only for my records. NFA.
Halftime Update: COIN on a Crypto Rebound Play?After CRYPTOCAP:BTC rebounded above $100K and has since settled, stocks such as COIN has of course benefitted by seeing $1.162B in Trading Volume going into Halftime of Today's Trading Session.
It's currently trading above a Longer Resistance Level (as support) so this could push up along the bottom of our Purple Trend you see there, bouncing downward, delivery better entries on it's way up.
With that being said, we could see a $240-$246 retest before the push higher as it has dipped twice to those levels since Mid-Dec. 2024.
Just watching for now but stay tuned for more at @MyMIWallet by visiting our website and connecting with us everywhere you are! We'll be there!
HOW TO Document your RESEARCH using TradingViewDocumenting your research as a trader is not just beneficial—it's essential. After a decade in the trenches, I know that organized, thorough documentation can make the difference between a profitable strategy and a missed opportunity.
TradingView is not just a charting platform, it is also a journal, a diary, for ALL your trading ideas. The features it has are enormous. You can literally screenshot/snip your screen or part of it from another window and then CTRL+V it onto the chart itself.
Personal TIP: I picture my physical notes, then I put the picture inside next to the chart, then I save the chart image with a link, and then I put the link into the idea text, and it shows me the note, like here:
You can always revise your documentation and add to it as much as you want. The more evidence you can add, the more sound your pattern is, and the more confident you will be in putting your money on it, since you "KNOW" it should manifest because it is backed up by stock market logic and research.
The price will move, with you or without you, ask yourself always the question:
"Can this move be predicted beforehand?" and start your way from there...
Be honest with yourself, some moves just CANT be predicted, they come out of nowhere, but others CAN and WILL give you HUGE SIGNS... if you document them...
Here’s a structured approach to help you capture and refine your trading insights:
1. Find a Market Logic
Before diving into trades, establish a market logic—a hypothesis or theory that drives your trading decisions. This might stem from historical data patterns, news-driven market reactions, or economic indicators. Ensure your logic is grounded in data and has a clear basis for expected outcomes. This foundational step helps avoid random, emotion-driven trades.
2. Give It a Name
Assign a distinct and memorable name to your market logic. This helps you quickly reference and differentiate between multiple strategies. A good name can be as simple as “Earnings Reversal Strategy” or as creative as “The Phoenix Rebound.” Naming your strategy not only aids in documentation but also enhances your cognitive recall during decision-making.
3. Take Pictures of It
Documenting your strategy visually is crucial. Take screenshots of relevant charts, trade setups, and indicators. Annotate these images with key details like entry and exit points, stop-loss levels, and any other pertinent information. Visual aids can clarify your logic and make it easier to analyze past trades.
TradingView allows you to insert a chart into your research, giving you the most visual documentation possible.
By the way, if you are short in time, you can do a video of your documentation and speaking your idea of a strategy instead of writing it, much faster documentation. Also, much more interactive for future reference.
4. Write the Pros of It
Clearly outline the pros of your strategy. These could include:
Consistency: Does your strategy yield reliable results over time?
Risk Management: Does it have built-in mechanisms to minimize losses?
Simplicity: Is it straightforward to execute without complex calculations?
Adaptability: Can it be applied across different market conditions?
5. Write the Cons of It - Are You Maybe Wrong?
Be honest about the cons of your strategy. Acknowledge potential weaknesses:
Overfitting: Does your strategy rely too heavily on historical data, potentially failing in real-time?
Complexity: Is it too complicated to execute consistently?
Market Conditions: Does it only work in specific market environments?
Emotional Bias: Are there elements that could lead to biased decision-making?
6. Write the Limitations of It - Where It Works, and Why?
Define the limitations of your strategy. Clearly state where and why it works, and under what conditions it might fail:
Timeframes: Does it perform best on certain timeframes (e.g., daily, weekly)?
Market Phases: Is it more effective during trending or ranging markets?
Instrument Specificity: Does it work better with certain asset classes (stocks, forex, commodities)? Understanding these limitations helps you apply your strategy more effectively and avoid unnecessary risks.
7. Connect with Different Ideas - Do They Make Sense?
Finally, cross-reference your strategy with other ideas and strategies. This process involves:
Finding synergies: Does your strategy complement other existing strategies?
Seeking validation: Are there external sources or research that support your logic?
Peer Review: Discuss your strategy with fellow traders to gain different perspectives.
Cup and Handle on COIN!!!!NASDAQ:COIN has formed a nice cup and handle formation on the weekly chart, signaling bullish momentum going into and through 2025…. with a president that 100% supports cryptocurrency, andthe previous week’s Bullish Engulfing candle with a significant increase in volume this confirms that we should see further bullish momentum!!!!
HOW TO TRADE with the ICHIMOKUThe Ichimoku is one of the best-trending indicators out there.
The best strategy you could use is the CLOUD BREAK.
When the price is breaking out of the cloud, you enter into a trade in this direction.
This is the best strategy because the Ichimoku Indicator shows you multiple timeframes simultaneously, but the cloud is the highest timeframe, which means it is the strongest, and you will have fewer whipsaws and false entries with it.
This indicator is also a great tool, to hold onto your winning trades and let your profits run.
Once you get professional with it, you will know how to recognize both trending environments and ranging environments.
This means that you will know how to apply different strategies that are fit to that specific environment.
Is COIN continuing its upMove?We believe that order flow determines everything that we observe on a price chart; e.g. price momentum, price trend, price relative strength, price patterns, price structures, ... .
With this said, we also believe that smart/institutional money drives the order flow that create the price momentum, price trend, price relative strength, price patterns, price structures, ... that we see repetitively in the price charts of the liquid securities that we use for our financial positions.
For example, on Jan 6 2025, COIN's price flashed that the Dec 2024 low was a significant low. Significant lows, are lows where the dominant order flow shifted from selling to buying.
Today, once again, COIN's price flashes that the upReversal, which started from the Dec 2024 low on Dec 31 2024 marks a significant low; especially since the close of Jan 13 2025 is above the low of Dec 31 2024.
COIN's price upMomentum supports the Jan 6 2025 upReversal & the Jan 15 2025 upContinuance.
With this said, we understand that what a price charts shows at this moment can shift with the next price bar. To protect us from the uncertainty of the next price bar and the shifting momentum, relative strength, price patterns, price structures, ... , we use risk management guidelines and money control rules to prevent shifts from ruining our portfolio/financial account balances.
Our idea is to open an upMove position on COIN today near the close of the day. We will setup what we refer to as an In/Out Option upLadder. In/Out describes the spread that we establish: buy the option that is just in the money & sell the option that is just out of the money to create the In/Out spread. To create the ladder we select options that expire on the next three Fridays: 17th, 24th, & 31st.
For Example:
Time▲ Side Pos Effect Qty Symbol Desc Price TIF Mark Net Prc Status Account
1/15/25, 12:14:16 PM BUY 1 COIN Vertical (2d) 272.5/275 1.25 LIMIT Day 1.2 1.15 FILLED margin
1/15/25, 12:14:25 PM BUY 1 COIN Vertical (9d) 272.5/275 1.23 LIMIT Day 1.15 1.2 FILLED margin
1/15/25, 12:14:33 PM BUY 1 COIN Vertical (16d) 272.5/275 1.20 LIMIT Day 1.1 1.15 FILLED margin
Each of these positions have the possibility of achieving 100% return. It is prudent to plan for a ROR less that 100%, however it is possible. Also, note that price does not have to move that far to achieve a great return. These option ladders often hit there targets withing the first or second week.
This information is not presented as financial advice. This is just our attempt at sharing ideas about consistently profiting from financial markets.
Coinbase: Wave (v) of [iii]!At $241, Coinbase recently reached a new local low, after which the price surged an impressive 17% at its peak. Thus, we now consider the blue wave (iv) as complete and locate the stock in the blue wave (v), which should push to new all-time highs to complete the larger wave of the ongoing magenta upward impulse. However, this upward trajectory will be postponed if COIN encounters selling pressure and falls below the support at $224. We assign a 33% probability to this alternative scenario.
COIN - Daily - Earnings IncomingClick Here🖱️ and scroll down👇 for the technicals, and more behind this analysis!!!
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..........✋NFA👍..........
📈Technical/Fundamental/Target Standpoint⬅️
1.) Technical Outlook:
- Limited Upside: With $306 as a potential resistance level.
- Downside Risk: A bearish scenario is also possible, with $230 as a potential support level.
2.) Fundamental Factors:
- Potential for Regulatory Clarity: The anticipated change in US presidential administration could lead to more favorable crypto regulations. This could positively impact COIN's long-term prospects.
- Uncertain Timing: While positive regulatory developments are anticipated, the exact timeline for their implementation remains uncertain.
3.) Current Market Condition:
- Downtrend: The current downtrend on the daily timeframe suggests a bearish bias in the short term.
- Lack of Accumulation: The absence of significant accumulation signals a lack of strong buying pressure.
4.) Overall Outlook:
- Sideways Trading: Based on the current technical and fundamental factors, a period of sideways trading seems likely for COIN.
🌎Global Market Sentiment⬅️
1.) January Caution: Historically, January has shown a tendency for negative monthly closes. This trend extends to March and April, suggesting a period of caution for investors.
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Major Price Movement Incoming for COIN!Signalist has detected a precise pattern in NASDAQ:COIN trading activity, signaling that a substantial price movement is imminent. This isn’t a random fluctuation—it’s a carefully analyzed precursor to a significant market event.
📅 What to Expect:
⌛ Timeline: Anticipate a major move within the next 1 to 4 upcoming 3-hour candles.
📈 Monitor the Charts: Keep an eye on COIN’s price action over the next few candles.
Prepare Your Strategy: Whether you’re bullish or bearish, have your trading plan ready to capitalize on the move.
COIN buy setup for near term equity or long call options tradeStrong buy rates indicating we have another solid bounce approaching into end of Jan 2025/ next FOMC meeting, to take price to 302$ target level. Great setup for a long call options trade for 30-45 DTE duration.
Expecting additional volatility after peaking above 300 so will look for discounts once again before seeking entry on calls for Sept.
Weekly and monthly tf cycles analysis indicating COIN share price is preparing to run strongly higher to 750$ and 1000$ targets by early 2026. VERY Very bullish from my standpoint, given its fundamentals and disruption of traditional banking/finance sectors.