Everything is set for a large bull run - Corn
Corn looks very bullish to me.
Corn has large gaps between support/resistance levels. That means when the price moves it moves fast.
Corn price has broken two resistance levels and broken out of a symmetric triangle to continue the bullish momentum. The large time gap between the previous high and the breakout could mean that Corn could move to the next level quickly as well.
This is not a financial advice, do your own research before investing.
CCM1! trade ideas
New Highs in Corn
Corn probes above $6 for the first time since 2013
Farmers will favor beans
Keep an eye on gasoline and ethanol prices
Corn continues to pop going into the planting and growing seasons- It’s all about the weather
Backwardation as the market has high hopes for 2021 output
In late April 2020, the corn price fell to its lowest level since 2008 when the continuous corn futures contract found a bottom at $3.0025 per bushel. The pandemic pushed prices lower across all asset classes. Corn is the primary ingredient in US ethanol production. The ethanol mandate that requires a blend of gasoline and biofuel in the US closely ties corn’s price to crude oil and gasoline. In April 2020, crude oil fell below zero to a low of negative $40.32 per barrel. Gasoline prices declined to 37.60 cents per gallon wholesale in March 2020, the lowest price since 1999. The price carnage in the energy sector and selling in all markets pushed corn to the $3 level where it found a bottom.
Last week, corn moved to its highest price since July 2013 at nearly double the April 2020 low. Nearby May futures probed above the $6 per bushel level.
Corn probes above $6 for the first time since 2013
On April 15, corn futures put in the most recent high when they traded to $6.015 per bushel on the nearby March futures contract.
The chart highlights eight consecutive months of gains in the corn market as of mid-April 2021. A close above the $5.6425 level at the end of April will mark the ninth straight monthly price increase in the coarse grain.
Open interest, the total number of long and short positions in the corn futures arena has been rising with the grain’s price. Increasing open interest as the price of a futures market rises is typically a validation of a bullish trend. Monthly price momentum and relative strength indicators are in overbought conditions, but they continue to rise. Monthly historical volatility at 22.31% signifies the rally is slow and steady.
Corn futures are bullish, with the price at its highest level since July 2013. The next upside target is $7.30 per bushel, that month’s peak, which is a gateway to the 2012 $8.4375 all-time high in the corn futures market.
Keep an eye on gasoline and ethanol prices
The US ethanol mandate ties corn’s price to gasoline. The US is the world’s leading corn producer and exporter. Corn is the input into US ethanol processing. In Brazil, sugar is the input. Like corn, sugar prices have been rallying over the past months as the demand for ethanol rises with gasoline prices.
The chart shows that gasoline futures rose from the lowest price of this century at 37.6 cents per gallon in March 2020 to the highest level since 2018 at $2.17 per gallon in March 2021. Higher gasoline prices have pushed ethanol to a multi-year peak.
The monthly ethanol futures chart illustrates that the biofuel’s cost has risen to its highest level since December 2014 at $2.01 per gallon. Higher ethanol prices support higher corn prices.
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Trading advice given in this communication, if any, is based on information taken from trades and statistical services and other sources that we believe are reliable. The author does not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects the author’s good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice the author provides will result in profitable trades. There is risk of loss in all futures and options trading.
Traditional|ZC1!|LongLong ZC1!
Activation of the transaction only when the blue zone is fixed/broken.
The author recommends the use of anchoring fixed the blue zone, this variation is less risky.
If there is increased volatility in the market and the price is held for more than 2-3 minutes behind the activation zone after the breakdown, then the activation of the idea occurs at the prices behind the activation zone.
The idea is to work out the resistance level .
* Possible closing of a trade before reaching the take/stop zone. The author can close the deal for subjective reasons, this does not completely cancel the idea and is not a call to the same action, you can continue working out the idea according to your data, but without the support of the author.
+ Maybe right now we will go even lower, then it's okay, the idea is not activated and simply canceled.
+ ! - zone highlighted by the ellipse is a zone of increased resistance, in this area there is a possible reversal for a correction, please take this factor into account in this transaction.
The "forecast" tool is used for more noticeable display of % (for the place of the usual % scale) of the price change, I do not put the date and time of the transaction, only %.
Blue zones - activation zones.
Green zones - take zones.
The red zone - stop zone.
Working out the stop when the price returns to the level after activation + fixing in the red zone.
Orange arrow - the direction of take.
Black arrow - neutral scenario without activating the trade.
The red arrow - the direction of the stop.
SUM PNL: This parameter displays the total % of all closed ideas of the "new" format (according to the author) for this sector at the time of publication of the idea. The calculation is very "clumsy" just the sum of the profits of all the ideas, based on this indicator, you can more accurately assess the risks when working with my ideas of this sector. I present you the construction of the idea, you can use it yourself as you like based on your subjective view and risks, the calculation of the PNL indicator is carried out only on transactions that the author closed on TV in manual mode or by take.
P.S Please use RM (risk management) and MM (money management) if you decide to use my ideas, there will always be unprofitable ideas, this will definitely happen, the goal of the system is that there will be more profitable ideas at a distance.
Corn futures contract in MayAccording to Price Action and SDZ: Corn is showing signs of about to accelerate strongly in the near future, the support zone of the week converges with the support of the month, and the current price is in the support zone of the week, wait. Confirm a higher bottom by placing a candlestick in this support and maybe entering a buy, SL order at the bottom of the support zone.
Lots of demend for Corn in the weeks to come?This is Corn Futures Weekly chart.
This chart pattern usually predicts a very strong upward move!
It's an up-sloping pennant pattern while the Stoch RSI shows a down cycle. This suggests that price are experiencing an uptrend in what is supposedly a typical retracement.
Price has already bounced off the 20MA on the Daily chart , which means the better entry timing is missed. You can look to enter on a 4H time frame or just accept a lower risk to reward. I think it's fine to accept a lower risk to reward since this is based off a Weekly chart.
Be sure to watch the liquidty & contract period.
If you have any symbols that you would like me to analyze, feel free to drop me a comment!
Thanks!
$ZC_F March/December Corn SpreadThe best cure for a high corn price is a high corn price because producers will plant more corn next season to take advantage of the current high price and inadvertently drive up the supply which will in turn drive down the future price. Assuming supply through March is scarce and by December it will be relatively plentiful, it makes sense to go long the March contract and short December because the March contract should outperform the December. Both can go up and down together, March just needs to outperform. Yesterday was a red day for both contracts and today is a green day for both, gains in the March/December spread were realized on both days. The December leg can be closed for greater reward if March corn resumes the strong upward rally but the risk will be greater because there will no longer be a balanced quantity of contracts mostly cancelling each other out. I currently have one contract of each and am playing it by ear because spread trading is new to me. I may up the quantity to two or three each depending on how the trade goes and if my broker will let me.