DAX1! trade ideas
DAX held the 1D MA50 going for the 9-month Resistance.DAX is on a very strong rebound after holding the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support, having closed all 1D candles above it since December 20. As mentioned on previous analyses, the target is the 14680 - 14950 Resistance Zone. We are looking to take profits on the first sign of rejection within that zone.
Beyond that, we will buy either after a 14950 bullish break-out, i.e. a 1D candle closing above 14950 and target the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up within 15300- 15400. That is located directly below the February Resistance Zone.
As long as the 1D MA50 holds, (i.e. candle closing above it), buy on the short-term and target 14680. A closing below the 1D MA50 should take DAX to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), located at the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up. Keep an eye also on the 1D RSI Buy Zone for medium-term buys.
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DAX Can dip even lower with the RSI being the keyThe German stock index (DAX) has had a strongly bearish week as it got rejected just below the 14700 June 06 High, inside the greater Resistance Zone that is holding since March 29. As we mentioned last week, this is a much needed technical pull-back following the +24.50% rise since the October 03 Low. The 1D RSI got vastly overbought above 80.000 and it is only natural for the market to seek to normalize these levels.
The 1D RSI is now almost at 40.000 but based on the Support Zone (green) that has been holding for over a year, it can dip to 30.000 if not lower before DAX turns into a buy opportunity again long-term. This will most likely be below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) being the 1st Support and the Higher Lows trend-line the 2nd.
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Reversal DAX Future: Resistance zone and SpreadThe Dax Future is approaching a strong resistance area, which starts around 14600. Additionally, the spread between the next Future ahead and the overnext Future ahead ist strongly bearish. A reversal is expected. Additionally, the RSI is overbought.
A target price would be 14000.
The resistance area is passed above 14700 points and then a situation gets invalid
Thus a P/L ratio of 1:5 would be possible.
Next resistance will be already above at around 14900/15000.
This isn't any financel advice.
DAX: aiming at the Support below the 4H MA50.The price failed to break above the 4H MA50 (red) and dropped more to a new Low. This is getting closer to our 14,150 short-term target just above the 14,130 Support (formed from the low of November 15th). 4H is now close to oversold territory (RSI = 34.750, MACD = -47.400, ADX = 59.234) so we might see a short term rebound back to the 4H MA50 (14,446.70 and dropping) but with a break below 4,100 we will extend selling to the 4H MA200 (currently at 13,898.60). The 1D RSI remains bullish (57.430) though but we're only willing to buy as of this point if the price breaks above the 14,710 (June 6th 2022 High) Resistance and target the 14,940 (March 29 2022 High) Resistance.
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DAX: Short term outlookDAX continues to slowly but steadily grind higher using the 4H MA50 (14,451) as Pivot. With such neutral 4H technicals (RSI = 50.442, MACD = 15.00, ADX = 16.012), we will engage today in scalping activity within the 4H Bollinger Bands (14,590 - 14,389). A break above 14,650 would be a break-out bullish call targeting 14,710 (June 6th 2022 High) Resistance, while a closing below 14,320, would be a break-out bearish call targeting 14,150. A closing above the 14,710 Resistance would be a bullish break-out signal targeting the 14,940 March 29th 2022 High.
DAX two possible scenarios.DAX has at the moment two possible scenarios.
If we look fundamentally, inflation might peaked, but recession probabilities around the world are still rising.
So for me the most likely scenario to happen is the bearish one.
Use a solid money management and risk precautions before you enter the market.
DAX 's incredible 8 straight green week rally may come to an endThe German Index (DAX) hit last week its 1W MA100 (green trend-line) and early this week, the 1W candle is pulling-back in red. If it closes this way, it will be the first week of loss (red) since late September, running an amazing streak of 8 straight green ones.
With the 1W RSI almost reaching 65.000 for the first time since November 15 2021 (a whole year ago), a potential 1W MA100 rejection can draw comparisons with the post U.S. - China trade war recovery early in 2019. As shown on this chart, DAX pulled-back on the 2nd week after breaking above its 1W MA100 and the pull-back broke marginally below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
A megaphone pattern of Higher Highs and Lower Lows took the price just below the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) before recovering and post a strong rally that broke slightly above its Resistance Zone from the previous All Time Highs.
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dax 4hour scenario : dax reach fibo61 daily ,now must go down we have 3 gap on phisical cash DAX INDEX ,personaly i think red scenario will happend THEN as i predict in low, before dax will see 14800-15000 area
AC indicator show new +up trend will start if if if last low 14500 not break ,,,,if 14500 break signal will switch to sell
ALERT: END OF YEAR +RALLY CAN START
good luck
DAX: 1H Rising Wedge with clear targetsDAX is trading inside a Rising Wedge on the 1H time-frame with the price making a Higher High by breaking above yesterday's High/ Resistance on healthy 4H technicals (RSI = 56.980, MACD = 66.900, ADX = 28.300). Despite the overbought 1D RSI, as long as this Rising Wedge is maintained, DAX should target the 14,710 Resistance (June 6th High). If the 1H MA50 (blue) and the Rising Wedge break downwards, the 4H MA50 is the first line of Support (14,277) but most likely we will see a test of the 14,145 - 14,170 Support Zone, which is near the bottom of the November Channel Up. This is where the 1H MA200 (orange) is.
If it breaks, we turn bearish on the medium term, aiming at the 13,600 Support. If the 14,710 Resistance breaks, we remain bullish, targeting the 14,940 Resistance (March 29th High).
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FDAX UpdateNot sure what the Euros are doing, lol. Indicators show nothing on the 3 hr, but daily is overbought on RSI while MFI is trending down.
No idea which way the market gaps tomorrow. Gap down and reversal tomorrow would make for an easy trade, but there haven't been many easy trades lately, lol. Lucky to get one easy trading day a week.
DAX 1hour : 2 scenario possible , we have open gap in downfor buy wait for 14270 area and buy on gap and hold it 3-4 day
if you have old sell, you must close all or hedge them in gap
upper target is 14555 then 14800
keep monitor AC indicator on 4hourchart, it is full green now ,if high not break it has sell signal
strongly advice 90% looking for buy in deep above 14000
good luck