FCXO34 trade ideas
FCX Long - US Mkt. Trade #1 for 3-18This trade idea assumes that the unusual range move signals a higher probability of a trend continuation, even if there is a short-term reversal. The Edge Finder software suggests that a Limit order of 44.78 on FCX with a 5% stop and a 5% target, a trade which normally has a 50% probability of winning or losing, has historically won 73% of the time in an average of 10 days
Possible Long Trade for FCX-FreeportI prefer to go long on NYSE:FCX because of my CAPITALCOM:COPPER expectation ( ). In 2024 growth might slow a bit but with the rate cut expectations looming, Freeport might give some buying oppurtunity as long as S&P 500 entered a bear mode. I don't expect a breakout at the key 46.50 top however. I think 2.71 R/R ratio is good enough for a trade like this.
Freeport-McMoRan's Golden Surge: A Deep Dive into Q4 Earnings
Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE: NYSE:FCX ) has recently reported a robust performance in its fourth-quarter earnings, surpassing Wall Street estimates and revealing a 10% increase in gold production for the year 2023. This article explores the key highlights from Freeport's financial report, analyzes the factors contributing to its success, and delves into the company's outlook for the future.
Strong Financial Performance:
Freeport-McMoRan's Q4 net income of $388 million or $0.27 per share exceeded analysts' expectations, showcasing a resilient performance despite challenging market conditions. The company's adjusted net income of $393 million further underlines its financial strength.
Revenue Growth and Production Boost:
The company reported a revenue of $5.905 billion for the October to December period, marking a notable increase from the previous year. Freeport attributes this growth to a substantial increase in copper production, with 1.095 billion pounds mined in Q4 2023 compared to 1.070 billion pounds in the same quarter of 2022.
Gold Production Surge:
Freeport's gold production witnessed a remarkable surge, with 573,000 ounces produced in Q4 2023 compared to 472,000 ounces in the same period of 2022. The annual gold production of 1.993 million ounces in 2023 reflects a strategic focus on diversification and capitalizing on the robust gold market.
CEO's Optimistic Outlook:
Freeport-McMoRan's ( NYSE:FCX ) CEO, Richard Adkerson, expressed optimism about the company's future, emphasizing a focus on operational excellence and investment plans. Adkerson highlighted the team's success in 2023 and outlined strategic initiatives for 2024, with a commitment to enhancing the long-term value of the company's assets.
2024 Projections and Market Impact:
The company projects consistent copper production in 2024 and anticipates further growth in gold. Consolidated sales volumes are expected to reach 4.1 billion pounds of copper and 2.0 million ounces of gold. The positive outlook has contributed to a rally in NYSE:FCX stock, with a 5.9% gain and a breach above key moving averages.
Cost Management and Capital Expenditure:
Freeport-McMoRan remains committed to cost discipline, projecting an average cost of $1.60 per pound of copper in 2024. Additionally, capital expenditures are expected to decrease to $4.6 billion, reflecting prudent financial management and the nearing completion of the Indonesia smelter.
Technical Analysis and Investor Sentiment:
NYSE:FCX stock's impressive rally, reaching a 5.9% gain, indicates positive investor sentiment. NYSE:FCX is in a potential bullish trend, with the stock surpassing the converged 50- and 200-day moving averages. The emergence of a handle with a buy point at 43.42 further adds to the intrigue for potential investors.
Conclusion:
Freeport-McMoRan's ( NYSE:FCX ) stellar Q4 performance, driven by increased copper and gold production, sets the stage for a promising 2024. CEO Richard Adkerson's optimistic outlook, coupled with prudent cost management and strategic initiatives, positions the company for sustained growth. As global economic conditions evolve, Freeport-McMoRan's success becomes not only a testament to its operational excellence but also a beacon for investors seeking opportunities in the mining sector.
FCX Freeport-McMoRan Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of FCX Freeport-McMoRan prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 38usd strike price at the money Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-2-2,
for a premium of approximately $1.29.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
FCX: Monthly Diamond Top Bearish Break Down FCX has formed and confirmed the break down of a Diamond Top pattern and looks to be preparing to come down to around $14, which would align with the 0.786 Fibonacci Retrace. I suspect many other mining stocks will also go down pretty significantly with this.
#FCX trade range up to 15-Sep-23The activity of the options market confirms the trading range within the borders shown on the graph. Not surprized.
Based on our team's research of the options market, we expect buy activity at the support level or sell activity at the resistance.
We primarily consider levels to be activity zones, but not to be a super-fine level for establishing a limit order. Use them in combination with our own strategy, not in alone.
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