$JSEGFI - Gold Fields: Do Not Chase ItI last covered Gold Fields on 09/11/2022 and the share price has unfolded in textbook fashion, as forecasted.
Seeing that the stock is currently in wave (v), it is not advisable to chase it.
Commodity stocks are notorious for strong pullbacks and after the completion of five waves up, we expect a retracement in three waves.
This is the time to sit on your hands and let the market come to you.
G1FI34 trade ideas
$JSEGFI - Gold Fields: Bullish After A Giant Running FlatThis is a share worthy of an update.
We first looked at GFI on the 4th of September and our opinion was simple:
1) we anticipated one final push to the downside potentially to R118,00
2) we identified R162,23 as a key level the bulls need to break to give a strong signal that they are now in charge
Now that the Yamana Gold deal is off let's take a look at the bigger picture and bring it all home.
From the August 2020 peak at R255,69 the share dropped to just below R118,00 in a complex WXY pattern for wave (A).
The recovery to the new all time high at R262,93 was in a simple ABC zigzag for wave (B).
The sell-off from R262,93 for wave (C) was impulsive but terminate at R126,62 just above the wave (A) low.
The entire (A)(B)(C) pattern is a running flat and with the recent break above R162,23 we can be more confident that the bulls are back in charge.
The price action from R126,62 already looks impulsive and hopefully with a recovery in the gold price as well we will see more upside in GFI.
Gold Fields showing strong upside to come to R289.22Cup and Handle has formed on the daily and it follows with the upside in the gold price
We have the 7 > 21> 200 MA and Price> 200 which is bullish
Target R289.22.
We also have the Chinese New year with consumers buying gold as gifts, which can push up demand for the metal.
We've seen a bit of a weakness in the U.S. dollar, which you can see with the DIXIE, which can make gold more attractive to foreign investors.
Central banks and other large institutions normally add gold to their reserves at the start of the year.
Goldfields - Déjà vuI noted last year in August how Goldfields likes to make a fake break down before a leg up, just as in 2021.
The same script seems to have played out and price is now at a key zone where it could possibly retrace or breakout to complete the bull flag measured move .
Swing high becomes likely target if we do indeed break out here and gold bulls keep up the momentum .
#GFI bouncing off 200ema on weekly #JSENice bounce off the 200 weekly EMA for Goldfields (GFI:JSE) as gold price has seen a nice reversal midday. If the 200wema at R130 fails, we could be headed to R110-R115 which has some strong strong horizontal support. the anchored vwap from the sep18 lows also come in just under which should provide another level of support/
Goldfields (GFI) - Looking to Resume UptrendIn previous trade idea, we looked at GFI forming an important breakout point. Area around R190 was strong resistance. Now price is consolidating in a symmetrical triangle. The expectation is for price to break to the upside taking out resistance. However beware of a fake move to the downside of the triangle before powering higher.
GFI: another leg up?A price action above 18000 supports a bullish trend direction.
Crossing below this level will negate the bullish stance.
Further bullish trend confirmation above 18800.
Price consolidation between 18400 to 19300. Crossing above the 19300 resistance will support the price action to target 20600.
Crossing below 18400 will be the first sign of pending weakness.
Remains above its 200-day simple moving average - supporting a bullish trend.
$JSEGFI - A Final Push To The DownsideSince reaching an all time high of R262.93 in March 2022, the share price of Gold Fields has retraced more than 40%.
The retracement appear to be unfolding in five waves with the sideways movement from June 2022 fitting the triangle pattern profile.
Triangles are found in wave 4 of impulses and this implies that GFI is in its final wave down to complete the five wave sequence of an impulse.
Strong support is found at R118.00 which could be a price target for wave 5.
A break above R162.23 will be the strong indication that wave 5, and subsequently the entire five wave sequence down is complete.
Goldfields - RangingGoldfields continues to trade within a well defined range R145-R162 since June this year.
If you bullish on the price of gold going forward, these are great levels to accumulate the stock .
Just be careful of a fakeout move to the downside before starting the real move, shakeouts are very common with gold & gold stocks.
Basic is Powerfulwe have seen a sign of price increase i.e. the price is making QM PATTERN. If the price wants to continue rising, the price will not fall lower than the LATEST lower low (LL). If the price drops lower than the LATEST lower low, we will stop loss. The TP target is based on a larger TF. I use EMA50 TF Daily as a target. However, I did not place the TP target exactly at the EMA50 TF daily, I placed a lower target so that the TP target is reached faster.
GFI: another leg down?Remains in a declining channel pattern - which is bearish in nature.
A price action below 15800 supports a bearish trend direction.
Crossing above this level will negate the negative stance.
Further bearish trend support for a price action below 15400.
Consolidation range from 14600 to 15400.
Crossing below 14600 might target 13900.
Crossing above 15400 will be the first sign of strength returning in the share.
Remains below its 200-day simple moving average.
Remains a riskty trade.
Stocks To Watch This WeekThere are no certainties in the stock market. These names have shown good relative strength and accumulation volume . This may give good risk/reward entries on some of the best names. Some of these charts still need to confirm their price action. This video is my watchlist. Most of these names are at or near all time highs or multi year highs. There are 24 total stocks on this list with 0 short squeeze candidates . Many of these have IPO'd in the last few years and still have a growth story ahead of them. Know your time frame and risk tolerance. Know your earnings dates! I go through these quickly so grab a pencil and paper and jot down the names that look interesting to you and then make the trade your own. Good Luck!