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ISP1! trade ideas

August 23 Fridays planMy 3 year backtesting shows typically mondays are up and fridays end down. That doesn't mean we short all day... I think we go up from here based on trend, candles, elliot, and this new chart overaly with my friend AnotherDAPTrader's strategy DAP Scalp 1 MAX.. Any questions ask him please. point is we have a doji above pivot and a 3 day ABC correction typical of wave 2. we should go up. s3.tradingview.com and I think we close lower by the end of the day on friday, after the morning Also kudos to AlgoAlpha for his excellent indicator called Supertrended RSI
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by dryanhawley
3
2024-08-22 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Strong day by the bears for most markets and on higher volume too. After climactic moves, many traders keep tight stops and won’t let the market run too much against them because they want to secure their profits. Does that mean the market is reversing? Probably not. But deep pullbacks are always possible. In trading rangs the daily 20ema and the 50% (midpoint of the range) are always magnets, so always mark them on your chart. For tomorrow I expect more volatility since we have BOJ Ueda + FED JPOW speaking. sp500 e-mini futures comment: Huge day for the bears by closing below 5600. I do think it would be fitting if we close the week with a huge bear reversal candle below 5550 or even 5500. Can we get there? Unlikely but not impossible. Could we also close above 5721? You bet. No one knows where we are going because market has moved in such extremes the past two weeks, that absolutely everything is possible tomorrow. Odds still somewhat favor the bulls to close the week above 5600 but just slightly. Daily ema is around 5500 and that are two good reasons for market to test that price. Anything above 5640 would surprise me tbh. current market cycle: Bull trend inside the big trading range on the daily chart key levels: 5500 -5670 bull case: Bulls tried to fight it today but the down moves saw a big increase in volume and bulls could not keep the market above 5600. They need to stay above this price or risk much more downside because I do think many stops will be around 5580-5595 tomorrow. Their first target is a 15m bar close above the ema and then the 1h ema to turn the market neutral again. 50% pullback from today is 5625 and that is also a magnet for tomorrow. Invalidation is below 5580. bear case: Bears surprised me today because the strength of the selling was not expected. Market grinded higher first but since the US open we just saw big selling coming through and every rip was sold. If bears do not keep the momentum going tomorrow, they risk another reversal and potentially another meltup to a new ath but that will strongly depend on Jpow and Ueda and how the market will interpret their speeches. Can you forecast this? Don’t bother. Mark key levels on your chart and hop along on the breakout tomorrow. Invalidation is above 5670. short term: 5600 is neutral and I wait. Bears need follow through selling below 5580 and bulls a strong reversal. Above 5625 I will consider longs. medium-long term: Bearish. I gave the 5000 target 3 months ago and we almost got there way earlier than expected. There is a reasonable chance we will see an event unfolding over the next days/weeks. Something breaks during these violent moves and this time will not be different. current swing trade: Nope. trade of the day: Sell US open. No reason not to and no reason to exit until 5600 where market stalled too much.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
Why Monitoring S&P 500 Futures is My Morning Trading Ritual!Every morning before the trading day begins, I have a ritual: I analyze the S&P 500 futures. For me, this isn’t just a routine—it's a crucial step in gauging the market's direction. The S&P 500 futures offer a snapshot of market sentiment and potential movements long before the regular trading session opens. By examining the overnight action, I can identify key levels of support and resistance, and understand the market's mood—whether it's risk-on or risk-off. This early insight helps me set the tone for my trading day, allowing me to make informed decisions, anticipate possible trends, and adjust my strategies accordingly. In a market where timing and positioning are everything, starting my day with a clear picture of where the broader market might be headed gives me a competitive edge. It’s about being proactive rather than reactive—preparing for the day’s opportunities and challenges with confidence.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007
Trading the ES cautiously, other areas are safer investmentsI explain in the video but ultimately I've only done 2 ES trades over the last 2 months, and avoided two false trading signals. The trading signals were not supported by multiple timeframe trends nor did I feel the economic data around them supported them either. You can watch the video if you want the feedback overall. Ultimately, there is a GC trade forming today for a buy position at the close of today depending on what it looks like. I may just tap out my current contracts on the 6E and 6S though and take off work until after my trip in September. There is going to likely be a buy signal on the ES tomorrow or Monday. At this point, all things being what they are, I think I'm going to ignore it. Safe trading, remember your risk management.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by SemperTrader
1
CKZ Q&A Series- What is your Morning Routine?Pre-Market Preparation: Review Overnight News and Earnings Reports:** I start by checking for any significant news, earnings reports, or events that might impact the market or specific stocks. This includes macroeconomic reports, company announcements, and sector-specific news. - **Check Futures Markets:** I look at the S&P 500 futures (often the /ES or E-mini) to gauge the overall market sentiment heading into the day. 2. Tools and Platforms: TradingView:** I use TradingView for charting and technical analysis. This platform allows me to apply various indicators, analyze multiple timeframes, and set alerts for key levels. - **VX Algo Indicators:** I rely heavily on my proprietary VX Algo Signals, which include the VX Volume Algo, VX Bands, VX Super Mac D, and VX Moving Averages to identify potential buy and sell signals. News Aggregators and Twitter: I monitor news aggregators and Twitter feeds for any last-minute developments that could influence the market. Algorithmic Buy Signals: VX Algo Signals: I look for buy signals generated by my VX Algo on the 48m timeframe, focusing on signals that align with other indicators and market conditions. I track the performance of these signals during the day and night, as this helps refine my strategy over time.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007
What Wall of Worry? Path of Least Resistance for NowI reviewed an interesting study Tuesday about V bottoms. Over 20 years of data showing the average "V Bottom" takes nearly 1 year to come back and get into positive territory. The fact that all US Indexes and many stocks have done this in 10-15 trading trades is pretty remarkable. Will we more path of least resistance at all-time highs or will we see resistance actual hold for a beat. All US Markets closing green today, Russell 2000 led the indexes today with +1.30% DXY hitting fresh lows, but 101 and 100 are major technical support levels that I'm watching. Review at your convenience. Thanks for watching!!!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by ChrisPulver
2
2024-08-20 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Got their expected pullback but indexes have still not touched even the 4h 20ema. Markets closed near their open which was near yesterdays close. Mostly. Since bears could not even print something than a bear doji, we can expect more sideways at the highs before we will probably get another breakout above. sp500 e-mini futures comment: Small stop in the meltup but bulls bought it above the bull trend line. Same as for dax that I do not expect anything below 5600 for now and it should not go above 5650 before FOMC or you can consider me surprised. If anything, I’d bet on a bull breakout and not for strong bears. current market cycle: Bull trend inside the big trading range on the daily chart key levels: 5600 - 5650 bull case: Bulls are currently buying the 2h 20ema and did so today. If they keep it above 5600 then 5650 is probably a magnet for tomorrow. On the 1h chart posted today was a two legged pullback down to the current channel and odds favor the bulls to trade back up. Invalidation is below 5600. bear case: Bears are happy with stopping the advance and scalps. They took profits at new lows today and the market was barely red on the daily chart. I absolutely expect bears to come around big time again but just not right now. Can JPOW surprise the markets this week or can the market look for an excuse to sell it hard again? Sure. Is this more likely than a continuation up? No. Invalidation is above 5650. short term: max bullish above 5600. Below I turn neutral and wait. medium-long term: Bearish. I gave the 5000 target 3 months ago and we almost got there way earlier than expected. There is a reasonable chance we will see an event unfolding over the next days/weeks. Something breaks during these violent moves and this time will not be different. current swing trade: Nope. trade of the day: Selling above 5635 was good multiple times but only for scalps tbh.
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by priceactiontds