Weekly Market Forecast SP500 NASDAQ DOW: Short Term BUYS!In this video, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, AND DOW JONES Futures for the week of March 24 - 28th. We'll determine the bias for the upcoming week, and look for the best potential setups.
The equity markets have been choppy lately, but this week may be different. The economic calendar shows a smooth week ahead, as there are no NFP, FOMC, or similarly volatile news ahead to potentially reverse a market out of the blue. The indices show potential to break consolidation and move upwards. So we wait until there are definitive market structure shifts to occur, acting as confirmations.
Only then do we pounce!
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May profits be upon you.
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ISP1! trade ideas
Combined US Indexes - Time to make a Lower HighFrom the last time, the Combined US equity indexes did keep into the Extension Zone (EZ) as marked out. This Zone is defined from the lowest point of the TD Setup and the range is determined by the range of the candle that has the lowest point, this case being Candle 9 (4 March).
So after the expected two week in the EZ, we see an indication of the week ahead to continue the Sell Setup and break out of the EZ for the week, at least from mid-week where it would be candle 9.
According to TD rules, this Sell setup is NOT bullish, and can be expected to turn further down from resistance (Orange Line). This orange line is determined from the weekly chart where there is an ongoing TD Buy Setup (bearish) that needs to be kept intact for the trend to continue.
So, based on the techincals, the combined US equities may be seeing a last week of bullishness which goes through the yellow ellipse, then face strong resistance and continue the main Bearish trend (as depicted by the prevailing Buy Setup (20Feb to 4Mar). Noted that the main trend changed to Bear once the TDST was broken down on 3Mar.
Here are very good live examples for those keen on (Thomas) Demark indicators; watch and wait for it to develop...
BouncyThe S&P 500 on Friday broke to the downside only to find buyers that created a bouncy bottom for trading that day. If indeed buyers have returned can they follow through. Ideally you'd want to see the market closing above 5800 by the close of Tuesday if indeed buyers have returned to the market.
Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo SystemEOD accountability report: +$503.75
Sleep: :check: Overall health: did not feel so well today.
C+ & B+ set up trades today
Today at 9:30 AM VXAlgo NQ 10M Buy Signal + major support from 🎯┃𝐅𝐮𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞𝐬-𝐀𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐲𝐬𝐢𝐬…
10:11am Buying at major support from 🎯┃𝐅𝐮𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞𝐬-𝐀𝐧𝐚𝐥𝐲𝐬𝐢𝐬…
Today at 12:12 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
Today at 1:11 PM VXAlgo ES 10M Sell Signal,
Started the day somewhat bearish because we had a daily sell signal,, but all time frames were pretty close to bottoming out and a lot of the move happened overnight already so by the time we opened, it was already at 50% off the expected move for the day and -1% on the index.
So since i had a major support there, i just started buying everytime we hit 5653ish area.
When it failed to break support 3x today, I realize that sellers were weak and had no strength so my bias started to flip bullish.
the S hit the Flosing thi trendline is a problem or im not captain obvious
where bottom? well.
no one knows the future some people me included though trump would boom the market
some people thought
people think
i think we need to stop thinking and see whats infront of us.
fear gives us a lack of buyers (volume)
uncerteinty provides sellers (price drops)
macro economics provide both of these.
and rate cuts arent happening but im still balling.
i wont say my projections in case im right i dont want market makers to change their plans but i will be nice and post my chart.
lines are levels and sweep levels
volume profile is volume profile
rectangles are gaps
rsi is rsi
fibbos are fibbos
declining volume is declining volume
Which place is attractive to buy??
Daily Trade Recap: Precision Entries and Exits EOD accountability report: +$828.75
Sleep: :check: Mood: 💯
Started the day very bearish because of the 195m sell signal but as once I saw the W pattern and Doji --> BFC, I decided to step back and watch.
C+ & B+ set up trades today
10:59 AM VXAlgo NQ 10M Sell Signal, (multiple confluence as well, Bia's resistance lvl, 10M sell signal, +trendline resistance)
12:15 PM breaking under 1min MOB & rejection.
1:09 PM VXAlgo ES 10M Buy signal, waited and brought at 5min MOB to 5720
Overview on S&P / 6C / 6E / Gold / SilverJust ran down a major overview on where I'm at in responding to a few messages. I left my last scenario mid December where I stated the S&P was overheated and was likely to come down, even if I didn't have a strong enough signal to go for a longer short on the market.
As I had said then, I was mostly interested in the 6E. I made a large chunk off buying the dip on the 6E and cashing out on trends, to include the launch off it recently had. I'm now done with the 6E for the moment.
My current focus is on 6C. The algorithm and math have taken a turn that the 6C is ready to rebound. I entered into it at just under .69, I did have to roll over into the newer contract, but even with the last couple down days, the math still supports a rebound. I almost cashed out today when it had a rough start and fell at .5%, but held through and we have mostly recovered for the day, leaving us with a fairly bearish candle pattern to support the ongoing uptrends pulling is higher.
When it comes to gold, we have multiple trend violations against the 1hr, 2hr, 3hr, 4hr, and 6hr of lower highs. I expect a downswing to correct these, as they are long overdue for some time now before we move higher. I do believe that Gold is destined for higher, just not yet. I haven't gotten any longer-term signals for gold, so I've mostly been shorting in swing trades to net just a couple thousand on this issue.
I am getting a signal on Silver that it is ready to launch. It is not a flawless signal to show it is ready to meet new highs, so I may watch it tomorrow, but ultimately, I may feel more comfortable jumping into silver over gold for a rebound instead of quick shorts. Also, silver has less margin, so it ties up less of my account.
That is where I sit, hope your trades go well, and remember your risk management.
S&P 500 Recovery: First Price Target Reached What’s Next?S&P 500 Update – Downside Target Hit
The first P&F count has been reached, raising the question of whether this is a true reversal. Market patterns often show a low forming at quarter-end followed by a retest in the new quarter.
Currently, the market is in recovery mode off the bottom. The key questions remain: Is this recovery sustainable, and where might it lead? Is this truly a reversal?
Having achieved the downside objectives, the market is now starting to build cause. The initial lift off the low is notable, but its timing at the end of the first quarter requires caution. There could still be a need for additional testing.
A common pattern in markets is the formation of two lows – one at the end of the old quarter and another in the new quarter – creating what appears as a low and a test.
If a significant market turn is developing with a potential uptrend in the second and third quarters, there will be ample time to position accordingly. The prudent approach now is to create a shopping list of potential investments and look for good ideas and market leadership.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
ID: 2025 - 0062.28.2025
Trade #6 of 2025 executed. So simple, yet far from easy...
Trade entry at 168 DTE (days to expiration).
Trade construct is a PDS (put debit spread) at Delta 15 combined with a PCS (put credit spread) at Delta 15. Overlapping short strikes give it the "unbalanced" butterfly nomenclature.
Sizing and strike selection is designed to keep the risk/reward "AT EXPIRATION" to a 1:1 risk profile. This lets charm work it's magic (second order greek), while exploiting the fact that this is a non-directional bias. The process is a disciplined and systematic approach letting time decay evaporate the extrinsic time value from the short options until target profit is achieved.
IF target profit is not captured after 60 DIT (days in trade), then target is reduced by 50% for the next 30 days.
Happy Trading!
-kevin