MSTR 1H candlesConverging into a corner of a decreasing triangle, looks bullish despite the sentiment
M2ST34 trade ideas
$MSTR appears to have broken the downtrendStill not 100% confirmed yet.
Price action dipped into the gap, although i would have liked to of seen a bit more time ~$275 to confirm
That would have shown a strong bounce off the .618 Fib as well, so I’m still bit skeptical.
It is very good that MSTR had a full 50% retracement tho from this move up.
I’m expecting it to range sideways at least for a few more days to confirm.
Volume has flipped bullish to suggest a trend reversal.
RSI fully reset to beginning of move.
Price closed above the EMA 9 & 21.
EMA 9 still has not crossed 21, so more hesitation.
Bulls need to step up BIG here for the Weekly Close.
MicroStrategy - HAMMER TIME - Purely TechnicalComments:
For me, MicroStrategy is a purely technical and seems to track bitcoin more than its underlying product. It reach the year 2000's all-time highs.
Technicals:
Weekly Zoomed In:
Weekly hammer with volume at the 50%-61.8% fib level
Weekly Zoomed Out:
All-time highs
5EMAs strategy
RM KJ Trend Bounce
ADX extra confirmation
Bounce from horizontals support of the year 2000 all-time highs.
Targets: 800ish by June 2025
Possible MSTR targets As you can see from the fibs , if this doesnt turn into a 5 wave down , possible ABC correction for MSTR. Break of 200 would be bearish for any continuation...
MSTR Fib Pitch FanNASDAQ:MSTR
This Fib Pitch Fan really shows the high touch points and low consolidation points. You can see that candle with a high of $543 in November 2024 and then consolidation follows in the blue zone to the green zone we are currently in. Looking back to March 2024, that candle with a high of $200 touches that green line and bounces into consolidation, similarly to what just happen in November of 2024. Volatility is increasing and bullish momentum is here.
Looking at this green zone we are currently in you can we can have a candle with a low of $285.01 and it did not want to break the line below the candle, bounced right from that line.
We can see this stock getting back to the blue zone above the green zone we are in, making the way back to the highs. Going to that new green zone and moving above the blue zone, can make new highs for the stock.
This chart is posted on X.
Check links on profile.
Comment what you think about this chart.
Comment any tips or suggestions.
NASDAQ:MSTR COINBASE:BTCUSD
Yes, I'm shorting thisBought puts Jan 24, strike 315. Price still in a downtrend and I think it needs more to change that. This is just a test of the broken support now resistance.
$MSTR Continues to FLY to $800. if BTC breaks 100K, CLEAR SKIESThere seems to be the idea that BTC held strong at $92K. We saw a bounce to FWB:98K and MSTR bounced off a similar key level.
Based on this trend, as well as the continued crypto regulation news, we can potentially see MSTR being the next 3x runner in the year IF BTC breaks 100K once again, suggesting further new highs.
This trend would suggest that we can see MSTR $800 by as early as MAY. or some potential consodilation during the summer, with a final blowout in late DEC 2025.
What do you think is the new BTC / MSTR target?
MSTR...up to 320ish, but then back down to where it belongsBuying BTC with debt, what could ever go wrong with that strategy! MSTR is enjoying this nice "mini" upswing, but let's not forget that if you zoom out it's not a very perilous journey downhill. You've been warned and hope that I'm wrong, but there are too many things that potentially could go wrong and the price will reflect that soon. Don't get caught in the FOMO!
Best of luck and always do your own DD!
260 looking likely with many channels suggesting the sameAs for the where and how on everyone's mind, we will break it down for you; it has broken through levels that could have acted as strong support, like Fibonacci retracements, Keltner channels, and closing in on the Bollinger, volume is not as high as it was when making the highs. Still, as we look at angles and lines symmetrically, it seems to be coming to a head at around 260s, with no confirmation on many indicators and oscillators and no reversal chart pattern indicating jumping in at any point soon. Will be looking for an entry around this mark.
MSTR at Critical Reaction Zone: Will Bulls Reclaim Momentum?1. Chart Overview:
- Timeframe: 4-hour (4H) candlestick chart.
- Current Price: $292.00 (visible on the chart).
- Trend: The price appears to be consolidating in a reaction zone near significant support levels.
2. Key Levels (Support & Resistance):
- Support Levels:
- $277.18: Close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, a significant support level.
- $292.00: Current price level acting as interim support.
- $289.80: EMA 200 level, which often serves as a strong support line in technical analysis.
3. Trend Analysis:
- The chart indicates that MSTR is in a **short-term consolidation phase**, bouncing around the reaction zone ($277-$300).
- **Uptrend Potential:** If the price breaks above $328.87 (23.6% Fibonacci), it could test higher levels:
4. Fibonacci Analysis:
- Retracement Levels:
- The price is hovering near the 61.8% retracement level ($289.80), a key zone for potential reversals.
- Holding above this level could signal a bullish rebound, while a breakdown might lead to a test of deeper Fibonacci levels.
Potential Trade Strategies: Bullish Rebound:
- Entry: Around $290-$292 (near current price and EMA 200 support).
- Target: $328 (23.6% Fibonacci) or $351 (EMA 50 level).
MSTR Daily ShortHere's a daily view of MSTR.
I expect a classical Trend-Barrier Reversal.
Let's see how this plays out.
Happy Christmas all §8-)
MSTR - Can I BUY now?NASDAQ:MSTR seems to have found a base at my ideal target for w4. (Would have been great if I managed to publish it ;/)
To keep this brief, I like this area as a base before finding higher.
Goo dLuck!
Major Price Movement Incoming for MSTR!Signalist has detected a precise pattern in NASDAQ:MSTR trading activity, signaling that a substantial price movement is imminent. This isn’t a random fluctuation—it’s a carefully analyzed precursor to a significant market event.
📅 What to Expect:
⌛ Timeline: Anticipate a major move within the next 1 to 4 upcoming 3-hour candles.
📈 Monitor the Charts: Keep an eye on MSTR’s price action over the next few candles.
Prepare Your Strategy: Whether you’re bullish or bearish, have your trading plan ready to capitalize on the move.
Long MSTR: Watch for Key Breakouts Next Week
- Key Insights: MicroStrategy's stock remains sensitive to Bitcoin's price
fluctuations, with a current sentiment hinting at a potential recovery if
Bitcoin stabilizes. A breakout above $338.76 could signal a bullish trend,
while drops below $316.93 could lead to further losses. Anticipation
surrounds a crucial shareholder vote on January 21st, which could
significantly affect future stock performance by allowing more Bitcoin
acquisitions. Investors should monitor Bitcoin's market dynamics and perform
thorough risk assessments considering the stock's volatility.
- Price Targets: Next week targets: T1: $340, T2: $360; Stop levels: S1:
$316.93, S2: $310.
- Recent Performance: MSTR has seen significant moves, declining approximately
40% from recent highs and reflecting investor concerns about its
cryptocurrency-heavy strategy. The fluctuations in Bitcoin's valuation have
directly impacted MSTR's stock performance, leading to increased volatility
in trading activity.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts maintain a cautiously optimistic outlook for MSTR,
balancing skepticism over its substantial Bitcoin emphasis with the
potential for positive returns if Bitcoin prices rebound. Market sentiment
nudges towards bullish, influenced by expected increases in Bitcoin value
amidst investor speculation. The critical resistance and support levels will
likely drive short-term trading decisions.
- News Impact: The upcoming shareholder vote on January 21st is expected to be a
weighty factor, potentially enabling MicroStrategy to pursue more aggressive
Bitcoin acquisition strategies. The company has successfully raised capital
through convertible debt, signaling a continued commitment to its ambitious
investment plan amid scrutiny about volatility and regulatory changes in the
cryptocurrency market. Investors are urged to assess risks associated with
MicroStrategy's approach while tracking Bitcoin's performance closely.
SOY 2024 - MSTR Monthly Seasonality StatsThe chart for MSTR (MicroStrategy) displays significant volatility and seasonal trends from 2015 to 2024. The stock tends to show strong positive performance in January, with notable gains in 2020, 2021, and 2023, aligning with the broader market optimism at the start of the year. However, February and March have been less consistent, with MSTR seeing significant declines in those months during 2018, 2022, and 2023. April and May also display mixed returns, with notable performance spikes in 2019 and 2020, although May often struggles. The summer months of June and July have historically been volatile, with substantial drawdowns in 2022 and 2023, especially during crypto winter, a period of declining cryptocurrency values. August continues this trend of volatility, while September remains a weak month, consistently underperforming.
One of the key factors affecting MSTR is its direct exposure to Bitcoin, as the company holds substantial Bitcoin reserves. This connection makes MSTR highly sensitive to cryptocurrency market fluctuations, contributing to its increased volatility, particularly during crypto downturns. Notably, MSTR’s performance has been volatile during periods of crypto market stress, such as in 2022 and 2023.
The inclusion of MSTR into QQQ (Nasdaq-100 ETF) further magnifies this risk, as the ETF’s performance is now somewhat tied to MSTR's volatility. When MSTR’s Bitcoin holdings underperform or experience a significant decline, it can drag down the performance of QQQ , which could introduce more volatility into the tech-heavy ETF. This could lead to discrepancies in returns between QQQ and SPY , especially in periods when cryptocurrency struggles. The market's growing dependence on MSTR’s performance could make QQQ more sensitive to crypto market cycles, exacerbating its volatility compared to other more diversified ETFs like SPY .
MSTR - It just touched the point and V-shaped recovery.Given it is a holiday everyone will take the bitcoin up, we will be having a beautiful weekend.
MSTR may test 313 and then move back to 380 by end of the week.Today is a reaction to the economic data, given there is a planned purchase from Microstrategy for additional 2 billion; the stock may temporarily see a low of 313 based on fib retracements and continue to move back up to 380 levels or higher at the end of the week.
MicroStrategy FEAT BTC $500 by 2025 Bitcoin Investment Strategy: MicroStrategy has heavily invested in Bitcoin, making it the largest corporate holder of the cryptocurrency. If Bitcoin's value appreciates significantly, as it has in past cycles, this could directly boost MicroStrategy's stock price due to the large unrealized gains on its balance sheet. Posts on X mention the company's Bitcoin holdings as a major influence on its stock performance.
S&P 500 Inclusion: There's speculation that MicroStrategy could be included in the S&P 500, which would likely result in substantial capital inflows from index funds and ETFs. Analysts like Willy Woo have speculated that this could lead to $10-15 billion in inflows, potentially driving the stock price higher. This is discussed in web results where potential S&P 500 inclusion is seen as a catalyst for MSTR to reach $500.
Accounting Rule Changes: New accounting standards from the Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) effective from 2025 will allow MicroStrategy to report unrealized gains on its Bitcoin holdings, potentially boosting reported earnings and making the stock more attractive to investors. This change could qualify MicroStrategy for the S&P 500 if it reports positive earnings, as noted in several web results.
Capital Raising and Shareholder Votes: MicroStrategy plans to raise significant capital for further Bitcoin purchases, with a shareholder vote to increase the number of authorized shares dramatically. This strategy, including the $42 billion capital plan, could fund more Bitcoin acquisition, potentially increasing the value of the company's assets. Discussions on X highlight this as a move that could lead to a significant run-up in stock price.
Market Sentiment and Bitcoin Cycles: The stock market's perception of MicroStrategy as a Bitcoin proxy means that bullish sentiment towards Bitcoin often translates into gains for MSTR. If Bitcoin experiences another bull run, as some analysts predict, MicroStrategy's stock could follow suit, especially given its aggressive Bitcoin acquisition strategy.
Leverage and Bitcoin Yield: MicroStrategy's use of leverage to increase its Bitcoin per share (BTC Yield) is another factor. By selling shares at a premium over net asset value (NAV) and using the proceeds to buy more Bitcoin, the company can reduce leverage while increasing its Bitcoin holdings per share, which could drive stock price appreciation. This strategy is highlighted in posts on X discussing MicroStrategy's unique approach to Bitcoin investment.
Institutional Adoption of Bitcoin: If larger institutions or even governments start adopting Bitcoin as part of their reserves or investment strategy, this could elevate Bitcoin's price, directly benefiting MicroStrategy. There's mention of possible U.S. government involvement with Bitcoin, which could further fuel this scenario.
Market Analysis: How to. Execute This Trade // MSTRNASDAQ:MSTR
Over the past 2-3 months, MicroStrategy Incorporated (MSTR) has shown significant growth, primarily driven by the rise in Bitcoin’s value. The company holds a substantial amount of Bitcoin on its balance sheet, which strongly influences its stock price performance.
Key Highlights:
1. Stock Performance:
• As of now, MSTR trades at $379.09, reflecting a notable increase over recent months.
• Its strong performance correlates with the upward trend in Bitcoin prices.
2. Technical Analysis:
• The stock recently broke out of a rectangle pattern, signaling a potential rise toward
the $525 level.
• However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates overbought conditions,
suggesting the possibility of a short-term pullback.
3. Analyst Opinions:
• Analysts remain optimistic, with a consensus of “Buy” or “Overweight.”
• The average price target is above the current trading level, pointing to further upside
potential.
Considerations:
While MSTR has been performing robustly, it’s important to note the volatility associated with its heavy exposure to Bitcoin. Investors should weigh the risks tied to both the stock and the broader cryptocurrency market.
How to execute this trade:
We notice how the upward trend seems to have temporarily stopped, giving way to a bearish phase. The stock remains highly overvalued and very volatile, so a drop of 40–50% does not necessarily indicate a long-term trend reversal but simply a pause in a bull run that has been ongoing since 2022!
On November 11, the stock experienced a rise of 23% in a single day, leaving a gap open.
Subsequently, the rise was accompanied by a 97% increase in just 13 days, followed by a bearish phase, a lateral phase, another bearish phase, and now a rebound. We could even consider the last two movements as a new lateral zone.
Now, let’s analyze the movements of the stock in the most recent highlighted period in greater detail.
We observe that, after breaking below the lateral range, the stock formed a well-defined downward channel. We obviously had two choices: to take advantage of the lateral zone by going both long and short:
Respectively: 430–450 Short & 360–350 Long. However, this was a rather complex trade because the lateral range was very wide and volatile (34%).
The second option was to wait for a long entry. The gap in this case is an excellent buying zone; in many cases, gaps need to be filled, and when this happens, they provide great opportunities. In this particular case, we are talking about a gap that triggered a 97% rise, so the chances of a rebound are very high.
Using the Bar Replay, we see that initially the stock approaches our entry zone but doesn’t enter, closing slightly above it.
This means we need to remain vigilant in the following days and monitor for a good entry opportunity.
The next day, the stock rises by 8%—our hopes for a trade begin to waver, and we risk succumbing to FOMO. However, the only way to be consistently profitable is to always follow the plan. Always!
Later, the stock drops, granting us an entry. In hindsight, it’s easy to say, “I would have entered here,” but this would have been a challenging trade because the gap was only partially filled and for a short time. A correct entry should have been between 286 and 276.
We notice that the entry was very difficult and quick—so let’s assume we didn’t manage to enter . The next day, the stock opens with a significant upward gap (3.4%).
At this point, we have two signals: the stock touched our zone and began to rise, and the buying zone was a previous gap. Now, the stock opens again with a gap, signaling that these opportunities are often leveraged to push the stock upward.
We adjust our entry a bit higher, giving the trade more room to breathe since the previous setup didn’t work out.
In this case, we carefully observe the downward trendline above us and use it as a signal to exit the trade or reduce the position size to limit losses. If it’s not broken, we know what to do.
We let the trade run and see how the trendline is broken, followed by a very strong upward move that brings us to profit in just two sessions.
This is “How to Execute This Trade.”
MSTR Trend TestIt looked like MSTR might go all the way down to fill the gap near $270, but not quite. Strong recovery and a reclaim of $371. Will be looking to open some longer term puts on this if it goes up for a test of the trendline above that started in November.
Looks like a good setup and there would be tight risk on the entry if it hits, not gonna stick around on this one if it were to break after entering. I'd be more inclined to hold longer term puts on a weaker stock, but not this one for now. It still has quite a ways to go, but this thing moves fast so we'll see.
Market Close Update: MSTR Long PlayMSTR had a strong bounce off the $300 Price Levels of Support in it's last trading session, with it contiinuing to push higher going into the Pre-Market Session/Intraday Session, gaining another $29.24/share by Market Close at $379.09. A total of $33+ at it's Intraday High. $378.40 was a previous Level of Support so really interested to see how it reacts to those levels going into to Tomorrow's Market Open. Looking to see if that previous support turns into resistance, providing another opportunity to buy-in on a potential buy-in around the $349.99 Levels. With Bitcoin is back above $100K, sitting at $102,054 but potentially retesting $100K again, could also encourage another opportunity to get in on MSTR. Buy Limit set with a Stop Loss of $347.38 on this trade and a Price Target of $415.68.
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$MSTR open/close above 50ema Back TestNASDAQ:MSTR opening and closing above the 50EMA has produced very good results in the past 4 years. Only one failure condition
MSTR 1H candles form a triangle Decreasing tops and decreasing bottoms but converting into a corner of a triangle, looks bullish despite the sentiment.
