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NVDC34 trade ideas

NVDA: Will the Descending Wedge Trigger a Breakout? Nov. 27, 202NVDA is trading at $136.28, consolidating within a descending wedge pattern, a formation that often signals a potential bullish reversal. With key support holding strong at $135, traders are eyeing this stock for its next major move. Let’s break down the analysis and outline actionable strategies for both short- and long-term traders. Market Structure and Price Action * Current Price Action:
NVDA has been trending downward but is now nearing the apex of its descending wedge. This suggests reduced selling pressure, potentially signaling an imminent breakout or breakdown. * Volume Analysis:
The declining volume during the wedge's formation indicates a contraction phase, which often precedes a volatile breakout. Key Levels to Watch * Support Levels: * $135: Immediate support, where buyers have repeatedly stepped in. * $127.50: Critical secondary support. A breach below this level would confirm bearish sentiment. * Resistance Levels: * $139.30: Immediate resistance within the wedge. * $142.50: A breakout target and key area to watch for confirmation of bullish continuation. Potential Setups * Bullish Setup: * A breakout above $139.30, coupled with strong volume, could push NVDA toward $145 and beyond. * Swing traders may target $150, while day traders can monitor intraday pullbacks for entries above $139. * Bearish Setup: * A break below $135 with heavy selling pressure opens the door to a move toward $127.50. * Short opportunities exist below $135, targeting incremental levels like $130 and $127. * Range-Bound Strategy: * Until a breakout or breakdown occurs, NVDA remains range-bound between $135 and $139. Scalpers and intraday traders can exploit this range for quick gains. Indicators in Focus * MACD: Bearish crossover suggests downward momentum in the short term. However, the MACD line is flattening, indicating potential consolidation before a directional move. * Trendlines: The descending wedge resistance and support are converging, reinforcing the likelihood of a breakout or breakdown soon. Market Sentiment * Retail traders are optimistic about a potential breakout, seeing the descending wedge as a bullish opportunity. * Institutional investors are likely waiting for confirmation of a breakout above $139. Outlook * Bullish Case: A breakout above $139 could lead to a strong rally toward $145 and possibly $150 if broader tech sentiment remains positive. * Bearish Case: A breach below $135 may result in a retest of $127.50, with downside risks tied to macroeconomic headwinds or tech sector weakness. Final Thoughts NVIDIA is at a technical crossroads. With the descending wedge nearing completion, traders should monitor volume and price action at key levels. Patience will be rewarded with either a breakout opportunity for bulls or a breakdown setup for bears. Watch $139 for a bullish trigger and $135 for bearish confirmation. Disclaimer This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a professional before trading.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
NVIDIA $NVDA | NVIDIA EARNINGS REPORT Nov. 20th, 2024NVIDIA NASDAQ:NVDA | NVIDIA EARNINGS REPORT Nov. 20th, 2024 BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $148.75 - $165.00 DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $138.00 - $148.75 SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $118.25 - $138.00 Weekly: Bullish Daily: Bullish 4H: Bullish NASDAQ:NVDA reports earnings today, these are the areas that I will look for significant price movement at. The market is anticipating around an 8.5% move, roughly an $11.50 move in either direction, based on ATM option prices, or an 11%-12% move, roughly $16.50 move in either direction, based on volatility calculations. This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas. ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE! trendanalysis, trendtrading, priceaction, priceactiontrading, technicalindicators, supportandresistance, rangebreakout, rangebreakdown, rangetrading, chartpatterntrading, chartpatterns, spy, sp500, s&p, fed, federalreserve, fedrate, fedratecut, interestrate, jeromepowell, fedchair, 50bps, volatile, volatility, nvidia, nvidiapricetarget, nvdatrend, nvidiatrend, nvdasetup, nvidialongs, nvidiashorts,
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TonyAiello
LONG NVDA at 135.93 because it's oversold There's not really much more to say that I haven't said the last 2 times I cleaned up on $NVDA. See my previous NVDA ideas for details. It's a good stock, it's still in an uptrend, it's on sale, and my algo hasn't been wrong yet on it, so why stop now? I'm going long because Black Friday came a little early this year. _______________________________ Per my usual strategy, I'll add at the close on any day it is still oversold and I will use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any price that is profitable. As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by redwingcoach
53
Short $NVDA - Macro PlayYep, I'm a contrarian. It is time to short $NVDA. Way overbought on RSI. Decreasing volume. Wicking candles... and, on top of that, I see some cyclicality here. We tend to see this with Nvidia since 2018 where the rallies are followed by a quick precipitious drop. The next cycle shift should start in January and should likely be a 6-month drawdown. I'm betting we see the price back down to the mid-range EMA cloud and test a price range of $75 to $45. If you go short, just know that this is going to be a difficult one to hold through the journey given the focus on this stock. That said, number can't go up forever.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by rfc4
The Probabilities are stacking up that Nvidia has ToppedAs I have long forecasted, Nvidia is coming into a top of either primary or intermediate degree proportion. The answer to that burning question of mine I believe gets answered in the depth of the price action's retracement lower. Determining this answer, for me personally as an analyst, is whether or not that eventual retrace can hold above the $90.68 level, which as of this morning stands at 34% lower...so by no means am I looking at this as a mere retracement. 34% is nothing if not significant. Along the way, we're more informed in the confidence of this forecasted pathway, if price breaches the important $128.74 level. Upon seeing such price action, I believe in the weeks (or months) ahead we could see Nvidia's price action first test $102.73 area. To hold that level and reverse in a micro 5-wave pattern, could bring about our final advance into the $170 (+) area for a long term top. That top I am forecasting in years...not months. To breakdown below $102.73 could see us decline to as low as the low $70's before a corrective (but Tradeable) rally takes place. Best to all, Chris
NASDAQ:NVDA
by maikisch
NVIDIA: A Critical Juncture in its TrendNVIDIA’s stock has been on an impressive upward trajectory this year, but recent price action suggests it’s approaching a pivotal point. The stock has been riding a strong uptrend, anchored by a key trendline stretching from earlier lows this year. This trendline serves as dynamic support, and the current price is hovering near this critical level. Whether it holds or breaks could define the stock’s direction in the coming weeks. A significant support zone between $130 and $140 adds to the importance of this region. This area, which previously acted as resistance, is now being retested as support. A bounce here would affirm bullish strength and could propel the stock toward its recent highs. However, there are signs of caution. Increased volume on recent bearish candles suggests selling pressure is mounting. If the price breaks below both the trendline and the support zone, it could signal a deeper correction, with the next significant support levels likely near $115 or even $100. The immediate resistance for NVDA lies in the $150 range, where the stock previously struggled to push higher. This level represents a key obstacle for bulls. For a continuation of the bullish trend, a decisive breakout above this zone is necessary. Conversely, bearish signals, such as the recent bearish engulfing candles, indicate that sellers are gaining control, at least in the short term. A failure to hold the $130 level would confirm a breakdown and likely accelerate the downside. For long-term investors, NVIDIA’s AI-driven growth story remains intact, but caution is warranted at these elevated valuation levels. For traders, this is a decisive moment, with opportunities both for those looking to trade the bounce and for those eyeing a breakdown. This is a pivotal moment for NVIDIA, and patience is key in determining the next move.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Maleven11
1
NVDA Exhaust NVDA has a unique way of going down to scale up in a multiple flag pattern towards each highs. Last time NVDA had a leg on it’s major trend-line was July 2024. This up movement it just did is changing the way NVDA usually scales back up and bring a similarity to when it dropped when it bounced of 131 resistance down to 110. My prediction is this high movement to the upside is a reaction before earnings, which will cause a reason to take liquidity on the remaining portion of the resistance to become bearish. NVDA can drop down to the FVP that never closed on the 120 area in order to make another leg on its bullish major trend-line. If the news are good enough after the chip issue then it invalidates my prediction. But I am feeling confident on this change of structure, since NVDA is moving differently in nature.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by soymundo21
NVDA | Unpacking NVIDIA’s Q3 FY25Building the Matrix, One GPU at a Time This week, NVIDIA unveiled its October quarter results, capturing global attention as analysts closely monitored the stock's movements. While Wall Street often emphasizes short-term performance, a broader perspective highlights NVIDIA's remarkable rise. Over two years, its stock value has multiplied tenfold, outpacing tech giants like Alphabet and Amazon in profitability and edging closer to Microsoft and Apple in net income—a meteoric ascent for the history books. The AI Inflection Point NVIDIA's transformation began in November 2022 when OpenAI launched ChatGPT, described by CEO Jensen Huang as AI's "iPhone moment." Fast-forward two years, and NVIDIA's latest Blackwell GPU architecture is scaling up production, meeting surging demand. As Huang explained, "The age of AI is in full steam," driven by foundational model training and inference advancements. Two major trends underpin this shift: -Platform evolution:Transitioning from traditional coding to machine learning. -Emergence of AI factories:New industries powered by generative AI applications. AI native startups are booming, and successful inference services are proliferating. If AI's trajectory mirrors the mobile revolution, this is akin to 2009 a pivotal moment with much more innovation ahead. Q3 FY25 Highlights NVIDIA's fiscal year ends in January, and the recently concluded October quarter (Q3 FY25) demonstrated strong momentum: - Revenue: $35.1 billion (+17% quarter-over-quarter), exceeding expectations by $2 billion. - Segment growth:** - Data Center: +17% QoQ ($30.8 billion). - Gaming: +14% QoQ ($3.3 billion). - Automotive: +30% QoQ ($0.4 billion). - Margins: Gross margin at 75%, operating margin at 62%. - Cash flow: Operating cash flow of $17.6 billion; free cash flow of $16.8 billion. - Q4 FY25 Guidance: Anticipates +7% revenue growth ($37.5 billion). Key Drivers and Insights -Data Center Dominance:Contributing 88% of overall revenue, driven by Hopper GPUs and the anticipated Blackwell production ramp. -Gaming Growth:Propelled by GeForce RTX GPU demand and back-to-school sales. -Automotive Innovation:Growth fueled by AI-powered autonomous driving solutions. -Margins:Slight compression due to Blackwell production ramp, with recovery expected as production scales. Looking ahead, demand for NVIDIA's Hopper and Blackwell GPUs outpaces supply, likely remaining constrained into FY26. However, challenges loom, including intensifying competition from AMD and custom AI chips. The AI Scaling Debate Skeptics argue AI scalability may be approaching its limits, but Huang is optimistic, citing advancements in reinforcement learning and inference-time scaling. He emphasized that AI's growth is driven by empirical laws, suggesting scalability could be extended through methods like post-training and test-time scaling. CEO and CFO Perspectives - Huang likens modern data centers to "AI factories," producing intelligence like power plants generate electricity. - The shift to "physical AI" unlocks applications in industrial and robotics sectors, powered by NVIDIA's Omniverse. - Blackwell GPUs are delivering significant cost reductions and accelerating AI workloads. Investment Outlook Despite valuation concerns, NVIDIA's profitability is tangible. However, the company's reliance on sustained GPU demand and a concentrated customer base presents risks. Meanwhile, competition from AMD is intensifying. Final Thoughts If ChatGPT was AI's "iPhone moment," the transformation is just beginning. Like the app economy in 2009, the AI-first revolution is poised to unlock entirely new markets and reshape industries. NVIDIA's leadership positions it at the forefront of this multi-trillion-dollar opportunity.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by moonypto