NVDA Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-25NVDA Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-25)
Model Summaries Grok/xAI: Mixed technical signals—bullish on daily, bearish on 5-minute; neutral overall; no trade recommended (55% confidence). Claude/Anthropic: Moderately bearish; recommends buying the $128 put at ~$3.60 for a 50–100% profit target; confidence 72%. Llama/Meta: Moderately bearish but views premium/risk as unfavorable for buying; instead suggests selling the $130 put; confidence 70%. Gemini/Google: Strong intraday bearish technicals and negative sentiment; recommends buying the $120 put at ~$1.24 as a day trade; confidence 65%. DeepSeek: Moderately bearish but sees premiums >$1 as too rich; no trade recommended (55% confidence). Areas of Agreement and Disagreement Agreement: • Overall moderately bearish bias for NVDA into weekly expiry. • Rising VIX, max-pain near $126, and negative news support downside. Disagreement: • Trade/no-trade: Grok and DeepSeek pass, Claude, Gemini and Llama propose trades. • Strike selection: Claude prefers $128 put; Gemini $120 put; Llama sells $130 put. • Strategy type: All bearish ideas are buy puts except Llama, which suggests naked put selling. Conclusion Overall Market Direction: Moderately Bearish for the week ending 2025-05-30. Recommended Trade: Buy a weekly put to capture the expected pull toward the $126 max-pain level. • Instrument: NVDA 2025-05-30 $128 Put • Entry Timing: At market open • Entry Price: $3.65 (ask) • Profit Target: $5.48 (≈50% gain ⇒ midpoint sell or scale) • Stop Loss: $2.56 (≈30% loss) • Size: 1 contract Confidence Level: 70% Key Risks and Considerations: • Intraday oversold conditions could trigger a short-term bounce. • Theta decay accelerates late in the week—need timely exit. • Holiday-shortened week may damp momentum. • Liquidity is good at the $128 strike but bid-ask spread and slippage can impact execution.
TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
{ "instrument": "NVDA", "direction": "put", "strike": 128.0, "expiry": "2025-05-30", "confidence": 0.70, "profit_target": 5.48, "stop_loss": 2.56, "size": 1, "entry_price": 3.65, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-05-25 10:57:51 UTC-04:00" } 📊 TRADE DETAILS 📊 🎯 Instrument: NVDA 🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT) 🎯 Strike: 128.00 💵 Entry Price: 3.65 🎯 Profit Target: 5.48 🛑 Stop Loss: 2.56 📅 Expiry: 2025-05-30 📏 Size: 1 📈 Confidence: 70% ⏰ Entry Timing: open 🕒 Signal Time: 2025-05-25 10:58:05 EDT
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