Can it drives 208 miles Or 168 miles ?I am seeing strong support at 208 area. If weekly candle closes below 208, I can see a very good support @166
TSLA34 trade ideas
TSLA Downside targetK.I.S.S. Easy technical target below. Fundamentally overvalued and HATED by the public this brand is going down. I'd be surprised if it doesn't hit the target. Into 2026, I'd not be surprised to see it sink further as people swear off of anything Elon in Europe and Chinese automakers eat its lunch in Asia. Good luck. NASDAQ:TSLA
Time to buy TESLA stocks? $TSLA March came with a lot of bloodbath for the US stock market, among these sea of red was Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA ; but it seems the giant American EV company might be gearing for a massive move upwards as it nears its buying zone.
What do you think?
TSLA: Sell ideaSell idea on TSLA because as you can see on the chart we have the breakout with force the vwap and the support line by the sellers.
TSLA dragging the market and vice versa.The decline
The headlines and the chart shows a 50% decline in the value of Tesla shares. Several factors have contributed to this.
According to the company's reports the sales have declined in several regions, on one side, the hype of the electrical brand has diminished and the involvement of Elon Musk in politics has people left wandering who is in charge of Tesla right now? The man who forced people to "work at the office or get fired" is the first one not showing up at the office and taking care of a different business, called politics. His controversial comments, behavior, being under the spot light and the cameras that amplify everything he says and does hasn't created a good image associated with the brand which has sparked the boycotts. The recent show room improvised at the white house didn't help much either. The brand is already associated with politics, and politics by nature are divisive and have contrasting emotions associated. So Tesla became a far right luxurious item, no longer the "Electric Auto for the Masses".
Tariffs and World Politics
The Tariffs and geopolitical instability have taken a toll in the overall market, the investors are nervous and they started taking the exit. Once the index goes down and the Magnificent 7 goes down, they drag the index down. So it's both, Tesla dragged the index and the index is dragging Tesla. NVDA didn't took well tariffs and the main contributors of the Mag7 are dragging everyone down.
Analyst Ratings
Several analysts have reduced the price target for Tesla, so we're not thinking about a new all time highs soon. This is what Trump called "A little disturbance".
The Mag7 Performance
We can see from the chart the performance of the mag7. The main contributors in a hypothetical portfolio have been NVDA, MSFT and TSLA. Tesla started a relative decline compared with the SP:SPX at the end of 2024. Once Elon started getting more involved in politics and less involved with the brand. Afterwards it's been all down hill.
What's next?
We have a systemic risk here, the secular bull market is currently in correction, and if the current politics plus the performance of the main components of the Index aren't strong enough to hold the correction, then we'll see a recession and a sharp decline in the market. Elon Musk is damaging the brand, he's the main shareholder, and he should take accountability of his actions and how they are hurting the company. He should step down and let someone else take care of Tesla. His public image is no longer what sparked the interest in Tesla. His multitasking CEO commitments and now his "Head of DOGE" position, aren't helping Tesla at all.
Removing Elon won't create a reversal in the trend, but at least this will give Tesla better credibility in the market and dissociate it with the political world.
Grafic TSLA ComparativThis TradingView chart illustrates the relative performance of several major assets—TSLA (Tesla), AAPL (Apple), GOOG (Alphabet), BTCUSD (Bitcoin), GM (General Motors), DELL, and others—over a 4-hour timeframe on the daily chart, spanning late 2024 to March 17, 2025. The period captures the market's reaction to Donald Trump’s re-election and early policy implementations, including tariffs and a push for a weaker dollar. Tesla (yellow line) and Bitcoin (purple line) saw significant gains in late 2024, reflecting optimism in innovative sectors, but both experienced downturns in 2025, with Tesla down 5.41% and Bitcoin up 22.18%. Traditional players like Apple (red line, -4.19%), Alphabet (blue line, -2.00%), GM (green line, -8.76%), and Dell (orange line, -26.36%) have generally trended downward, highlighting the broader impact of macroeconomic pressures such as rising inflation, global trade tensions, and policy-driven market volatility. The chart underscores how macro conditions and political decisions can overshadow individual company performance, driving relative stock movements in a turbulent economic landscape.
TESLA stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 031725Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 241/161.80%
Chart time frame: D
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress: C
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
TSLA, a break coming. But not over yet… Tesla looks like it’s about to take a break from its vicious pounding in the market, potentially returning to $270. But it looks inevitable that NASDAQ:TSLA is going to come across some very serious trend lines soon, joining at approx $170 end of April, right at the earnings date….
TSLA in Buy ZoneMy trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell when at three of these events happen:
* Price tags the top or bottom of parallel channel zones
* Money flow spikes beyond it's Bollinger Bands
* Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at near oversold overbought level
* Price at Fibonacci levels
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price in buying zone at bottom of channels
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) near oversold level
Money flow momentum is spiked negative and under at bottom of Bollinger Band
Price at or near Fibonacci level
Entry at $100
Target is upper channel around $340
the last time this condition was met, NASDAQ:TSLA went up 10%, so let's see what happens.
TSLA March 2025Trade idea based on March options expiration.
Volatility expected.
Apply low risk, TA points on 179 touch and quick reverse.
Not a trading idea... and so on.
TSLA - ALL CLEAR AGAIN Small update on continuing idea. TSLA seems to have held in there and the rally that had started, and I thought was going to fail, has grown some legs. Getting back in $246 - $243 is ideal for at least a leg to $275 - $295, and maybe $310. Will update.
xLong TSLA: Navigating Volatility for Short-term Gains
- Key Insights: Tesla's recent volatility creates potential for gains,
especially if it can push above the $250 resistance level. Positive
sentiment on Tesla's technological advancements, particularly in AI and
autonomous driving, is a crucial factor that could drive up investor
interest and stock recovery. The broader tech sector's resurgence looks
promising, with Tesla remaining a key player alongside Nvidia. Yet,
geopolitical dynamics and high-profile relationships could sway market
sentiment.
- Price Targets: For a long position:
- Next week target 1 (T1): 258.99
- Next week target 2 (T2): 264
- Stop level 1 (S1): 225.73
- Stop level 2 (S2): 222.01
- Recent Performance: Tesla's stock is experiencing considerable bearish
momentum, currently trading below key moving averages. Despite this slump, a
recovery is plausible if it surpasses significant technical levels like
$250, potentially realizing short-term gains.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts are divided, though many see promise in Tesla's
focus on AI and autonomous driving technology as pathways to future growth.
Skepticism remains regarding brand sentiment, yet some view current dips as
buying opportunities. The one-year outlook suggests potential recovery,
aided by bullish market sentiment towards the tech sector.
- News Impact: Noteworthy developments include Tesla's strides in autonomous
driving tech, garnering market attention and possibly altering investor
sentiment. External factors such as the US-China geopolitical situation and
legal controversies pose risks but also shine light on Tesla's innovative
capacity. Product launches, like the Model Y in China and the AI-driven
Optimus humanoid robot, promise to enhance market stature, influencing
demand and brand clout. Tesla's market narrative continues to be rich with
challenges and opportunities, crucial for investors to assess diligently.
How to Draw Trendlines Like a Pro – Rulers Out, Rules In!Hi everyone!
If you don’t have any rules for drawing a trendline, then this is by far the most subjective technical analysis criterion of all. So, grab your ruler, and let’s dive in! ;)
Without clear guidelines, you can draw it however you want, shaping the narrative to fit your bias. This makes it the perfect tool to talk yourself into a trade or justify staying in a bad one—there’s always a new “support” coming…
If you don't have rules, you can always find some dots to connect, making it look "perfect" for you.
In this post, I'll discuss buying opportunities using trendlines, share key rules for drawing them correctly, and highlight common mistakes to avoid - all with a focus on mid- and long-term investment opportunities.
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The Basics: How to Draw a Trendline
The trendline is a highly effective tool for mid- and long-term investors to find an optimal buying zone for their chosen asset. I always take a full view of the chart, analyzing its entire history to find the longest trendline available. The longer the trendline, the stronger it is!
To draw a trendline, we simply connect two points and wait for the third touch to confirm it. Easy, right?
The strongest trendline comes from points that are easily recognizable—you should spot them in a split second.
Maximum view, if possible Monthly chart, connect the dots and wait for a third one.
For me, the third and fourth touches are the most reliable.
If you have to look deeply to find where to draw a trendline, then it's already a first sign that it’s not strong! The best ones appear instantly.
---------------------------
Two Myths About Trendlines
Myth #1: "You cannot draw a trendline without three touching points."
Don’t even remember from where I heard that kind of bs but as you see in the images above, yeah I can. If I have a correct lineup, the third touch is the strongest.
Myth #2: "The more touches, the stronger the trendline."
Yes, a trend appears stronger with more touches, but each additional touch increases the odds of a break or trend change. To buy from, let’s say, the sixth touch, there must be strong confluence factors, and fundamentals should support the investment.
“The trend is your friend, until the end when it bends.” — Ed Seykota
Sure, I’ve had great trades from the fifth or seventh touch, but as said, the area has to be strong, combining multiple criteria. Think of a trendline like 3-5 cm thick ice on a lake. You can’t break it with one hit, or the second, or the third. But after the fourth or fifth, it starts to crack, and by the sixth—boom!
From my psychological perspective, the more touches, the weaker the trendline becomes.
-----------------------
Rule #1: Wick to Wick or Body to Body
If there aren't any anomalies, the trendline should always be drawn from wick to wick (image below) or body to body.
Here was the trendline draw from wick to wick
I mostly use body-to-body when there is a lot of noise on the chart and many large wicks that don’t show the real price behavior—whether from a panic sell-off or other unexpected market moves.
Candlestick chart, the trendline drawn from body-to-body
Tip! Body-to-body means drawing trendlines from closing prices to remove unnecessary noise from the chart. To make the chart even clearer, I often use a line chart (it tracks closing prices), which filters out the noise and gives a cleaner view of the price action.
The same chart as above using line chart.
Mistake to avoid: If you start from the wick but the second point is from the body, it's wrong. This can lead to misleading breakout trades or confusing rejection trades.
If there are no significant large wicks, go from wicks.
If a chart offers a lot of huge panic-sell wicks, use bodies instead to get a cleaner setup.
Quite often, I use a hybrid version as well. We are investors, not traders. We need a price zone, not an exact price!
In these cases, I combine wicks and closing prices to find the optimal trendline, which stays somewhere between them.
Light-blue is the zone
-----------------------
Rule #2: Higher Highs Strengthen the Trendline
A trendline is more reliable if the price makes a new higher high (HH) after the previous rejection, and before it approaches a trendline.
The third and fourth touch came from higher high (HH) levels
This confirms that the recent trend is strong. If it all lines up, we can step in!
-----------------------
Rule #3: Even Timing Between Touches
A trendline rejection works best when the timing between touches is symmetrical. They don’t have to be perfectly equal but they also shouldn’t be wildly different - one touch being very small and another very large can weaken the trendline’s reliability.
A good combinations is when the price comes from higher high levels, the next touch has an equal or fairly similar distance between previous ones.
Yeah, there are quite a lot of touches, but you get the point; market symmetry plays an important role in making decisions.
Warning: If the next touch comes too soon, especially from a lower high (LH) levels, which signals that momentum may be fading, and the touch happens at an uneven distance, it weakens the trendline’s reliability. So, watch out for that.
Two alerts: uneven length between touches & comes from lower highs.
Next red alert: When there are huge uneven gaps between touches, as shown in the picture below.
The first and second touch compared to the second and third touch are out of balance, weakening the trendline's reliability.
------------------------
Trendline Summary: Key Criteria for Mid- to Long-Term Analysis
Open the maximum chart view – analyze all available data for the asset.
The higher the timeframe, the stronger the trendline.
A trendline needs two clean and clear points to be drawn.
The highest probability rejection happens at the third and fourth touch.
If there are large wicks or panic sell-offs, use closing prices (body-to-body).
Remove noise and wicks by using a line chart for a clearer view.
A trendline touch is strongest when the price approaches from a higher high (HH).
A trendline touch is strongest when the distance between touches is symmetrical.
A slight flex in the trendline is ideal; it should be between 20 to 35 degrees, not too steep in its climb. ;)
These are the main criteria for a trendline that I use when analyzing stocks or any asset from a mid-to long-term perspective.
----------------------
Trendlines Alone Are Not Enough
Now, here’s the interesting part. Even if a trendline looks perfect and meets all criteria, I still won’t rush to share an analysis. Why? Because a trendline alone isn’t enough.
A trendline is just one piece of the puzzle. We need multiple confluence factors in a single price zone to make the setup truly strong and reliable. Usually, I need at least 3-7 criteria to align before making a move or recommendation.
So, that's it! A brief overview and hopefully, you found this informative. Feel free to leave a comment with your thoughts!
Before you leave - Like & Boost if you find this useful! 🚀
Trade smart,
Vaido
Will Monday March 17 determine the FUTURE of TSLA?Monday is shaping up to be a crucial day for TSLA. The stock has been consistently testing the $250 level, and a break and hold above this zone could signal a return to an uptrend. If buyers step in and sustain the price above this resistance, we could see further bullish momentum.
However, if TSLA fails to hold above this level, there’s a strong possibility of a drop back to $232, where the next major support lies.
For now, I expect price action to fluctuate between the orange resistance and the blue trendline support. A breakout above or below this range would indicate the next directional move—either an upward continuation or a downward breakdown.
Strategy for Monday:
- If the price goes below the blue supporting line, short with a stop loss above $250.50 line and set profit to the red support at $232.
- If the price goes above the orange line, set a stop loss at around $240 and set profit to $264 ~ $265
Disclaimer: This is my personal trading perspective and not formal investment advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
TSLA Ready to Break Out? Key Levels to Watch! Mar 17Hey traders! Quick check-in on TSLA based on the 4-hour chart.
📈 Technical Analysis (TA):
TSLA broke above a descending trendline signaling potential bullish momentum.
Watch closely for a confirmation above the current supply zone around $250-$255.
We had a clear Change of Character (CHoCh) indicating a possible reversal from the previous downtrend.
Important support sits at the recent demand zone around $215-$217, marked as a Break of Structure (BOS).
Next strong resistance to watch is around $320; breaking this can trigger a big move up.
📊 GEX & Options Insights:
Highest negative NET GEX at $217, strong PUT support here—keep this level marked clearly.
Call resistance is around $255; breaking above here could initiate a gamma squeeze pushing prices higher.
IV Rank is relatively high at 57.8%, signaling premium prices are rich—good for selling premium or credit spreads.
Call to Put ratio shows slight bearish sentiment (33.4% Calls), so keep your risk tight.
💡 Trade Recommendations:
Bullish Play: Wait for a clear close above $255 to enter calls, targeting around $300. Tight stop-loss just below $245.
Bearish Play: If TSLA rejects the $255 resistance strongly, consider puts targeting the demand zone around $217.
Neutral traders might consider Iron Condors or credit spreads between the clear ranges ($215–$255).
🛑 Risk Management:
Always use defined risk strategies, particularly with the higher IV environment we're in.
Let's see how it plays out. Good luck!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
TSLA Breakout Retest: What Could Signal Bullish Surge NASDAQ:TSLA Breakout Retest: What Could Signal Bullish Surge – Is Tesla poised for a major move? In this video, I break down the breakout retest pattern on TSLA’s weekly chart, focusing on the critical near term levels. A validated breakout could hint at a higher time frame bullish scenario! I’ll cover:
Rules to validate or invalidate the pattern
Conservative and aggressive price targets
My personal targets based on years of trading experience
Don’t miss this Tesla stock analysis for 2025!
What to Watch For:
Breakout confirmation at $490
Stop-loss zones and risk management
Potential bullish surge targets
Tesla Estimate Fair ValuesAfter the hype move due to political backup, Tesla share price has fallen from top 400 values, and back to the ranges of 200 -ish.
The revenue report in Jan was not expected, and the estimate for next 29.04.2025 report is even lower than previous. This is why the Tesla price is in the correction move.
The interest Price for buy should be 160 to 180 before next earning release.
Good luck!
TESLATesla needs some upside against this drop, next reaction level is 290 above.
Disclosure: We are part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in our analysis.
TslaWhen I dive in to charts I like to start at the monthly and zoom out years
Monthly view
Side ways and trend less . Price is trading between 120-400..
On sideways trends you usually see price return back Demand.
Throw on some cute trendlines and you can see the triangle that led to the explosive move.. Trendline support is Around 210.. below 210 cand TSLA is going Sub 200
Weekly chart
So when I'm describing and showing you my charts I like to keep things clean and simple so you can see what I see..
Here I only left the monthly trendline support and I added Bollingerbands..
As you can see Tesla was outside it's Weekly Bbands so the bounce was due but what annoyed me is they didn't close the Fawking gap at 213.57. before TSLA breaks back over 300 they WILL CLOSE THAT GAP..
When TSLA price shot up to 470 the weekly technicals were extremely overbought; MFI,RSI,MACD ,Stock etc..
In comparison we are not nearly as oversold here. TSLA price would have to drop near 160 for us to be as oversold as we were overbought at 470!.
Trendlines are like Ketchup, they go on everything.. here's the weekly RSI and and weekly chart, same trendline support
And this is why I say, the Do or die line for TSLA is 210.
Daily chart
Let's take a quick trip to see how we got here ..
First there was the double top that took us from 470 to 330
Then shit got real and they formed a H&S
That H&S target is 213 gap close
now.. focusing on a trade setup going into next week..
TSLA weekly candle finished with a hammer so I give it 75% chance we see a higher high. My weekly higher high target would be 263-267.. weekly 50ma + stiff price action will act as tough resistance here
To see how we would get there less go to the 1hour chart and you'll see Tesla is inside a tight pennant... The range inside that pennant will 243-250 going into next week
A break above 253.50 and I like longs to 263 gap close . LONG ONLY OVER 253.
pennants can go either way
If TSLA breaks below 240 then I like the short to 230 gap close and most likely 213 gap close is incoming
My max downside move on TSLA is 210, below 210 is death!
My upside move is 263, buy I could see a push to 280 if the spy goes for 585. It's just common sense that if the market moves 4% higher then TSLA will play apart unless some company specific bad news comes out..
TSLA - where to next? Upside and Downside options TSLA has made some incredibly interesting moves. in summary:
We have performed an EXACT 50% retrace from previous highs
That level is perfectly aligned with the lower trendline (Log chart)
That level is also perfectly aligned with the descending wedge top from previous ATH
Bounce off this level is almost guaranteed, the question is how far?
The last two times we have been overbought on the weekly RSI, we have seen between 60 and 40 days of down before we found a bottom. However, the July 23 top was weak on the RSI and may not be indicative of what we are experience now. So I'd say we're in for at least 40 days but likely more, before we find a bottom.
If we break the lower trendline it is likely that we revisit 2023 lows, which just so happens to be exactly at the 78.6 Fib retrace. We'd likely bounce off the 61.8 retrace and touch the bottom of the descending wedge trendline.
On the bull case, we continue to consolidate sideways until there is an upward break. Right now, the bear case feels more likely with the macro / political environment.
I've also made a guess at what RSI might do - you can see that at the bottom of the chart in green.
What do you think happens?
$TSLA triangle consolidation LONG...This is a weekly of TSLA which I have zoomed out purposefully to illustrate my long idea. Note the triangle consolidation, the breakout, and now the pullback close to the upper bound of the triangle. In my opinion, a high-probability area for a long. Stop loss would go beneath upper bound of triangle based on position size. Great trading, everyone!
-MrJosephTrades
TESLA (TSLA)What I’m Watching:
I’m focusing on the 245–250 neckline for a decisive reaction. If buyers defend this level, it could signal a continuation of the bullish trend from the inverted pattern’s breakout. If sellers break below, the bullish bias could change, leading to a potential correction.
A strong bounce from the neckline would align with the prior uptrend, while a break below could shift the short-term bias to bearish.
Bullish Bounce:
If buyers hold the 245–250 neckline and push the price higher, expect to resume the bullish trend, targeting the recent high of 490, with potential to push toward 500–510 if momentum builds. A break above 300 would confirm buyer strength and support the inverted pattern’s bullish target.
Bearish Correction:
If sellers break below the 245 neckline and sustain the move, it could indicate a failure of the inverted head-and-shoulders pattern, leading to a correction. A break below this level might target the 215 - 210 zone (right shoulder support) or lower to 210–180 if selling pressure intensifies. External factors, such as negative Tesla news or a broader market downturn, could drive this decline.
TSLA Trade Outlook – Watching Key LevelsTSLA is currently trading around market price levels, with notable entry points at 222, 199, and 165. Given the recent volatility and broader market sentiment, these levels could serve as potential accumulation zones if momentum aligns.
On the upside, profit targets are eyed at 235, 275, and 295, contingent on sustained buying pressure and macroeconomic factors supporting growth stocks. However, given the unpredictable nature of the market, adjustments may be necessary.
For now, keeping an eye on volume trends and overall market sentiment will be key in confirming potential movements. Flexibility remains essential.
Trade cautiously. 🚀⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly! 💡
