Tesla short Target 343Tesla is looking weak and trend is also negative. After analyzing it i found that it will touch 342(target) shortly.
TSLA34 trade ideas
TSLA swing trade ideaTSLA had the same setup today as other posts I have made. I have already cashed out on this position and leaving only few. Intraday profits were nice and intraday targets were met, so this trade is risk free as first target has already been reached. This seems to be a long and time consuming trade but the reward is there. Rejection from weekly sellside ineffieciency buyside imbalance with further displacement in ltf will give further confluence on the trade. There maybe entry opportunities next week as price may retrace to inefficiencies. The draw seems to be pretty obvious on the weekly time frame. We will need to see if it delivers, if it does deliver how and when.
TSLA - Predictable as always. Just look for the controlled liq!We've done this countless times on this stock. I didn't touch this while we were shooting up post elections because of the "meme" factor behind Elon and all that. But once basic market dynamics came back into play, we've had at least 2 golden opportunities to play this name and they proved very successful. So going forward we're looking for a similar play!
Happy Trading :)
2/24/25 - $tsla - High on watchlist to own...2/24/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:TSLA
High on watchlist to own...
- fundamentally, there's a lot of "if this" priced into the stock, there's no denying it
- even round up '26 FCF from 8 bn (current expectation) to 10 bn and you're at a 1% yield. but also acknowledge... here it is again... "if, then" it's also growing at 100% yoy, and likely dirty cheap too
- seeing that grok 3 deployment, the DOGE work, rockets, video game, edgelord X... let's get this straight, Elon is
1/ not someone to bet against
2/ continues to deliver surprises across the board
3/ is at and defining the intersection of AI, robots, energy and US-first policy
- so while we can look at multiples all day, i think NASDAQ:TSLA remains a bet on what Elon can deliver in a 10Y context with a high discount rate.
- if robotaxi, optimus... solar roofs (y'all know my view on solar as % of generation) all come together nicely, there's little doubt in my mind that he's right, NASDAQ:TSLA is probably the largest publicly traded company, and make up a number, $10 tn+.
- so if we reduce the probability wave into a duality, "success" and "fail" and nothing in between (for simplicity, albeit an imperfect representation of reality).
- if success is $10 tn in 10 years
- and fail is a bagel ($0) in 10 years
- and we use a LT investment discount rate of 10% ("low enough" to capture the market's current view of stocks at 3-4% for megacap, moat/ validated names but low, but "high enough" to also factor in failure, waiting period etc. etc.)... that $10 tn in today's terms would be 10/(1.1^10) = 3.9 tn. so...
3.9 tn * 10% + 0 tn * 90% = 3.9 tn.
market might be saying... how about it's a 20-25% chance of success and nothing in between. or the market could be saying 10% chance of this success but also many scenarios in between that also give us 1 tn, 2 tn etc. of value. and as a result, the "real" valuation today perhaps does sit closer to that $1tn valuation.
the conclusion, for me, is that technicals matter more for a name like NASDAQ:TSLA in the short-term (like they do CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) than in the long-term as these fundamental factors are delivered (or not) and cash is generated (or not).
the gap fills in the low $200 do catch my eye. those are pretty large gaps. ESPECIALLY the post-election gap, which was more of an "elon benefits from being close to trump" and not necessarily (*necessarily* - though i see it both ways) a speed-up of these above mentioned fundamental factors.
I'd be eyeing the mid $200s to get involved again if/when.
i do think the stock is a LT buy at today's levels. but i just don't like the R/R given the drawdown potential (based on above logic) compared to other opportunities in my book today, namely NASDAQ:NXT , CRYPTOCAP:BTC , NYSE:UBER , $tsm.
but i'll be watching carefully and i'm willing to jump in higher if i need to. that's cool too. just not yet.
V
Tesla monthly supportPrice just landed on the monthly support and psychological level of $300. I don't think is going to break down. I just bough TSLL. SL triggers if a weekly candle closes below the support level.
TSLA: Continuity of the uptrendTSLA, high probability of a continuation of the upward trend with this break of the resistance line by buyers as you can see on the graph....
TSLA: Buy ideaOn TSLA we would have a high probability of having an uptrend after a bounce off the support line as you can see on the chart.
Why Tesla Stock Could FallHi traders this is why tesla could fall in the coming days.
- Musk’s political alignment with Trump may alienate environmentally conscious buyers and complicate international expansion, especially in markets like the EU where Chinese competitors face high tariffs.
- Tesla's 2024 annual deliveries fell for the first time in its history (1.79 million EVs, down 1.1% from 2023), missing Wall Street expectations and raising doubts about its ability to achieve Musk’s 20–30% growth target for 2025.
- Tesla has repeatedly slashed prices in China to maintain market share, but this strategy is eroding profit margins
- Tesla’s P/E ratio of 200 far exceeds peers like Apple or Microsoft
- Tesla’s growth narrative hinges on Full Self-Driving (FSD) and robotaxis, but regulatory approval delays and technical challenges persist, these initiatives are unlikely to generate significant revenue before 2026
I am looking for shorts around 409.74, Targeting 291.89 with stop loss at 468.74
Tesla short on earningthe chart says it needs to reach $320-$300 zone. risky but less risky for short
WHERE IS TESLA GOING???Tesla latest earnings report sent shockwaves to investors with earnings per share and revenue missing Wall Street expectations. The stock initially dropped in after hours trading but managed to rebound a little as the market digested the report . With mixed sentimental surrounding the automotive giants near term prospects, lets take a look at the stock technical positioning.
Tesla reported Q4 2024 earnings per share of $0.73, missing the concuss estimate of $0.76.
Revenue came in at $25.71 billion falling short of the expected $27.26 billion. From technical perspective Tesla is trading around $375 if this neckline break it shall test the support around 340- $257.Thats the area where buyers previously stepped in during November 2024.
Tesla (TSLA) Scalping & Mid-Term AnalysisMarket Overview
Trend: Strong Bearish 📉
Resistance: $309.30 → EMA 200 acts as a ceiling
Support: $296.00 → Local demand zone
Indicators:
MACD: Bearish, no reversal confirmation
RSI: Oversold (17.96 on 30m) – potential for short-term bounce
VWAP: Below average – sellers control momentum
🩸 Risk: High probability of a short squeeze if volume spikes
🔥 Scalping Strategy (5x Leverage)
🩸 Momentum Scalping:
Buy: Near $297–$299, targeting $305
Sell: Near $305–$309, targeting $298
Stop-loss: Below $295
🩸 Breakout Scalping:
Above $310: Long to $318
Below $296: Short to $290
🔥 Mid-Term Trend Forecast (1-3 Weeks)
If $310 holds, potential retest of $320
If $296 breaks, freefall to $285
🔥 News & Market Context
🩸 Tesla planning major initiatives in early 2025, including Model Y Juniper launch & self-driving advancements → Bullish Long-Term
🩸 However, short-term market reaction is bearish due to macro pressures
🔥 Decision:
🩸 Short-term: Scalp long near $297, sell at $305+
🩸 Mid-term: Avoid heavy long positions until $310 breaks
🩸 Ideal Play: Short bounces, enter longs only above $310
👑 Final Verdict:
"Survival isn’t about guessing—it’s about acting before the rest wake up." – LucanInvestor
TSLA Short idea posted paid, if you followed you got paidThe TSLA short idea was posted before the target was met. The idea was posted last week based on why the trade was taken and what we can anticipate to see. And we can see that the final target has been met.
TSLA is targeting 295 & 330 & 430Hello Traders,
I'm sharing a long position on TSLA, and I'll explain my reasoning below.
Entry Price: 223
Stop-Loss: 172
1st Target: 295
2nd Target: 380
Reason 1: The price has rebounded from the lower deviation of the uptrend channel (grey), not the lower deviation of the downtrend channel (blue). It is now targeting the upper deviation resistance line of the uptrend channel (grey) at 295.
Reason 2: A cup & handle pattern is progressing and will likely be confirmed if the price closes a weekly bar above 253 and the target will be around 330,380 and maybe 430 as shown below
NASDAQ:TSLA
TSLA Short - IntradayWith bearish indices, and displacement in TSLA on H4 time frame the narrative was bearish sentiment from that point of interest. As soon as I saw rejection from the POI, I waited for confirmation of my setup in the 15m and entry on the 5m, with 1: 3.3 risk to reward. The RR target was based on the sell stops resting below creating liquidity with Previous Day Low and Sellside Liquidity.
TSLA IS GOING UP $$$This is the price action of TSLA at its very best & exclusively for viewers on trading view.
TSLA is very close to a buy - $268 , 2-3 days ? Continuing coverage on TSLA. See other previous charts. Zeroing in on $268 as a good entry point. $249 is a stop loss for now. We are about 90 days early in time for a bottom. So caution and stops are warranted. Much lower prices are certainly possible Especially with the correction in the Nasdaq that is underway. Murrey Math, Elliotwave , Kumarwave all in play in this forecast. Posts and Dm's always welcomed. Good Luck.
Quick 4-Min Tesla Analysis: Deeper Pullback or Ready for LiftoffJust wrapped up a quick Tesla analysis (under 4 min)! Right now, we could see a dip to the $289 zone before pushing higher, or a deeper move down to $250 before driving up toward $475.
Where do you think Tesla is headed next? Let me know your thoughts!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
TSLA Shorts, done in 15minKnowing when your model shows up and when to pull the trigger is important. This TSLA short was the exact model I have been posting for the last few weeks, if you see previous posts. Partials taken, trade is risk free. May swing couple.
Tsla bounce incoming?NASDAQ:TSLA
After a hard pullback on tsla since reaching new highs on dec24, it has now retraced to the .5 fib from dec22 lows.
Both macd and rsi are on oversold conditions and we just bounced on the last support/resistance flip zone.
$TSLA testing new lows, Downside not complet yetAfter hitting an ATH NASDAQ:TSLA has lost the momentum. In this blog space we already propagated the idea that there is some more downside until the reaches the 200 Day SMA. We see that NASDAQ:TSLA stock has lost the 20 Day, 50 Day and 100 Day SMA and the next stops are the 200-Day @ 276 $.
But if we look at the Fib Retracement then the levels @ 0.618 with price 273 $ and the Fib level @ 0.786 with a price 215 $ are the key support level. If it reverts back to the 0.786 Fib level then it will loose all its election related gains.
But in contrast S&P 500 and NASADAQ100 are consolidating and not breaking down as $TSLY. So, we might see NASDAQ:TSLA underperforming the NASDAQ:QQQ over the next few weeks.
Long AMEX:TSLY between 250 $ and 200 $.
TSLA at a Pivotal Zone! Key Trade Setups for Tomorrow Feb. 20Technical Analysis (TA) Overview
TSLA is currently consolidating near 360-363, following a strong breakout from a descending wedge pattern. The price is now testing a key volume profile resistance zone, indicating that the next move will depend on whether buyers can maintain strength or if sellers step in.
📌 Key Support & Resistance Levels:
* Resistance: 363.81 (Volume Profile High), 367-370 (major resistance and call wall)
* Support: 360, 352.50, 350 (major put support)
📌 Indicators:
* MACD: Momentum is slightly bullish, but histogram shows signs of weakness.
* Stoch RSI: Near mid-levels, indicating room for both upside and downside—not overbought yet.
* Volume Profile: High trading activity around 360-363, suggesting price could stall or reject here before another move.
Gamma Exposure (GEX) & Options Sentiment
🔹 Call Walls (Resistance):
* 370: First major resistance level.
* 380: Strong call resistance, likely a tough breakout without significant volume.
🔹 Put Walls (Support):
* 350: Heavy put support—this level is crucial for maintaining bullish momentum.
* 340-330: If 350 breaks, bears could push lower toward these levels.
🔹 Options Sentiment:
* IVR: 35.3 (moderate volatility—could see larger moves).
* Call Open Interest: 47.7% – Mixed sentiment, but slightly leaning bearish.
Trade Scenarios for Tomorrow
✅ Bullish Setup:
* If TSLA breaks above 364 and holds, we could see a move toward 367-370.
* Ideal entry: Above 364, stop-loss below 360.
* Profit targets: 367, 370, 380 (extension if momentum continues).
❌ Bearish Setup:
* If TSLA fails to hold 360, sellers could push it down toward 352.50-350.
* Ideal entry: Below 360, stop-loss above 363.
* Profit targets: 355, 352.50, 350 (major support level).
Probability Estimate for TSLA’s Next Move: Bullish Move Above 364 (Targets 367-370)
Scenario Probability (%): 50%
Reasoning: TSLA broke out of a descending wedge, signaling bullish intent.
• Needs sustained volume to clear 363-364 resistance zone.
* If buyers push above 364, expect a move toward 367-370. | | Choppy/Sideways (Range 360-364) | 30% | - Volume profile shows heavy activity in this zone, meaning TSLA could stall here.
* MACD is showing weak momentum, suggesting consolidation could occur. | | Bearish Breakdown Below 360 (Targets 355-350) | 20% | - If TSLA loses 360, sellers could quickly test 355-352.50.
* 350 is a strong put wall, so bears need significant momentum to push lower. |
Final Thoughts
* TSLA needs to break 364-365 for further upside. If it does, 370 is the key breakout target.
* Failure to hold 360 could bring selling pressure, targeting 355-350.
* Overall, I lean slightly bullish (50%) but expect some consolidation unless a strong catalyst appears.
🔹 Best Trading Plan:
* Bullish Play: Watch for a breakout above 364 → target 367-370.
* Bearish Play: Look for rejection near 363-364 or a break below 360 → target 355-350.
🚨 TSLA is at a critical resistance zone, so expect either a strong breakout or a rejection back to support.
*
Would you like a more detailed intraday game plan for trade execution? ✅🚀
TESLA is ready to push back upFor TESLA we will be monitoring the moves, price action and will try to buy once our setups gets triggered.
TSLA TradingI get the point why TSLA became bullish in the past few days. RSI reset and people's expectation on AI and FSD technology. However, Tesla also needs to convince investors with growing revenue and earnings.
With its sales tanking globally and its brand name becoming trashy due to Elon's strong far-right political position, I really don't see any upside for this stock in the next few months. I believe its uptrend is temporary, which was mainly caused by the need of RSI reset. Its long term potential is too far to see. I strongly doubt Robotaxi will be successful at this time, when FSD technology is far from being safe and reliable. Many Tesla car crashes have been reported that were caused by FSD.
Check out the four lower highs it has made since December. And two lower lows that formed on January 2 and February 12. I think these LHs and LLs have confirmed the midterm trend of this stock. I highly doubt the current uptrend will make a HH. In other words, I doubt it will go above 420. I believe it will make another LL in March, around 275, before its next disappointing earnings report. With the current uptrend, 390 is at an area of confluence and a good LH to 420.
Thanks for reading and I would love to hear your feedback.
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