U1BE34 trade ideas
UBER Support Bounce$UBER currently at a strong support zone. Looking for $UBER to bounce back to $34. UBER
$UBER running a range$UBER has been bouncing between 29 and 34 since the beginning of June. We are nearing the support of this range, so we could naturally expect a bounce. If we do not hold support, the next levels are marked on the chart.
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UBER UPDATEHi traders .. as you see in chart we have now new momentom at 29.79 >> so that I changed my analys from short to long >> and I prefare to wait for price action then buy >> good luck .
And please if you agree with me support me by pressing (( like )) >> my regards.
UBER possible Positive DivergenceThere is a possible positive divergence on the 15 Mins chart for UBER, we need the confirmation of the resistance line on the RSI indicator. If the stock is able to break this resistance we can go LONG
UBER earnings expect down 8% and can/will go back upThis is all intuitively done and I'm journaling for earnings plays.
$UBER 1h/30m- After bear flag break, clear selling volume selling drying up
- rounding bottom reversal pattern
- pick in volume to the upside
- coming into volume shelf
- 30 minute wick has some down side selling pressure into the volume shelf
THE WEEK AHEAD: LYFT, UAL, MGM, DAL, CNX, SLV, GDXJEARNINGS:
LYFT (20/82/19.8%) announces earnings on Wednesday after the close, so look to put on a play in the waning hours of Wednesday's New York session if you want to play the volatility contraction.
Pictured here is a directionally neutral 29/38 short strangle camped out at the 20 delta in the September monthly. Paying 1.26 as of Friday close, it has 27.74/39.26 break evens, which are wide of 2 times the expected move on the call side, but somewhat short of 2 times on the put side due to skew; delta/theta .25/3.58.
You'll have to go somewhat tighter (the 25 delta) to get one-third the width out of an iron condor, with the 27/30/37/40 iron condor paying .97; 29.03/37.97 break evens, which are at the expected move on both sides; delta/theta 2/1.31.
I've stuck on an UBER line just to show how LYFT's competitor did with its earnings in the coronavirus environment ... .
CSCO (28/36/8.4%) also announces, but has less than ideal metrics for a volatility contraction play.
EARNINGS AFTERGLOW:
There are a number of underlyings with earnings in the rear view that still have sufficient implied to potentially make them worthwhile just as pure premium selling plays. Here are a number of them, ranked by the percentage that the September at-the-money short straddle is paying relative to stock price and screened for those paying greater than 15%:
UAL: 20.8%
MGM: 17.7%
DAL: 17.7%
CNX: 17.6%
WYNN: 16.9%
PINS: 16.1%
ROKU: 16.0%
BYND: 15.8%
SNAP: 15.7%
BA: 15.3%
SQ: 15.2%
AMD: 15.1%
LUV: 15.1%
I may pick one or more of these if I have nothing better to do, keeping in mind correlations here (i.e., UAL, DAL, and LUV are all airlines; BA is airline-related).
EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS, RANKED BY SEPTEMBER AT-THE-MONEY SHORT STRADDLE PRICE/STOCK PRICE RATIO AND SCREENED FOR >35% 30-DAY IMPLIED:
SLV (70/81/19.9%)
GDXJ (24/62/15.6%)
GDX (24/43/12.8%)
XOP (11/48/12.7%)
EWZ (18/43/11.2%)
Here, I've screened out those paying <10%. I'm in an August GDXJ play, but may re-up with a SLV, even though there is going to be some correlation with miners. The September 18th 20 delta 22/36 short strangle was paying 1.45 as of Friday close, with the 25 delta 20/23/33.5/36 iron condor paying .99. There is some massive call side skew to potentially accommodate here, so could see going "double double" (double the contracts on the put side, but double the width on the call).
Two Examples: September 18th 2 x 18/2 x 20.5/33/38 "double double" iron condor, paying .98 or September 18th 2 x 15.5/2 x 25.5/33.5/44 "double double", paying 1.30, the latter of which approaches the metrics of the naked short strangle.
BROAD MARKET EXCHANGE-TRADED FUNDS:
Most of the fun has bled out ... :
IWM (25/30/7.3%)
QQQ (25/28/7.2%)
EFA (17/21/4.8%)
SPY (15/22/5.1%)
UBER Technical AnalysisPrices are moving inside a channel.
The idea is to hold. A very risky option is to go short for a short term investment before going long for a long term investment.
Uber is still a buyThe stock only gave up the move from the last 2 days. On the weekly timeframe, the bulls just took made a statement. Lets' see if they follow through next week.
Uber going into earingsThe set up looks incredible for the next leg up. Might break past its ipo offering price on todays results
Uber to Spike past $35 on Earnings Revenue Beat - Bullish $UBERTechnicals on all time frames look good to spike up post earnings. Bears that don't know about $UBER eats are going to get crushed. Profit miss and revenue beat will take this back up to $38 by September.
$UBER Long Into earnings
Indicators all bullish and in reversal.
Volume increasing
reclaimed Moving average support
Fear of public transport may have helped the numbers
Potential upside $37.25
UBER 40????4th uber chart. double top filled and a support found. looking at an ER run up and honestly expecting uber eats to be their savior.
Uber Positive DivergenceThere is valid Positive Divergence in the 15 mins Chart for Uber.
Stop Loss at 29.72
Take Profit at 34.26
Be cautious because Uber is still on downtrend.
Uber the paradoxIt failed to break out of a rising wedge, then it failed to break out of an ascending triangle, and now it found support at 30$. With all intents and purposes the chart and indicators look really bad and set to go down further. The wildcard is the ER. The only reason I'm neutral. I can see them harping on their recent acquisition of grubhub and forecasting large future revenues which will affect overall sentiment. If they announce future acquisitions in the works it would be icing on the cake. Personally I'm not going to open a position until after ER and because it lands midweek I'd purchase a calendar spread to cut my call/put cost. like if you like so i can do more :)
Uber: Short to $23An alien who abducted me during 2016’s US election cycle taught me this one trick to get rich quick in 2020. Then he probed me.
