WSP1! trade ideas
Don’t Call the Top Yet! Key Pattern to study in PriceHi Trading Community!
We’re still riding the bullish momentum and looking for price to reach our 6008 level.
Of course, after seeing the +130 point expansion, you might be tempted to call a top. But I encourage you not to jump to conclusions. Instead, observe the price action carefully and respond to what the market actually presents.
In this video, I highlight a key pattern that traders should study over the next few days so be sure to review and study this delivery.
P.S. We have high-impact news releasing this Friday, so as always, stay cautious and Let’s keep growing together by studying OneCandleStickAtATime.
S&P500: Approaching the 88.70% RetracementThe S&P 500 continued its climb, nearing the 88.70% Fibonacci retracement level. The top of magenta wave (B) has not yet been confirmed, so under the primary scenario, we continue to expect further upside into the magenta Target Zone between 5,880 and 6,166. Once that zone is reached, wave (C) is expected to take over and drive the index into the next Target Zone — the green zone between 4,988 and 4,763. Short positions initiated within the upper zone remain viable and can be protected with a stop 1% above the top of the range. The alternative scenario — assigned a 40% probability — assumes the rally will continue directly into wave alt.(III) in blue, with a breakout above the 6,675 resistance. Over the long term, we continue to expect one final impulsive leg higher in blue wave (III) once the broader green wave correction is complete. This should take the S&P 500 well above the 6,166 mark.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
June 5 SPX/ES Trade OpportunitiesThis is one of those rare times where ES time-traveled 36 hours and went exactly no where.
A lot of people lost money yesterday trading this channel.
We were the ones who won the day.
And that’s what this is about.
My job isn’t to trade because the market is open. It’s to trade a system.
I’m thankful for days like yesterday. Why?
Because, sometimes we need to be reminded why we have rules.
Runners are active from 5860 and 5870. This is a big part of the picture here.
When I look above, I we’re at the channel top and we major major negative divergence into the 6008 reclaim. Pushing through this without having some sort of pullback would be a major feat of the bulls. Our job is to stack odds and take Grade A+ opportuntities. Long time readers of ESDaily know the unhappiest bull comes after a move like yesterday as far as building new opportunities. Yes we can continue, but buying just the first level pullbacks here contains additional inherent risk.
📈1st Opportunity - LTB 5944 - 5935(D). At 8:30AM yesterday, this was the only consolidation of the day and you can see an explosive move from this area. If price retraces here, and the following conditions are met, we have a Grade A+ setup. A failed breakdown of 5956 would have to occur for us to enter into this trade. I want a fleet movement under 5956 and into the demand zone. If RSI is above 40 I will add to my runners and bid the zone direct. But, due to the 10 point range, I’ll be doing less than full size. One could wait for price to come into the level and do a confirmation trade, or you could take the 5956 FBD as price leaves the level. I will not be taking the 5956 failed breakdown unless we hit that demand. If I add at the demand zone, I may add more after 5957 is reclaimed. That’s not my focus though. 5944-5935 is.
📈2nd Opportunity - LTB 5924 - 5917. This is only to be taken if 5935 Demand is broken. And we would need to proceed with caution as 5944 is a key demand. We can look to add on a pullback into this 15 min RBR created from 5-6AM Tuesday June 3rd. This is the bottom of the formation that launched yesterday’s rally. An RSI that is above 40 when we re-enter into the level is required. If we bounce off 5944 weakly and rush into 5924, we’ll likely have divergence in place. If we’re below 40 but have divergence, I would look to do a confirmation trade. One where we come into 5924, show signs of stalling, reverse, and I’ll take it on the move out.
📈3rd Opportunity - FBD 5911. Tuesday’s low and a critical area for bulls to hold. Taking out yesterday’s low would evaporate the gains from yesterday. I’d be willing to look at this so long as price doesn’t breach 5898, accept it as a low, reverse, reclaim.
Beneath that we run into a very bad area for bulls. Sunday and Monday “wickiness” and chop provides literally no demand zones. The opportunities beneath are spotty at best and have been used more than twice now. I will not be engaging in a long if we fall below 5898 today early in the session. Not until 5867
📈4th Opportunity - FBD - 5853 . A break of yesterday’s low after the rally we got will bring a lot of attention. It’s not fresh - the 5872-5867 (CRA). We used this same general area on Friday and the structure developed Monday overnight and retested Tuesday May 27th. But it’s something I’m going to look at. If we flush 5867 we’ll probably flush hard and look at Friday’s low the 5853. If we come down and form reversal, show acceptance above 5843 and reclaim, we can look to buy. This isn’t a wick down and buy as it rallies. This is a wick down, structure build (maybe just below/at the level) and second bottom with a higher low, and then a series of bullish candles. That’s a confirmed reclaim. 5843 would be near the low I’d like to see on a flush. If 5843 goes, there’s a lot of room underneath
📈5th Opportunity - 5998 LTB only after 6008 is reclaimed. I’d like to see price breakout above the 5998 intraday channel top, where we will likely see a flurry of buying into 6008. I will wait for price to make a new high (by a few points). Watch volume pick up as chasers chase a few points, and get caught. Volatility will spike as we turn, and we’ll get a quick movement back to the breakout point. T1 would be a few points below the new high. The stop will be dependent on the move back in, but not more than 1:1. The 1 hr negative divergence is clear. So I’ll be sizing down, adding a 30% position to my runners.
This happens time and time again.
If it happens again and ES doesn’t come back down, I want to be ready to add on a breakout.
I won’t be buying in subpar zones beneath current price and I won’t be buying above when my risk/reward rules aren’t met.
S&P 500 Index – Key Market Structure and Levels (15M Chart)Technical analysis of the S&P 500 Index using market structure, key support and resistance zones, and price action confirmation.
This chart includes my current bias based on breakout-retest-confirmation setups, ideal for intraday and swing trading perspective.
Updated regularly to reflect institutional activity and liquidity zones.
3 drives into a bearflagsome may call it a head and shoulders forming
i call it a liquidty grab and trapped longs
Tripple RSI bearish divergence and CVD absorption (if you dont know any of these you shouldnt be trading you should be learning.)
We have some trapped top longers here boys.
and we have gaps to close.
im aiming for a full monthly rotation
Weekly Market Forecast: Monday UPDATES!How accurate were the forecasts for S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures given in the Weekly Market Forecast for this week?
BULLSEYE!
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S&P 500 BULLISH GRAB: Steal These Gains Before the Trap Closes!🚨 E-MINI S&P 500 HEIST: Bullish Loot Before the Market Turns (Thief Trading Blueprint) 🚨
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Buy Limit orders near swing lows/highs (15-30 min TF)
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📍 Smart Thief SL: Nearest swing low (4H timeframe)
📍 Adjust based on your risk tolerance & position size
🎯 TARGET: Take the Money & Run!
🎯 6260.00 (or exit early if the market turns)
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👀 Long positions ONLY!
Big accounts? Strike now
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📢 WHY THIS HEIST? (S&P 500 Setup)
Neutral trend with bullish potential! Watch for:
Fundamentals (COT, Macro Data, Geopolitics)
Market Sentiment & Sector Rotation
Index-Specific Patterns
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S&P 500 – Projection to the SouthLooking at the market's behavior using the orange median line/fork, one can clearly see how the market reacts when it touches one of the lines.
Median lines/forks are not an oracle. They simply project the highest probable path of the price based on a mathematical calculation inherent to the tool.
If you follow the rule set, money management, and risk management, you have a wonderful framework that offers a significant advantage in trading the markets.
Let’s take a look at the current situation:
The orange fork:
– Price closes outside the fork (1)
– Multiple retests of the L-MLH (textbook behavior) (2)
– Break of the 1/4 line, heading toward the 1st warning line (3)
Next movement pattern according to the median line framework:
– Drop to the white centerline (4)
– Retest of the centerline (5)
– 1/4 line (6)
– Lower median line parallel (7) with a possible retest
– Orange centerline of the pendulum fork (8)
Wishing everyone a wonderful start to the week.
S&P Sellers got LIQUIDATED we are Bullish again.Good day Trader :)
Here’s another market breakdown for you, focusing on the S&P futures and where I believe this week's candlestick is likely to expand.
Late last week (Wednesday), I mentioned the potential for a retracement, not a reversal , and at the start of this week, we saw exactly that. Sellers were quickly liquidated, and the market has resumed its bullish momentum.
Looking ahead, my expectation is for price to expand toward the 6,075 level.
In this analysis, I’ll walk you through a quick review of last week’s price action and provide an in-depth breakdown of why I believe this target is within reach.
Let’s dive in... OneCandlestickAtATime
Referenced Idea
MES Long - HVN, RejectionMES long trade idea.
Price went down after heat up of middle east conflict between Iran and Israel.
Rallied slowly afterwards for the whole day and created a HVN near the bottom.
I can think of a revisit of that area and a bounce to the upside.
Since the conflict is heating up further my risk will be reduced, and depending on the market open and a possible gap the idea might be invalid.
SPX Futures - Sunday Night Must Watch (bookmark this chart)This chart displays the price action of the S&P 500 E-mini Futures (ES), a stock market index futures contract that is traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange's Globex electronic trading platform. The S&P 500 index is a capitalization-weighted index that tracks 500 of the largest U.S. companies, making it a key benchmark for the overall health of the U.S. economy and stock market. This particular chart visualizes the ongoing battle between buyers and sellers, with the candlesticks representing the open, high, low, and close prices for each period. By analyzing the patterns and trends on this chart, traders and investors can speculate on the future direction of the S&P 500 index. This analysis is often supplemented with various technical indicators that can provide further insights into market momentum, volatility, and potential turning points. Lower pane is the actual SPX which will be live only during market hours.
A cool off dayA cool off day is expected in the S&P 500 daily chart for Monday, June 16. This would be reflected as a day that would trade inside the range of Friday's daily chart. It will take new information to create volatility and directional up or down movement beyond the midpoint of Friday's daily chart.
Over 450 ticks gone: S&P 500 Plunges ahead of today's key dataThe S&P 500, in the session reset following the U.S. market close, has begun a sharp downward move, dropping nearly 2% and more than 450 ticks. The decline has been so steep that it wiped out the entire bullish effort from last Friday, June 6th, when it surged strongly from the 5970 level. Today, the most important data point on the agenda is consumer sentiment, which is scheduled to be released at 10:00 AM EST.
06/12/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysisEOD accountability report: +437.50
Sleep: 6.5 hours
Overall health: Good
What was my initial plan?
market pumped heavily due to ppi data so I decided today was another oe of those days where you wait on the sideline for a better move.
1. until major levels are hit.
2. or a signal occur.
**Daily Trade recap based on VX Algo System from (9:30am to 2pm)**
10:57 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal
2:00 PM VXAlgo NQ X3 Sell Signal
Next day plan--> Above 6010 = Bullish, Under 5950= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
06/11/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis
EOD accountability report: +1200
Sleep: 7 hours
Overall health: Good
What was my initial plan?
Did not wanted to trade the market today unless we had multiple signals and confirmations because CPI data had already moved the market so much.
Daily Trade recap based on VX Algo System from (9:30am to 2pm)
— 10:00 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
— 10:00 AM VXAlgo NQ X1 Buy Signal,
— 10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
— 11:08 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (double signal)
— 11:48 AM VXAlgo ES X3 Sell Signal
— 12:00 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
— 12:30 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal (double signal)
— 1:35 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
Next day plan--> Above 6000 = Bullish, Under 5990 = Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.com/u/WallSt007/#published-charts