S&P 500 (March 2025) - A Whole Heap Of Mumbo JumboThe markets is not presenting low resistance liquidity runs due to all the politics and tariffs being implemented right now but once things settle, ES will be in for the chance to test all time highs once again.
What we saw is perfection with the alignment of my bearish bias and how price respected the daily FVG @ $5,950 (mapped out with the red rectangle tool) on the Sunday going into Monday before repricing higher inside of the gap.
WSP1! trade ideas
Understanding Buy The Dip In TradingBuying the dip is a trading strategy where you take advantage of temporary price drops in an overall uptrend. The goal is simple: enter the market at a lower price before it resumes its upward move. It sounds easy, but knowing when and how to do it makes all the difference. In this guide, we’ll explore key setups, ideal market conditions, and smart risk management techniques to help you trade dips like a pro. 🚀
1. Understanding Market Structure 🏗️
Before jumping into a trade, it’s crucial to understand how price moves. A strong uptrend is characterized by higher highs and higher lows—this is where buying dips can be very profitable. But beware: not every drop is a buying opportunity. Some dips are part of a pullback, a temporary retracement before the trend resumes, while others signal a complete reversal—the last thing you want to buy into.
Key levels to watch include support zones, Fibonacci retracement levels, and high-volume areas. These zones act as potential turning points where the price is likely to bounce.
2. Proven Setups for Buying the Dip 🎯
🔢 Fibonacci Retracement Support
When the price pulls back within a strong trend, it often lands on key Fibonacci levels like 38.2%, 50%, or 61.8%. These act as natural support points where buyers step in. If a strong bullish candle appears at one of these levels, it can signal a solid dip-buying opportunity.
Combine this with an oversold RSI and rising volume, and you have a strong case for entry.
🎭 Liquidity Grab (Stop Hunt)
Markets love to shake out weak hands. Sometimes, the price dips below a previous low, triggering stop-loss orders before reversing sharply. This is called a liquidity grab—smart money accumulates positions while retail traders panic.
If the price quickly reclaims the level it just broke, it’s a strong buy-the-dip signal. Look for big buy orders, a sharp recovery, and bullish candlesticks to confirm entry.
📊 Anchored VWAP Test
Institutions often base their trades around VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price), especially when anchored from a significant swing low. When the price revisits this VWAP in a strong uptrend, it’s a potential dip-buying zone.
Watch for bounces off VWAP, rising volume, and confluence with other support levels for confirmation.
🔥 Point of Control (POC) Revisit
Markets move towards areas of high liquidity. If the price revisits the Point of Control (POC)—the price level where most volume is traded in a range—it often serves as strong support.
When price pulls back into the POC and finds buying interest, it’s a great spot to enter. Look for strong reactions, failed attempts to move lower, and confluence with Fibonacci levels.
📏 Previous Range Support
A breakout from a trading range is significant, but the price often returns to retest the range high as new support before continuing higher. If this happens on low selling pressure and aligns with moving averages or VWAP, it can be a golden buy-the-dip opportunity.
Look for bullish reactions, buying volume, and strong candles off the level.
3. When Buying the Dip Works Best ✅
Not all dips are worth buying. The best setups occur when:
The market is in a strong uptrend, making higher highs consistently. 📈
Volume is high, showing that buyers are stepping in. 🔥
Macro conditions support upside movement, like favorable economic news. 📰
4. Risk Management: Protecting Your Capital 🛡️
Even the best traders take losses. What matters is how you manage risk:
Set a Stop Loss 🎯: Always place a stop below key support levels.
Position Sizing 📊: Never risk more than a small portion of your capital per trade.
Have an Exit Plan 🚪: Know where you’ll take profits, whether it's at a resistance level or a trailing stop.
Scale In and Out 🎢: Enter gradually instead of all at once, and take profits along the way to lock in gains.
Key takeaways 🎤
Buying the dip can be a powerful strategy—when done correctly. The key is patience: wait for strong trends, allow price to reach significant levels, and confirm with volume and momentum. Combine technical analysis with solid risk management, and you’ll improve your chances of success in the markets. Happy trading! 🚀
S&P500 Weakness in 15 Min TimeframeHi Fellow traders
I'll be starting my regular post of my bias of the market. Using Futures market as a indication of potential strength and weakness of the market.
Bias will be shorter bearish on S&P as you can see from the comparison of Nasdaq VS S&P that S&P is failing to break higher higher forming a bearish SMT. As overall longer term trend 1H and 4H is still bullish. We will be playing a retracement leg.
Specifically shorting S&P > Nasdaq.
My prediction would be that market will open lower.
S&P 500 (March 2025) - A Whole Heap Of Mumbo JumboThe markets is not presenting low resistance liquidity runs due to all the politics and tariffs being implemented right now but once things settle, ES will be in for the chance to test all time highs once again.
What we saw is perfection with the alignment of my bearish bias and how price respected the daily FVG @ $5,950 (mapped out with the red rectangle tool) on the Sunday going into Monday before repricing higher inside of the gap.
MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 02/13/25MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 02/13/25
📈6100-6120
📉6060-6040
Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
(💎: IF THERE IS NOT MUCH VOLATILITY; FOCUS ON ZONES VERSES INDIVIDUAL PRICE LEVELS)
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
ES Morning Update Feb 14thYesterday morning, a reclaim of 6066-70 zone in ES kicked off an easy long trigger, with 6125 set as the final target and 6139 as a bonus. We managed to tag 6139 overnight before the market pulled back to 6125.
As of now:
• Let the runners keep working, as thats all i do on Fridays mainly.
• 6120-23 is acting as support (it held, but it’s showing some weakness).
• Holding above this level keeps 6133, 6137, and 6154 in play.
• If 6120 fails, expect a dip to 6113, then 6098.
14 February 2025The S&P rose on Thursday after President Donald Trump announced plans for reciprocal tariffs but postponed their implementation. Investors also reacted to a new report indicating that inflation may be picking up again.
Despite Trump’s tariff announcement, markets remained steady. During a briefing, he emphasized the need for “fair and reciprocal” tariffs on all U.S. trading partners. However, the order he signed did not immediately enforce the tariffs. Instead, they are set to take effect as early as April, allowing time for potential negotiations with other countries.
MES1 THE LEAP BULISHMES1 is another asset representing the S&P 500 during the current leap. It is currently showing a bullish movement. The targets, danger zone, and stop loss levels are marked on the chart.
Please pay close attention to the danger zone and stop loss.
Note: My ideas are not intended for any type of scalping or scalpers!
You can find the full list of my ideas here: www.tradingview.com
Here are some of my ideas:
ES1! Back in for a FREE TRADE!I'm looking at a bearish reentry for the ES1 (E-mini S&P 500 futures) as recent price action suggests weakness following a correction. After a strong sell-off, we've seen a brief pullback or consolidation, which could be setting up for a continuation of the bearish trend, especially if the price fails to break key resistance levels
OTEUM EXPERT CALL: Afraid of Tarrifs? SP500 Intraweek Short!🚨 E-mini S&P 500 (ESH2025) | Inflation & Tariff Pressure Short Setup 🔻
This chart screams "bearish vibes" 📉 as inflation heats up and tariff talks continue, casting a shadow over market optimism. We will be opening up NY session in a critical value area 🔴, signaling a potential continuation of the sell-off.
🎯 Riding this wave could unlock some sweet profit potential as macro pressures keep the market under fire. Stay sharp, traders! ⚡💼
ES Morning Update6020 has been the pivotal level in ES. It needed to hold after CPI yesterday to set up a rally toward 6070. It held perfectly, pushed through the 6066-70 zone, and later hit a bonus target at 6087 overnight. The range between 6020 and 6125 has become choppy, with 6070 acting as the key magnet.
As of now:
• Bulls want to hold 6058/recover 6070.
• Keeps 6087, 6104, 6125 live.
• 6020 fails, sell.
Bearish Intraday Position Started on ES1! price action suggests a potential downward move, with key resistance levels being tested. Watch for any breakdowns below support for further confirmation. Stay cautious and manage risk as the session progresses. Keep an eye on market sentiment, news, and volume for any shifts.
Es going to full recovery based off of probabilitiesLooking at Stats from the Opening Range Breakout we still have a 46% probability of hitting the 2STD of the 15 min opening range which would be a full recovery. I can see us possibly making new highs through the week based off of this recovery if it holds today.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-12: Base Rally PatternAlthough I believe the Base Rally pattern is still valid, the markets have been wound tightly near recent highs and I belive this unwinding/breakdown is what I have been suggesting (the Deep-V breakdown) for more than 35+ days.
I believe the sticky inflation data (CPI) will overpower the Base Rally pattern today and we will see the SPY/QQQ move downward into the Deep-V lows - likely setting up by Friday/Monday of this week.
I'm sorry I'm not able to create a morning video. I'm taking my disabled VET father to his annual checkup this morning. He is still sleeping and I don't want to wake him up.
So, you get this content as a substitute.
Be prepared for the markets to FLUSH OUT a low and try to grab some easy profits throughout today and tomorrow as the markets struggle to find support.
Remember, the broader cycle patterns can sometimes overpower the Daily Cycle Patterns. This happens when NEWS overpowers a Daily cycle pattern construct. In this case, the CPI data is overpowering the Base Rally Daily Cycle Pattern.
Ultimately, the markets will find support and move into a brief recovery phase.
Get some.