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WSP1! trade ideas

ES Bulls Must HoldPretty wild day today. SPY finally broke its streak of not having a -2% day or worse, it had been on the longest streak since 2007. Major weakness for the mag 7 and semis for the first time really since fall of 2023. I think we'll see a bounce here for several reasons, one of which is this trendline on ES that started back in March. We had huge breakout in early June when ES broke above it and it has not retested since until today. We closed nearly right on it. I'm not sure how big of a bounce we'll get, but I think we'll have a decent one. If no bounce, I would think it's just going to get a lot worse quickly.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by AdvancedPlays
Seasonality and Elliottwave pattern show correction for SP500We saw SP500 breaking to new ATH this month, but then market sharply reversed which is not a surprise as index formed an ending diagonal at the top of the recent rise. These type of the patterns are very powerful, and can cause a strong "unexpected" erased of some of the previous gains. Well, we can see an impulsive reversal on smaller time frame, so be aware of more weakness and deeper correction this summer. Sesonality chart also shows that there can be period of consolidation before market resumes even higher, possibly in September when FED may cut, or during US ellections. Grega
CME_MINI:ESU2024
by ew-forecast
ES may still have some volatiliesThis week we have OPEX (Option Expiration) and some earnings of big caps like AAPL and META. I am expecting some volatilities may continue for the whole week. ES bounced back to yesterday high after European session closed. The big question, why did ES stope at the High US early session and high of Friday ? I am expecting kind of cooling off movement, drop back to Value area of yesterday. That high becomes a poor high , and will be noted for any potential break out, but may not be today.
CME_MINI:ESU2024
by ruby_kinetix
2024-07-22 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Not too much to add after the dax analysis. 50% pb for sp500 is 5632, so market has some room higher. Daily 20ema is around 5600 and I do think the odds of the market turning down again to test the lows or make lower lows, is higher than going above 5630. current market cycle: Trading range until 5500 is clearly broken. But bubble has popped and is now deflating. Enjoy the ride down. key levels: 5540 - 5620 bull case: Bulls want at least the 50% pb and as long as they stay above the bull trend line 5575ish, their bull case is valid. One market broke above the 1h 20ema, it could not get a close below it and that’s strength by the bulls. They need follow through tomorrow and probably some force to get above 5632. That price is the 50% pb and also the breakout price, so two good reasons to go there again. Invalidation is below 5600. bear case: Bears need a proper channel for more downside, so they stepped aside enough today for bulls to get a bounce. Their target now is to stay below 5632 and not let the bulls gain too much hope again. No deeper analysis today, please see my weekly post. Invalidation is above 5660. short term: Neutral until market found the lower high and trades back down. Should be around 5630. If the minor bull trend line is broken, bearish to 5500 and below 5500 is hell. medium-long term: Bearish. We will see 5000 over the next weeks again and 4600 over the next 12 months. Will update this time and price wise over the weekend but I expect to at least see 5000 over the next months in 2024. —updated weeks to months. current swing trade: Short 5700. Will also hold this until Tesla goes bankrupt or Cathy closes her trashcan of a “fund”. trade of the day: Bulls made more money today. Buying anywhere near the minor bull trend line or at the 15m 20ema was good enough. Buying bar 45 or latest 47 was a very good trade.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
ES Daily Preparation 23/07/24Multi-interval analysis: On the one-year time frame, buyers reacted and the maximum price of the Friday session was broken. There was an inter-interval sequence: reaction to the level from D1 - Return to the value zone from the H1/M30 interval - continuation? Scenarios for the session on Tuesday: Continuation of growth with the goal of testing July vwap around 624. There, you should be careful about the possibility of sellers appearing there. If buyers maintain the advantage after the vwap test, their target will be the prices from scenario 4 in the run-up to the week. The assumption of this scenario is to return to the balance level of the current month around 640. The next target for buyers will be MVah around 677. If sellers enter the market after the July vwap test around 624, their first goal will be to bring the price down to the MVal level around 572. This decline may continue, which will confirm that Monday's session was a "branding" of positive sentiment.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Izzy_Futures