ybr 4-7-25wealth building yellow brick road for 4-7-25 collecting $76.50 with $923.50 risk breakeven 419.23 ... 39 days to expire ... roi year 76%
WSP1! trade ideas
ES where?📉 ES1! - S&P 500 E-mini Futures (Daily)
We’re approaching a critical point on the long-term trendline.
🟠 Price has bounced sharply after a steep pullback, reacting right at the dynamic support that’s held since the 2022 lows.
🟢 Two possible scenarios:
Bullish Continuation: support holds, the index regains momentum and pushes back toward the highs.
Bearish Breakdown: trendline breaks, signaling a potential structural shift with downside targets possibly below 4000.
📊 Momentum indicator is in extreme territory → wait for confirmation, don’t anticipate.
4,840 on ES/MES and then an opportunity for bullsim expecting a drop to 4,480 on ES/MES in the morning session. from there i suspect bulls will step in and have a chance to send us up. i will be playing it by ear from there depending on how the bulls respond.
Knowledge is power
Yearly PivotsYou can't make this stuff up. Yearly pivot levels give you a heads up in advance where inventory will be bought and sold. The rest is up to you.
SP500 Weekly Action Areas & Price Targets 07/04/25In this update we review the recent price action in the emini SP500 futures and identify high probability action areas and price targets fort he trading week ahead!
New World Order?Blue line would thrust us into a new paradigm as we are supposed to be in a ''bull cycle'' part of the big cycle established since 1945. According to my analysis, we shouldn't break 4300 for this recurring 5 years bull and 2 years bear cycles that have been happening for decades.
So red line is the most expected outcome if things are to keep happening as usual.
Either way, the FED put will save us all, so bid 4.5k or 2.7k you'll be fine in a 20-year time horizon.
Class A/B RSI Bearish Divergence on SPY Futures?Really posting here to see if anyone would validate this for me but I was looking on the chart and this idea came about. On the weekly chart for ES1!, there seems to be class A or B Bearish Divergence developing on the Weekly timeframe.
Listen, of course we all know SPY trends upwards over time but is this an indicator of a larger sell the market needs to go higher every once in a blue moon? This is guarenteed a macro trend and I probably will have to wait a year for this analysis to play out but hey, at least we're here. (***ponders on how I charted Gamestop at $10 but never traded because of lack of knowledge***) Anyways, this is something I will of course monitor but let me highlight instances in history this has happened. Please feel free to give your input on this analysis!
Jan 1998 thru Apr 2001 (News Driver: Dot-Com Bubble)
Price makes higher highs from Jan 98' thru Mar 00'
From Mar 98' thru Mar 00', the 3 peaks formed on the RSI leading to price establishing a lower high (SMT) on Sep 00'. Fails to make new all-time high
From Sep 00' to Apr 01' price moves down as much as 30% over the next 224d
Jan 2013 thru Feb 2016
Price makes higher highs from Jan 13' thru May 15'
From May 13' thru Jun 14', the 3 peaks formed on the RSI leading to price establishing a lower high (SMT) Jul 15' and a following lower high on Nov 15'
From Jul 15' to Aug 15' (42d) (News Driver: Lagging China Market) price moves down as much as 14% and as much as 14% on the Nov '15 lower high to Jan 16' (78d) (News Driver: Oil Prices)
Current: Jan 24' thru Nov 24'
Price has been making higher highs all year
From Mar 24' thru , the RSI has been making lower highs while price is making higher highs
We are now at a point where price is pushing to go higher but what I would want to see based off of historical data is for price to consolidate or some type of Bearish Turtle Soup forming. If this happens and the RSI returns to Fair Value, we could be in for a sizeable sell of for at least a couple of weeks in the near future.
I will come back to this in the next few months. Happy Trading!
Combined US Indexes - Lower High Lower Low checked; What next...As previously expected, a lower low has been achieved.
What was not expected was the speed, magnitude and extent of the fallout.
Next up, since it is about 3.5 Standard Deviations out, we can start looking for a consolidation, although there might be slightly more downside and we need a higher low in the expected range within box. Having said that, it is possible to see it overextend downwards briefly.
There is a long term support, Fibonacci downside target zone just below.
So expecting a short term bounce between Monday to Wednesday at the earliest, and following that a consolidation area formation.
US500 to 4346!!!!!!! WARNINGGG!!!!!!Based on my algos, US500 is heading to 4346! Be warned!!! Collapse is actually coming!
S&P moving lower for me We on our way towards 5300/5400 area on this move. The top maybe in for now be vigilant
ES and the Trade War, We are still short here.Current Market Context:
Downtrend Continuation: The ongoing trade tensions between the U.S. and China have led to significant sell-offs, pushing the ES further down. The recent sharp decline in major indices, including the S&P 500, highlights the market's instability and investor anxiety.
Bearish Sentiment: The market's bearish sentiment is evident, with the Nasdaq entering a bear market and the S&P 500 experiencing its largest weekly decline since 2020.
Criteria for Reversal:
Trend Line Break: A break above the current downtrend line on a higher time frame, such as the 15-minute chart, would be a strong indicator of a potential reversal.
Mitigation of Bearish Fair Value Gap: Observing a mitigation of the bearish fair value gap would suggest that sellers are losing control, paving the way for buyers to step in.
Formation of Bullish Fair Value Gap: The emergence of a bullish fair value gap would indicate a shift in market sentiment, signaling the potential for an uptrend.
Projections for ES Price:
Short-Term Outlook: If the above criteria are met, we could see a reversal in the ES price, with potential targets at key resistance levels. Look for a break above the recent highs on the 15-minute chart to confirm the uptrend.
Medium-Term Outlook: Should the reversal gain momentum, the ES could aim for higher resistance levels, potentially retracing some of the recent losses. Key levels to watch include previous support turned resistance zones.
Long-Term Outlook: In the event of sustained bullish momentum, driven by positive economic indicators or easing trade tensions, the ES could recover further, targeting higher time frame resistance levels.
Strategic Considerations:
Cautious Approach: Given the current volatility, it's crucial to remain cautious and wait for clear confirmation of a trend reversal before entering long positions.
Sector Opportunities: Consider focusing on sectors like utilities, consumer staples, and healthcare, which may offer more stability during this downturn.
ES is waiting for a consolidation.Suppressed by the downward trend line, it has declined. There is still a certain distance to the lower support level. We are waiting for a consolidation range.
It is still a bull market.
April 3rd Daily Trade Recap EOD accountability report: +$161.25
Sleep: 6 hour, Overall health: not good at all.
**Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo System **
9:42 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
11:11 AM VXAlgo ES 10M Buy signal (double signal)
12:04 pm Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
1:31pm Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3!
1:40 PMVXAlgo NQ 10M Buy Signal double signal
Another wild day, market went extremely bearish and has been rejecting the 5 min resistance and playing out as expected.
be careful from this market makers playIts a very straight forward approach.
make it look like we have a double bottom and rugpull:
fomo pump to vwap
clean the funky high
then nuke toplongers on trump news
I hope this wont get many views, i know you're watching market maker.
dont worry im not going viral so you keep doing you.
green rectangle is a gap thats why its my target.
i wont short this without oscilators data
Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo System EOD accountability report: +$2,337.50
Sleep: 5 hour, Overall health: not gud
**
Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo System **
9:36 AM VXAlgo NQ 48M Buy Signal,
9:44 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
11:13 AM VXAlgo ES 10M Sell Signal (lost $525 on this play)
1:21 PM VXAlgo ES 10M Sell Signal
2:05 PM VXAlgo NQ 48M Sell Signal
2:40 PM VXAlgo ES 10M Buy signal (triple signal)
Overall a pretty wild day, I'm extremely glad that we have a system that works and reads the MM very well.
The only thing we need to do is be extremely disciplined and pull the trigger without hesitation.
ES Open Gap AlerrtKinda expected that there will be an open gap after the break. Algos are trying desperately to bring futures back up, and much like I told you the other day, they're selling gold futures to do it. So much gold future that it's not tracking spot price, lol. I don't think I've ever seen that aside from when oil futures went negative during COVID.
Probably gonna just stick with gold, RSI is not oversold yet, so it may drop further before rebounding to fill teh gap.
Up and Away with a Cup and HandleThis pattern forecasts 5750 for the Jun e-mini's. We might even hit that today! Considering how ugly the opening call was, this day has been a miracle. You might recall I forecasted this 2 days ago, but even a blind pig can roll across an acorn every once in a while.
Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo SystemEOD accountability report: +$446.25
Sleep: 10 hour, Overall health: Meh
**Daily Trade Recap based on VX Algo System **
9:30 AMVXAlgo ES 10M Sell Signal
2:57 PM VXAlgo NQ 10M Buy Signal
ES1 2025-03-31 SPOOZ 15minOBHello everyone, I hope you won, stayed out, or learned something form the market today 😂.
Today was a easy grab.
Drawdown: 17. Tics
TP: 111. Tics Grabbed (out of 438)
Spooz Open Manipulation,
Broke near high,
Retraced to 15min Order Block,
TP Hit at 3 equal Highs (volume).
If you found this inciteful, join our group discussion! (link in bio)
S&P 500 Above it, I’m maintaining a bullish perspective until the next BSL, then turning bearish again in line with the overall market trend.
Below , im keeping my bearish perspective.
No where to go but up....What a mess! As you can see from the 240 minute chart, things are indeed ugly. But, isn't it strange that we made all time highs just a month or so ago? Look at the Magic 7 stocks and find one that doesn't look buyable here. All the bearish sentiment in the world cannot stop the flood of FOMO money that will attract to the negative look of the chart to the first clear sign of a trend reversal. I don't care about the rest of the world, I am going to try and buy this somewhere between where we are and an absolute bottom in the 5500's.
Here is my default setupMean Reversion Channel
Swing Failure Pattern
BUY-SELL MAs RSI
Pivot Trendlines with Breaks
BUY-SELL Requirements info
