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ADBE trade ideas
Channel Down // Price is at Top TrendlineIt depends on your bullishness right now whether ADBE has hit bottom.
Price is at the top trendline of the channel.
Targets above channel are targets to the upside.
Below are to the downside.
On weekly this looks like a Bullish Shark which lands at the .886 or the 1.113.
ADBE hit the .786 which would be the .786 OF xc which looks like a Cypher. Support was found very close to this level but the 2nd leg did not pull to the .382 as required by a Cypher pattern.
You would need to look on a weekly chart if you are in to Harmonic patterns. Many are not. I find them to be useful and I am not a wave counter. But I need to learn (o: I just doubt I would use waves anyway as I am an impatient type person but I do like to look at chartists who count waves. I just let them count them. I guess you have to know yourself sometimes.
If we have a few ,more bullish days in the possible bear rally, this may break that top trendline. Anyway, at this point, I would suppose you would go with your gut.
No recommendation.
This channel does not seem to be narrowing (falling wedge) nor does it seem to be broadening (megaphone). When a channel spreads out or narrows as of late there can be a price reaction so beware.
Looking like it wants to breakSoftware as a sector has been very weak. However, there are a few exceptions. More established companies seem to be holding well and trying to reverse. $ADBE and $INTU both are looking strong in the sector. Both are well established older companies and I think bulls are still scared of stocks that are smaller and hyper growth focused. Software led the markets the past few years and some of those companies wont be around if this recession actually happens. Rising rate economies aren't good for those types of companies. But these two, ADBE and INTU, are much better positioned for this environment. Software may not end up the leader again, eyes on you solar, but I like both of these companies long term.
Of course market can turn down again but I would feel fine holding ADBE or INTU for as long as it takes and this looks like a good entry for the moment. For those that don't want to hold forever, use the trendlines below as a SL.
ADBE, DailyAdobe Inc. ADBE. Daily
NASDAQ:ADBE
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This is not photoshopped - Adobe heading lower?Adobe - Short Term - We look to Sell at 380.40 (stop at 401.40)
The medium term bias remains bearish. The gap open from 10/06/2022 to 13/06/2022 has now been closed. As this corrective sequence continues we look to set shorts on a rally at better risk/reward levels. Further downside is expected and we prefer to set shorts in early trade.
Our profit targets will be 321.30 and 256.00
Resistance: 392 / 426.42 / 441.90
Support: 357.56 / 338.00 / 320.90
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$ADBE - one of my favesThis is a great price for this company. I like the products and the company along with the price on this ticker, I am IN (even after getting burned on earnings play).
Stocks need to revisit their 200 ma... thats what makes it the average and the stock is pulling up to that area. It has daily and other time frame entry indicators so I am in.
Breaking through a multi-year trendThis is a very bearish pattern. If the price doesn't quickly return to the $420-450 range (which I highly doubt, given the current situation), we will fall to the level of $200-250 even quicker than expected. But this will also be a good price to buy for the current performance of the company. But It will also be a good price to buy if the current performance of the company remains the same. I will try to short if the price reaches $390-400, TP $200-250, SL $450.
MARKET TALK WITH MAUMAURoku is one of the pair I love so much and it's happen my attention to.say these three zones as in testing prices. 100.09/111.47/89.
I have a listening hear to any person who may welcome interaction.
Bewatcfull MAUMAU, make friends with the trend make money or they are against you, you loose money.
ADOBE ROPEY - Short Setup ~$480REASONS TO BE LONG-TERM BEARISH
Broke the 100 week moving average 14th Feb
RSI has dropped into the bear zone, confirming sell signal
Dropping outside of the exponential bull top (green area)
Replicating same setup as January 2001
Back then price made way all the way back to the 0.5 fib at $8. The same move this time would take it back to $105.
Price/earnings ratio still at 33!
REASONS TO BE SHORT-TERM BULLISH
Back-test of 100 week moving average could be on the cards in the coming week or two
That said it has already done that in March 2022
$480-490 would represent a nice setup & risk/reward ratio for a short
RSI ticking upwards, potentially to cross into the green bull zone on daily
Downside target or long entry would be $108, right to the top of the bottom purple zone. Back to 2016 highs. Likely some years away, before it gets all the way there though!
ADBE - low could be inZooming out to the monthly chart, we can see that ADBE has respected a long term trendline support @ 370. I would be a bull and accumulate on it's dip (unless this trendline is breached).
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
Adobe - Still to Fall or Has It Reached Support Area? Is one of the leading digital media companies Adobe already attractive for investors?
Let's look at fundamentals and technical aspects.
Fundamental indicators:
Revenue and Profits - demonstrated consistent and explosive long-term earnings growth over the past 10 years
Profit margin - impressive 40% in 2021
P/E - still overpriced with 37x ratio
Liabilities - no problems with debt
Technical Analysis (Elliott Waves):
The sharp drop in March 2020 has completed a Running Flat correction that lasted for more than year and a half
Since then Adobe has enjoyed over 170% gain in its share price with a clear impulse movement
Having peaked at nearly $700 in November 2021 it has completed global wave 3 that started in August 2011 - very lengthy growth cycle
And hence it is time for even longer correction than the one we observed in 2018-2020, the duration target is end of 2023
Global wave 4 has already started with rapid correction from the historic high, the potential support levels using Fibonacci retracement are 0.5x and 0.618x, $360 and $280 respectively. But given still quite high P/E ratio it is more likely for Adobe to reach lower level of this zone
Once support is found then we are likely to observe a very lengthy corrective movement in the range between the lower support level and the maximum price of $700, which will provide short term opportunities for bull and bears
What do you think about this scenario for Adobe ?
Please share your thoughts in the comments and like this idea if you would like to see more stocks analysed using Elliott Waves.
Thanks